2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Rangers have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | AstrosAstros23-12 | — | 93% | 64% | ||
![]() | AngelsAngels24-13 | — | 80% | 32% | ||
![]() | MarinersMariners16-19 | 7.0 | 21% | 3% | ||
![]() | RangersRangers14-19 | 8.0 | 5% | <1% | ||
![]() | AthleticsAthletics15-22 | 9.0 | 1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +5 | –4 | =1537 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +9 | +24 | =1501 | 45% | ||
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | –8 | +0 | =1528 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –6 | +24 | =1486 | 44% | ||
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +24 | +0 | =1560 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +16 | +24 | =1508 | 42% | ||
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –19 | –2 | =1447 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –7 | +20 | =1567 | 67% | ||
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +8 | +0 | =1476 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +46 | +24 | =1624 | 70% | ||
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +9 | +0 | =1477 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –15 | +24 | =1563 | 62% | ||
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –6 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | –9 | +24 | =1569 | 65% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +16 | –1 | =1483 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +5 | +26 | =1567 | 62% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –19 | +0 | =1449 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | –8 | +24 | =1552 | 65% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +8 | –2 | =1474 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +33 | +21 | =1507 | 55% | ||
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 51% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 51% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 51% | ||
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +20 | =1488 | 44% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | ||
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | –3 | =1497 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
6/6Monday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +22 | =1521 | 58% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 58% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 58% | ||
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 62% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 62% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 62% | ||
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | –2 | =1553 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +21 | =1489 | 41% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 41% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 41% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 52% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 52% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 52% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –1 | =1523 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +23 | =1491 | 45% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 45% | ||
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | –1 | =1461 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +26 | =1494 | 55% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 54% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –1 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 54% | ||
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –2 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –1 | =1467 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +26 | =1557 | 63% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –2 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –2 | =1466 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +21 | =1453 | 48% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 48% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 48% | ||
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | –1 | =1518 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +23 | =1491 | 46% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 46% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 46% | ||
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | –4 | =1449 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 56% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | –3 | =1497 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +4 | =1472 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +31 | =1522 | 57% | ||
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –4 | =1464 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 52% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 51% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 51% | ||
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 58% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 58% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 58% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +21 | =1558 | 63% | ||
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | –3 | =1429 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +21 | =1489 | 58% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 58% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 58% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | –3 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 45% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 45% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 45% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 45% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +23 | =1578 | 65% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 65% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 65% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | –2 | =1498 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +22 | =1490 | 49% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | –2 | =1451 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 56% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +26 | =1545 | 61% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +26 | =1487 | 53% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 52% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | –1 | =1459 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +23 | =1491 | 55% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +26 | =1494 | 41% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 41% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –4 | =1464 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +21 | =1542 | 61% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 61% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 61% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 61% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –4 | =1464 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +21 | =1576 | 66% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 65% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 65% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –1 | =1543 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 43% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 42% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 42% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 57% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 57% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | –2 | =1451 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +21 | =1489 | 55% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 55% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –1 | =1467 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +21 | =1552 | 62% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | –3 | =1534 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +23 | =1491 | 44% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +0 | =1537 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 43% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +0 | =1537 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 43% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –3 | =1496 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 49% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –2 | =1466 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +22 | =1522 | 58% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 58% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 58% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –3 | =1465 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | –3 | =1571 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +21 | =1489 | 39% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +0 | =1574 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 38% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +0 | =1574 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 38% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +0 | =1574 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +24 | =1492 | 38% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –33 | +0 | =1490 | 49% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +5 | +24 | =1494 | 51% | 7 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –4 | +0 | =1517 | 55% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –7 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –14 | –1 | =1503 | 49% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +16 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | 1 | |
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –5 | +0 | =1456 | 46% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –12 | +24 | =1481 | 54% | 3 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –5 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +0 | +24 | =1496 | 56% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +15 | –3 | =1472 | 47% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1471 | +2 | +21 | =1494 | 53% | 6 | |
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1471 | +8 | +0 | =1479 | 35% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –2 | +24 | =1586 | 65% | 1 | |
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –7 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1566 | –3 | +24 | =1587 | 67% | 2 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +15 | +6 | =1491 | 33% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1566 | +17 | +29 | =1612 | 67% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +1 | +0 | =1470 | 36% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +24 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | 1 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +12 | –1 | =1478 | 41% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –1 | +25 | =1543 | 59% | 4 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –18 | +0 | =1526 | 57% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –13 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 7 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –32 | +0 | =1513 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +10 | +24 | =1497 | 48% | 3 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –1 | –3 | =1540 | 57% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –1 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | 3 | |
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +44 | +0 | =1583 | 64% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –4 | +24 | =1485 | 36% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +6 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –5 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | 3 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | –21 | +0 | =1515 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –11 | +24 | =1481 | 45% | 1 | |
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –9 | –2 | =1527 | 55% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +10 | +20 | =1496 | 45% | 6 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –9 | +0 | =1458 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –12 | +24 | =1473 | 52% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –8 | +0 | =1457 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +37 | +24 | =1524 | 59% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –9 | –3 | =1450 | 48% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –24 | +24 | =1466 | 52% | 1 | |
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | –2 | +0 | =1458 | 39% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +8 | +24 | =1539 | 61% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +13 | +0 | =1475 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +8 | +24 | =1537 | 59% | 4 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +19 | –2 | =1480 | 39% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1504 | +30 | +26 | =1560 | 61% | 6 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –21 | +0 | =1496 | 52% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –9 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | 3 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +10 | +0 | =1525 | 55% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –3 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –24 | +0 | =1489 | 50% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –5 | +24 | =1487 | 50% | 6 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +26 | –1 | =1541 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +13 | +26 | =1505 | 45% | 10 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –16 | +0 | =1453 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –8 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 1 | |
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –6 | –3 | =1458 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –5 | +21 | =1485 | 54% | 4 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –13 | +0 | =1453 | 34% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1555 | –9 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | 6 | |
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +13 | +0 | =1479 | 35% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +11 | +24 | =1589 | 65% | 4 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +18 | –3 | =1482 | 34% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +22 | +24 | =1599 | 66% | 10 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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