2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Phillies are done for the season.
NL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BravesBraves101-61 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
MetsMets101-61 | — | ✓ | — | |||
PhilliesPhillies87-75 | 14.0 | ✓ | — | |||
MarlinsMarlins69-93 | 32.0 | — | — | |||
NationalsNationals55-107 | 46.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/5Saturday, Nov. 58:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1546 | +32 | –1 | =1577 | 42% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1589 | +5 | +23 | =1617 | 58% | 4 | |
11/3Thursday, Nov. 38:03 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1588 | +23 | +0 | =1611 | 60% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1548 | –16 | +24 | =1556 | 40% | 2 | |
11/2Wednesday, Nov. 28:03 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1585 | +13 | +0 | =1598 | 50% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1551 | +21 | +24 | =1596 | 50% | 0 | |
11/1Tuesday, Nov. 18:03 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1590 | –3 | +2 | =1589 | 54% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1546 | –7 | +26 | =1565 | 46% | 7 | |
10/29Saturday, Oct. 298:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1549 | +38 | +0 | =1587 | 45% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1587 | +2 | +24 | =1613 | 55% | 5 | |
10/28Friday, Oct. 288:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1547 | +26 | +4 | =1577 | 37% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1589 | +26 | +28 | =1643 | 63% | 5 | |
10/23Sunday, Oct. 232:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1534 | +28 | +0 | =1562 | 42% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1545 | +36 | +24 | =1605 | 58% | 4 | |
10/22Saturday, Oct. 227:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1537 | –8 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1543 | –21 | +24 | =1546 | 53% | 10 | |
10/21Friday, Oct. 217:37 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1539 | +16 | –2 | =1553 | 51% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1540 | –12 | +22 | =1550 | 49% | 4 | |
10/19Wednesday, Oct. 194:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1543 | +32 | +0 | =1575 | 50% | 5 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1537 | +16 | +24 | =1577 | 50% | 8 | |
10/18Tuesday, Oct. 188:03 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1541 | +31 | +1 | =1573 | 46% | 2 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1539 | +26 | +29 | =1594 | 54% | 0 | |
10/15Saturday, Oct. 152:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1575 | –1 | +0 | =1574 | 56% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1537 | –19 | +24 | =1542 | 44% | 8 | |
10/14Friday, Oct. 144:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1580 | +25 | –1 | =1604 | 53% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1532 | +33 | +23 | =1588 | 47% | 9 | |
10/12Wednesday, Oct. 124:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1534 | +31 | +0 | =1565 | 44% | 0 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1578 | –7 | +24 | =1595 | 56% | 3 | |
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 111:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1532 | –9 | +3 | =1526 | 30% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1581 | +27 | +28 | =1636 | 70% | 6 | |
10/8Saturday, Oct. 88:37 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1530 | +31 | +0 | =1561 | 50% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1525 | +12 | +24 | =1561 | 50% | 0 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 72:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1527 | +30 | –1 | =1556 | 48% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1528 | +14 | +23 | =1565 | 52% | 3 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1528 | –18 | +0 | =1510 | 38% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1577 | –6 | +24 | =1595 | 62% | 3 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1530 | +0 | +0 | =1530 | 36% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1575 | +33 | +24 | =1632 | 64% | 10 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1528 | +25 | –3 | =1550 | 43% | 3 |
HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1576 | –2 | +24 | =1598 | 57% | 0 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1526 | +27 | +0 | =1553 | 64% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1438 | –6 | +24 | =1456 | 36% | 1 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1524 | –19 | +0 | =1505 | 56% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Romero | 1440 | +0 | +24 | =1464 | 44% | 2 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1528 | –27 | +0 | =1501 | 53% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1437 | +18 | +24 | =1479 | 47% | 13 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 301:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1526 | –23 | –3 | =1500 | 56% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1439 | –7 | +26 | =1458 | 44% | 1 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 292:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1527 | +2 | +0 | =1529 | 57% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Assad | 1473 | –19 | +24 | =1478 | 43% | 2 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1529 | +28 | +0 | =1557 | 59% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1471 | –4 | +24 | =1491 | 41% | 4 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1530 | +28 | –1 | =1557 | 57% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1470 | +16 | +24 | =1510 | 43% | 2 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1577 | +5 | +0 | =1582 | 57% | 8 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1531 | –25 | +24 | =1530 | 43% | 7 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1576 | –14 | +0 | =1562 | 53% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1533 | –17 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | 3 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1579 | –23 | +0 | =1556 | 47% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1530 | +24 | +24 | =1578 | 53% | 9 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1580 | +21 | –3 | =1598 | 57% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1529 | –1 | +24 | =1552 | 43% | 1 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:45 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1547 | +14 | +0 | =1561 | 47% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1528 | +26 | +24 | =1578 | 53% | 4 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:45 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1544 | +12 | +0 | =1556 | 53% | 18 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1530 | –20 | +23 | =1533 | 47% | 11 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –18 | +0 | =1513 | 35% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Strider | 1579 | +20 | +24 | =1623 | 65% | 5 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1532 | +25 | +0 | =1557 | 47% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1578 | –25 | +24 | =1577 | 53% | 4 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1534 | –4 | –3 | =1527 | 36% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1577 | +25 | +22 | =1624 | 64% | 7 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1535 | –18 | +0 | =1517 | 56% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1462 | –8 | +24 | =1478 | 44% | 5 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1533 | –23 | +0 | =1510 | 53% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 47% | 1 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1532 | –21 | –1 | =1510 | 48% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1465 | +33 | +24 | =1522 | 52% | 1 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1443 | +17 | +0 | =1460 | 33% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1531 | +27 | +24 | =1582 | 67% | 7 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1444 | +1 | +0 | =1445 | 35% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1530 | –3 | +24 | =1551 | 65% | 8 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1445 | –12 | –3 | =1430 | 35% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1530 | –17 | +24 | =1537 | 65% | 5 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 86:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1465 | +33 | +0 | =1498 | 45% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1531 | –19 | +24 | =1536 | 55% | 5 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1466 | –19 | +0 | =1447 | 38% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1530 | –24 | +24 | =1530 | 62% | 4 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:45 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1467 | –9 | –1 | =1457 | 34% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1529 | +23 | +22 | =1574 | 66% | 3 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1531 | –3 | +0 | =1528 | 47% | 3 |
SFGiants | Rodon | 1500 | +25 | +24 | =1549 | 53% | 5 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1532 | –16 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | 4 |
SFGiants | Junis | 1498 | –17 | +24 | =1505 | 49% | 5 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1536 | –12 | –1 | =1523 | 50% | 1 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1495 | +0 | +26 | =1521 | 50% | 13 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –32 | +0 | =1499 | 50% | 18 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1483 | –8 | +24 | =1499 | 50% | 2 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1535 | +28 | +0 | =1563 | 53% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1480 | +38 | +24 | =1542 | 47% | 12 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1537 | –3 | –4 | =1530 | 58% | 7 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1477 | –22 | +20 | =1475 | 42% | 13 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1421 | +5 | +0 | =1426 | 33% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1541 | –18 | +24 | =1547 | 67% | 0 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Beede | 1422 | –4 | +0 | =1418 | 33% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1539 | –19 | +24 | =1544 | 67% | 6 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1423 | –12 | +0 | =1411 | 34% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1538 | –35 | +24 | =1527 | 66% | 7 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1470 | –8 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1537 | +22 | +24 | =1583 | 67% | 4 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Zeuch | 1471 | –27 | +0 | =1444 | 39% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1536 | –38 | +24 | =1522 | 61% | 7 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1472 | +3 | +0 | =1475 | 38% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1535 | –1 | +24 | =1558 | 62% | 7 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1473 | –15 | –2 | =1456 | 38% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1534 | –19 | +24 | =1539 | 62% | 4 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Butto | 1563 | –38 | +0 | =1525 | 47% | 10 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1535 | –16 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | 9 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1565 | –19 | +0 | =1546 | 55% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1534 | –44 | +24 | =1514 | 45% | 4 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Williams | 1562 | –37 | +0 | =1525 | 42% | 8 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1536 | +21 | +24 | =1581 | 58% | 2 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1560 | +6 | –3 | =1563 | 46% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1539 | +25 | +24 | =1588 | 54% | 2 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 1712:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1540 | –5 | +0 | =1535 | 57% | 0 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1468 | –7 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | 1 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1538 | –15 | +0 | =1523 | 56% | 11 |
CINReds | Zeuch | 1470 | –15 | +24 | =1479 | 44% | 4 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1537 | –20 | –3 | =1514 | 55% | 4 |
CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –13 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | 3 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1539 | +26 | +0 | =1565 | 46% | 0 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1562 | +5 | +24 | =1591 | 54% | 6 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1540 | +21 | +0 | =1561 | 38% | 0 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1561 | +58 | +24 | =1643 | 62% | 1 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1538 | –8 | –1 | =1529 | 36% | 2 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1563 | +41 | +26 | =1630 | 64% | 1 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1479 | –18 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1541 | –14 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | 0 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1480 | +46 | +0 | =1526 | 47% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1540 | –20 | +24 | =1544 | 53% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1481 | –13 | –1 | =1467 | 32% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1539 | +29 | +26 | =1594 | 68% | 4 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Abbott | 1437 | +18 | +0 | =1455 | 32% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1537 | +22 | +24 | =1583 | 68% | 13 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1438 | –14 | +0 | =1424 | 32% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1535 | –7 | +24 | =1552 | 68% | 11 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1440 | +12 | +0 | =1452 | 38% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1534 | –20 | +24 | =1538 | 62% | 7 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1440 | +7 | –2 | =1445 | 37% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1533 | –16 | +21 | =1538 | 63% | 5 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1532 | +28 | +0 | =1560 | 46% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1562 | +4 | +24 | =1590 | 54% | 1 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nelson (open) | 1535 | –2 | +0 | =1533 | 42% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Strider | 1559 | +5 | +26 | =1590 | 58% | 13 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1533 | +22 | +0 | =1555 | 63% | 8 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1432 | +7 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | 2 | |
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1532 | –9 | +0 | =1523 | 59% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1432 | +3 | +24 | =1459 | 41% | 1 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –45 | +0 | =1486 | 52% | 4 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1434 | +12 | +24 | =1470 | 48% | 2 | |
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1530 | +29 | –2 | =1557 | 64% | 8 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1434 | –1 | +24 | =1457 | 36% | 7 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 2712:35 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1559 | +9 | +0 | =1568 | 55% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1528 | –20 | +24 | =1532 | 45% | 7 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1557 | +2 | +0 | =1559 | 47% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1529 | +27 | +24 | =1580 | 53% | 3 | |
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1559 | +29 | –3 | =1585 | 56% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1528 | –10 | +24 | =1542 | 44% | 6 | |
7/24Sunday, July 2412:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1468 | –5 | +0 | =1463 | 43% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1529 | –42 | +24 | =1511 | 57% | 3 | |
7/23Saturday, July 236:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1465 | +20 | +0 | =1485 | 36% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1532 | +26 | +24 | =1582 | 64% | 2 | |
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1460 | +4 | +4 | =1468 | 39% | 15 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1537 | –16 | +28 | =1549 | 61% | 2 | |
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1535 | +22 | +0 | =1557 | 58% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1493 | –16 | +24 | =1501 | 42% | 0 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1532 | –12 | +0 | =1520 | 54% | 10 |
MIAMarlins | Meyer | 1496 | –29 | +24 | =1491 | 46% | 0 | |
7/15Friday, July 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1531 | –17 | –1 | =1513 | 42% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1497 | +46 | +24 | =1567 | 58% | 1 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 137:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1533 | +33 | +0 | =1566 | 51% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1536 | –2 | +24 | =1558 | 49% | 8 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Bellatti | 1534 | –37 | –3 | =1494 | 42% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1535 | –4 | +22 | =1553 | 58% | 4 | |
7/11Monday, July 117:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1536 | +23 | +0 | =1559 | 51% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1510 | +22 | +24 | =1556 | 49% | 6 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nelson | 1537 | –43 | +0 | =1494 | 47% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1509 | –15 | +24 | =1518 | 53% | 4 | |
7/9Saturday, July 92:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1536 | –24 | +0 | =1512 | 47% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1510 | –4 | +24 | =1530 | 53% | 0 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1535 | +32 | –3 | =1564 | 51% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1512 | +25 | +22 | =1559 | 49% | 0 | |
7/7Thursday, July 74:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1446 | –17 | +0 | =1429 | 38% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1534 | –43 | +24 | =1515 | 62% | 5 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1445 | +9 | +0 | =1454 | 32% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1536 | +25 | +24 | =1585 | 68% | 2 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1447 | +6 | –2 | =1451 | 40% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1533 | –40 | +26 | =1519 | 60% | 11 | |
7/3Sunday, July 37 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1517 | +26 | +0 | =1543 | 44% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1531 | +30 | +24 | =1585 | 56% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1515 | –19 | +0 | =1496 | 44% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1532 | –15 | +24 | =1541 | 56% | 6 | |
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1517 | +24 | –1 | =1540 | 54% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –44 | +24 | =1511 | 46% | 5 | |
6/30Thursday, June 306:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1556 | –10 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1528 | +26 | +24 | =1578 | 54% | 14 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 297:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1554 | –17 | +0 | =1537 | 49% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1530 | –12 | +24 | =1542 | 51% | 1 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1553 | +7 | –1 | =1559 | 47% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1531 | +29 | +22 | =1582 | 53% | 3 | |
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1529 | –11 | +0 | =1518 | 41% | 8 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1546 | +15 | +24 | =1585 | 59% | 5 | |
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1527 | –19 | +0 | =1508 | 41% | 4 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1548 | –1 | +24 | =1571 | 59% | 2 | |
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1528 | +24 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | 0 |
SDPadres | Gore | 1547 | –20 | +24 | =1551 | 50% | 1 | |
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1526 | –13 | –3 | =1510 | 38% | 6 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1549 | +23 | +24 | =1596 | 62% | 2 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1527 | +32 | +0 | =1559 | 56% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1480 | +15 | +24 | =1519 | 44% | 4 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1530 | –11 | –1 | =1518 | 50% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1478 | +16 | +23 | =1517 | 50% | 7 | |
6/19Sunday, June 1912:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1533 | –16 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Tetreault | 1448 | –6 | +24 | =1466 | 43% | 9 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1532 | +18 | +0 | =1550 | 60% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1449 | +7 | +24 | =1480 | 40% | 1 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –46 | +0 | =1485 | 50% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1450 | +13 | +24 | =1487 | 50% | 7 | |
6/17Friday, June 171:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1530 | –13 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Adon | 1451 | –13 | +24 | =1462 | 42% | 3 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1527 | +30 | –2 | =1555 | 62% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1453 | –8 | +24 | =1469 | 38% | 1 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 151:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1499 | –34 | +0 | =1465 | 40% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1526 | –14 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | 3 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1497 | –11 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | 11 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1528 | –13 | +24 | =1539 | 58% | 9 | |
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1498 | +39 | –3 | =1534 | 45% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1527 | +16 | +24 | =1567 | 55% | 3 | |
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1460 | –12 | +0 | =1448 | 36% | 13 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1532 | –9 | +24 | =1547 | 64% | 1 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1461 | +1 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1531 | +27 | +24 | =1582 | 67% | 4 | |
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1462 | +28 | –2 | =1488 | 43% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1530 | –13 | +21 | =1538 | 57% | 7 | |
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1527 | –12 | +0 | =1515 | 39% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1535 | +33 | +24 | =1592 | 61% | 3 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1524 | +12 | +0 | =1536 | 49% | 10 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1538 | –20 | +24 | =1542 | 51% | 0 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1523 | –10 | –1 | =1512 | 47% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1539 | –36 | +26 | =1529 | 53% | 2 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1514 | +6 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1521 | –8 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | 9 | |
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1516 | +11 | +0 | =1527 | 44% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1519 | +27 | +24 | =1570 | 56% | 7 | |
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Silseth | 1519 | –15 | –1 | =1503 | 47% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1516 | –16 | +26 | =1526 | 53% | 10 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 16:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Rodon | 1520 | +15 | +0 | =1535 | 48% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1515 | +14 | +24 | =1553 | 52% | 6 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 316:45 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Junis | 1519 | –21 | +0 | =1498 | 45% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1517 | –9 | +24 | =1532 | 55% | 4 | |
5/30Monday, May 304:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1517 | +18 | –2 | =1533 | 50% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1518 | –9 | +23 | =1532 | 50% | 4 | |
5/29Sunday, May 297 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1519 | +30 | +0 | =1549 | 48% | 4 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1539 | +2 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | 5 | |
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1521 | –12 | +0 | =1509 | 45% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1536 | –17 | +24 | =1543 | 55% | 8 | |
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1522 | –38 | –3 | =1481 | 41% | 6 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1535 | –11 | +22 | =1546 | 59% | 8 | |
5/26Thursday, May 267:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1521 | +7 | +0 | =1528 | 47% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1541 | –17 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | 1 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 257:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1522 | –6 | +0 | =1516 | 42% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1539 | +9 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | 8 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 247:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1523 | –12 | +0 | =1511 | 39% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1539 | +24 | +24 | =1587 | 61% | 6 | |
5/23Monday, May 237:20 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1521 | +27 | –3 | =1545 | 51% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Davidson | 1540 | –27 | +21 | =1534 | 49% | 3 | |
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1594 | –1 | +0 | =1593 | 59% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1520 | –16 | +24 | =1528 | 41% | 4 | |
5/21Saturday, May 216:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | White | 1592 | –34 | +0 | =1558 | 51% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1521 | +8 | +24 | =1553 | 49% | 4 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1591 | +0 | –2 | =1589 | 57% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1523 | –4 | +24 | =1543 | 43% | 1 | |
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1538 | –4 | +0 | =1534 | 50% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1524 | –13 | +24 | =1535 | 50% | 0 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1539 | +6 | +0 | =1545 | 46% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1523 | +24 | +24 | =1571 | 54% | 3 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1538 | +21 | –1 | =1558 | 54% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1524 | –18 | +22 | =1528 | 46% | 0 | |
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1525 | +8 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Grove | 1586 | –32 | +24 | =1578 | 56% | 5 | |
5/14Saturday, May 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1522 | –2 | +0 | =1520 | 36% | 8 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1589 | +6 | +24 | =1619 | 64% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 1310:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1520 | –5 | +0 | =1515 | 34% | 12 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1591 | +14 | +24 | =1629 | 66% | 10 | |
5/12Thursday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1518 | +26 | –3 | =1541 | 44% | 9 |
LADDodgers | Anderson | 1593 | –29 | +20 | =1584 | 56% | 7 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1517 | –40 | +0 | =1477 | 41% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1498 | +15 | +24 | =1537 | 59% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1518 | +10 | +0 | =1528 | 47% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1497 | +30 | +24 | =1551 | 53% | 5 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1514 | –7 | –4 | =1503 | 46% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1501 | +5 | +24 | =1530 | 54% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1532 | +10 | +0 | =1542 | 56% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1516 | –40 | +24 | =1500 | 44% | 1 | |
5/8Sunday, May 812:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1534 | +30 | +5 | =1569 | 55% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1515 | –7 | +29 | =1537 | 45% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 56:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1532 | –28 | –1 | =1503 | 44% | 8 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1516 | +7 | +24 | =1547 | 56% | 7 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1469 | +1 | +0 | =1470 | 36% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1517 | +24 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | 1 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1467 | +12 | –1 | =1478 | 41% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1519 | –1 | +25 | =1543 | 59% | 4 | |
5/1Sunday, May 17 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1520 | –15 | +0 | =1505 | 38% | 6 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1533 | +33 | +24 | =1590 | 62% | 10 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1519 | –7 | +0 | =1512 | 48% | 4 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1534 | –31 | +24 | =1527 | 52% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1520 | +6 | –1 | =1525 | 49% | 0 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1533 | –26 | +23 | =1530 | 51% | 3 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1465 | –3 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1519 | +19 | +24 | =1562 | 64% | 7 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1466 | –20 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1517 | –1 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | 7 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1468 | +14 | +0 | =1482 | 44% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1515 | –17 | +24 | =1522 | 56% | 10 | |
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1470 | +4 | –2 | =1472 | 41% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1513 | –6 | +24 | =1531 | 59% | 8 | |
4/24Sunday, April 247 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1538 | –14 | +0 | =1524 | 48% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1514 | +2 | +24 | =1540 | 52% | 0 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1537 | –15 | +0 | =1522 | 44% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1516 | +23 | +24 | =1563 | 56% | 3 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1538 | –5 | –1 | =1532 | 49% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1515 | +1 | +22 | =1538 | 51% | 4 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1513 | –17 | +0 | =1496 | 47% | 9 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1473 | +17 | +24 | =1514 | 53% | 6 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1514 | –6 | +0 | =1508 | 51% | 5 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1472 | +2 | +24 | =1498 | 49% | 6 | |
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1516 | +1 | –4 | =1513 | 55% | 1 |
COLRockies | Kuhl | 1470 | –12 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | 4 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1519 | +32 | +0 | =1551 | 59% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1486 | –21 | +24 | =1489 | 41% | 11 | |
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1517 | +2 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | 10 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1489 | +10 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | 3 | |
4/15Friday, April 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1519 | –17 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1487 | +9 | +24 | =1520 | 53% | 7 | |
4/14Thursday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1520 | –6 | –3 | =1511 | 48% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1486 | +17 | +22 | =1525 | 52% | 4 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 131:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1525 | +27 | +0 | =1552 | 51% | 9 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1522 | –1 | +24 | =1545 | 49% | 6 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 126:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1523 | –30 | +0 | =1493 | 38% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1523 | +30 | +24 | =1577 | 62% | 0 | |
4/11Monday, April 116:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1524 | –31 | –2 | =1491 | 41% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1523 | +5 | +24 | =1552 | 59% | 5 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1453 | –17 | +0 | =1436 | 37% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1525 | –21 | +24 | =1528 | 63% | 1 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1454 | –10 | +0 | =1444 | 37% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1524 | –13 | +24 | =1535 | 63% | 4 | |
4/8Friday, April 83:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1456 | +38 | –4 | =1490 | 42% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1522 | +1 | +24 | =1547 | 58% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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