Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies have a 3% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets23-1376%48%
BravesBraves16-196.559%29%
PhilliesPhillies17-185.546%18%
MarlinsMarlins15-197.014%5%
NationalsNationals12-2411.02%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+211=155852%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+22=154648%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1538+7+0=154546%
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1524+24+24=157254%
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15384+0=153450%
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152411+24=153750%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1587+02=158555%
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15242+24=154645%
5/21Saturday, May 216:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158754%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+9+24=155746%
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15872+0=158555%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154845%
5/23Monday, May 237:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1524+243=154548%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+21=155952%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152411+0=151339%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1539+25+24=158861%
5/25Wednesday, May 257:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15242+0=152243%
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+12+24=157557%
5/26Thursday, May 267:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+9+0=153349%
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
153921+24=154251%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152146%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+22=155354%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
5/29Sunday, May 297 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
5/30Monday, May 304:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152246%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+23=154754%
5/31Tuesday, May 316:45 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152447%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
6/1Wednesday, June 16:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152447%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+11=153648%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+26=155052%
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154852%
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153748%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154852%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152343%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+26=157157%
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156956%
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156956%
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+21=154562%
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149213=148841%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154859%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149142%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154858%
6/15Wednesday, June 151:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149142%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154858%
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152255%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148645%
6/17Friday, June 171:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/18Saturday, June 184:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/19Sunday, June 1912:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152355%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+23=149145%
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149245%
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152144%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156456%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153911=153749%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+22=154651%
6/29Wednesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
6/30Thursday, June 306:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+11=150844%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154856%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150944%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154856%
7/3Sunday, July 37 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150944%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154856%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+26=155063%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
7/7Thursday, July 74:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
7/8Friday, July 88:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152149%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+22=153151%
7/9Saturday, July 92:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152449%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153351%
7/10Sunday, July 102:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152449%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153351%
7/11Monday, July 117:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152449%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153351%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152144%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+22=156656%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
7/15Friday, July 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152351%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151549%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152451%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151549%
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152451%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151549%
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+4=148340%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+28=155260%
7/23Saturday, July 236:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147940%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154860%
7/24Sunday, July 2412:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147940%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154860%
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153913=153548%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154852%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
7/27Wednesday, July 2712:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152258%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+26=156456%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156256%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146038%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+21=154562%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149211=149041%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+26=155059%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149142%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154858%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149142%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154858%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152345%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+26=155755%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152153%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150247%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152453%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150247%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 1712:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152453%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150247%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152847%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153147%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153147%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153147%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+12=147640%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154860%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147840%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154860%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147840%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154860%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147840%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154860%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+04=152055%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+20=148445%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152346%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+26=155054%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152447%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152447%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149211=149042%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+22=154658%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149142%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154858%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 86:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149142%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154858%
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146313=145937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154863%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152351%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151549%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152451%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151549%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152451%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151549%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152144%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+22=156056%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156256%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152444%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156256%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154450%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+23=154750%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154449%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153913=153548%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154852%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154851%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152353%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152453%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 292:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152453%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152155%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+26=148845%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152142%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157958%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152442%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157958%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152442%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157958%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1525+8+0=153344%4
LADLADDodgers
Grove, Michael
Grove
158632+24=157856%5
5/14Saturday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15222+0=152036%8
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1589+6+24=161964%3
5/13Friday, May 1310:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15205+0=151534%12
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1591+14+24=162966%10
5/12Thursday, May 1210:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1518+263=154144%9
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159329+20=158456%7
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
151740+0=147741%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1498+15+24=153759%2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1518+10+0=152847%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+24=155153%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
151474=150346%9
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1501+5+24=153054%0
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1532+10+0=154256%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
151640+24=150044%1
5/8Sunday, May 812:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+30+5=156955%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15157+29=153745%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1532281=150344%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1516+7+24=154756%7
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+1+0=147036%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1517+24+24=156564%1
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+121=147841%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15191+25=154359%4
5/1Sunday, May 17 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+0=150538%6
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+33+24=159062%10
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15197+0=151248%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153431+24=152752%1
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+61=152549%0
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153326+23=153051%3
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14653+0=146236%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+19+24=156264%7
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
146620+0=144637%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15171+24=154063%7
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1468+14+0=148244%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151517+24=152256%10
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1470+42=147241%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15136+24=153159%8
4/24Sunday, April 247 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153814+0=152448%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1514+2+24=154052%0
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153715+0=152244%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1516+23+24=156356%3
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
153851=153249%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1515+1+22=153851%4
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151317+0=149647%9
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1473+17+24=151453%6
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15146+0=150851%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1472+2+24=149849%6
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1516+14=151355%1
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
147012+24=148245%4
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+32+0=155159%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148621+24=148941%11
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1517+2+0=151949%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+10+24=152351%3
4/15Friday, April 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151917+0=150247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+9+24=152053%7
4/14Thursday, April 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152063=151148%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1486+17+22=152552%4
4/13Wednesday, April 131:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+27+0=155251%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
15221+24=154549%6
4/12Tuesday, April 126:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152330+0=149338%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+30+24=157762%0
4/11Monday, April 116:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1524312=149141%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1523+5+24=155259%5
4/10Sunday, April 101:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
145317+0=143637%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152521+24=152863%1
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
145410+0=144437%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152413+24=153563%4
4/8Friday, April 83:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1456+384=149042%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+1+24=154758%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.