Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers22-1388%75%
CardinalsCardinals19-152.549%21%
CubsCubs13-208.09%3%
RedsReds9-2613.03%<1%
PiratesPirates15-196.52%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
144212=143942%
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
14784+20=149458%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1442+1+0=144341%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150359%
5/18Wednesday, May 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
144211+0=143140%
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14784+24=149860%
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1508+242=153059%
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1442+5+24=147141%
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+17+0=152557%
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1442+11+24=147743%
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150812+0=149656%
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
144211+24=145544%
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1461+03=145849%
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1442+1+24=146751%
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1461+3+0=146451%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
144211+24=145549%
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1461+6+0=146749%
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1442+5+24=147151%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144033%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+26=156667%
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156467%
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156467%
5/30Monday, May 3010:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+01=144128%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+22=160972%
5/31Tuesday, May 3110:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144227%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161173%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144227%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161173%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146250%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+22=146450%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146450%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146650%
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146450%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146650%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146049%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+26=146851%
6/8Wednesday, June 812:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146049%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146651%
6/9Thursday, June 97:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144033%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156267%
6/10Friday, June 107:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156267%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156267%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156267%
6/13Monday, June 137:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144037%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153363%
6/14Tuesday, June 141:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153363%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153363%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153363%
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152258%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+23=146542%
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
6/20Monday, June 207:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+12=147751%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146649%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147952%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147952%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147952%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+26=155766%
6/25Saturday, June 251:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155566%
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155566%
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143944%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+21=148356%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144244%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148656%
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144244%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148656%
6/30Thursday, June 307:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+13=154261%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+22=146439%
7/1Friday, July 17:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154561%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154561%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154561%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157465%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+26=146835%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157465%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146635%
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144041%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150259%
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144241%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150259%
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144032%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+26=157168%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156967%
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156967%
7/11Monday, July 116:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143940%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+21=151260%
7/12Tuesday, July 126:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144240%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151560%
7/13Wednesday, July 136:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144240%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151560%
7/14Thursday, July 1412:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144240%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151560%
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+04=143843%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148557%
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144244%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148556%
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144244%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148556%
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149213=148853%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+28=147047%
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149154%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146646%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149154%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146646%
7/25Monday, July 258:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144041%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+21=150059%
7/26Tuesday, July 262:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144241%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150359%
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152258%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154561%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+26=146839%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154561%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154561%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144048%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+23=145552%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144248%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145652%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144248%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145652%
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+04=143843%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144243%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144243%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144243%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/12Friday, Aug. 1210:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143935%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+3=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+22=146442%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152158%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152158%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153912=153660%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146640%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153860%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146640%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 2412:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153860%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146640%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144235%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154865%
8/29Monday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143932%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156968%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156967%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144233%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156967%
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154461%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154461%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154461%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146639%
9/5Monday, Sept. 512:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153322=152959%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146641%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153159%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146641%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153159%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146641%
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+13=150655%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+26=146845%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146644%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146644%
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+02=144041%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+22=150059%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 1312:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144241%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150259%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144241%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150259%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144241%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150259%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143934%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+1=144329%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+23=159771%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144229%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159871%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+13=147652%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+22=146448%
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147952%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147952%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147952%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
9/26Monday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+12=147651%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146649%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 2812:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146648%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+01=144137%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153363%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153363%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144237%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153363%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+13=150656%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+21=146344%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146644%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150956%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146644%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147819+0=145948%0
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1441+7+24=147252%1
5/14Saturday, May 146:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+34+0=151357%1
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1439+2+24=146543%3
5/13Friday, May 136:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1477+17+0=149455%8
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14417+24=145845%2
5/12Thursday, May 126:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1475+42=147751%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1443+3+24=147049%0
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pepiot, Ryan
Pepiot
159537+0=155863%3
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14412+24=146337%5
5/10Tuesday, May 106:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15939+0=158467%11
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
14436+24=146133%1
5/9Monday, May 96:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1596+62=160068%1
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+3+22=146532%5
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14422+0=144040%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1470+17+24=151160%7
5/7Saturday, May 76:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14402+0=143845%8
CINCINReds
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
147223+24=147355%5
5/7Saturday, May 712:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1442+1+3=144643%2
CINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1470+1+24=149557%9
5/4Wednesday, May 44:30 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+3+0=144345%7
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146716+24=147555%2
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14402+3=144142%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1466+9+25=150058%3
5/1Sunday, May 11:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1539+8+0=154762%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14425+24=146138%2
4/30Saturday, April 306:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1540+2+0=154261%6
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1440+3+24=146739%7
4/29Friday, April 296:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153812=153560%7
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1442+0+24=146640%3
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15405+0=153560%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1443+1+24=146840%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153942+0=149755%3
PITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14442+24=146645%1
4/26Tuesday, April 266:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+132=154961%12
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14452+24=146739%8
4/24Sunday, April 242:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1444+3+0=144742%4
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14837+24=150058%3
4/23Saturday, April 232:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+11+0=146044%0
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14783+24=149956%21
4/22Friday, April 228:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14472+0=144541%4
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1480+2+24=150659%2
4/21Thursday, April 217:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+01=144545%4
CHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148126+24=147955%3
4/20Wednesday, April 201:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14477+0=144032%2
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+12+24=157368%4
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+1+0=144830%2
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1537+35+24=159670%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1449+182=146539%1
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153514+24=154561%6
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146814+0=145448%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14482+24=147052%5
4/16Saturday, April 166:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14692+0=146750%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+0+24=147050%6
4/15Friday, April 156:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146713+0=145448%7
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14496+24=146752%2
4/14Thursday, April 146:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146982=145948%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+0+24=147152%9
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14842+0=148249%2
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1445+19+24=148851%6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:12 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14839+0=147451%2
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14464+23=146549%1
4/10Sunday, April 102:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1443+0+0=144338%9
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15052+24=152762%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14445+2=144137%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1503+3+26=153263%6
4/7Thursday, April 74:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1446+23=144535%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1501+28+24=155365%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.