Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 4:39 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets98-5874%
BravesBraves97-591.026%
PhilliesPhillies83-7114.056%
MarlinsMarlins64-9133.5
NationalsNationals54-10143.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Thursday, Sept. 292:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1527+2+0=152957%
CHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
147319+24=147843%
9/30Friday, Sept. 301:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
1527233=150156%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14398+26=145744%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
152720+0=150757%
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14397+24=145643%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152726+0=150153%
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1439+18+24=148147%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1527+27+0=155463%
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1439+0+24=146337%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+263=155042%
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1577+9+24=161058%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1527+2+0=152940%
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15772+24=159960%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
152723+0=150432%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1577+33+24=163468%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1529+28+0=155759%2
CHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
14714+24=149141%4
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1530+281=155757%1
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1470+16+24=151043%2
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1577+5+0=158257%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153125+24=153043%7
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157614+0=156253%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153317+24=154047%3
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157923+0=155647%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1530+24+24=157853%9
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1580+213=159857%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15291+24=155243%1
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+14+0=156147%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1528+26+24=157853%4
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+12+0=155653%18
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153020+23=153347%11
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153118+0=151335%2
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1579+20+24=162365%5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1532+25+0=155747%3
ATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157825+24=157753%4
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153443=152736%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1577+25+22=162464%7
9/15Thursday, Sept. 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153518+0=151756%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14628+24=147844%5
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153323+0=151053%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
1464+0+24=148847%1
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
1532211=151048%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1465+33+24=152252%1
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1443+17+0=146033%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1531+27+24=158267%7
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1444+1+0=144535%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15303+24=155165%8
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1445123=143035%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153017+24=153765%5
9/8Thursday, Sept. 86:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1465+33+0=149845%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153119+24=153655%5
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146619+0=144738%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153024+24=153062%4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
146791=145734%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1529+23+22=157466%3
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15313+0=152847%3
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1500+25+24=154953%5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153216+0=151651%4
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
149817+24=150549%5
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1536121=152350%1
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1495+0+26=152150%13
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153132+0=149950%18
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
14838+24=149950%2
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1535+28+0=156353%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1480+38+24=154247%12
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153734=153058%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147722+20=147542%13
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1421+5+0=142633%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
154118+24=154767%0
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14224+0=141833%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153919+24=154467%6
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
142312+0=141134%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153835+24=152766%7
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14708+0=146233%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1537+22+24=158367%4
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
147127+0=144439%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
153638+24=152261%7
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1472+3+0=147538%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15351+24=155862%7
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
1473152=145638%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153419+24=153962%4
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Butto, Jose
Butto
156338+0=152547%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153516+24=154353%9
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
156519+0=154655%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153444+24=151445%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
156237+0=152542%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1536+21+24=158158%2
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1560+63=156346%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1539+25+24=158854%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 1712:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15405+0=153557%0
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14687+24=148543%1
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153815+0=152356%11
CINCINReds
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
147015+24=147944%4
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1537203=151455%4
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147113+24=148245%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1539+26+0=156546%0
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1562+5+24=159154%6
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1540+21+0=156138%0
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1561+58+24=164362%1
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153881=152936%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1563+41+26=163064%1
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
147918+0=146137%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154114+24=155163%0
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1480+46+0=152647%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
154020+24=154453%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1481131=146732%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1539+29+26=159468%4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1437+18+0=145532%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1537+22+24=158368%13
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143814+0=142432%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15357+24=155268%11
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1440+12+0=145238%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153420+24=153862%7
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1440+72=144537%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153316+21=153863%5
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1532+28+0=156046%3
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1562+4+24=159054%1
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nelson, Nick
Nelson (open)
15352+0=153342%1
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1559+5+26=159058%13
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1533+22+0=155563%8
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1432+7+24=146337%2
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15329+0=152359%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1432+3+24=145941%1
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153145+0=148652%4
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1434+12+24=147048%2
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1530+292=155764%8
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14341+24=145736%7
7/27Wednesday, July 2712:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1559+9+0=156855%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152820+24=153245%7
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1557+2+0=155947%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1529+27+24=158053%3
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1559+293=158556%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
152810+24=154244%6
7/24Sunday, July 2412:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14685+0=146343%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
152942+24=151157%3
7/23Saturday, July 236:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1465+20+0=148536%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1532+26+24=158264%2
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1460+4+4=146839%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153716+28=154961%2
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1535+22+0=155758%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149316+24=150142%0
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153212+0=152054%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Meyer, Max
Meyer
149629+24=149146%0
7/15Friday, July 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1531171=151342%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1497+46+24=156758%1
7/13Wednesday, July 137:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1533+33+0=156651%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15362+24=155849%8
7/12Tuesday, July 127:07 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Bellatti, Andrew
Bellatti
1534373=149442%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15354+22=155358%4
7/11Monday, July 117:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1536+23+0=155951%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1510+22+24=155649%6
7/10Sunday, July 102:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nelson, Nick
Nelson
153743+0=149447%3
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
150915+24=151853%4
7/9Saturday, July 92:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153624+0=151247%1
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15104+24=153053%0
7/8Friday, July 88:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1535+323=156451%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1512+25+22=155949%0
7/7Thursday, July 74:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
144617+0=142938%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153443+24=151562%5
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1445+9+0=145432%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1536+25+24=158568%2
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1447+62=145140%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
153340+26=151960%11
7/3Sunday, July 37 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1517+26+0=154344%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1531+30+24=158556%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151519+0=149644%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153215+24=154156%6
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1517+241=154054%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153144+24=151146%5
6/30Thursday, June 306:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155610+0=154646%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+24=157854%14
6/29Wednesday, June 297:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155417+0=153749%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153012+24=154251%1
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1553+71=155947%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1531+29+22=158253%3
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152911+0=151841%8
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1546+15+24=158559%5
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152719+0=150841%4
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15481+24=157159%2
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+24+0=155250%0
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
154720+24=155150%1
6/23Thursday, June 239:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1526133=151038%6
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1549+23+24=159662%2
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1527+32+0=155956%2
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+15+24=151944%4
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1530111=151850%0
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1478+16+23=151750%7
6/19Sunday, June 1912:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
153316+0=151757%3
WSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
14486+24=146643%9
6/18Saturday, June 184:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1532+18+0=155060%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1449+7+24=148040%1
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153146+0=148550%8
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1450+13+24=148750%7
6/17Friday, June 171:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153013+0=151758%5
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
145113+24=146242%3
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1527+302=155562%10
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14538+24=146938%1
6/15Wednesday, June 151:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149934+0=146540%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152614+24=153660%3
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149711+0=148642%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152813+24=153958%9
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1498+393=153445%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+16+24=156755%3
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Kyle
Nelson
146012+0=144836%13
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15329+24=154764%1
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1461+1+0=146233%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1531+27+24=158267%4
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1462+282=148843%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153013+21=153857%7
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152712+0=151539%8
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1535+33+24=159261%3
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+12+0=153649%10
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153820+24=154251%0
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1523101=151247%3
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153936+26=152953%2
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1514+6+0=152048%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15218+24=153752%9
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1516+11+0=152744%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+27+24=157056%7
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Silseth, Chase
Silseth
1519151=150347%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151616+26=152653%10
6/1Wednesday, June 16:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1520+15+0=153548%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1515+14+24=155352%6
5/31Tuesday, May 316:45 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
151921+0=149845%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15179+24=153255%4
5/30Monday, May 304:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1517+182=153350%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15189+23=153250%4
5/29Sunday, May 297 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+30+0=154948%4
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1539+2+24=156552%5
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152112+0=150945%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153617+24=154355%8
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
1522383=148141%6
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153511+22=154659%8
5/26Thursday, May 267:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1521+7+0=152847%4
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154117+24=154853%1
5/25Wednesday, May 257:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15226+0=151642%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+9+24=157258%8
5/24Tuesday, May 247:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152312+0=151139%5
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1539+24+24=158761%6
5/23Monday, May 237:20 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1521+273=154551%7
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
154027+21=153449%3
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15941+0=159359%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152016+24=152841%4
5/21Saturday, May 216:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
159234+0=155851%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1521+8+24=155349%4
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1591+02=158957%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15234+24=154343%1
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15384+0=153450%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152413+24=153550%0
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+6+0=154546%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+24+24=157154%3
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+211=155854%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152418+22=152846%0
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1525+8+0=153344%4
LADLADDodgers
Grove, Michael
Grove
158632+24=157856%5
5/14Saturday, May 1410:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15222+0=152036%8
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1589+6+24=161964%3
5/13Friday, May 1310:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15205+0=151534%12
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1591+14+24=162966%10
5/12Thursday, May 1210:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1518+263=154144%9
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159329+20=158456%7
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
151740+0=147741%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1498+15+24=153759%2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1518+10+0=152847%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+24=155153%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
151474=150346%9
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1501+5+24=153054%0
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1532+10+0=154256%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
151640+24=150044%1
5/8Sunday, May 812:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+30+5=156955%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15157+29=153745%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1532281=150344%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1516+7+24=154756%7
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+1+0=147036%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1517+24+24=156564%1
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+121=147841%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15191+25=154359%4
5/1Sunday, May 17 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+0=150538%6
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+33+24=159062%10
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15197+0=151248%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153431+24=152752%1
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+61=152549%0
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153326+23=153051%3
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14653+0=146236%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+19+24=156264%7
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
146620+0=144637%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15171+24=154063%7
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1468+14+0=148244%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151517+24=152256%10
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1470+42=147241%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15136+24=153159%8
4/24Sunday, April 247 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153814+0=152448%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1514+2+24=154052%0
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153715+0=152244%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1516+23+24=156356%3
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
153851=153249%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1515+1+22=153851%4
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151317+0=149647%9
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1473+17+24=151453%6
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15146+0=150851%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1472+2+24=149849%6
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1516+14=151355%1
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
147012+24=148245%4
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+32+0=155159%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148621+24=148941%11
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1517+2+0=151949%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+10+24=152351%3
4/15Friday, April 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151917+0=150247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+9+24=152053%7
4/14Thursday, April 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152063=151148%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1486+17+22=152552%4
4/13Wednesday, April 131:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+27+0=155251%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
15221+24=154549%6
4/12Tuesday, April 126:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152330+0=149338%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+30+24=157762%0
4/11Monday, April 116:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1524312=149141%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1523+5+24=155259%5
4/10Sunday, April 101:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
145317+0=143637%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152521+24=152863%1
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
145410+0=144437%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152413+24=153563%4
4/8Friday, April 83:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1456+384=149042%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+1+24=154758%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.