Updated Oct. 1, 2022, at 1:19 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers are done for the season.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros102-55	—	✓	✓
Mariners Mariners86-70	15.5	✓	—
Angels Angels71-86	31.0	—	—
Rangers Rangers66-90	35.5	—	—
Athletics Athletics56-101	46.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1464	–12	+0	=1452	42%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1498	–15	+24	=1507	58%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1464	+12	+0	=1476	49%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Davidson	1498	–37	+24	=1485	51%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1576	–4	–3	=1569	58%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1464	+27	+21	=1512	42%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1576	+14	+0	=1590	62%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1464	+18	+24	=1506	38%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1576	+7	+0	=1583	62%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1464	+12	+24	=1500	38%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	German	1576	–10	+0	=1566	61%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1464	–3	+24	=1485	39%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1466	–2	–3	=1461	42%	1
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1496	–5	+24	=1515	58%	4
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1467	+24	+0	=1491	44%	9
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1522	–15	+24	=1531	56%	10
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	+26	+0	=1494	42%	1
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1521	+5	+24	=1550	58%	3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Tinoco	1465	–14	–2	=1449	34%	5
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1524	+18	+22	=1564	66%	0
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Civale	1525	–13	+0	=1512	55%	10
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1467	–15	+24	=1476	45%	4
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1523	–3	+0	=1520	55%	4
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–6	+24	=1486	45%	2
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Morris	1522	–26	–3	=1493	47%	6
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1470	+23	+24	=1517	53%	3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1492	–13	+0	=1479	44%	3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	+28	+24	=1520	56%	5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Davidson	1494	–38	+0	=1456	44%	2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1467	+4	+24	=1495	56%	7
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1492	+6	–3	=1495	53%	5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1468	–14	+23	=1477	47%	2
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1469	+0	+0	=1469	35%	3
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1541	+8	+24	=1573	65%	5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1471	+23	+0	=1494	44%	1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Armstrong	1539	–28	+24	=1535	56%	5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1469	+30	–1	=1498	42%	4
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1540	–9	+21	=1552	58%	3
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1432	–4	+0	=1428	40%	8
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1471	+6	+24	=1501	60%	7
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1433	–3	–2	=1428	42%	7
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1470	–9	+21	=1482	58%	8
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1472	+21	+0	=1493	53%	6
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1463	–12	+24	=1475	47%	10
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1471	–2	–3	=1466	49%	3
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1464	–14	+24	=1474	51%	2
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Richards (open)	1546	+6	+0	=1552	55%	1
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1469	+27	+24	=1520	45%	4
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1545	+19	+0	=1564	63%	11
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1470	–23	+24	=1471	37%	7
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1544	+8	–1	=1551	57%	4
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1471	+4	+24	=1499	43%	3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1472	–15	+0	=1457	31%	3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1570	+0	+24	=1594	69%	4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1470	–3	+0	=1467	31%	4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1572	+7	+24	=1603	69%	3
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1471	+22	–4	=1489	42%	0
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1571	–44	+21	=1548	58%	1
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1472	+9	+0	=1481	48%	2
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Winckowski	1509	–34	+24	=1499	52%	5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Santana	1474	–15	+0	=1459	43%	3
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Bello	1508	–24	+24	=1508	57%	5
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Keuchel	1475	–50	+0	=1425	35%	1
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1506	+4	+24	=1534	65%	9
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1476	–6	–4	=1466	41%	8
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1505	+2	+21	=1528	59%	9
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1568	+2	+0	=1570	56%	5
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1477	+24	+24	=1525	44%	3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1567	+7	+0	=1574	59%	4
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1478	+9	+26	=1513	41%	2
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hutchison	1455	–20	+0	=1435	43%	9
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1479	–16	+24	=1487	57%	8
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1452	+12	+0	=1464	51%	11
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Keuchel	1482	–49	+24	=1457	49%	2
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1453	–8	–1	=1444	42%	6
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1482	–8	+23	=1497	58%	7
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1478	+17	+0	=1495	55%	16
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1456	–22	+24	=1458	45%	4
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1479	+8	–3	=1484	48%	6
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1455	+15	+26	=1496	52%	7
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1478	–20	+0	=1458	36%	2
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1510	+21	+24	=1555	64%	1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1474	–26	+0	=1448	37%	7
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1514	+3	+24	=1541	63%	0
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1473	–9	+0	=1464	40%	4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1515	–3	+24	=1536	60%	3
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1474	+19	–3	=1490	44%	1
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1514	–7	+26	=1533	56%	2
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1440	–21	+0	=1419	38%	3
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1472	+10	+24	=1506	62%	10
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1438	–33	+0	=1405	39%	7
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1475	–18	+24	=1481	61%	2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1436	+6	+0	=1442	45%	5
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Arihara	1477	–25	+24	=1476	55%	1
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1436	+1	–2	=1435	42%	1
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1476	–10	+24	=1490	58%	2
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1515	+2	+0	=1517	50%	3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1475	+18	+24	=1517	50%	5
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1516	–9	+0	=1507	50%	4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1473	+10	+24	=1507	50%	7
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1515	+2	–2	=1515	55%	6
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Sborz	1475	–15	+22	=1482	45%	2
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1476	–11	+0	=1465	33%	3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1562	+2	+24	=1588	67%	7
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1473	–11	+0	=1462	28%	8
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1565	+37	+24	=1626	72%	4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1474	+22	+0	=1496	38%	5
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1564	–6	+23	=1581	62%	7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1520	–4	+0	=1516	57%	8
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1476	–31	+24	=1469	43%	2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1524	+3	+0	=1527	54%	0
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1473	+1	+24	=1498	46%	8
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1523	+32	+0	=1555	60%	2
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1473	–15	+24	=1482	40%	1
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1524	+0	–3	=1521	56%	2
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1472	–16	+24	=1480	44%	3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1477	–23	+0	=1454	41%	6
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1474	+22	+24	=1520	59%	3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1475	+2	+0	=1477	50%	8
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1477	–26	+24	=1475	50%	2
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1472	–12	–3	=1457	41%	7
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1479	+23	+21	=1523	59%	2
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1477	+1	+0	=1478	45%	5
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1494	–2	+24	=1516	55%	2
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1479	–15	+0	=1464	47%	7
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1493	–29	+24	=1488	53%	9
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1476	+17	+0	=1493	47%	7
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1495	–3	+24	=1516	53%	2
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1474	–31	–3	=1440	34%	2
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1497	+37	+21	=1555	66%	0
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1476	+26	+0	=1502	46%	2
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1516	–8	+24	=1532	54%	4
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1476	+3	+0	=1479	43%	4
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1515	–12	+24	=1527	57%	5
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1477	–13	–3	=1461	39%	3
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1514	–2	+24	=1536	61%	4
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1476	+16	+0	=1492	55%	11
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1438	–3	+24	=1459	45%	8
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush (open)	1477	+0	+0	=1477	53%	1
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1436	–6	+24	=1454	47%	3
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1478	–28	–4	=1446	46%	4
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1435	+11	+24	=1470	54%	5
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1475	+24	+4	=1503	46%	8
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1491	+11	+31	=1533	54%	0
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1517	–4	+0	=1513	54%	6
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1477	–14	+24	=1487	46%	2
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1516	+8	+0	=1524	57%	3
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1477	–28	+24	=1473	43%	2
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1514	+30	+0	=1544	56%	8
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush (open)	1479	+0	+24	=1503	44%	3
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1513	+0	–3	=1510	49%	6
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1480	+14	+24	=1518	51%	5
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1433	–1	+0	=1432	37%	2
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1479	+19	+24	=1522	63%	5
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1429	–5	+0	=1424	40%	14
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1482	–12	+24	=1494	60%	7
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Martinez	1430	–16	–4	=1410	40%	8
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1482	–27	+24	=1479	60%	10
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1522	–8	+0	=1514	50%	6
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1483	+9	+24	=1516	50%	5
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Smeltzer	1523	+1	+0	=1524	50%	7
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1481	+17	+24	=1522	50%	9
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1525	+22	–1	=1546	53%	5
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1480	+20	+23	=1523	47%	6
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1481	–16	+0	=1465	51%	1
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1458	–20	+24	=1462	49%	2
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1482	–28	+0	=1454	47%	9
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Voth	1457	–5	+24	=1476	53%	10
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1483	+11	–2	=1492	53%	6
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1456	–5	+21	=1472	47%	7
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1485	+21	+0	=1506	44%	1
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1540	–18	+24	=1546	56%	4
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1482	+17	+0	=1499	45%	7
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Williams	1543	–29	+24	=1538	55%	3
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1483	–14	–1	=1468	38%	3
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1542	–16	+26	=1552	62%	4
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1484	+10	+0	=1494	52%	1
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1445	+10	+24	=1479	48%	2
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1482	+17	+0	=1499	53%	8
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1447	+4	+24	=1475	47%	3
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1480	+19	–2	=1497	54%	10
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1449	–7	+24	=1466	46%	4
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Tetreault	1451	–4	+0	=1447	43%	6
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1482	–8	+24	=1498	57%	4
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1452	+10	+0	=1462	47%	2
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Martin	1481	–23	+24	=1482	53%	3
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Espino	1450	+10	–1	=1459	42%	2
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1482	+8	+26	=1516	58%	1
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1527	+32	+0	=1559	56%	2
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1480	+15	+24	=1519	44%	4
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1530	–11	–1	=1518	50%	0
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1478	+16	+23	=1517	50%	7
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1480	+14	+0	=1494	57%	3
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hutchison	1454	–35	+24	=1443	43%	7
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1483	–15	+0	=1468	52%	7
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Garcia	1451	–22	+24	=1453	48%	14
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1480	+10	+0	=1490	49%	7
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1454	+20	+24	=1498	51%	0
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1479	+13	–3	=1489	53%	3
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1455	–9	+24	=1470	47%	1
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1545	–6	+0	=1539	58%	9
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Miller	1481	–23	+24	=1482	42%	2
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1544	–22	+0	=1522	51%	4
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1482	+8	+24	=1514	49%	3
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1546	–1	–2	=1543	58%	3
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1480	–14	+21	=1487	42%	5
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1479	+7	+0	=1486	39%	8
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1520	+22	+24	=1566	61%	6
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1477	+21	+0	=1498	41%	11
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1522	+15	+24	=1561	59%	9
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush (open)	1479	+1	+0	=1480	44%	3
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1520	–19	+24	=1525	56%	8
6/8Wednesday, June 87:25 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1480	+11	+0	=1491	41%	0
6/8Wednesday, June 87:25 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1502	+29	+24	=1555	59%	4
6/7Tuesday, June 77:50 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1479	–18	+0	=1461	44%	6
6/7Tuesday, June 77:50 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McCarty	1504	–27	+24	=1501	56%	3
6/7Tuesday, June 73:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1480	+8	–1	=1487	44%	3
6/7Tuesday, June 73:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1503	+5	+24	=1532	56%	6
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1494	–4	+0	=1490	45%	6
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1481	+19	+24	=1524	55%	5
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1495	+0	+0	=1495	50%	2
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1480	–10	+24	=1494	50%	3
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1494	+20	–3	=1511	50%	4
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1481	+7	+24	=1512	50%	3
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1529	+4	+0	=1533	56%	3
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1482	–16	+24	=1490	44%	1
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1528	+1	+0	=1529	52%	4
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1483	+5	+24	=1512	48%	3
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Yarbrough	1529	–16	+0	=1513	49%	0
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1482	+16	+24	=1522	51%	3
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1532	+14	–3	=1543	58%	5
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1479	–11	+20	=1488	42%	9
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1481	+12	+0	=1493	53%	5
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1448	–3	+24	=1469	47%	6
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1478	–13	+0	=1465	51%	11
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1451	–15	+24	=1460	49%	4
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1476	+9	+0	=1485	52%	8
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1452	–8	+24	=1468	48%	5
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1474	+13	–2	=1485	46%	4
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1454	+35	+21	=1510	54%	1
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1471	–18	+0	=1453	37%	7
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1532	–11	+24	=1545	63%	2
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1473	+16	–1	=1488	40%	3
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1531	–2	+26	=1555	60%	5
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1474	–11	+0	=1463	36%	2
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1553	–14	+24	=1563	64%	5
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1474	+8	+0	=1482	31%	1
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1553	+46	+24	=1623	69%	2
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1472	+8	+0	=1480	37%	3
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1555	–4	+24	=1575	63%	0
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1473	–19	–2	=1452	34%	1
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1554	–6	+20	=1568	66%	5
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1532	+26	+0	=1558	57%	5
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1472	+16	+24	=1512	43%	6
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1535	–6	+0	=1529	56%	5
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–7	+24	=1486	44%	10
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1536	+5	–4	=1537	55%	4
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1468	+9	+24	=1501	45%	7
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Davis	1523	–33	+0	=1490	49%	1
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	+5	+24	=1494	51%	7
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–4	+0	=1517	55%	11
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–7	+24	=1485	45%	3
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1518	–14	–1	=1503	49%	7
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1470	+16	+24	=1510	51%	1
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1461	–5	+0	=1456	46%	1
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–12	+24	=1481	54%	3
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Speier	1458	–5	+0	=1453	44%	8
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush (open)	1472	+0	+24	=1496	56%	2
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1460	+15	–3	=1472	47%	4
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1471	+2	+21	=1494	53%	6
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1471	+8	+0	=1479	35%	0
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1564	–2	+24	=1586	65%	1
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1469	–7	+0	=1462	33%	4
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1566	–3	+24	=1587	67%	2
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1470	+15	+6	=1491	33%	1
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1566	+17	+29	=1612	67%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1469	+1	+0	=1470	36%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1517	+24	+24	=1565	64%	1
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1467	+12	–1	=1478	41%	6
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1519	–1	+25	=1543	59%	4
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Muller	1544	–18	+0	=1526	57%	3
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1465	–13	+24	=1476	43%	7
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1545	–32	+0	=1513	52%	1
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1463	+10	+24	=1497	48%	3
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1544	–1	–3	=1540	57%	6
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Richards (open)	1465	–1	+24	=1488	43%	3
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1539	+44	+0	=1583	64%	3
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–4	+24	=1485	36%	2
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1538	+6	+0	=1544	58%	4
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1466	–5	+24	=1485	42%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1536	–21	+0	=1515	55%	5
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1468	–11	+24	=1481	45%	1
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1538	–9	–2	=1527	55%	2
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1466	+10	+20	=1496	45%	6
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Richards	1467	–9	+0	=1458	48%	0
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1461	–12	+24	=1473	52%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–8	+0	=1457	41%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1463	+37	+24	=1524	59%	0
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1462	–9	–3	=1450	48%	8
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1466	–24	+24	=1466	52%	1
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1460	–2	+0	=1458	39%	8
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1507	+8	+24	=1539	61%	6
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1462	+13	+0	=1475	41%	2
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1505	+8	+24	=1537	59%	4
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1463	+19	–2	=1480	39%	2
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1504	+30	+26	=1560	61%	6
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1517	–21	+0	=1496	52%	8
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–9	+24	=1480	48%	3
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1515	+10	+0	=1525	55%	7
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1467	–3	+24	=1488	45%	2
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1513	–24	+0	=1489	50%	9
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush	1468	–5	+24	=1487	50%	6
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1516	+26	–1	=1541	55%	5
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1466	+13	+26	=1505	45%	10
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1469	–16	+0	=1453	46%	4
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	–8	+24	=1484	54%	1
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–6	–3	=1458	46%	6
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–5	+21	=1485	54%	4
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1466	–13	+0	=1453	34%	12
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1555	–9	+24	=1570	66%	6
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1466	+13	+0	=1479	35%	3
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1554	+11	+24	=1589	65%	4
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1467	+18	–3	=1482	34%	8
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1553	+22	+24	=1599	66%	10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.