2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Orioles are done for the season.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YankeesYankees99-63 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Blue JaysBlue Jays92-70 | 7.0 | ✓ | — | |||
RaysRays86-76 | 13.0 | ✓ | — | |||
OriolesOrioles83-79 | 16.0 | — | — | |||
Red SoxRed Sox78-84 | 21.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Phelps | 1550 | –16 | +0 | =1534 | 56% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1487 | –17 | +24 | =1494 | 44% | 1 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 512:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Richards (open) | 1551 | +12 | +2 | =1565 | 60% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Baumann | 1485 | –14 | +26 | =1497 | 40% | 5 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1550 | –19 | –2 | =1529 | 53% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1487 | +2 | +22 | =1511 | 47% | 1 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1486 | +1 | +0 | =1487 | 41% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Gonzalez | 1578 | –51 | +24 | =1551 | 59% | 1 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1487 | +2 | +0 | =1489 | 33% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1576 | +15 | +24 | =1615 | 67% | 8 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1486 | –7 | –2 | =1477 | 34% | 2 |
NYYYankees | German | 1578 | –11 | +24 | =1591 | 66% | 1 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:35 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Baumann | 1487 | –15 | +0 | =1472 | 40% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1505 | +10 | +24 | =1539 | 60% | 5 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1488 | +5 | +0 | =1493 | 45% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1503 | –2 | +24 | =1525 | 55% | 3 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1489 | +6 | +0 | =1495 | 43% | 9 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1502 | +22 | +24 | =1548 | 57% | 13 | |
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1487 | –6 | –2 | =1479 | 48% | 14 |
BOSRed Sox | Seabold | 1504 | –37 | +22 | =1489 | 52% | 8 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1576 | +5 | +0 | =1581 | 60% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1488 | –3 | +24 | =1509 | 40% | 3 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1576 | +11 | +0 | =1587 | 63% | 11 |
BALOrioles | Baumann | 1489 | –18 | +24 | =1495 | 37% | 10 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1579 | –21 | +0 | =1558 | 57% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1486 | –3 | +24 | =1507 | 43% | 6 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1580 | +34 | –3 | =1611 | 65% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1484 | –1 | +24 | =1507 | 35% | 2 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1449 | +4 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1482 | –7 | +24 | =1499 | 56% | 8 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1448 | +1 | +0 | =1449 | 41% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1483 | +3 | +24 | =1510 | 59% | 2 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1443 | –18 | –2 | =1423 | 37% | 11 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1488 | +9 | +22 | =1519 | 63% | 0 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:37 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1486 | +0 | +0 | =1486 | 34% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1546 | +32 | +24 | =1602 | 66% | 4 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 173:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1488 | +1 | +0 | =1489 | 40% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1544 | –9 | +24 | =1559 | 60% | 6 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1489 | –8 | +0 | =1481 | 37% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Richards (open) | 1543 | +8 | +24 | =1575 | 63% | 6 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1487 | +9 | +0 | =1496 | 56% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1442 | –13 | +24 | =1453 | 44% | 2 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1486 | +1 | +1 | =1488 | 52% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Abbott | 1443 | +10 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | 3 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1510 | –7 | +0 | =1503 | 50% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1487 | –5 | +24 | =1506 | 50% | 0 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 105:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1506 | +20 | +0 | =1526 | 52% | 17 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1491 | –2 | +24 | =1513 | 48% | 4 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1507 | –15 | –1 | =1491 | 46% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1490 | +1 | +26 | =1517 | 54% | 3 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1543 | +31 | +0 | =1574 | 57% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1491 | +9 | +24 | =1524 | 43% | 1 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | White | 1544 | –23 | +0 | =1521 | 52% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1490 | –4 | +24 | =1510 | 48% | 9 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 55:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1543 | –9 | +0 | =1534 | 55% | 8 |
BALOrioles | Baumann | 1491 | –18 | +24 | =1497 | 45% | 4 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1541 | +19 | –2 | =1558 | 56% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1493 | –3 | +24 | =1514 | 44% | 3 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1434 | –9 | +0 | =1425 | 39% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1496 | –14 | +24 | =1506 | 61% | 0 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1436 | –11 | +0 | =1425 | 37% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1494 | +1 | +24 | =1519 | 63% | 8 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1437 | +5 | –1 | =1441 | 40% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1493 | –3 | +22 | =1512 | 60% | 5 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 16:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1491 | –10 | +0 | =1481 | 38% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1512 | +31 | +24 | =1567 | 62% | 0 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1488 | –5 | +0 | =1483 | 39% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1515 | +21 | +24 | =1560 | 61% | 0 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1490 | –10 | –1 | =1479 | 42% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1513 | +2 | +22 | =1537 | 58% | 5 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1490 | –1 | +0 | =1489 | 31% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1566 | +36 | +24 | =1626 | 69% | 3 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1488 | –6 | +0 | =1482 | 36% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1568 | –9 | +24 | =1583 | 64% | 1 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1486 | –17 | –3 | =1466 | 33% | 2 |
HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1570 | –3 | +24 | =1591 | 67% | 0 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1516 | +6 | +0 | =1522 | 52% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1485 | –3 | +24 | =1506 | 48% | 4 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1515 | –10 | +0 | =1505 | 50% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1487 | –9 | +24 | =1502 | 50% | 3 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1516 | +30 | –3 | =1543 | 54% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1485 | +3 | +26 | =1514 | 46% | 5 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 217 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1512 | +6 | +0 | =1518 | 56% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1484 | –6 | +0 | =1478 | 44% | 5 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1512 | +16 | +0 | =1528 | 55% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1485 | –17 | +24 | =1492 | 45% | 3 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1514 | +0 | –2 | =1512 | 51% | 10 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1482 | +0 | +24 | =1506 | 49% | 15 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1471 | –8 | –1 | =1462 | 45% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1483 | –11 | +22 | =1494 | 55% | 2 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 173:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1485 | –1 | +0 | =1484 | 39% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1536 | +5 | +24 | =1565 | 61% | 6 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1483 | –7 | +0 | =1476 | 34% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1538 | +29 | +24 | =1591 | 66% | 2 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1481 | –15 | –3 | =1463 | 39% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1541 | –28 | +24 | =1537 | 61% | 3 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1482 | +3 | +0 | =1485 | 41% | 1 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1520 | +6 | +24 | =1550 | 59% | 4 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Hall | 1483 | –12 | +0 | =1471 | 35% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1518 | +34 | +24 | =1576 | 65% | 8 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1480 | –3 | –3 | =1474 | 40% | 10 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1522 | +0 | +23 | =1545 | 60% | 3 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1481 | –10 | +0 | =1471 | 44% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1511 | –22 | +24 | =1513 | 56% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1547 | +28 | +0 | =1575 | 63% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1480 | –17 | +24 | =1487 | 37% | 6 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1549 | –27 | –3 | =1519 | 52% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1478 | +4 | +24 | =1506 | 48% | 7 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1433 | –17 | +0 | =1416 | 39% | 8 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1481 | –11 | +24 | =1494 | 61% | 1 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 65:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1434 | +2 | +0 | =1436 | 41% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1480 | –3 | +24 | =1501 | 59% | 6 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1435 | +6 | –2 | =1439 | 43% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1479 | –14 | +23 | =1488 | 57% | 1 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1477 | –23 | +0 | =1454 | 41% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1474 | +22 | +24 | =1520 | 59% | 3 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1475 | +2 | +0 | =1477 | 50% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1477 | –26 | +24 | =1475 | 50% | 2 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1472 | –12 | –3 | =1457 | 41% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1479 | +23 | +21 | =1523 | 59% | 2 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1473 | –3 | +0 | =1470 | 48% | 2 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1472 | –11 | +24 | =1485 | 52% | 3 | |
7/30Saturday, July 306:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1475 | –6 | +0 | =1469 | 44% | 2 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1470 | +19 | +24 | =1513 | 56% | 8 | |
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1473 | –27 | –2 | =1444 | 44% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1473 | –12 | +24 | =1485 | 56% | 2 | |
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1528 | –25 | +0 | =1503 | 51% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1471 | +0 | +24 | =1495 | 49% | 3 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 277:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1527 | +3 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1473 | +22 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | 4 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +42 | +0 | =1570 | 62% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1471 | –12 | +24 | =1483 | 38% | 5 | |
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1531 | +5 | –3 | =1533 | 56% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1469 | –3 | +24 | =1490 | 44% | 5 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1587 | +1 | +0 | =1588 | 64% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1470 | –7 | +24 | =1487 | 36% | 0 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1589 | +23 | +0 | =1612 | 67% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1468 | +1 | +24 | =1493 | 33% | 6 | |
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1589 | –9 | –3 | =1577 | 58% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1469 | +24 | +28 | =1521 | 42% | 6 | |
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1470 | +6 | +0 | =1476 | 38% | 5 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1531 | +7 | +24 | =1562 | 62% | 7 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 40% | 6 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1533 | –29 | +24 | =1528 | 60% | 4 | |
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1469 | +23 | –1 | =1491 | 44% | 4 |
TBRays | Patino | 1532 | –26 | +24 | =1530 | 56% | 5 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1466 | –17 | +0 | =1449 | 43% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1466 | +5 | +24 | =1495 | 57% | 1 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1464 | +5 | –1 | =1468 | 48% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1467 | –6 | +22 | =1483 | 52% | 2 | |
7/10Sunday, July 1012:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1500 | –26 | +0 | =1474 | 49% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1463 | –6 | +24 | =1481 | 51% | 9 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1501 | +2 | +0 | =1503 | 54% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1461 | –9 | +24 | =1476 | 46% | 1 | |
7/8Friday, July 87:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1502 | –13 | +0 | =1489 | 46% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1461 | +29 | +24 | =1514 | 54% | 5 | |
7/7Thursday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Silseth | 1504 | –23 | –3 | =1478 | 49% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1459 | +3 | +24 | =1486 | 51% | 4 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1481 | –16 | +0 | =1465 | 51% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1458 | –20 | +24 | =1462 | 49% | 2 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Howard | 1482 | –28 | +0 | =1454 | 47% | 9 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1457 | –5 | +24 | =1476 | 53% | 10 | |
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1483 | +11 | –2 | =1492 | 53% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1456 | –5 | +21 | =1472 | 47% | 7 | |
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1454 | +26 | +0 | =1480 | 40% | 3 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1522 | +3 | +24 | =1549 | 60% | 1 | |
7/2Saturday, July 22:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1455 | +1 | +0 | =1456 | 34% | 3 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1522 | +24 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | 4 | |
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1455 | –24 | –1 | =1430 | 33% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +9 | +21 | =1551 | 67% | 3 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 294:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1457 | –2 | +0 | =1455 | 42% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1497 | –7 | +24 | =1514 | 58% | 9 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1458 | –7 | +0 | =1451 | 37% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1496 | +24 | +24 | =1544 | 63% | 2 | |
6/27Monday, June 2710:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1455 | +26 | –4 | =1477 | 44% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1499 | –2 | +21 | =1518 | 56% | 2 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1456 | +2 | +0 | =1458 | 36% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1517 | +21 | +24 | =1562 | 64% | 4 | |
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1453 | –26 | +0 | =1427 | 31% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1519 | +20 | +24 | =1563 | 69% | 2 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1451 | –1 | +0 | =1450 | 34% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1522 | +18 | +24 | =1564 | 66% | 1 | |
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1448 | –8 | –3 | =1437 | 35% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1524 | –1 | +24 | =1547 | 65% | 0 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1452 | –17 | +0 | =1435 | 41% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1446 | +26 | +24 | =1496 | 59% | 7 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1451 | +2 | +1 | =1454 | 47% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1448 | +2 | +26 | =1476 | 53% | 0 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +6 | +0 | =1535 | 59% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1446 | +0 | +24 | =1470 | 41% | 2 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1528 | +10 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1447 | –12 | +24 | =1459 | 39% | 6 | |
6/17Friday, June 176:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Baz | 1530 | –24 | –2 | =1504 | 57% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1446 | –12 | +22 | =1456 | 43% | 1 | |
6/16Thursday, June 163:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1442 | +24 | +0 | =1466 | 32% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1557 | +12 | +24 | =1593 | 68% | 2 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1442 | –11 | +0 | =1431 | 29% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1556 | +5 | +24 | =1585 | 71% | 7 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1558 | –27 | +24 | =1555 | 66% | 5 | |
6/13Monday, June 137:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1442 | –8 | –3 | =1431 | 27% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1556 | +24 | +22 | =1602 | 73% | 11 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1440 | –15 | +0 | =1425 | 42% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1450 | +8 | +24 | =1482 | 58% | 7 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1439 | +22 | +0 | =1461 | 49% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1451 | –6 | +24 | =1469 | 51% | 4 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1441 | –6 | +0 | =1435 | 45% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1449 | –3 | +24 | =1470 | 55% | 8 | |
6/9Thursday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1442 | +5 | –1 | =1446 | 47% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1448 | –7 | +24 | =1465 | 53% | 7 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Thompson | 1476 | –6 | –1 | =1469 | 52% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1440 | –10 | +26 | =1456 | 48% | 9 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1502 | –15 | +0 | =1487 | 56% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1441 | –17 | +24 | =1448 | 44% | 2 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1503 | +10 | +0 | =1513 | 54% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1439 | +22 | +24 | =1485 | 46% | 5 | |
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1502 | +25 | +0 | =1527 | 60% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1441 | –6 | +24 | =1459 | 40% | 3 | |
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1493 | –5 | +0 | =1488 | 52% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1442 | +7 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | 6 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1496 | +24 | +0 | =1520 | 60% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1438 | –13 | +24 | =1449 | 40% | 9 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1493 | –12 | –2 | =1479 | 52% | 10 |
BALOrioles | Baker | 1441 | +0 | +22 | =1463 | 48% | 0 | |
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1437 | +13 | +0 | =1450 | 36% | 10 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1532 | –5 | +24 | =1551 | 64% | 0 | |
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1439 | +1 | +0 | =1440 | 34% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | 12 | |
5/28Saturday, May 286:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Reyes | 1437 | –4 | +0 | =1433 | 37% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1532 | –30 | +24 | =1526 | 63% | 2 | |
5/28Saturday, May 2812:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1438 | +8 | +0 | =1446 | 34% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1531 | +4 | +24 | =1559 | 66% | 5 | |
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1435 | –5 | +0 | =1430 | 36% | 12 |
BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1534 | –24 | +21 | =1531 | 64% | 8 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1436 | +8 | +0 | =1444 | 35% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Sears | 1568 | –39 | +24 | =1553 | 65% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1437 | +2 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1567 | –10 | +24 | =1581 | 69% | 7 | |
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1434 | +6 | –2 | =1438 | 27% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1569 | +16 | +24 | =1609 | 73% | 4 | |
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1531 | +3 | +0 | =1534 | 65% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1433 | –27 | +24 | =1430 | 35% | 7 | |
5/21Saturday, May 217:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1530 | –7 | +0 | =1523 | 60% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1435 | –3 | +24 | =1456 | 40% | 1 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks | 1531 | –46 | –1 | =1484 | 53% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1433 | +5 | +24 | =1462 | 47% | 8 | |
5/19Thursday, May 1912:35 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1575 | –7 | +0 | =1568 | 65% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1431 | +3 | +24 | =1458 | 35% | 9 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1575 | +16 | +0 | =1591 | 68% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1431 | +1 | +24 | =1456 | 32% | 2 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1574 | –4 | +0 | =1570 | 69% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1432 | –27 | +24 | =1429 | 31% | 4 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1573 | –2 | –3 | =1568 | 66% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1433 | +1 | +22 | =1456 | 34% | 2 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1435 | +10 | +0 | =1445 | 44% | 1 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1459 | +6 | +24 | =1489 | 56% | 5 | |
5/14Saturday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1436 | +4 | +0 | =1440 | 43% | 0 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1457 | +8 | +24 | =1489 | 57% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1437 | +0 | –2 | =1435 | 42% | 2 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1456 | +12 | +24 | =1492 | 58% | 4 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Baker | 1436 | –7 | +0 | =1429 | 37% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1507 | –11 | +24 | =1520 | 63% | 2 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1437 | –23 | +0 | =1414 | 32% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1505 | +16 | +24 | =1545 | 68% | 10 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1436 | –9 | –3 | =1424 | 39% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Naughton | 1507 | –31 | +22 | =1498 | 61% | 3 | |
5/9Monday, May 912:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1462 | –3 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1433 | +5 | +24 | =1462 | 51% | 6 | |
5/8Sunday, May 85:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1463 | –5 | +0 | =1458 | 50% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1432 | +2 | +24 | =1458 | 50% | 4 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1462 | +14 | +4 | =1480 | 52% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1433 | +0 | +29 | =1462 | 48% | 4 | |
5/5Thursday, May 57:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1523 | –4 | +0 | =1519 | 62% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1432 | –19 | +24 | =1437 | 38% | 5 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1526 | –4 | +0 | =1522 | 60% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1429 | –4 | +24 | =1449 | 40% | 9 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1524 | +22 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1430 | +0 | +24 | =1454 | 37% | 2 | |
5/2Monday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Paddack | 1524 | –10 | –3 | =1511 | 58% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1431 | +0 | +24 | =1455 | 42% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1526 | –18 | +0 | =1508 | 58% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1429 | –2 | +24 | =1451 | 42% | 9 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1528 | +12 | +0 | =1540 | 66% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1427 | –23 | +24 | =1428 | 34% | 2 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1527 | –8 | –2 | =1517 | 60% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1428 | –4 | +22 | =1446 | 40% | 1 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1429 | +2 | +0 | =1431 | 30% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1557 | –4 | +24 | =1577 | 70% | 10 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1430 | –3 | +0 | =1427 | 30% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1556 | –5 | +24 | =1575 | 70% | 5 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1431 | +4 | –2 | =1433 | 29% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1555 | +5 | +26 | =1586 | 71% | 12 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Ellis | 1432 | +11 | +0 | =1443 | 39% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1519 | –23 | +24 | =1520 | 61% | 7 | |
4/23Saturday, April 239:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1430 | –25 | +0 | =1405 | 30% | 5 |
LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1520 | +11 | +24 | =1555 | 70% | 4 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:38 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1428 | –1 | –2 | =1425 | 37% | 5 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1522 | –27 | +23 | =1518 | 63% | 3 | |
4/21Thursday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1430 | –1 | +0 | =1429 | 44% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1465 | –18 | +24 | =1471 | 56% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1428 | +0 | +0 | =1428 | 43% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1466 | –12 | +24 | =1478 | 57% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Ellis | 1429 | +10 | +0 | =1439 | 44% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1465 | –12 | +24 | =1477 | 56% | 2 | |
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1430 | –31 | –4 | =1395 | 33% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1464 | +36 | +20 | =1520 | 67% | 5 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1555 | –5 | +0 | =1550 | 64% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1427 | –5 | +24 | =1446 | 36% | 5 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1554 | –2 | +0 | =1552 | 64% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1428 | –3 | +24 | =1449 | 36% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1555 | –7 | –2 | =1546 | 63% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1427 | +0 | +26 | =1453 | 37% | 2 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1536 | +31 | +0 | =1567 | 63% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Means | 1428 | +24 | +24 | =1476 | 37% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1536 | –12 | +0 | =1524 | 64% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1429 | –28 | +24 | =1425 | 36% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 113:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1538 | –15 | –3 | =1520 | 61% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1427 | –8 | +21 | =1440 | 39% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1428 | –2 | +0 | =1426 | 31% | 0 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1533 | +10 | +24 | =1567 | 69% | 8 | |
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1429 | +4 | +0 | =1433 | 31% | 3 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +12 | +24 | =1568 | 69% | 5 | |
4/8Friday, April 83:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Means | 1430 | +24 | –3 | =1451 | 34% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1531 | +14 | +24 | =1569 | 66% | 2 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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