2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Marlins are done for the season.
NL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BravesBraves101-61 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
MetsMets101-61 | — | ✓ | — | |||
PhilliesPhillies87-75 | 14.0 | ✓ | — | |||
MarlinsMarlins69-93 | 32.0 | — | — | |||
NationalsNationals55-107 | 46.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Stephens | 1583 | –37 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1470 | –39 | +24 | =1455 | 37% | 12 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1582 | –28 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1471 | –17 | +24 | =1478 | 39% | 1 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1585 | –9 | –3 | =1573 | 63% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1468 | –7 | +21 | =1482 | 37% | 4 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1467 | –6 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1525 | +12 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | 3 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1465 | –9 | +0 | =1456 | 41% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1527 | –33 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | 3 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1466 | +36 | +0 | =1502 | 40% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1526 | +25 | +24 | =1575 | 60% | 1 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1464 | –13 | –3 | =1448 | 37% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1528 | –14 | +24 | =1538 | 63% | 2 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1465 | –6 | +0 | =1459 | 36% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1552 | –15 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | 5 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1463 | –5 | –1 | =1457 | 36% | 6 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1554 | –18 | +22 | =1558 | 64% | 4 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1439 | +17 | +0 | =1456 | 46% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1465 | –5 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 1 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1440 | –3 | +0 | =1437 | 38% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1464 | +33 | +24 | =1521 | 62% | 4 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1441 | –2 | –1 | =1438 | 45% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1463 | –14 | +26 | =1475 | 55% | 5 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1468 | +17 | +0 | =1485 | 51% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1464 | –8 | +24 | =1480 | 49% | 3 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1467 | –5 | +0 | =1462 | 47% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1465 | –6 | +24 | =1483 | 53% | 1 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Miley | 1469 | +0 | –3 | =1466 | 48% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1462 | –1 | +21 | =1482 | 52% | 10 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1461 | +32 | +0 | =1493 | 52% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1442 | +16 | +24 | =1482 | 48% | 1 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1462 | –12 | +0 | =1450 | 48% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1441 | –2 | +24 | =1463 | 52% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1463 | –9 | –3 | =1451 | 48% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1440 | –1 | +26 | =1465 | 52% | 5 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1535 | –18 | +0 | =1517 | 56% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1462 | –8 | +24 | =1478 | 44% | 5 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1533 | –23 | +0 | =1510 | 53% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 47% | 1 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1532 | –21 | –1 | =1510 | 48% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1465 | +33 | +24 | =1522 | 52% | 1 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1472 | +21 | +0 | =1493 | 53% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1463 | –12 | +24 | =1475 | 47% | 10 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1471 | –2 | –3 | =1466 | 49% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1464 | –14 | +24 | =1474 | 51% | 2 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1556 | –20 | +0 | =1536 | 57% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1466 | –4 | +24 | =1486 | 43% | 3 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1554 | –25 | +0 | =1529 | 55% | 11 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1469 | –2 | +24 | =1491 | 45% | 3 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1556 | –16 | –1 | =1539 | 58% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1467 | –2 | +21 | =1486 | 42% | 6 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 86:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1465 | +33 | +0 | =1498 | 45% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1531 | –19 | +24 | =1536 | 55% | 5 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1466 | –19 | +0 | =1447 | 38% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1530 | –24 | +24 | =1530 | 62% | 4 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1467 | –9 | –1 | =1457 | 34% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1529 | +23 | +22 | =1574 | 66% | 3 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1468 | –1 | +0 | =1467 | 29% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1577 | +21 | +24 | =1622 | 71% | 7 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1469 | –2 | +0 | =1467 | 36% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1576 | –35 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | 2 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1470 | +41 | –1 | =1510 | 37% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1574 | +7 | +24 | =1605 | 63% | 8 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1535 | +11 | +0 | =1546 | 60% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1471 | –23 | +24 | =1472 | 40% | 1 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1533 | +30 | –1 | =1562 | 61% | 7 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1473 | –9 | +24 | =1488 | 39% | 2 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Grove | 1621 | –44 | +0 | =1577 | 62% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1474 | –3 | +24 | =1495 | 38% | 2 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 2812:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1619 | +14 | +0 | =1633 | 68% | 8 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1475 | +1 | +24 | =1500 | 32% | 1 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | May | 1621 | –22 | +0 | =1599 | 59% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1474 | +37 | +24 | =1535 | 41% | 2 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 266:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Anderson | 1620 | –5 | –2 | =1613 | 69% | 10 |
MIAMarlins | Nance | 1475 | –26 | +22 | =1471 | 31% | 6 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1476 | –10 | +0 | =1466 | 49% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1436 | +14 | +24 | =1474 | 51% | 3 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1474 | –4 | +0 | =1470 | 55% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1438 | –28 | +24 | =1434 | 45% | 3 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1473 | –4 | –2 | =1467 | 54% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1439 | –23 | +24 | =1440 | 46% | 0 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1475 | +47 | +0 | =1522 | 39% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Pepiot | 1617 | –41 | +24 | =1600 | 61% | 10 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 209:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hoeing | 1476 | –29 | +0 | =1447 | 27% | 0 |
LADDodgers | May | 1616 | –24 | +24 | =1616 | 73% | 7 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1477 | –16 | –2 | =1459 | 27% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Anderson | 1615 | –5 | +20 | =1630 | 73% | 2 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1526 | +19 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | 10 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1479 | –1 | +24 | =1502 | 44% | 3 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Manaea | 1527 | –20 | +0 | =1507 | 52% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1478 | –11 | +24 | =1491 | 48% | 4 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1529 | +14 | –3 | =1540 | 49% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1476 | +43 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | 3 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1564 | –36 | +0 | =1528 | 56% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1477 | –16 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | 1 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1562 | –20 | +0 | =1542 | 60% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Nance | 1479 | –28 | +24 | =1475 | 40% | 2 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1561 | –32 | +0 | =1529 | 56% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1480 | –14 | +24 | =1490 | 44% | 2 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1560 | –12 | –1 | =1547 | 57% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1481 | –1 | +21 | =1501 | 43% | 3 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1479 | –18 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1541 | –14 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | 0 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1480 | +46 | +0 | =1526 | 47% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1540 | –20 | +24 | =1544 | 53% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1481 | –13 | –1 | =1467 | 32% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1539 | +29 | +26 | =1594 | 68% | 4 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1479 | –19 | +0 | =1460 | 46% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1468 | –6 | +24 | =1486 | 54% | 0 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1481 | +4 | +0 | =1485 | 50% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1466 | –6 | +24 | =1484 | 50% | 4 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 52:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1482 | –26 | –1 | =1455 | 45% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1465 | +3 | +22 | =1490 | 55% | 2 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1476 | –15 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1481 | +45 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 3 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1475 | –13 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1482 | –14 | +24 | =1492 | 54% | 1 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 16:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1473 | –5 | –3 | =1465 | 47% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1483 | –20 | +24 | =1487 | 53% | 1 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1553 | –2 | +0 | =1551 | 54% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1486 | +14 | +24 | =1524 | 46% | 3 | |
7/30Saturday, July 306:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1551 | –19 | +0 | =1532 | 57% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Neidert | 1487 | –30 | +24 | =1481 | 43% | 0 | |
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1550 | +6 | –1 | =1555 | 49% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1489 | +49 | +21 | =1559 | 51% | 4 | |
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1488 | –34 | +0 | =1454 | 45% | 7 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1474 | –10 | +24 | =1488 | 55% | 6 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 276:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1489 | –16 | +0 | =1473 | 41% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1473 | +41 | +24 | =1538 | 59% | 5 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 266:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1488 | +8 | +0 | =1496 | 50% | 2 |
CINReds | Greene | 1474 | –4 | +24 | =1494 | 50% | 1 | |
7/25Monday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1491 | –16 | –2 | =1473 | 49% | 2 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1471 | –16 | +24 | =1479 | 51% | 11 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1490 | +49 | +0 | =1539 | 61% | 6 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1437 | +2 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | 5 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Meyer | 1491 | –32 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | 0 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1436 | +8 | +24 | =1468 | 51% | 1 | |
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1488 | –20 | –3 | =1465 | 49% | 8 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1439 | +5 | +28 | =1472 | 51% | 1 | |
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1475 | +24 | +4 | =1503 | 46% | 8 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1491 | +11 | +31 | =1533 | 54% | 0 | |
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1535 | +22 | +0 | =1557 | 58% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1493 | –16 | +24 | =1501 | 42% | 0 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1532 | –12 | +0 | =1520 | 54% | 10 |
MIAMarlins | Meyer | 1496 | –29 | +24 | =1491 | 46% | 0 | |
7/15Friday, July 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1531 | –17 | –1 | =1513 | 42% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1497 | +46 | +24 | =1567 | 58% | 1 | |
7/14Thursday, July 1412:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1441 | +4 | +0 | =1445 | 43% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1497 | –27 | +24 | =1494 | 57% | 3 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 136:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1442 | +5 | +0 | =1447 | 38% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1496 | +12 | +24 | =1532 | 62% | 5 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 126:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Stratton | 1441 | –8 | +0 | =1433 | 42% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Castano | 1497 | –34 | +24 | =1487 | 58% | 2 | |
7/11Monday, July 116:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1438 | –4 | –3 | =1431 | 39% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1500 | –14 | +21 | =1507 | 61% | 1 | |
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1498 | +46 | +0 | =1544 | 47% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1545 | –1 | +24 | =1568 | 53% | 0 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1499 | –27 | +0 | =1472 | 39% | 4 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1544 | –19 | +24 | =1549 | 61% | 5 | |
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1497 | +11 | +0 | =1508 | 40% | 5 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1546 | +6 | +24 | =1576 | 60% | 2 | |
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1499 | –29 | –3 | =1467 | 41% | 0 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1544 | –35 | +21 | =1530 | 59% | 10 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1502 | +36 | +0 | =1538 | 54% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1501 | –15 | +24 | =1510 | 46% | 2 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1503 | +4 | –1 | =1506 | 42% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1500 | +40 | +21 | =1561 | 58% | 2 | |
7/4Monday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1499 | –34 | +0 | =1465 | 51% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1448 | –13 | +24 | =1459 | 49% | 2 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1497 | +11 | +0 | =1508 | 54% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1450 | +6 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1496 | –27 | +0 | =1469 | 49% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Tetreault | 1451 | +3 | +24 | =1478 | 51% | 3 | |
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1494 | –14 | –1 | =1479 | 48% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1453 | +12 | +26 | =1491 | 52% | 3 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1493 | +42 | +0 | =1535 | 50% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1518 | –10 | +24 | =1532 | 50% | 3 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1494 | –33 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1517 | +0 | +24 | =1541 | 61% | 5 | |
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1497 | +15 | –3 | =1509 | 43% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1514 | +22 | +24 | =1560 | 57% | 9 | |
6/26Sunday, June 2612:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1547 | –20 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Castano | 1496 | –31 | +24 | =1489 | 44% | 3 | |
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1546 | +8 | +0 | =1554 | 57% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1497 | –13 | +24 | =1508 | 43% | 3 | |
6/24Friday, June 246:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1545 | –5 | –1 | =1539 | 46% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1498 | +44 | +24 | =1566 | 54% | 3 | |
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1456 | +12 | +0 | =1468 | 47% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1497 | –34 | +24 | =1487 | 53% | 3 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kuhl | 1457 | –3 | +0 | =1454 | 39% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1496 | +12 | +24 | =1532 | 61% | 7 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1458 | –9 | –2 | =1447 | 44% | 8 |
MIAMarlins | Castano | 1495 | –25 | +21 | =1491 | 56% | 9 | |
6/20Monday, June 201:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1497 | –15 | +0 | =1482 | 41% | 0 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1546 | –25 | +24 | =1545 | 59% | 6 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1495 | +41 | +0 | =1536 | 44% | 6 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1548 | +5 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | 2 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1496 | –31 | +0 | =1465 | 37% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1548 | –11 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | 3 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1498 | +16 | +1 | =1515 | 43% | 4 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1545 | –8 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | 10 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 151:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1499 | –34 | +0 | =1465 | 40% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1526 | –14 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | 3 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1497 | –11 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | 11 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1528 | –13 | +24 | =1539 | 58% | 9 | |
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1498 | +39 | –3 | =1534 | 45% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1527 | +16 | +24 | =1567 | 55% | 3 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1499 | –20 | +0 | =1479 | 32% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1545 | +42 | +24 | =1611 | 68% | 9 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1496 | –40 | +0 | =1456 | 33% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1548 | +4 | +24 | =1576 | 67% | 1 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1494 | +17 | –3 | =1508 | 41% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1550 | –1 | +26 | =1575 | 59% | 4 | |
6/9Thursday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1457 | +45 | +0 | =1502 | 50% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1492 | –13 | +24 | =1503 | 50% | 7 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1458 | +7 | +0 | =1465 | 38% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1492 | +34 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 2 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1461 | –6 | –1 | =1454 | 45% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1489 | –25 | +26 | =1490 | 55% | 12 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Junis | 1520 | –19 | +0 | =1501 | 53% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1491 | –37 | +24 | =1478 | 47% | 1 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1521 | +19 | +0 | =1540 | 51% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1489 | +19 | +24 | =1532 | 49% | 5 | |
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia | 1518 | –27 | +0 | =1491 | 50% | 15 |
MIAMarlins | Bleier | 1493 | –29 | +24 | =1488 | 50% | 6 | |
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1519 | –9 | –3 | =1507 | 45% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1491 | +31 | +20 | =1542 | 55% | 3 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 16:55 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1492 | –6 | +0 | =1486 | 51% | 12 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1453 | +4 | +24 | =1481 | 49% | 13 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1488 | –37 | +2 | =1453 | 45% | 14 |
COLRockies | Senzatela | 1457 | +4 | +26 | =1487 | 55% | 1 | |
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1491 | +17 | –3 | =1505 | 57% | 1 |
COLRockies | Feltner | 1454 | –20 | +20 | =1454 | 43% | 7 | |
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1491 | –29 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1538 | +25 | +24 | =1587 | 67% | 6 | |
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1490 | +26 | +0 | =1516 | 48% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Davidson | 1540 | –32 | +24 | =1532 | 52% | 1 | |
5/27Friday, May 277:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1491 | –3 | +0 | =1488 | 39% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1539 | +1 | +24 | =1564 | 61% | 6 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Poteet | 1491 | –20 | +0 | =1471 | 36% | 4 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1531 | +18 | +24 | =1573 | 64% | 5 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1493 | +19 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | 0 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +23 | +23 | =1576 | 59% | 4 | |
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1542 | +1 | +0 | =1543 | 51% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1492 | +22 | +24 | =1538 | 49% | 4 | |
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1541 | –22 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1493 | –31 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | 3 | |
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1539 | +11 | –1 | =1549 | 54% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1494 | +2 | +26 | =1522 | 46% | 3 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1460 | +2 | +0 | =1462 | 39% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1495 | +22 | +24 | =1541 | 61% | 4 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1462 | –10 | +0 | =1452 | 45% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Poteet | 1494 | –29 | +24 | =1489 | 55% | 5 | |
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1463 | –7 | –3 | =1453 | 39% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1492 | +18 | +24 | =1534 | 61% | 8 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1542 | +4 | +0 | =1546 | 58% | 7 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1493 | –28 | +24 | =1489 | 42% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1545 | –3 | +0 | =1542 | 54% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1491 | +1 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | 9 | |
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1544 | +38 | –1 | =1581 | 57% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1492 | +20 | +22 | =1534 | 43% | 1 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1489 | +16 | +0 | =1505 | 49% | 11 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1469 | +18 | +24 | =1511 | 51% | 3 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1491 | –18 | +0 | =1473 | 48% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1467 | –4 | +24 | =1487 | 52% | 9 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1492 | –27 | –2 | =1463 | 49% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Castellanos | 1466 | –19 | +24 | =1471 | 51% | 4 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1493 | +1 | +0 | =1494 | 39% | 2 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1538 | +10 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | 3 | |
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1489 | +17 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 8 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1541 | +1 | +24 | =1566 | 59% | 0 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1490 | +18 | +0 | =1508 | 42% | 2 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1540 | –3 | +24 | =1561 | 58% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1491 | –18 | –4 | =1469 | 44% | 1 |
SDPadres | Martinez | 1539 | –47 | +20 | =1512 | 56% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1463 | +1 | +0 | =1464 | 46% | 8 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1492 | –23 | +24 | =1493 | 54% | 7 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Castellanos | 1462 | –23 | +0 | =1439 | 38% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1494 | +5 | +24 | =1523 | 62% | 4 | |
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1460 | +23 | –3 | =1480 | 42% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1495 | +18 | +24 | =1537 | 58% | 4 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1506 | +16 | +0 | =1522 | 47% | 7 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1497 | +19 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 306:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1508 | +31 | +0 | =1539 | 56% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1495 | –25 | +24 | =1494 | 44% | 3 | |
4/29Friday, April 296:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Brash | 1509 | –14 | –2 | =1493 | 51% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1494 | –26 | +21 | =1489 | 49% | 8 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1493 | +1 | +0 | =1494 | 54% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1456 | –16 | +24 | =1464 | 46% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1492 | +16 | +0 | =1508 | 56% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1457 | –14 | +24 | =1467 | 44% | 1 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1491 | +21 | –1 | =1511 | 53% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1459 | +4 | +26 | =1489 | 47% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1489 | –26 | +0 | =1463 | 39% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1545 | –30 | +24 | =1539 | 61% | 4 | |
4/23Saturday, April 237:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1487 | –21 | +0 | =1466 | 35% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | 7 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:20 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1489 | +1 | –3 | =1487 | 43% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1546 | –34 | +22 | =1534 | 57% | 3 | |
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hicks | 1508 | –18 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1487 | +11 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 5 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1507 | +7 | +0 | =1514 | 48% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1488 | +18 | +24 | =1530 | 52% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1505 | +27 | –1 | =1531 | 55% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1490 | –22 | +26 | =1494 | 45% | 1 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1519 | +32 | +0 | =1551 | 59% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1486 | –21 | +24 | =1489 | 41% | 11 | |
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1517 | +2 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | 10 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1489 | +10 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | 3 | |
4/15Friday, April 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1519 | –17 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1487 | +9 | +24 | =1520 | 53% | 7 | |
4/14Thursday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1520 | –6 | –3 | =1511 | 48% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1486 | +17 | +22 | =1525 | 52% | 4 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1486 | –28 | +0 | =1458 | 38% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1515 | +1 | +24 | =1540 | 62% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1488 | –19 | –2 | =1467 | 40% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1514 | –1 | +24 | =1537 | 60% | 6 | |
4/10Sunday, April 104:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1489 | +12 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | 2 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1517 | –1 | +24 | =1540 | 56% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1488 | +8 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | 2 |
SFGiants | Rodon | 1519 | +15 | +24 | =1558 | 59% | 1 | |
4/8Friday, April 84:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1488 | +20 | –4 | =1504 | 42% | 5 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1518 | +17 | +24 | =1559 | 58% | 6 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments