2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Pirates are done for the season.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CardinalsCardinals93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
BrewersBrewers86-76 | 7.0 | — | — | |||
CubsCubs74-88 | 19.0 | — | — | |||
RedsReds62-100 | 31.0 | — | — | |||
PiratesPirates62-100 | 31.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1530 | –22 | +0 | =1508 | 58% | 3 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1431 | –6 | +24 | =1449 | 42% | 5 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1529 | –7 | +0 | =1522 | 60% | 8 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1432 | –4 | +24 | =1452 | 40% | 7 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1530 | +11 | –3 | =1538 | 61% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1430 | +8 | +21 | =1459 | 39% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1428 | +10 | +0 | =1438 | 33% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1532 | +7 | +24 | =1563 | 67% | 5 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1430 | +9 | +0 | =1439 | 33% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1530 | +9 | +24 | =1563 | 67% | 13 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1431 | –9 | –1 | =1421 | 32% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1530 | –3 | +24 | =1551 | 68% | 2 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1458 | –12 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | 3 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1430 | –22 | +24 | =1432 | 48% | 4 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1460 | +12 | +0 | =1472 | 52% | 1 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1428 | +7 | +24 | =1459 | 48% | 4 | |
9/26Monday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1462 | –8 | –2 | =1452 | 49% | 3 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1426 | +11 | +24 | =1461 | 51% | 8 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1468 | –3 | +0 | =1465 | 51% | 8 |
PITPirates | Ortiz | 1428 | +6 | +24 | =1458 | 49% | 3 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Miley | 1471 | –7 | +0 | =1464 | 54% | 0 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1425 | –13 | +24 | =1436 | 46% | 6 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Assad | 1470 | –12 | +0 | =1458 | 54% | 6 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1426 | –21 | +24 | =1429 | 46% | 5 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1469 | –5 | –3 | =1461 | 51% | 3 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1427 | +7 | +22 | =1456 | 49% | 2 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1429 | +15 | +0 | =1444 | 29% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1570 | +3 | +24 | =1597 | 71% | 14 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1429 | +3 | +1 | =1433 | 27% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1570 | +15 | +23 | =1608 | 73% | 9 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1430 | –12 | +0 | =1418 | 22% | 3 |
NYMMets | deGrom | 1553 | +62 | +24 | =1639 | 78% | 7 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1431 | –21 | +0 | =1410 | 27% | 1 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1552 | +3 | +24 | =1579 | 73% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1431 | +7 | +0 | =1438 | 33% | 3 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1552 | –15 | +24 | =1561 | 67% | 4 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1433 | +3 | –3 | =1433 | 33% | 1 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1550 | –19 | +24 | =1555 | 67% | 7 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1430 | +14 | +0 | =1444 | 40% | 10 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1468 | +24 | +24 | =1516 | 60% | 4 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1428 | –5 | +0 | =1423 | 42% | 1 |
CINReds | Cruz | 1469 | –10 | +24 | =1483 | 58% | 0 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 1312:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1426 | –16 | +0 | =1410 | 39% | 6 |
CINReds | Cessa | 1472 | –9 | +24 | =1487 | 61% | 1 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1423 | –20 | –2 | =1401 | 38% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1474 | –11 | +22 | =1485 | 62% | 3 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1531 | –5 | +0 | =1526 | 61% | 4 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1424 | +3 | +24 | =1451 | 39% | 3 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1530 | +4 | +0 | =1534 | 61% | 7 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1425 | +7 | +24 | =1456 | 39% | 5 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1533 | +10 | –3 | =1540 | 61% | 2 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1422 | +14 | +26 | =1462 | 39% | 8 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1554 | +62 | +0 | =1616 | 74% | 10 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1423 | –12 | +24 | =1435 | 26% | 0 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 712:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1553 | +7 | +0 | =1560 | 66% | 5 |
PITPirates | Underwood Jr. | 1425 | –2 | +24 | =1447 | 34% | 1 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1556 | –16 | +0 | =1540 | 63% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1421 | +0 | +26 | =1447 | 37% | 8 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1540 | +8 | +0 | =1548 | 63% | 4 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1422 | +8 | +24 | =1454 | 37% | 3 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Richards | 1539 | –25 | +0 | =1514 | 58% | 4 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1423 | +10 | +24 | =1457 | 42% | 1 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1538 | +28 | +0 | =1566 | 68% | 4 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1424 | –13 | +24 | =1435 | 32% | 0 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1426 | –10 | +0 | =1416 | 30% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1527 | +15 | +24 | =1566 | 70% | 6 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1424 | –1 | +0 | =1423 | 36% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1529 | –34 | +24 | =1519 | 64% | 2 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1424 | –14 | –3 | =1407 | 26% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1529 | +34 | +24 | =1587 | 74% | 7 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1421 | +5 | +0 | =1426 | 33% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1541 | –18 | +24 | =1547 | 67% | 0 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Beede | 1422 | –4 | +0 | =1418 | 33% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1539 | –19 | +24 | =1544 | 67% | 6 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1423 | –12 | +0 | =1411 | 34% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1538 | –35 | +24 | =1527 | 66% | 7 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 2412:35 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1573 | –16 | +0 | =1557 | 65% | 14 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1426 | +2 | +24 | =1452 | 35% | 2 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1572 | +27 | +0 | =1599 | 69% | 6 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1427 | +10 | +24 | =1461 | 31% | 1 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Odorizzi | 1571 | –24 | –2 | =1545 | 63% | 2 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1428 | –2 | +24 | =1450 | 37% | 1 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –13 | +0 | =1458 | 52% | 9 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1430 | –7 | +24 | =1447 | 48% | 5 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1468 | –10 | +0 | =1458 | 51% | 10 |
PITPirates | Beede | 1433 | –3 | +24 | =1454 | 49% | 1 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1469 | +1 | +0 | =1470 | 54% | 4 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1431 | –16 | +24 | =1439 | 46% | 5 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1517 | –23 | +0 | =1494 | 55% | 2 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1429 | +3 | +24 | =1456 | 45% | 8 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1515 | –9 | +0 | =1506 | 57% | 8 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1430 | –1 | +24 | =1453 | 43% | 3 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1514 | +0 | +0 | =1514 | 57% | 5 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1432 | +7 | +22 | =1461 | 43% | 3 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1432 | –5 | +0 | =1427 | 36% | 7 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1507 | –5 | +24 | =1526 | 64% | 8 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Beede | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 34% | 0 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1507 | +13 | +24 | =1544 | 66% | 2 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 1210:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1434 | –15 | –3 | =1416 | 31% | 3 |
SFGiants | Rodon | 1506 | +26 | +24 | =1556 | 69% | 5 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1436 | –1 | +0 | =1435 | 37% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1470 | +31 | +24 | =1525 | 63% | 9 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1434 | +6 | +0 | =1440 | 43% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1471 | –10 | +24 | =1485 | 57% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1435 | –5 | +0 | =1430 | 43% | 4 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1470 | –17 | +24 | =1477 | 57% | 6 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Beede (open) | 1436 | –2 | –4 | =1430 | 38% | 0 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1469 | +24 | +24 | =1517 | 62% | 3 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1433 | –17 | +0 | =1416 | 39% | 8 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1481 | –11 | +24 | =1494 | 61% | 1 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 65:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1434 | +2 | +0 | =1436 | 41% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1480 | –3 | +24 | =1501 | 59% | 6 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1435 | +6 | –2 | =1439 | 43% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1479 | –14 | +23 | =1488 | 57% | 1 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1532 | +22 | +0 | =1554 | 64% | 4 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1433 | –4 | +24 | =1453 | 36% | 5 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1534 | +13 | +0 | =1547 | 63% | 7 |
PITPirates | Beede | 1432 | –3 | +24 | =1453 | 37% | 8 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1536 | +43 | +0 | =1579 | 69% | 3 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1430 | –17 | +26 | =1439 | 31% | 5 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1533 | +22 | +0 | =1555 | 63% | 8 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1432 | +7 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | 2 | |
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1532 | –9 | +0 | =1523 | 59% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1432 | +3 | +24 | =1459 | 41% | 1 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1531 | –45 | +0 | =1486 | 52% | 4 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1434 | +12 | +24 | =1470 | 48% | 2 | |
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1530 | +29 | –2 | =1557 | 64% | 8 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1434 | –1 | +24 | =1457 | 36% | 7 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 262:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1435 | –20 | +0 | =1415 | 40% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Thompson | 1470 | –6 | +24 | =1488 | 60% | 4 | |
7/25Monday, July 258:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1436 | +8 | –2 | =1442 | 44% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1469 | –8 | +21 | =1482 | 56% | 3 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1490 | +49 | +0 | =1539 | 61% | 6 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1437 | +2 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | 5 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Meyer | 1491 | –32 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | 0 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1436 | +8 | +24 | =1468 | 51% | 1 | |
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1488 | –20 | –3 | =1465 | 49% | 8 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1439 | +5 | +28 | =1472 | 51% | 1 | |
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1436 | –22 | +0 | =1414 | 40% | 8 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1465 | –6 | +24 | =1483 | 60% | 3 | |
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1437 | –2 | +0 | =1435 | 46% | 0 |
COLRockies | Urena | 1463 | –21 | +24 | =1466 | 54% | 2 | |
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1440 | +10 | –4 | =1446 | 44% | 2 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1460 | +4 | +24 | =1488 | 56% | 13 | |
7/14Thursday, July 1412:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1441 | +4 | +0 | =1445 | 43% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1497 | –27 | +24 | =1494 | 57% | 3 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 136:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1442 | +5 | +0 | =1447 | 38% | 4 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1496 | +12 | +24 | =1532 | 62% | 5 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 126:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Stratton | 1441 | –8 | +0 | =1433 | 42% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Castano | 1497 | –34 | +24 | =1487 | 58% | 2 | |
7/11Monday, July 116:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1438 | –4 | –3 | =1431 | 39% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1500 | –14 | +21 | =1507 | 61% | 1 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1436 | +14 | +0 | =1450 | 36% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1535 | –9 | +24 | =1550 | 64% | 6 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1435 | +7 | +0 | =1442 | 31% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1536 | +17 | +24 | =1577 | 69% | 3 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1435 | +6 | –2 | =1439 | 38% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1536 | –38 | +26 | =1524 | 62% | 4 | |
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1437 | –20 | +0 | =1417 | 43% | 1 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1462 | –21 | +24 | =1465 | 57% | 5 | |
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1435 | –5 | –2 | =1428 | 42% | 4 |
CINReds | Minor | 1464 | –5 | +24 | =1483 | 58% | 2 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1587 | +4 | +0 | =1591 | 68% | 16 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1438 | –2 | +24 | =1460 | 32% | 0 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1590 | –6 | +0 | =1584 | 65% | 2 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1435 | +12 | +26 | =1473 | 35% | 5 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1538 | +16 | +0 | =1554 | 62% | 2 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1436 | +8 | +24 | =1468 | 38% | 0 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1540 | –34 | +0 | =1506 | 60% | 4 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1434 | –21 | +24 | =1437 | 40% | 7 | |
7/1Friday, July 17:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1537 | +43 | +0 | =1580 | 65% | 19 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1437 | +10 | +24 | =1471 | 35% | 2 | |
6/30Thursday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1538 | –19 | –3 | =1516 | 58% | 7 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1436 | +6 | +22 | =1464 | 42% | 8 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1435 | +1 | +0 | =1436 | 43% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1454 | +8 | +24 | =1486 | 57% | 7 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1436 | +7 | +0 | =1443 | 48% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1453 | –20 | +24 | =1457 | 52% | 3 | |
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Yajure | 1437 | –8 | –3 | =1426 | 43% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1452 | +5 | +21 | =1478 | 57% | 3 | |
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1438 | +9 | +0 | =1447 | 31% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +30 | +24 | =1582 | 69% | 4 | |
6/25Saturday, June 251:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1438 | +5 | +0 | =1443 | 34% | 5 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1527 | +7 | +24 | =1558 | 66% | 6 | |
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1439 | +1 | –3 | =1437 | 33% | 3 |
TBRays | Springs | 1527 | +5 | +26 | =1558 | 67% | 4 | |
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1460 | +3 | +0 | =1463 | 49% | 7 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1438 | +5 | +24 | =1467 | 51% | 8 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Thompson | 1457 | –9 | +0 | =1448 | 50% | 14 |
PITPirates | Eickhoff | 1441 | –16 | +24 | =1449 | 50% | 5 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Swarmer | 1459 | –14 | +0 | =1445 | 46% | 1 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1439 | +7 | +24 | =1470 | 54% | 7 | |
6/20Monday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Kilian | 1462 | –10 | –2 | =1450 | 48% | 1 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1435 | +2 | +24 | =1461 | 52% | 12 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1527 | –16 | +0 | =1511 | 58% | 3 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1434 | –2 | +24 | =1456 | 42% | 4 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1526 | –6 | +0 | =1520 | 58% | 7 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1435 | +6 | +24 | =1465 | 42% | 5 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Rodon | 1525 | +15 | –2 | =1538 | 60% | 2 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1436 | +10 | +23 | =1469 | 40% | 0 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1434 | +13 | +0 | =1447 | 35% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1517 | +15 | +24 | =1556 | 65% | 4 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1436 | –17 | +0 | =1419 | 31% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1516 | +14 | +24 | =1554 | 69% | 9 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1437 | +1 | +0 | =1438 | 39% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1515 | –24 | +24 | =1515 | 61% | 3 | |
6/13Monday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1438 | –5 | –2 | =1431 | 37% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Thompson | 1514 | –18 | +24 | =1520 | 63% | 7 | |
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1438 | +6 | +0 | =1444 | 33% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1549 | –9 | +24 | =1564 | 67% | 5 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1440 | +7 | +0 | =1447 | 33% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 67% | 10 | |
6/10Friday, June 107:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1441 | +15 | +0 | =1456 | 37% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Strider | 1547 | –25 | +24 | =1546 | 63% | 4 | |
6/9Thursday, June 97:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1441 | –2 | –2 | =1437 | 28% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1546 | +29 | +24 | =1599 | 72% | 3 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 812:35 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1463 | –7 | +0 | =1456 | 50% | 3 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1443 | –8 | +24 | =1459 | 50% | 1 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Peralta | 1461 | –10 | +0 | =1451 | 46% | 5 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1444 | +10 | +26 | =1480 | 54% | 3 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1464 | +28 | +0 | =1492 | 53% | 0 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1443 | +5 | +24 | =1472 | 47% | 3 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1465 | –24 | +0 | =1441 | 45% | 1 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1442 | +11 | +24 | =1477 | 55% | 2 | |
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1463 | +10 | –2 | =1471 | 50% | 8 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1443 | +5 | +22 | =1470 | 50% | 6 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1440 | +10 | +0 | =1450 | 31% | 8 |
LADDodgers | White | 1595 | –33 | +24 | =1586 | 69% | 4 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 3110:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1437 | –10 | +0 | =1427 | 24% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1598 | +3 | +24 | =1625 | 76% | 3 | |
5/30Monday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1435 | +4 | –1 | =1438 | 25% | 6 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1600 | +5 | +22 | =1627 | 75% | 5 | |
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1436 | +11 | +0 | =1447 | 35% | 2 |
SDPadres | Gore | 1541 | –8 | +24 | =1557 | 65% | 4 | |
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1434 | +5 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | 4 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1543 | +12 | +24 | =1579 | 69% | 2 | |
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1435 | +10 | –2 | =1443 | 33% | 3 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1543 | –1 | +26 | =1568 | 67% | 4 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1460 | –27 | +0 | =1433 | 45% | 5 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1433 | +8 | +24 | =1465 | 55% | 10 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1459 | +5 | +0 | =1464 | 50% | 2 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1434 | +6 | +24 | =1464 | 50% | 1 | |
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kuhl | 1460 | –5 | –3 | =1452 | 49% | 1 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1433 | +3 | +24 | =1460 | 51% | 2 | |
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1508 | –10 | +0 | =1498 | 57% | 18 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1436 | –10 | +24 | =1450 | 43% | 4 | |
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1507 | –19 | +0 | =1488 | 52% | 5 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1437 | +12 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | 4 | |
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1506 | +25 | –2 | =1529 | 59% | 5 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1438 | +6 | +24 | =1468 | 41% | 3 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Crowe | 1437 | –11 | +0 | =1426 | 39% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1483 | –6 | +24 | =1501 | 61% | 2 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1439 | +2 | +0 | =1441 | 44% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Thompson | 1481 | –18 | +24 | =1487 | 56% | 7 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Peters | 1442 | –1 | –2 | =1439 | 42% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Miley | 1478 | –4 | +20 | =1494 | 58% | 9 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1478 | –19 | +0 | =1459 | 48% | 0 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1441 | +7 | +24 | =1472 | 52% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1479 | +34 | +0 | =1513 | 57% | 1 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1439 | +2 | +24 | =1465 | 43% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 136:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1477 | +17 | +0 | =1494 | 55% | 8 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1441 | –7 | +24 | =1458 | 45% | 2 | |
5/12Thursday, May 126:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Overton | 1475 | +4 | –2 | =1477 | 51% | 4 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1443 | +3 | +24 | =1470 | 49% | 0 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Pepiot | 1595 | –37 | +0 | =1558 | 63% | 3 |
PITPirates | Peters | 1441 | –2 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | 5 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1593 | –9 | +0 | =1584 | 67% | 11 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1443 | –6 | +24 | =1461 | 33% | 1 | |
5/9Monday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1596 | +6 | –2 | =1600 | 68% | 1 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1440 | +3 | +22 | =1465 | 32% | 5 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1442 | –2 | +0 | =1440 | 40% | 3 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1470 | +17 | +24 | =1511 | 60% | 7 | |
5/7Saturday, May 76:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1440 | –2 | +0 | =1438 | 45% | 8 |
CINReds | Dugger | 1472 | –23 | +24 | =1473 | 55% | 5 | |
5/7Saturday, May 712:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1442 | +1 | +3 | =1446 | 43% | 2 |
CINReds | Overton | 1470 | +1 | +24 | =1495 | 57% | 9 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 44:30 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1440 | +3 | +0 | =1443 | 45% | 7 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1467 | –16 | +24 | =1475 | 55% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Peters | 1440 | –2 | +3 | =1441 | 42% | 2 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1466 | +9 | +25 | =1500 | 58% | 3 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1539 | +8 | +0 | =1547 | 62% | 5 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1442 | –5 | +24 | =1461 | 38% | 2 | |
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Manaea | 1540 | +2 | +0 | =1542 | 61% | 6 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1440 | +3 | +24 | =1467 | 39% | 7 | |
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1538 | –1 | –2 | =1535 | 60% | 7 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 40% | 3 | |
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1540 | –5 | +0 | =1535 | 60% | 3 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1443 | +1 | +24 | =1468 | 40% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1539 | –42 | +0 | =1497 | 55% | 3 |
PITPirates | Peters | 1444 | –2 | +24 | =1466 | 45% | 1 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1538 | +13 | –2 | =1549 | 61% | 12 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1445 | –2 | +24 | =1467 | 39% | 8 | |
4/24Sunday, April 242:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1444 | +3 | +0 | =1447 | 42% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1483 | –7 | +24 | =1500 | 58% | 3 | |
4/23Saturday, April 232:20 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1449 | +11 | +0 | =1460 | 44% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1478 | –3 | +24 | =1499 | 56% | 21 | |
4/22Friday, April 228:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1447 | –2 | +0 | =1445 | 41% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1480 | +2 | +24 | =1506 | 59% | 2 | |
4/21Thursday, April 217:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1446 | +0 | –1 | =1445 | 45% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Leiter Jr. | 1481 | –26 | +24 | =1479 | 55% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 201:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1447 | –7 | +0 | =1440 | 32% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1537 | +12 | +24 | =1573 | 68% | 4 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1447 | +1 | +0 | =1448 | 30% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1537 | +35 | +24 | =1596 | 70% | 5 | |
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1449 | +18 | –2 | =1465 | 39% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1535 | –14 | +24 | =1545 | 61% | 6 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1468 | –14 | +0 | =1454 | 48% | 3 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1448 | –2 | +24 | =1470 | 52% | 5 | |
4/16Saturday, April 166:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Rogers | 1469 | –2 | +0 | =1467 | 50% | 4 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1446 | +0 | +24 | =1470 | 50% | 6 | |
4/15Friday, April 156:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1467 | –13 | +0 | =1454 | 48% | 7 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1449 | –6 | +24 | =1467 | 52% | 2 | |
4/14Thursday, April 146:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1469 | –8 | –2 | =1459 | 48% | 4 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1447 | +0 | +24 | =1471 | 52% | 9 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1484 | –2 | +0 | =1482 | 49% | 2 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1445 | +19 | +24 | =1488 | 51% | 6 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 124:12 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1483 | –9 | +0 | =1474 | 51% | 2 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1446 | –4 | +23 | =1465 | 49% | 1 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1443 | +0 | +0 | =1443 | 38% | 9 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –2 | +24 | =1527 | 62% | 4 | |
4/9Saturday, April 92:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1444 | –5 | +2 | =1441 | 37% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1503 | +3 | +26 | =1532 | 63% | 6 | |
4/7Thursday, April 74:15 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1446 | +2 | –3 | =1445 | 35% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1501 | +28 | +24 | =1553 | 65% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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