Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros23-1293%64%
AngelsAngels24-1380%32%
MarinersMariners16-197.021%3%
RangersRangers14-198.05%<1%
AthleticsAthletics15-229.01%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1536+54=153755%
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1468+9+24=150145%
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15368+0=152856%
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14686+24=148644%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1536+24+0=156058%
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1468+16+24=150842%
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1468192=144733%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15547+20=156767%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1468+8+0=147630%
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1554+46+24=162470%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1468+9+0=147738%
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
155415+24=156362%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14686+0=146235%
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15549+24=156965%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1468+161=148338%
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1536+5+26=156762%
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
146819+0=144935%
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15368+24=155265%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1468+82=147445%
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1453+33+21=150755%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146849%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147751%
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146849%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147751%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146849%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147751%
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152856%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+20=148844%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149244%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149244%
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149244%
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+23=149751%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150051%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150051%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
6/6Monday, June 67:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146542%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152158%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155162%
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155162%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155162%
6/13Monday, June 138:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+12=155359%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+21=148941%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155559%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149241%
6/15Wednesday, June 152:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155559%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149241%
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146547%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146848%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148452%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146848%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148452%
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146848%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148452%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152355%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+23=149145%
6/22Wednesday, June 224:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149245%
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146311=146145%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+26=149455%
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149254%
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149254%
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+02=146647%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146847%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146847%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+01=146737%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+26=155763%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155562%
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155562%
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+02=146652%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+21=145348%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146852%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145648%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146852%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145648%
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+11=151854%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+23=149146%
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151954%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149246%
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151954%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149246%
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+04=144944%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149256%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+23=149751%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150051%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150051%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150051%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+4=147243%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+31=152257%
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+04=146448%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147752%
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146849%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147751%
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146849%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147751%
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146542%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152458%
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152458%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152458%
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146537%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155863%
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146837%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146837%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146837%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142942%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+21=148958%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143242%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149258%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143242%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149258%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152813=152455%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149245%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149245%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149245%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152755%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149245%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146835%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+23=157865%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146835%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157965%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146835%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157965%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+22=149851%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+22=149049%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150051%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150051%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+02=145144%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149256%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146539%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154561%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146547%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148753%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146848%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148552%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145945%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+23=149155%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146045%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146045%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155559%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+26=149441%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 312:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155559%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149241%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+04=146439%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+21=154261%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154561%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154561%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154561%
9/5Monday, Sept. 57:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+04=146434%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+21=157666%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146835%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157965%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146835%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157965%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+01=154357%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149243%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154458%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149242%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154458%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149242%
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146543%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151557%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146843%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151557%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+02=145145%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+21=148955%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+01=146738%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155262%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155562%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155562%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153456%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+23=149144%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153757%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149243%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153757%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149243%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149651%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149951%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149951%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149249%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+02=146642%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+22=152258%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152458%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146842%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152458%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146536%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156164%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146837%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146837%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156163%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157161%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+21=148939%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157462%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149238%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157462%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149238%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157462%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149238%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis
152333+0=149049%1
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1465+5+24=149451%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15214+0=151755%11
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14687+24=148545%3
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1518141=150349%7
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+16+24=151051%1
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14615+0=145646%1
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146912+24=148154%3
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Speier, Gabe
Speier
14585+0=145344%8
TEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1472+0+24=149656%2
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1460+153=147247%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1471+2+21=149453%6
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1471+8+0=147935%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15642+24=158665%1
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14697+0=146233%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15663+24=158767%2
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+15+6=149133%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+17+29=161267%2
5/4Wednesday, May 46:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+1+0=147036%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1517+24+24=156564%1
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+121=147841%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15191+25=154359%4
5/1Sunday, May 12:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
154418+0=152657%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146513+24=147643%7
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154532+0=151352%1
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1463+10+24=149748%3
4/29Friday, April 298:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
154413=154057%6
TEXTEXRangers
Richards, Garrett
Richards (open)
14651+24=148843%3
4/28Thursday, April 282:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1539+44+0=158364%3
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14654+24=148536%2
4/27Wednesday, April 278:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1538+6+0=154458%4
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14665+24=148542%3
4/26Tuesday, April 268:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
153621+0=151555%5
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146811+24=148145%1
4/25Monday, April 258:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
153892=152755%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+10+20=149645%6
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Richards, Garrett
Richards
14679+0=145848%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
146112+24=147352%2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14658+0=145741%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1463+37+24=152459%0
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
146293=145048%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
146624+24=146652%1
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14602+0=145839%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+8+24=153961%6
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1462+13+0=147541%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1505+8+24=153759%4
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1463+192=148039%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+26=156061%6
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151721+0=149652%8
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14659+24=148048%3
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1515+10+0=152555%7
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14673+24=148845%2
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
151324+0=148950%9
TEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush
14685+24=148750%6
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1516+261=154155%5
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+13+26=150545%10
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146916+0=145346%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14688+24=148454%1
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
146763=145846%6
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14695+21=148554%4
4/10Sunday, April 101:37 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
146613+0=145334%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
15559+24=157066%6
4/9Saturday, April 93:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1466+13+0=147935%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1554+11+24=158965%4
4/8Friday, April 87:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+183=148234%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1553+22+24=159966%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.