Updated Oct. 1, 2022, at 1:19 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers are done for the season.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros102-55
MarinersMariners86-7015.5
AngelsAngels71-8631.0
RangersRangers66-9035.5
AthleticsAthletics56-10146.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
146412+0=145242%
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149815+24=150758%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1464+12+0=147649%
LAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
149837+24=148551%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
157643=156958%
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1464+27+21=151242%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1576+14+0=159062%
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1464+18+24=150638%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+7+0=158362%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1464+12+24=150038%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157610+0=156661%
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14643+24=148539%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
146623=146142%1
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
14965+24=151558%4
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+24+0=149144%9
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152215+24=153156%10
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1468+26+0=149442%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1521+5+24=155058%3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Tinoco, Jesus
Tinoco
1465142=144934%5
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1524+18+22=156466%0
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
152513+0=151255%10
TEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
146715+24=147645%4
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15233+0=152055%4
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14686+24=148645%2
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
1522263=149347%6
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1470+23+24=151753%3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
149213+0=147944%3
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1468+28+24=152056%5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
149438+0=145644%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1467+4+24=149556%7
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1492+63=149553%5
TEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
146814+23=147747%2
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1469+0+0=146935%3
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1541+8+24=157365%5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1471+23+0=149444%1
TBTBRays
Armstrong, Shawn
Armstrong
153928+24=153556%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+301=149842%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15409+21=155258%3
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
14324+0=142840%8
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1471+6+24=150160%7
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
143332=142842%7
TEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
14709+21=148258%8
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1472+21+0=149353%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
146312+24=147547%10
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147123=146649%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146414+24=147451%2
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Richards, Trevor
Richards (open)
1546+6+0=155255%1
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+27+24=152045%4
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1545+19+0=156463%11
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
147023+24=147137%7
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+81=155157%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1471+4+24=149943%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147215+0=145731%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1570+0+24=159469%4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14703+0=146731%4
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1572+7+24=160369%3
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1471+224=148942%0
HOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
157144+21=154858%1
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1472+9+0=148148%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
150934+24=149952%5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Santana, Dennis
Santana
147415+0=145943%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150824+24=150857%5
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
147550+0=142535%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+4+24=153465%9
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147664=146641%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
1505+2+21=152859%9
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1568+2+0=157056%5
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1477+24+24=152544%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1567+7+0=157459%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1478+9+26=151341%2
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145520+0=143543%9
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
147916+24=148757%8
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1452+12+0=146451%11
TEXTEXRangers
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
148249+24=145749%2
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145381=144442%6
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14828+23=149758%7
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1478+17+0=149555%16
COLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
145622+24=145845%4
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1479+83=148448%6
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1455+15+26=149652%7
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147820+0=145836%2
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1510+21+24=155564%1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
147426+0=144837%7
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+3+24=154163%0
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14739+0=146440%4
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15153+24=153660%3
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1474+193=149044%1
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15147+26=153356%2
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
144021+0=141938%3
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1472+10+24=150662%10
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
143833+0=140539%7
TEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147518+24=148161%2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
1436+6+0=144245%5
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
147725+24=147655%1
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1436+12=143542%1
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147610+24=149058%2
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1515+2+0=151750%3
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1475+18+24=151750%5
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15169+0=150750%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1473+10+24=150750%7
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1515+22=151555%6
TEXTEXRangers
Sborz, Josh
Sborz
147515+22=148245%2
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147611+0=146533%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1562+2+24=158867%7
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147311+0=146228%8
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1565+37+24=162672%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1474+22+0=149638%5
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15646+23=158162%7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15204+0=151657%8
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
147631+24=146943%2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1524+3+0=152754%0
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1473+1+24=149846%8
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+32+0=155560%2
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147315+24=148240%1
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1524+03=152156%2
TEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147216+24=148044%3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
147723+0=145441%6
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1474+22+24=152059%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1475+2+0=147750%8
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
147726+24=147550%2
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1472123=145741%7
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1479+23+21=152359%2
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1477+1+0=147845%5
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
14942+24=151655%2
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147915+0=146447%7
LAALAAAngels
Silseth, Chase
Silseth
149329+24=148853%9
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1476+17+0=149347%7
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
14953+24=151653%2
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
1474313=144034%2
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1497+37+21=155566%0
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1476+26+0=150246%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15168+24=153254%4
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1476+3+0=147943%4
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
151512+24=152757%5
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1477133=146139%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15142+24=153661%4
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1476+16+0=149255%11
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14383+24=145945%8
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1477+0+0=147753%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14366+24=145447%3
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
1478284=144646%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1435+11+24=147054%5
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1475+24+4=150346%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1491+11+31=153354%0
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15174+0=151354%6
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147714+24=148746%2
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1516+8+0=152457%3
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
147728+24=147343%2
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1514+30+0=154456%8
TEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1479+0+24=150344%3
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1513+03=151049%6
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1480+14+24=151851%5
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14331+0=143237%2
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1479+19+24=152263%5
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14295+0=142440%14
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
148212+24=149460%7
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
1430164=141040%8
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
148227+24=147960%10
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15228+0=151450%6
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1483+9+24=151650%5
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1523+1+0=152450%7
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1481+17+24=152250%9
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1525+221=154653%5
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+20+23=152347%6
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
148116+0=146551%1
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
145820+24=146249%2
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
148228+0=145447%9
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14575+24=147653%10
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1483+112=149253%6
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14565+21=147247%7
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1485+21+0=150644%1
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154018+24=154656%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1482+17+0=149945%7
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
154329+24=153855%3
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1483141=146838%3
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154216+26=155262%4
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1484+10+0=149452%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1445+10+24=147948%2
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1482+17+0=149953%8
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
1447+4+24=147547%3
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1480+192=149754%10
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14497+24=146646%4
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
14514+0=144743%6
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14828+24=149857%4
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1452+10+0=146247%2
TEXTEXRangers
Martin, Brett
Martin
148123+24=148253%3
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1450+101=145942%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1482+8+26=151658%1
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1527+32+0=155956%2
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+15+24=151944%4
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1530111=151850%0
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1478+16+23=151750%7
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1480+14+0=149457%3
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145435+24=144343%7
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
148315+0=146852%7
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
145122+24=145348%14
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+10+0=149049%7
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1454+20+24=149851%0
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1479+133=148953%3
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
14559+24=147047%1
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15456+0=153958%9
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Tyson
Miller
148123+24=148242%2
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
154422+0=152251%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1482+8+24=151449%3
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
154612=154358%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
148014+21=148742%5
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1479+7+0=148639%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1520+22+24=156661%6
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1477+21+0=149841%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1522+15+24=156159%9
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1479+1+0=148044%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
152019+24=152556%8
6/8Wednesday, June 87:25 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1480+11+0=149141%0
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+29+24=155559%4
6/7Tuesday, June 77:50 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
147918+0=146144%6
CLECLEGuardians
McCarty, Kirk
McCarty
150427+24=150156%3
6/7Tuesday, June 73:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+81=148744%3
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1503+5+24=153256%6
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14944+0=149045%6
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1481+19+24=152455%5
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1495+0+0=149550%2
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
148010+24=149450%3
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1494+203=151150%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1481+7+24=151250%3
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+4+0=153356%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
148216+24=149044%1
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1528+1+0=152952%4
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1483+5+24=151248%3
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
152916+0=151349%0
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1482+16+24=152251%3
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+143=154358%5
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147911+20=148842%9
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1481+12+0=149353%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14483+24=146947%6
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
147813+0=146551%11
OAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
145115+24=146049%4
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1476+9+0=148552%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14528+24=146848%5
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1474+132=148546%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1454+35+21=151054%1
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147118+0=145337%7
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
153211+24=154563%2
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1473+161=148840%3
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
15312+26=155560%5
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
147411+0=146336%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155314+24=156364%5
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1474+8+0=148231%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+46+24=162369%2
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1472+8+0=148037%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15554+24=157563%0
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1473192=145234%1
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15546+20=156866%5
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1532+26+0=155857%5
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1472+16+24=151243%6
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15356+0=152956%5
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14697+24=148644%10
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1536+54=153755%4
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1468+9+24=150145%7
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis
152333+0=149049%1
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1465+5+24=149451%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15214+0=151755%11
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14687+24=148545%3
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1518141=150349%7
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+16+24=151051%1
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14615+0=145646%1
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146912+24=148154%3
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Speier, Gabe
Speier
14585+0=145344%8
TEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1472+0+24=149656%2
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1460+153=147247%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1471+2+21=149453%6
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1471+8+0=147935%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15642+24=158665%1
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14697+0=146233%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15663+24=158767%2
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+15+6=149133%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+17+29=161267%2
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+1+0=147036%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1517+24+24=156564%1
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+121=147841%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15191+25=154359%4
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
154418+0=152657%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146513+24=147643%7
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154532+0=151352%1
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1463+10+24=149748%3
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
154413=154057%6
TEXTEXRangers
Richards, Garrett
Richards (open)
14651+24=148843%3
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1539+44+0=158364%3
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14654+24=148536%2
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1538+6+0=154458%4
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14665+24=148542%3
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
153621+0=151555%5
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146811+24=148145%1
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
153892=152755%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+10+20=149645%6
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Richards, Garrett
Richards
14679+0=145848%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
146112+24=147352%2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14658+0=145741%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1463+37+24=152459%0
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
146293=145048%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
146624+24=146652%1
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14602+0=145839%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+8+24=153961%6
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1462+13+0=147541%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1505+8+24=153759%4
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1463+192=148039%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+26=156061%6
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151721+0=149652%8
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14659+24=148048%3
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1515+10+0=152555%7
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14673+24=148845%2
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
151324+0=148950%9
TEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush
14685+24=148750%6
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1516+261=154155%5
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+13+26=150545%10
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146916+0=145346%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14688+24=148454%1
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
146763=145846%6
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14695+21=148554%4
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
146613+0=145334%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
15559+24=157066%6
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+13+0=147935%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1554+11+24=158965%4
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+183=148234%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1553+22+24=159966%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.