2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Mets are done for the season.
NL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BravesBraves101-61 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
MetsMets101-61 | — | ✓ | — | |||
PhilliesPhillies87-75 | 14.0 | ✓ | — | |||
MarlinsMarlins69-93 | 32.0 | — | — | |||
NationalsNationals55-107 | 46.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/9Sunday, Oct. 97:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1528 | +10 | +0 | =1538 | 42% | 6 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1550 | +6 | +24 | =1580 | 58% | 0 | |
10/8Saturday, Oct. 87:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1530 | +19 | +0 | =1549 | 36% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1548 | +53 | +24 | =1625 | 64% | 7 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 78:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1525 | +30 | –2 | =1553 | 37% | 7 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1553 | +41 | +26 | =1620 | 63% | 1 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1434 | –1 | +0 | =1433 | 34% | 2 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1551 | –28 | +24 | =1547 | 66% | 9 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1436 | +11 | +0 | =1447 | 34% | 0 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1550 | –14 | +24 | =1560 | 66% | 8 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | 2 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1549 | –20 | +23 | =1552 | 66% | 4 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 27 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1550 | +8 | +0 | =1558 | 43% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1584 | +0 | +24 | =1608 | 57% | 5 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1551 | +44 | +0 | =1595 | 50% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1582 | –11 | +24 | =1595 | 50% | 4 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1553 | +52 | –1 | =1604 | 46% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1581 | +24 | +23 | =1628 | 54% | 5 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1465 | –6 | +0 | =1459 | 36% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1552 | –15 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | 5 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1463 | –5 | –1 | =1457 | 36% | 6 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1554 | –18 | +22 | =1558 | 64% | 4 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1552 | +44 | +0 | =1596 | 69% | 13 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1438 | –2 | +24 | =1460 | 31% | 4 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1557 | +59 | +0 | =1616 | 72% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1434 | –9 | +24 | =1449 | 28% | 10 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1555 | +4 | –2 | =1557 | 62% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1435 | +12 | +24 | =1471 | 38% | 2 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1557 | –15 | +0 | =1542 | 53% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1521 | –26 | +24 | =1519 | 47% | 6 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1556 | –19 | +0 | =1537 | 53% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1523 | –31 | +24 | =1516 | 47% | 5 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1554 | +38 | –3 | =1589 | 52% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1525 | +30 | +24 | =1579 | 48% | 2 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1430 | –12 | +0 | =1418 | 22% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1553 | +62 | +24 | =1639 | 78% | 7 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1431 | –21 | +0 | =1410 | 27% | 1 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1552 | +3 | +24 | =1579 | 73% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1431 | +7 | +0 | =1438 | 33% | 3 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1552 | –15 | +24 | =1561 | 67% | 4 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1433 | +3 | –3 | =1433 | 33% | 1 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1550 | –19 | +24 | =1555 | 67% | 7 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1469 | +3 | +0 | =1472 | 38% | 6 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1553 | –18 | +24 | =1559 | 62% | 3 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1466 | –9 | +0 | =1457 | 25% | 4 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1556 | +64 | +24 | =1644 | 75% | 1 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Assad | 1463 | –9 | –3 | =1451 | 31% | 5 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1558 | +8 | +21 | =1587 | 69% | 2 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1556 | –20 | +0 | =1536 | 57% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1466 | –4 | +24 | =1486 | 43% | 3 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1554 | –25 | +0 | =1529 | 55% | 11 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1469 | –2 | +24 | =1491 | 45% | 3 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1556 | –16 | –1 | =1539 | 58% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1467 | –2 | +21 | =1486 | 42% | 6 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1554 | +62 | +0 | =1616 | 74% | 10 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1423 | –12 | +24 | =1435 | 26% | 0 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 712:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1553 | +7 | +0 | =1560 | 66% | 5 |
PITPirates | Underwood Jr. | 1425 | –2 | +24 | =1447 | 34% | 1 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1556 | –16 | +0 | =1540 | 63% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1421 | +0 | +26 | =1447 | 37% | 8 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1436 | –2 | +0 | =1434 | 32% | 7 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1560 | –20 | +24 | =1564 | 68% | 1 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1432 | –16 | +0 | =1416 | 23% | 7 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1565 | +38 | +24 | =1627 | 77% | 1 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1433 | +10 | –2 | =1441 | 32% | 3 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1564 | –16 | +24 | =1572 | 68% | 7 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1621 | +5 | +0 | =1626 | 55% | 3 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1562 | +4 | +24 | =1590 | 45% | 5 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Anderson | 1622 | –4 | +0 | =1618 | 46% | 1 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1561 | +59 | +24 | =1644 | 54% | 2 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Heaney | 1621 | –17 | –3 | =1601 | 54% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1562 | –18 | +26 | =1570 | 46% | 3 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1451 | +15 | +0 | =1466 | 29% | 1 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1564 | +37 | +24 | =1625 | 71% | 0 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1452 | +12 | +0 | =1464 | 35% | 0 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1563 | –17 | +24 | =1570 | 65% | 3 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kuhl | 1452 | –14 | +0 | =1438 | 29% | 6 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1562 | +8 | +24 | =1594 | 71% | 7 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1453 | –11 | –4 | =1438 | 23% | 1 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1562 | +62 | +25 | =1649 | 77% | 3 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1563 | –17 | +0 | =1546 | 45% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Montas | 1569 | –11 | +24 | =1582 | 55% | 4 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1564 | +40 | –1 | =1603 | 54% | 2 |
NYYYankees | German | 1567 | –17 | +24 | =1574 | 46% | 4 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Butto | 1563 | –38 | +0 | =1525 | 47% | 10 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1535 | –16 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | 9 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1565 | –19 | +0 | =1546 | 55% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1534 | –44 | +24 | =1514 | 45% | 4 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Williams | 1562 | –37 | +0 | =1525 | 42% | 8 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1536 | +21 | +24 | =1581 | 58% | 2 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1560 | +6 | –3 | =1563 | 46% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1539 | +25 | +24 | =1588 | 54% | 2 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1561 | +61 | +0 | =1622 | 50% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1569 | +27 | +24 | =1620 | 50% | 3 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1560 | +40 | +0 | =1600 | 53% | 9 |
ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1570 | –18 | +24 | =1576 | 47% | 7 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1561 | –18 | +0 | =1543 | 42% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1568 | +8 | +24 | =1600 | 58% | 5 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1564 | –16 | –3 | =1545 | 43% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Strider | 1565 | +8 | +21 | =1594 | 57% | 13 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1539 | +26 | +0 | =1565 | 46% | 0 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1562 | +5 | +24 | =1591 | 54% | 6 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1540 | +21 | +0 | =1561 | 38% | 0 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1561 | +58 | +24 | =1643 | 62% | 1 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1538 | –8 | –1 | =1529 | 36% | 2 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1563 | +41 | +26 | =1630 | 64% | 1 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Zeuch | 1475 | –12 | +0 | =1463 | 35% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1561 | –18 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | 10 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1476 | –14 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | 2 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1560 | –15 | +24 | =1569 | 65% | 6 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1477 | –7 | –3 | =1467 | 33% | 1 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1559 | +4 | +24 | =1587 | 67% | 5 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1558 | +14 | +0 | =1572 | 40% | 2 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1557 | +59 | +24 | =1640 | 60% | 5 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1560 | +28 | +0 | =1588 | 46% | 2 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1556 | +39 | +24 | =1619 | 54% | 6 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 61:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1561 | –12 | +0 | =1549 | 48% | 5 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1554 | –17 | +24 | =1561 | 52% | 8 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1560 | –20 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | 9 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1556 | –6 | +24 | =1574 | 55% | 6 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1561 | –15 | –3 | =1543 | 47% | 4 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1555 | –15 | +22 | =1562 | 53% | 6 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 34:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1553 | +2 | +0 | =1555 | 61% | 9 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1442 | +10 | +24 | =1476 | 39% | 5 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1556 | +60 | +0 | =1616 | 70% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Abbott | 1439 | +8 | +24 | =1471 | 30% | 5 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1555 | +41 | –3 | =1593 | 70% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1440 | –16 | +24 | =1448 | 30% | 3 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1553 | –2 | +0 | =1551 | 54% | 9 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1486 | +14 | +24 | =1524 | 46% | 3 | |
7/30Saturday, July 306:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1551 | –19 | +0 | =1532 | 57% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Neidert | 1487 | –30 | +24 | =1481 | 43% | 0 | |
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1550 | +6 | –1 | =1555 | 49% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1489 | +49 | +21 | =1559 | 51% | 4 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 277 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1587 | –22 | +0 | =1565 | 43% | 2 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1549 | +39 | +24 | =1612 | 57% | 3 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1589 | –2 | +0 | =1587 | 52% | 3 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1547 | +1 | +26 | =1574 | 48% | 6 | |
7/24Sunday, July 247 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1530 | +19 | +0 | =1549 | 50% | 5 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1546 | –20 | +24 | =1550 | 50% | 8 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1529 | –2 | +0 | =1527 | 43% | 2 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1547 | +3 | +24 | =1574 | 57% | 1 | |
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1527 | +14 | +3 | =1544 | 39% | 4 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1549 | +41 | +28 | =1618 | 61% | 1 | |
7/17Sunday, July 172:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1550 | –20 | +0 | =1530 | 58% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1459 | –7 | +24 | =1476 | 42% | 3 | |
7/16Saturday, July 168:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1550 | +42 | +0 | =1592 | 66% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1459 | –4 | +24 | =1479 | 34% | 3 | |
7/16Saturday, July 162:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1549 | +1 | +2 | =1552 | 57% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1460 | +18 | +26 | =1504 | 43% | 1 | |
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1546 | –21 | –3 | =1522 | 55% | 8 |
CHCCubs | Thompson | 1463 | +1 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | 0 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1544 | +4 | +0 | =1548 | 43% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1561 | +11 | +24 | =1596 | 57% | 3 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1545 | –21 | +0 | =1524 | 41% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Strider | 1560 | +6 | +24 | =1590 | 59% | 4 | |
7/11Monday, July 117:20 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1543 | +41 | –3 | =1581 | 45% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1561 | +29 | +24 | =1614 | 55% | 1 | |
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1498 | +46 | +0 | =1544 | 47% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1545 | –1 | +24 | =1568 | 53% | 0 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1499 | –27 | +0 | =1472 | 39% | 4 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1544 | –19 | +24 | =1549 | 61% | 5 | |
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1497 | +11 | +0 | =1508 | 40% | 5 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1546 | +6 | +24 | =1576 | 60% | 2 | |
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1499 | –29 | –3 | =1467 | 41% | 0 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1544 | –35 | +21 | =1530 | 59% | 10 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1542 | –16 | +0 | =1526 | 56% | 8 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1466 | –8 | +24 | =1482 | 44% | 3 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1543 | +40 | +0 | =1583 | 65% | 0 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1464 | –12 | +24 | =1476 | 35% | 1 | |
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1542 | +0 | –3 | =1539 | 58% | 7 |
CINReds | Greene | 1466 | –4 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | 4 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1485 | +21 | +0 | =1506 | 44% | 1 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1540 | –18 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1482 | +17 | +0 | =1499 | 45% | 7 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1543 | –29 | +24 | =1538 | 55% | 3 | |
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1483 | –14 | –1 | =1468 | 38% | 3 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1542 | –16 | +26 | =1552 | 62% | 4 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 291:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1556 | +29 | +0 | =1585 | 53% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1543 | –5 | +24 | =1562 | 47% | 0 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1553 | +1 | +1 | =1555 | 50% | 9 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1546 | –15 | +23 | =1554 | 50% | 1 | |
6/26Sunday, June 2612:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1547 | –20 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Castano | 1496 | –31 | +24 | =1489 | 44% | 3 | |
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1546 | +8 | +0 | =1554 | 57% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1497 | –13 | +24 | =1508 | 43% | 3 | |
6/24Friday, June 246:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1545 | –5 | –1 | =1539 | 46% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1498 | +44 | +24 | =1566 | 54% | 3 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1546 | –10 | +0 | =1536 | 45% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1550 | –3 | +24 | =1571 | 55% | 5 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Williams | 1548 | –29 | –3 | =1516 | 44% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1548 | –20 | +26 | =1554 | 56% | 8 | |
6/20Monday, June 201:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1497 | –15 | +0 | =1482 | 41% | 0 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1546 | –25 | +24 | =1545 | 59% | 6 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1495 | +41 | +0 | =1536 | 44% | 6 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1548 | +5 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | 2 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1496 | –31 | +0 | =1465 | 37% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1548 | –11 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | 3 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1498 | +16 | +1 | =1515 | 43% | 4 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1545 | –8 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | 10 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1530 | –33 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 4 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1545 | –22 | +24 | =1547 | 57% | 5 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1528 | +36 | +0 | =1564 | 52% | 10 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1547 | –22 | +24 | =1549 | 48% | 2 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1529 | –18 | +0 | =1511 | 42% | 0 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1546 | –1 | +22 | =1567 | 58% | 4 | |
6/12Sunday, June 127 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1544 | –15 | +0 | =1529 | 48% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1512 | +5 | +24 | =1541 | 52% | 1 | |
6/11Saturday, June 1110:07 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1546 | –4 | +0 | =1542 | 50% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1510 | +8 | +24 | =1542 | 50% | 11 | |
6/10Friday, June 109:38 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1544 | –21 | +1 | =1524 | 50% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Diaz | 1512 | –15 | +24 | =1521 | 50% | 3 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1548 | +4 | +0 | =1552 | 48% | 2 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1543 | –2 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | 13 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1550 | –17 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | 0 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1541 | –2 | +24 | =1563 | 54% | 7 | |
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1548 | –9 | –1 | =1538 | 46% | 11 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1543 | +0 | +20 | =1563 | 54% | 5 | |
6/5Sunday, June 54:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Williams | 1546 | –32 | +0 | =1514 | 36% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1592 | +0 | +24 | =1616 | 64% | 4 | |
6/4Saturday, June 410:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1543 | –23 | +0 | =1520 | 36% | 9 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1595 | +2 | +24 | =1621 | 64% | 4 | |
6/3Friday, June 310:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1545 | +5 | +0 | =1550 | 43% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Anderson | 1593 | –18 | +24 | =1599 | 57% | 6 | |
6/2Thursday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1546 | –18 | –4 | =1524 | 37% | 0 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1592 | +3 | +24 | =1619 | 63% | 2 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Lee | 1459 | +2 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | 0 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1544 | –11 | +24 | =1557 | 63% | 5 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1462 | –7 | +0 | =1455 | 39% | 0 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1542 | –36 | +24 | =1530 | 61% | 10 | |
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1464 | +4 | –2 | =1466 | 39% | 5 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1540 | –21 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | 13 | |
5/29Sunday, May 297 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1519 | +30 | +0 | =1549 | 48% | 4 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1539 | +2 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | 5 | |
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1521 | –12 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1536 | –17 | +24 | =1543 | 55% | 8 | |
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1522 | –38 | –3 | =1481 | 41% | 6 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1535 | –11 | +22 | =1546 | 59% | 8 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 253:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Szapucki | 1538 | –36 | +0 | =1502 | 48% | 3 |
SFGiants | Junis | 1517 | –22 | +24 | =1519 | 52% | 9 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 249:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1539 | +7 | +0 | =1546 | 48% | 12 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1516 | +19 | +24 | =1559 | 52% | 13 | |
5/23Monday, May 239:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1535 | –28 | –3 | =1504 | 46% | 13 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1520 | –13 | +24 | =1531 | 54% | 3 | |
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –27 | +0 | =1507 | 53% | 2 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 47% | 0 | |
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Williams | 1537 | –41 | +0 | =1496 | 59% | 3 |
COLRockies | Blach | 1458 | –47 | +24 | =1435 | 41% | 11 | |
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1536 | –17 | –2 | =1517 | 53% | 5 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1460 | +6 | +29 | =1495 | 47% | 1 | |
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 41% | 6 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1535 | +12 | +24 | =1571 | 59% | 7 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hicks | 1508 | –16 | +0 | =1492 | 37% | 4 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1533 | +31 | +24 | =1588 | 63% | 11 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:50 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1507 | –12 | +0 | =1495 | 45% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –27 | +24 | =1531 | 55% | 3 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1508 | +17 | –1 | =1524 | 52% | 1 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1533 | –45 | +26 | =1514 | 48% | 3 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1497 | +30 | +0 | =1527 | 48% | 8 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1534 | –15 | +24 | =1543 | 52% | 7 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1498 | –3 | +0 | =1495 | 40% | 4 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1533 | +11 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | 5 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1496 | –2 | –2 | =1492 | 37% | 2 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1535 | +29 | +22 | =1586 | 63% | 1 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1533 | –32 | +0 | =1501 | 53% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1465 | –10 | +24 | =1479 | 47% | 1 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1536 | –19 | +0 | =1517 | 56% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1462 | –9 | +24 | =1477 | 44% | 8 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1534 | –18 | +0 | =1516 | 56% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1464 | –12 | +22 | =1474 | 44% | 2 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1532 | +10 | +0 | =1542 | 56% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1516 | –40 | +24 | =1500 | 44% | 1 | |
5/8Sunday, May 812:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1534 | +30 | +5 | =1569 | 55% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1515 | –7 | +29 | =1537 | 45% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 56:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1532 | –28 | –1 | =1503 | 44% | 8 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1516 | +7 | +24 | =1547 | 56% | 7 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1540 | +3 | +0 | =1543 | 51% | 9 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1535 | –22 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 2 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1542 | –20 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | 0 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1533 | –24 | +24 | =1533 | 52% | 3 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 33:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1543 | +8 | +0 | =1551 | 54% | 4 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1532 | –31 | +24 | =1525 | 46% | 5 | |
5/2Monday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1542 | +26 | –3 | =1565 | 50% | 5 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1534 | +8 | +24 | =1566 | 50% | 2 | |
5/1Sunday, May 17 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1520 | –15 | +0 | =1505 | 38% | 6 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1533 | +33 | +24 | =1590 | 62% | 10 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1519 | –7 | +0 | =1512 | 48% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –31 | +24 | =1527 | 52% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1520 | +6 | –1 | =1525 | 49% | 0 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1533 | –26 | +23 | =1530 | 51% | 3 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 271:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1535 | –18 | +0 | =1517 | 49% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –4 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 10 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1533 | +5 | +0 | =1538 | 54% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hicks | 1507 | –19 | +24 | =1512 | 46% | 0 | |
4/25Monday, April 257:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1532 | +29 | –3 | =1558 | 53% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1508 | +9 | +22 | =1539 | 47% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1530 | –28 | +0 | =1502 | 53% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1458 | +1 | +24 | =1483 | 47% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Williams | 1532 | –45 | +0 | =1487 | 54% | 2 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Castellanos | 1456 | –17 | +24 | =1463 | 46% | 5 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1531 | –34 | –4 | =1493 | 50% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1457 | +19 | +20 | =1496 | 50% | 5 | |
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1526 | –5 | +0 | =1521 | 49% | 2 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1529 | –21 | +24 | =1532 | 51% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Rodon | 1525 | +20 | +0 | =1545 | 47% | 5 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1531 | +9 | +24 | =1564 | 53% | 2 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:30 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1526 | +20 | +0 | =1546 | 45% | 1 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1530 | +26 | +24 | =1580 | 55% | 3 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1527 | –12 | +0 | =1515 | 48% | 4 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1529 | –27 | +26 | =1528 | 52% | 5 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Castellanos | 1457 | –18 | +0 | =1439 | 39% | 0 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1527 | –36 | +24 | =1515 | 61% | 5 | |
4/16Saturday, April 161:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1455 | +21 | +0 | =1476 | 43% | 3 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1528 | –24 | +24 | =1528 | 57% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1457 | –28 | –2 | =1427 | 32% | 3 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1527 | +9 | +25 | =1561 | 68% | 10 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 131:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1525 | +27 | +0 | =1552 | 51% | 9 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1522 | –1 | +24 | =1545 | 49% | 6 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 126:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1523 | –30 | +0 | =1493 | 38% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1523 | +30 | +24 | =1577 | 62% | 0 | |
4/11Monday, April 116:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1524 | –31 | –2 | =1491 | 41% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1523 | +5 | +24 | =1552 | 59% | 5 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1526 | –26 | +0 | =1500 | 54% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1464 | –15 | +24 | =1473 | 46% | 4 | |
4/9Saturday, April 97:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1524 | +7 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1466 | –4 | +24 | =1486 | 44% | 0 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1522 | +30 | +0 | =1552 | 60% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1467 | –7 | +24 | =1484 | 40% | 3 | |
4/7Thursday, April 77:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1520 | –33 | –2 | =1485 | 50% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1469 | –11 | +24 | =1482 | 50% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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