Updated Oct. 1, 2022, at 1:19 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates are done for the season.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals91-66
BrewersBrewers84-737.043%
CubsCubs71-8620.0
RedsReds60-9731.0
PiratesPirates59-9832.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
1430+9+0=143933%
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1530+9+24=156367%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1430+9+0=143933%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1530+7+24=156167%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+103=153761%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1430+6+21=145739%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1530+11+0=154164%
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143016+24=143836%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15301+0=152962%
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
14308+24=144638%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
143191=142132%1
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15303+24=155168%2
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 2812:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145812+0=144652%3
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143022+24=143248%4
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1460+12+0=147252%1
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1428+7+24=145948%4
9/26Monday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
146282=145249%3
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1426+11+24=146151%8
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14683+0=146551%8
PITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
1428+6+24=145849%3
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
14717+0=146454%0
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142513+24=143646%6
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
147012+0=145854%6
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
142621+24=142946%5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
146953=146151%3
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1427+7+22=145649%2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1429+15+0=144429%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1570+3+24=159771%14
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
1429+3+1=143327%8
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1570+15+23=160873%9
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
143012+0=141822%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1553+62+24=163978%7
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143121+0=141027%1
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1552+3+24=157973%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1431+7+0=143833%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155215+24=156167%4
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1433+33=143333%1
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155019+24=155567%7
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1430+14+0=144440%10
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1468+24+24=151660%4
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
14285+0=142342%1
CINCINReds
Cruz, Fernando
Cruz
146910+24=148358%0
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 1312:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142616+0=141039%6
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
14729+24=148761%1
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1423202=140138%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147411+22=148562%3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15315+0=152661%4
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1424+3+24=145139%3
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+4+0=153461%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1425+7+24=145639%5
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1533+103=154061%2
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1422+14+26=146239%8
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1554+62+0=161674%10
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142312+24=143526%0
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 712:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1553+7+0=156066%5
PITPITPirates
Underwood Jr., Duane
Underwood Jr.
14252+24=144734%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155616+0=154063%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1421+0+26=144737%8
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1540+8+0=154863%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1422+8+24=145437%3
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Richards, Trevor
Richards
153925+0=151458%4
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1423+10+24=145742%1
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1538+28+0=156668%4
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142413+24=143532%0
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
142610+0=141630%1
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1527+15+24=156670%6
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14241+0=142336%4
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152934+24=151964%2
8/29Monday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1424143=140726%5
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1529+34+24=158774%7
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1421+5+0=142633%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
154118+24=154767%0
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14224+0=141833%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153919+24=154467%6
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
142312+0=141134%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153835+24=152766%7
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 2412:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
157316+0=155765%14
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1426+2+24=145235%2
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1572+27+0=159969%6
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1427+10+24=146131%1
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1571242=154563%2
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
14282+24=145037%1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147113+0=145852%9
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14307+24=144748%5
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
146810+0=145851%10
PITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14333+24=145449%1
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1469+1+0=147054%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143116+24=143946%5
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151723+0=149455%2
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1429+3+24=145645%8
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15159+0=150657%8
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
14301+24=145343%3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1514+0+0=151457%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1432+7+22=146143%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14325+0=142736%7
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15075+24=152664%8
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14331+0=143234%0
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1507+13+24=154466%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 1210:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1434153=141631%3
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1506+26+24=155669%5
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
14361+0=143537%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1470+31+24=152563%9
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1434+6+0=144043%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147110+24=148557%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14355+0=143043%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
147017+24=147757%6
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede (open)
143624=143038%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1469+24+24=151762%3
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143317+0=141639%8
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
148111+24=149461%1
8/6Saturday, Aug. 65:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1434+2+0=143641%3
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14803+24=150159%6
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1435+62=143943%0
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
147914+23=148857%1
8/4Thursday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1532+22+0=155464%4
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14334+24=145336%5
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1534+13+0=154763%7
PITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede
14323+24=145337%8
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1536+43+0=157969%3
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143017+26=143931%5
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1533+22+0=155563%8
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1432+7+24=146337%2
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15329+0=152359%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1432+3+24=145941%1
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153145+0=148652%4
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1434+12+24=147048%2
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1530+292=155764%8
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14341+24=145736%7
7/26Tuesday, July 262:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143520+0=141540%2
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14706+24=148860%4
7/25Monday, July 258:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1436+82=144244%2
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14698+21=148256%3
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+49+0=153961%6
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1437+2+24=146339%5
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Meyer, Max
Meyer
149132+0=145949%0
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1436+8+24=146851%1
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1488203=146549%8
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1439+5+28=147251%1
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143622+0=141440%8
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14656+24=148360%3
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14372+0=143546%0
COLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
146321+24=146654%2
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+104=144644%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+4+24=148856%13
7/14Thursday, July 1412:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1441+4+0=144543%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149727+24=149457%3
7/13Wednesday, July 136:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1442+5+0=144738%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1496+12+24=153262%5
7/12Tuesday, July 126:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
14418+0=143342%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149734+24=148758%2
7/11Monday, July 116:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
143843=143139%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
150014+21=150761%1
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1436+14+0=145036%8
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15359+24=155064%6
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1435+7+0=144231%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1536+17+24=157769%3
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1435+62=143938%3
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153638+26=152462%4
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143720+0=141743%1
CINCINReds
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
146221+24=146557%5
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
143552=142842%4
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14645+24=148358%2
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1587+4+0=159168%16
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14382+24=146032%0
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15906+0=158465%2
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1435+12+26=147335%5
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+16+0=155462%2
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1436+8+24=146838%0
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
154034+0=150660%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143421+24=143740%7
7/1Friday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+43+0=158065%19
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1437+10+24=147135%2
6/30Thursday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1538193=151658%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1436+6+22=146442%8
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1435+1+0=143643%8
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1454+8+24=148657%7
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1436+7+0=144348%1
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145320+24=145752%3
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Yajure, Miguel
Yajure
143783=142643%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1452+5+21=147857%3
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1438+9+0=144731%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+30+24=158269%4
6/25Saturday, June 251:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1438+5+0=144334%5
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1527+7+24=155866%6
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1439+13=143733%3
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1527+5+26=155867%4
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1460+3+0=146349%7
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1438+5+24=146751%8
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14579+0=144850%14
PITPITPirates
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
144116+24=144950%5
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
145914+0=144546%1
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1439+7+24=147054%7
6/20Monday, June 207:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Kilian, Caleb
Kilian
1462102=145048%1
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1435+2+24=146152%12
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152716+0=151158%3
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14342+24=145642%4
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15266+0=152058%7
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1435+6+24=146542%5
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1525+152=153860%2
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1436+10+23=146940%0
6/15Wednesday, June 157:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1434+13+0=144735%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1517+15+24=155665%4
6/14Tuesday, June 147:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143617+0=141931%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1516+14+24=155469%9
6/14Tuesday, June 141:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1437+1+0=143839%1
STLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151524+24=151561%3
6/13Monday, June 137:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
143852=143137%5
STLSTLCardinals
Thompson, Zack
Thompson
151418+24=152063%7
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1438+6+0=144433%3
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
15499+24=156467%5
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1440+7+0=144733%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1548+0+24=157267%10
6/10Friday, June 107:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1441+15+0=145637%2
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
154725+24=154663%4
6/9Thursday, June 97:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
144122=143728%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1546+29+24=159972%3
6/8Wednesday, June 812:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
14637+0=145650%3
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14438+24=145950%1
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
146110+0=145146%5
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1444+10+26=148054%3
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+28+0=149253%0
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1443+5+24=147247%3
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146524+0=144145%1
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1442+11+24=147755%2
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+102=147150%8
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1443+5+22=147050%6
6/1Wednesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+10+0=145031%8
LADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
159533+24=158669%4
5/31Tuesday, May 3110:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
143710+0=142724%5
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1598+3+24=162576%3
5/30Monday, May 3010:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1435+41=143825%6
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1600+5+22=162775%5
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1436+11+0=144735%2
SDSDPadres
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
15418+24=155765%4
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1434+5+0=143931%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1543+12+24=157969%2
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1435+102=144333%3
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15431+26=156867%4
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
146027+0=143345%5
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1433+8+24=146555%10
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1459+5+0=146450%2
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1434+6+24=146450%1
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146053=145249%1
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1433+3+24=146051%2
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150810+0=149857%18
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143610+24=145043%4
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
150719+0=148852%5
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1437+12+24=147348%4
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1506+252=152959%5
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1438+6+24=146841%3
5/18Wednesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Crowe, Wil
Crowe
143711+0=142639%3
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14836+24=150161%2
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1439+2+0=144144%0
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
148118+24=148756%7
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
144212=143942%0
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
14784+20=149458%9
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147819+0=145948%0
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1441+7+24=147252%1
5/14Saturday, May 146:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+34+0=151357%1
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1439+2+24=146543%3
5/13Friday, May 136:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1477+17+0=149455%8
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14417+24=145845%2
5/12Thursday, May 126:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1475+42=147751%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1443+3+24=147049%0
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pepiot, Ryan
Pepiot
159537+0=155863%3
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14412+24=146337%5
5/10Tuesday, May 106:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15939+0=158467%11
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
14436+24=146133%1
5/9Monday, May 96:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1596+62=160068%1
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+3+22=146532%5
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14422+0=144040%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1470+17+24=151160%7
5/7Saturday, May 76:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14402+0=143845%8
CINCINReds
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
147223+24=147355%5
5/7Saturday, May 712:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1442+1+3=144643%2
CINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1470+1+24=149557%9
5/4Wednesday, May 44:30 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+3+0=144345%7
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146716+24=147555%2
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14402+3=144142%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1466+9+25=150058%3
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1539+8+0=154762%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14425+24=146138%2
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1540+2+0=154261%6
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1440+3+24=146739%7
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153812=153560%7
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1442+0+24=146640%3
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15405+0=153560%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1443+1+24=146840%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153942+0=149755%3
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14442+24=146645%1
4/26Tuesday, April 266:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+132=154961%12
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14452+24=146739%8
4/24Sunday, April 242:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1444+3+0=144742%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14837+24=150058%3
4/23Saturday, April 232:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+11+0=146044%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14783+24=149956%21
4/22Friday, April 228:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14472+0=144541%4
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1480+2+24=150659%2
4/21Thursday, April 217:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+01=144545%4
CHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148126+24=147955%3
4/20Wednesday, April 201:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14477+0=144032%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+12+24=157368%4
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+1+0=144830%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+35+24=159670%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+182=146539%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153514+24=154561%6
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146814+0=145448%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14482+24=147052%5
4/16Saturday, April 166:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14692+0=146750%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+0+24=147050%6
4/15Friday, April 156:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146713+0=145448%7
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14496+24=146752%2
4/14Thursday, April 146:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146982=145948%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+0+24=147152%9
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14842+0=148249%2
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1445+19+24=148851%6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:12 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14839+0=147451%2
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14464+23=146549%1
4/10Sunday, April 102:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1443+0+0=144338%9
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15052+24=152762%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14445+2=144137%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1503+3+26=153263%6
4/7Thursday, April 74:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1446+23=144535%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1501+28+24=155365%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.