2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Rangers are done for the season.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AstrosAstros106-56 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
MarinersMariners90-72 | 16.0 | ✓ | — | |||
AngelsAngels73-89 | 33.0 | — | — | |||
RangersRangers68-94 | 38.0 | — | — | |||
AthleticsAthletics60-102 | 46.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1577 | –12 | +0 | =1565 | 61% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1461 | –2 | +24 | =1483 | 39% | 4 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1578 | +12 | +0 | =1590 | 63% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Tinoco (open) | 1460 | +13 | +24 | =1497 | 37% | 3 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1577 | –7 | +0 | =1570 | 60% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1461 | +19 | +24 | =1504 | 40% | 4 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1576 | +1 | –3 | =1574 | 59% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1462 | +28 | +21 | =1511 | 41% | 1 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Miller | 1464 | –25 | +0 | =1439 | 43% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Davidson | 1498 | –37 | +24 | =1485 | 57% | 8 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Ragans | 1464 | –12 | +0 | =1452 | 42% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1498 | –15 | +24 | =1507 | 58% | 3 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1466 | –2 | –3 | =1461 | 42% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1496 | –5 | +24 | =1515 | 58% | 4 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1467 | +24 | +0 | =1491 | 44% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1522 | –15 | +24 | =1531 | 56% | 10 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1468 | +26 | +0 | =1494 | 42% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1521 | +5 | +24 | =1550 | 58% | 3 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Tinoco | 1465 | –14 | –2 | =1449 | 34% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1524 | +18 | +22 | =1564 | 66% | 0 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1525 | –13 | +0 | =1512 | 55% | 10 |
TEXRangers | Ragans | 1467 | –15 | +24 | =1476 | 45% | 4 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1523 | –3 | +0 | =1520 | 55% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1468 | –6 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | 2 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Morris | 1522 | –26 | –3 | =1493 | 47% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1470 | +23 | +24 | =1517 | 53% | 3 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1492 | –13 | +0 | =1479 | 44% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1468 | +28 | +24 | =1520 | 56% | 5 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Davidson | 1494 | –38 | +0 | =1456 | 44% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1467 | +4 | +24 | =1495 | 56% | 7 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1492 | +6 | –3 | =1495 | 53% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Ragans | 1468 | –14 | +23 | =1477 | 47% | 2 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1469 | +0 | +0 | =1469 | 35% | 3 |
TBRays | Springs | 1541 | +8 | +24 | =1573 | 65% | 5 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1471 | +23 | +0 | =1494 | 44% | 1 |
TBRays | Armstrong | 1539 | –28 | +24 | =1535 | 56% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1469 | +30 | –1 | =1498 | 42% | 4 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1540 | –9 | +21 | =1552 | 58% | 3 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1432 | –4 | +0 | =1428 | 40% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1471 | +6 | +24 | =1501 | 60% | 7 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1433 | –3 | –2 | =1428 | 42% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Ragans | 1470 | –9 | +21 | =1482 | 58% | 8 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1472 | +21 | +0 | =1493 | 53% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1463 | –12 | +24 | =1475 | 47% | 10 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1471 | –2 | –3 | =1466 | 49% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1464 | –14 | +24 | =1474 | 51% | 2 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Richards (open) | 1546 | +6 | +0 | =1552 | 55% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1469 | +27 | +24 | =1520 | 45% | 4 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1545 | +19 | +0 | =1564 | 63% | 11 |
TEXRangers | Arihara | 1470 | –23 | +24 | =1471 | 37% | 7 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1544 | +8 | –1 | =1551 | 57% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1471 | +4 | +24 | =1499 | 43% | 3 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Ragans | 1472 | –15 | +0 | =1457 | 31% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1570 | +0 | +24 | =1594 | 69% | 4 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1470 | –3 | +0 | =1467 | 31% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1572 | +7 | +24 | =1603 | 69% | 3 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1471 | +22 | –4 | =1489 | 42% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1571 | –44 | +21 | =1548 | 58% | 1 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1472 | +9 | +0 | =1481 | 48% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1509 | –34 | +24 | =1499 | 52% | 5 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Santana | 1474 | –15 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1508 | –24 | +24 | =1508 | 57% | 5 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Keuchel | 1475 | –50 | +0 | =1425 | 35% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1506 | +4 | +24 | =1534 | 65% | 9 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1476 | –6 | –4 | =1466 | 41% | 8 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1505 | +2 | +21 | =1528 | 59% | 9 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1568 | +2 | +0 | =1570 | 56% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1477 | +24 | +24 | =1525 | 44% | 3 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1567 | +7 | +0 | =1574 | 59% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1478 | +9 | +26 | =1513 | 41% | 2 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1455 | –20 | +0 | =1435 | 43% | 9 |
TEXRangers | Arihara | 1479 | –16 | +24 | =1487 | 57% | 8 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1452 | +12 | +0 | =1464 | 51% | 11 |
TEXRangers | Keuchel | 1482 | –49 | +24 | =1457 | 49% | 2 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1453 | –8 | –1 | =1444 | 42% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1482 | –8 | +23 | =1497 | 58% | 7 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1478 | +17 | +0 | =1495 | 55% | 16 |
COLRockies | Urena | 1456 | –22 | +24 | =1458 | 45% | 4 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1479 | +8 | –3 | =1484 | 48% | 6 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1455 | +15 | +26 | =1496 | 52% | 7 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Ragans | 1478 | –20 | +0 | =1458 | 36% | 2 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1510 | +21 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | 1 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Arihara | 1474 | –26 | +0 | =1448 | 37% | 7 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1514 | +3 | +24 | =1541 | 63% | 0 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1473 | –9 | +0 | =1464 | 40% | 4 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | 3 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1474 | +19 | –3 | =1490 | 44% | 1 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1514 | –7 | +26 | =1533 | 56% | 2 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1440 | –21 | +0 | =1419 | 38% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1472 | +10 | +24 | =1506 | 62% | 10 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1438 | –33 | +0 | =1405 | 39% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Ragans | 1475 | –18 | +24 | =1481 | 61% | 2 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1436 | +6 | +0 | =1442 | 45% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Arihara | 1477 | –25 | +24 | =1476 | 55% | 1 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | +1 | –2 | =1435 | 42% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1476 | –10 | +24 | =1490 | 58% | 2 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1515 | +2 | +0 | =1517 | 50% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1475 | +18 | +24 | =1517 | 50% | 5 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1516 | –9 | +0 | =1507 | 50% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1473 | +10 | +24 | =1507 | 50% | 7 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | +2 | –2 | =1515 | 55% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Sborz | 1475 | –15 | +22 | =1482 | 45% | 2 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Ragans | 1476 | –11 | +0 | =1465 | 33% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1562 | +2 | +24 | =1588 | 67% | 7 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1473 | –11 | +0 | =1462 | 28% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1565 | +37 | +24 | =1626 | 72% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1474 | +22 | +0 | =1496 | 38% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1564 | –6 | +23 | =1581 | 62% | 7 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 57% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1476 | –31 | +24 | =1469 | 43% | 2 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1524 | +3 | +0 | =1527 | 54% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1473 | +1 | +24 | =1498 | 46% | 8 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1523 | +32 | +0 | =1555 | 60% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1473 | –15 | +24 | =1482 | 40% | 1 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 56% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Ragans | 1472 | –16 | +24 | =1480 | 44% | 3 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1477 | –23 | +0 | =1454 | 41% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1474 | +22 | +24 | =1520 | 59% | 3 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1475 | +2 | +0 | =1477 | 50% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1477 | –26 | +24 | =1475 | 50% | 2 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1472 | –12 | –3 | =1457 | 41% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1479 | +23 | +21 | =1523 | 59% | 2 | |
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 45% | 5 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1494 | –2 | +24 | =1516 | 55% | 2 | |
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1479 | –15 | +0 | =1464 | 47% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Silseth | 1493 | –29 | +24 | =1488 | 53% | 9 | |
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1476 | +17 | +0 | =1493 | 47% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1495 | –3 | +24 | =1516 | 53% | 2 | |
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Howard | 1474 | –31 | –3 | =1440 | 34% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1497 | +37 | +21 | =1555 | 66% | 0 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1476 | +26 | +0 | =1502 | 46% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1516 | –8 | +24 | =1532 | 54% | 4 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1476 | +3 | +0 | =1479 | 43% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | –12 | +24 | =1527 | 57% | 5 | |
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1477 | –13 | –3 | =1461 | 39% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1514 | –2 | +24 | =1536 | 61% | 4 | |
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1476 | +16 | +0 | =1492 | 55% | 11 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1438 | –3 | +24 | =1459 | 45% | 8 | |
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Bush (open) | 1477 | +0 | +0 | =1477 | 53% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | –6 | +24 | =1454 | 47% | 3 | |
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Howard | 1478 | –28 | –4 | =1446 | 46% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1435 | +11 | +24 | =1470 | 54% | 5 | |
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1475 | +24 | +4 | =1503 | 46% | 8 |
MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1491 | +11 | +31 | =1533 | 54% | 0 | |
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1517 | –4 | +0 | =1513 | 54% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1477 | –14 | +24 | =1487 | 46% | 2 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1516 | +8 | +0 | =1524 | 57% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1477 | –28 | +24 | =1473 | 43% | 2 | |
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1514 | +30 | +0 | =1544 | 56% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Bush (open) | 1479 | +0 | +24 | =1503 | 44% | 3 | |
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1513 | +0 | –3 | =1510 | 49% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1480 | +14 | +24 | =1518 | 51% | 5 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1479 | +19 | +24 | =1522 | 63% | 5 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1429 | –5 | +0 | =1424 | 40% | 14 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1482 | –12 | +24 | =1494 | 60% | 7 | |
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1430 | –16 | –4 | =1410 | 40% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1482 | –27 | +24 | =1479 | 60% | 10 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1522 | –8 | +0 | =1514 | 50% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1483 | +9 | +24 | =1516 | 50% | 5 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 50% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1481 | +17 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | 9 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +22 | –1 | =1546 | 53% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1480 | +20 | +23 | =1523 | 47% | 6 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1481 | –16 | +0 | =1465 | 51% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1458 | –20 | +24 | =1462 | 49% | 2 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Howard | 1482 | –28 | +0 | =1454 | 47% | 9 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1457 | –5 | +24 | =1476 | 53% | 10 | |
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1483 | +11 | –2 | =1492 | 53% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1456 | –5 | +21 | =1472 | 47% | 7 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1485 | +21 | +0 | =1506 | 44% | 1 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1540 | –18 | +24 | =1546 | 56% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1482 | +17 | +0 | =1499 | 45% | 7 |
NYMMets | Williams | 1543 | –29 | +24 | =1538 | 55% | 3 | |
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1483 | –14 | –1 | =1468 | 38% | 3 |
NYMMets | Peterson | 1542 | –16 | +26 | =1552 | 62% | 4 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1484 | +10 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1445 | +10 | +24 | =1479 | 48% | 2 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1482 | +17 | +0 | =1499 | 53% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1447 | +4 | +24 | =1475 | 47% | 3 | |
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1480 | +19 | –2 | =1497 | 54% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1449 | –7 | +24 | =1466 | 46% | 4 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Tetreault | 1451 | –4 | +0 | =1447 | 43% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1482 | –8 | +24 | =1498 | 57% | 4 | |
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1452 | +10 | +0 | =1462 | 47% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Martin | 1481 | –23 | +24 | =1482 | 53% | 3 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1450 | +10 | –1 | =1459 | 42% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1482 | +8 | +26 | =1516 | 58% | 1 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1527 | +32 | +0 | =1559 | 56% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1480 | +15 | +24 | =1519 | 44% | 4 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1530 | –11 | –1 | =1518 | 50% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1478 | +16 | +23 | =1517 | 50% | 7 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1480 | +14 | +0 | =1494 | 57% | 3 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1454 | –35 | +24 | =1443 | 43% | 7 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1483 | –15 | +0 | =1468 | 52% | 7 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1451 | –22 | +24 | =1453 | 48% | 14 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1480 | +10 | +0 | =1490 | 49% | 7 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1454 | +20 | +24 | =1498 | 51% | 0 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1479 | +13 | –3 | =1489 | 53% | 3 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1455 | –9 | +24 | =1470 | 47% | 1 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1545 | –6 | +0 | =1539 | 58% | 9 |
TEXRangers | Miller | 1481 | –23 | +24 | =1482 | 42% | 2 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1544 | –22 | +0 | =1522 | 51% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1482 | +8 | +24 | =1514 | 49% | 3 | |
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1546 | –1 | –2 | =1543 | 58% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1480 | –14 | +21 | =1487 | 42% | 5 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1479 | +7 | +0 | =1486 | 39% | 8 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1520 | +22 | +24 | =1566 | 61% | 6 | |
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1477 | +21 | +0 | =1498 | 41% | 11 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1522 | +15 | +24 | =1561 | 59% | 9 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Bush (open) | 1479 | +1 | +0 | =1480 | 44% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1520 | –19 | +24 | =1525 | 56% | 8 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 87:25 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1480 | +11 | +0 | =1491 | 41% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1502 | +29 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | 4 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:50 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1479 | –18 | +0 | =1461 | 44% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | McCarty | 1504 | –27 | +24 | =1501 | 56% | 3 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 73:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1480 | +8 | –1 | =1487 | 44% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1503 | +5 | +24 | =1532 | 56% | 6 | |
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1494 | –4 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1481 | +19 | +24 | =1524 | 55% | 5 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1495 | +0 | +0 | =1495 | 50% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1480 | –10 | +24 | =1494 | 50% | 3 | |
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1494 | +20 | –3 | =1511 | 50% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1481 | +7 | +24 | =1512 | 50% | 3 | |
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +4 | +0 | =1533 | 56% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1482 | –16 | +24 | =1490 | 44% | 1 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1528 | +1 | +0 | =1529 | 52% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1483 | +5 | +24 | =1512 | 48% | 3 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1529 | –16 | +0 | =1513 | 49% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1482 | +16 | +24 | =1522 | 51% | 3 | |
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +14 | –3 | =1543 | 58% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1479 | –11 | +20 | =1488 | 42% | 9 | |
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1481 | +12 | +0 | =1493 | 53% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1448 | –3 | +24 | =1469 | 47% | 6 | |
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1478 | –13 | +0 | =1465 | 51% | 11 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1451 | –15 | +24 | =1460 | 49% | 4 | |
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1476 | +9 | +0 | =1485 | 52% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1452 | –8 | +24 | =1468 | 48% | 5 | |
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1474 | +13 | –2 | =1485 | 46% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1454 | +35 | +21 | =1510 | 54% | 1 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1471 | –18 | +0 | =1453 | 37% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1532 | –11 | +24 | =1545 | 63% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1473 | +16 | –1 | =1488 | 40% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1531 | –2 | +26 | =1555 | 60% | 5 | |
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1474 | –11 | +0 | =1463 | 36% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1553 | –14 | +24 | =1563 | 64% | 5 | |
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1474 | +8 | +0 | =1482 | 31% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1553 | +46 | +24 | =1623 | 69% | 2 | |
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1472 | +8 | +0 | =1480 | 37% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1555 | –4 | +24 | =1575 | 63% | 0 | |
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1473 | –19 | –2 | =1452 | 34% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1554 | –6 | +20 | =1568 | 66% | 5 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1532 | +26 | +0 | =1558 | 57% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1472 | +16 | +24 | =1512 | 43% | 6 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1535 | –6 | +0 | =1529 | 56% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1469 | –7 | +24 | =1486 | 44% | 10 | |
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1536 | +5 | –4 | =1537 | 55% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1468 | +9 | +24 | =1501 | 45% | 7 | |
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Davis | 1523 | –33 | +0 | =1490 | 49% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1465 | +5 | +24 | =1494 | 51% | 7 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1521 | –4 | +0 | =1517 | 55% | 11 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1468 | –7 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1518 | –14 | –1 | =1503 | 49% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1470 | +16 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | 1 | |
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1461 | –5 | +0 | =1456 | 46% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1469 | –12 | +24 | =1481 | 54% | 3 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Speier | 1458 | –5 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Bush (open) | 1472 | +0 | +24 | =1496 | 56% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1460 | +15 | –3 | =1472 | 47% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1471 | +2 | +21 | =1494 | 53% | 6 | |
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1471 | +8 | +0 | =1479 | 35% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1564 | –2 | +24 | =1586 | 65% | 1 | |
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1469 | –7 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1566 | –3 | +24 | =1587 | 67% | 2 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1470 | +15 | +6 | =1491 | 33% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1566 | +17 | +29 | =1612 | 67% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1469 | +1 | +0 | =1470 | 36% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1517 | +24 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | 1 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1467 | +12 | –1 | =1478 | 41% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1519 | –1 | +25 | =1543 | 59% | 4 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1544 | –18 | +0 | =1526 | 57% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1465 | –13 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 7 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1545 | –32 | +0 | =1513 | 52% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1463 | +10 | +24 | =1497 | 48% | 3 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1544 | –1 | –3 | =1540 | 57% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Richards (open) | 1465 | –1 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | 3 | |
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1539 | +44 | +0 | =1583 | 64% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1465 | –4 | +24 | =1485 | 36% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1538 | +6 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1466 | –5 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | 3 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1536 | –21 | +0 | =1515 | 55% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1468 | –11 | +24 | =1481 | 45% | 1 | |
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1538 | –9 | –2 | =1527 | 55% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1466 | +10 | +20 | =1496 | 45% | 6 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Richards | 1467 | –9 | +0 | =1458 | 48% | 0 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1461 | –12 | +24 | =1473 | 52% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1465 | –8 | +0 | =1457 | 41% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1463 | +37 | +24 | =1524 | 59% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1462 | –9 | –3 | =1450 | 48% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1466 | –24 | +24 | =1466 | 52% | 1 | |
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1460 | –2 | +0 | =1458 | 39% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1507 | +8 | +24 | =1539 | 61% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1462 | +13 | +0 | =1475 | 41% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1505 | +8 | +24 | =1537 | 59% | 4 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1463 | +19 | –2 | =1480 | 39% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1504 | +30 | +26 | =1560 | 61% | 6 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1517 | –21 | +0 | =1496 | 52% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1465 | –9 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | 3 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1515 | +10 | +0 | =1525 | 55% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1467 | –3 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1513 | –24 | +0 | =1489 | 50% | 9 |
TEXRangers | Bush | 1468 | –5 | +24 | =1487 | 50% | 6 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1516 | +26 | –1 | =1541 | 55% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1466 | +13 | +26 | =1505 | 45% | 10 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kuhl | 1469 | –16 | +0 | =1453 | 46% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1468 | –8 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 1 | |
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1467 | –6 | –3 | =1458 | 46% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1469 | –5 | +21 | =1485 | 54% | 4 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Howard | 1466 | –13 | +0 | =1453 | 34% | 12 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1555 | –9 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | 6 | |
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1466 | +13 | +0 | =1479 | 35% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1554 | +11 | +24 | =1589 | 65% | 4 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1467 | +18 | –3 | =1482 | 34% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1553 | +22 | +24 | =1599 | 66% | 10 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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