Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros23-12	—	93%	64%
Angels Angels24-13	—	80%	32%
Mariners Mariners16-19	7.0	21%	3%
Rangers Rangers14-19	8.0	5%	<1%
Athletics Athletics15-22	9.0	1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1536	+5	–4	=1537	55%
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1468	+9	+24	=1501	45%
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1536	–8	+0	=1528	56%
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1468	–6	+24	=1486	44%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1536	+24	+0	=1560	58%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1468	+16	+24	=1508	42%
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–19	–2	=1447	33%
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1554	–7	+20	=1567	67%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	+8	+0	=1476	30%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1554	+46	+24	=1624	70%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1468	+9	+0	=1477	38%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1554	–15	+24	=1563	62%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1468	–6	+0	=1462	35%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1554	–9	+24	=1569	65%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1468	+16	–1	=1483	38%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1536	+5	+26	=1567	62%
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–19	+0	=1449	35%
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1536	–8	+24	=1552	65%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	+8	–2	=1474	45%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1453	+33	+21	=1507	55%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	49%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	51%
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	49%
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	51%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	49%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	51%
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	56%
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+20	=1488	44%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	56%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	44%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	56%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	44%
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	56%
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	44%
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	–3	=1497	51%
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+0	=1500	51%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+0	=1500	51%
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
6/6Monday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	42%
6/6Monday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+22	=1521	58%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	42%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	58%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	42%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	58%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	–2	=1553	59%
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+21	=1489	41%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+0	=1555	59%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	41%
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+0	=1555	59%
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	41%
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	47%
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	53%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	48%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	52%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	48%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	52%
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	48%
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	52%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+0	–1	=1523	55%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+23	=1491	45%
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+0	+0	=1524	55%
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1463	–1	–1	=1461	45%
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+26	=1494	55%
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1463	–1	+0	=1462	46%
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	54%
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1463	–1	+0	=1462	46%
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	54%
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–2	=1466	47%
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	53%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	47%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	53%
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	47%
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	53%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–1	=1467	37%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1533	–2	+26	=1557	63%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1533	–2	+24	=1555	62%
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1533	–2	+24	=1555	62%
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–2	=1466	52%
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+21	=1453	48%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	52%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	48%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	52%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	48%
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	–1	=1518	54%
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+23	=1491	46%
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	54%
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	46%
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	54%
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	46%
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	–4	=1449	44%
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	56%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	45%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	45%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	–3	=1497	51%
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+0	=1500	51%
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+0	=1500	51%
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+0	=1500	51%
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+4	=1472	43%
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	–1	+31	=1522	57%
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–4	=1464	48%
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	52%
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	49%
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	51%
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	49%
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	51%
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	42%
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+24	=1524	58%
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	42%
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+24	=1524	58%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	42%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+24	=1524	58%
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	37%
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+21	=1558	63%
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	37%
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	63%
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	37%
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	63%
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	37%
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	63%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	–3	=1429	42%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+21	=1489	58%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+0	=1432	42%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	58%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+0	=1432	42%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	58%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–3	=1524	55%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	55%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	55%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	55%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	35%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+23	=1578	65%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	35%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+24	=1579	65%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	35%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+24	=1579	65%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	–2	=1498	51%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+22	=1490	49%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+0	=1500	51%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+0	=1500	51%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	–2	=1451	44%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	56%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	45%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	45%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	45%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	39%
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+26	=1545	61%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	39%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	61%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	39%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	61%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	39%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	61%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	47%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1461	+0	+26	=1487	53%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	48%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	52%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	–1	=1459	45%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+23	=1491	55%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	45%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	45%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+0	=1555	59%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+26	=1494	41%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+0	=1555	59%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	41%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–4	=1464	39%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1521	+0	+21	=1542	61%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	39%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1521	+0	+24	=1545	61%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	39%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1521	+0	+24	=1545	61%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	39%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1521	+0	+24	=1545	61%
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–4	=1464	34%
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+21	=1576	66%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	35%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+24	=1579	65%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	35%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+24	=1579	65%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	–1	=1543	57%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	43%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	58%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	42%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	58%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	42%
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	43%
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	–1	+24	=1515	57%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	43%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	–1	+24	=1515	57%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	–2	=1451	45%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+21	=1489	55%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	45%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	55%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–1	=1467	38%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+21	=1552	62%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	–3	=1534	56%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+23	=1491	44%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+0	=1537	57%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	43%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+0	=1537	57%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	43%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	–3	=1496	51%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	51%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	51%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	49%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–2	=1466	42%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+22	=1522	58%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	42%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+24	=1524	58%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	42%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+24	=1524	58%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	–3	=1465	36%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	64%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	37%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	63%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	37%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	63%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1573	+1	–3	=1571	61%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+21	=1489	39%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1573	+1	+0	=1574	62%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	38%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1573	+1	+0	=1574	62%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	38%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	NYYYankees	—	1573	+1	+0	=1574	62%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	38%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Davis	1523	–33	+0	=1490	49%	1
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	+5	+24	=1494	51%	7
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–4	+0	=1517	55%	11
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–7	+24	=1485	45%	3
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1518	–14	–1	=1503	49%	7
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1470	+16	+24	=1510	51%	1
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1461	–5	+0	=1456	46%	1
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–12	+24	=1481	54%	3
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Speier	1458	–5	+0	=1453	44%	8
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush (open)	1472	+0	+24	=1496	56%	2
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1460	+15	–3	=1472	47%	4
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1471	+2	+21	=1494	53%	6
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1471	+8	+0	=1479	35%	0
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1564	–2	+24	=1586	65%	1
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1469	–7	+0	=1462	33%	4
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1566	–3	+24	=1587	67%	2
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1470	+15	+6	=1491	33%	1
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1566	+17	+29	=1612	67%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1469	+1	+0	=1470	36%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1517	+24	+24	=1565	64%	1
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1467	+12	–1	=1478	41%	6
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1519	–1	+25	=1543	59%	4
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Muller	1544	–18	+0	=1526	57%	3
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1465	–13	+24	=1476	43%	7
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1545	–32	+0	=1513	52%	1
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1463	+10	+24	=1497	48%	3
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1544	–1	–3	=1540	57%	6
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Richards (open)	1465	–1	+24	=1488	43%	3
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1539	+44	+0	=1583	64%	3
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–4	+24	=1485	36%	2
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1538	+6	+0	=1544	58%	4
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1466	–5	+24	=1485	42%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1536	–21	+0	=1515	55%	5
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1468	–11	+24	=1481	45%	1
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1538	–9	–2	=1527	55%	2
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1466	+10	+20	=1496	45%	6
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Richards	1467	–9	+0	=1458	48%	0
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1461	–12	+24	=1473	52%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–8	+0	=1457	41%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1463	+37	+24	=1524	59%	0
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1462	–9	–3	=1450	48%	8
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1466	–24	+24	=1466	52%	1
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1460	–2	+0	=1458	39%	8
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1507	+8	+24	=1539	61%	6
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1462	+13	+0	=1475	41%	2
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1505	+8	+24	=1537	59%	4
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1463	+19	–2	=1480	39%	2
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1504	+30	+26	=1560	61%	6
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1517	–21	+0	=1496	52%	8
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–9	+24	=1480	48%	3
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1515	+10	+0	=1525	55%	7
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1467	–3	+24	=1488	45%	2
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1513	–24	+0	=1489	50%	9
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush	1468	–5	+24	=1487	50%	6
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1516	+26	–1	=1541	55%	5
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1466	+13	+26	=1505	45%	10
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1469	–16	+0	=1453	46%	4
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	–8	+24	=1484	54%	1
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–6	–3	=1458	46%	6
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–5	+21	=1485	54%	4
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1466	–13	+0	=1453	34%	12
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1555	–9	+24	=1570	66%	6
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1466	+13	+0	=1479	35%	3
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1554	+11	+24	=1589	65%	4
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1467	+18	–3	=1482	34%	8
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1553	+22	+24	=1599	66%	10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.