2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Rays are done for the season.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YankeesYankees99-63 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Blue JaysBlue Jays92-70 | 7.0 | ✓ | — | |||
RaysRays86-76 | 13.0 | ✓ | — | |||
OriolesOrioles83-79 | 16.0 | — | — | |||
Red SoxRed Sox78-84 | 21.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/8Saturday, Oct. 812:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1528 | +21 | +0 | =1549 | 45% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1528 | +25 | +24 | =1577 | 55% | 1 | |
10/7Friday, Oct. 712:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +17 | –1 | =1546 | 43% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1526 | +31 | +26 | =1583 | 57% | 2 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Fleming | 1531 | –46 | +0 | =1485 | 44% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1504 | –2 | +24 | =1526 | 56% | 6 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1533 | +9 | +0 | =1542 | 51% | 0 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1501 | +13 | +24 | =1538 | 49% | 6 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1535 | +20 | –4 | =1551 | 54% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1500 | +4 | +22 | =1526 | 46% | 4 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1536 | –9 | +0 | =1527 | 42% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1575 | –17 | +24 | =1582 | 58% | 3 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1537 | +18 | +0 | =1555 | 42% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1575 | +10 | +24 | =1609 | 58% | 2 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1534 | +14 | –3 | =1545 | 41% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1577 | +2 | +26 | =1605 | 59% | 3 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 296:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1535 | +7 | +0 | =1542 | 49% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1526 | –3 | +24 | =1547 | 51% | 2 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1536 | +23 | +0 | =1559 | 48% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1525 | +24 | +24 | =1573 | 52% | 2 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1535 | –6 | –1 | =1528 | 42% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1527 | +37 | +23 | =1587 | 58% | 5 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1544 | +8 | +0 | =1552 | 45% | 7 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1538 | +24 | +24 | =1586 | 55% | 1 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1542 | +34 | +0 | =1576 | 50% | 3 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1539 | +12 | +24 | =1575 | 50% | 1 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | White | 1544 | –26 | +0 | =1518 | 43% | 6 |
TBRays | Springs | 1537 | +7 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | 10 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1546 | –9 | –3 | =1534 | 45% | 5 |
TBRays | Chargois (open) | 1535 | +8 | +24 | =1567 | 55% | 10 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1579 | –2 | +0 | =1577 | 54% | 5 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1537 | –9 | +24 | =1552 | 46% | 2 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1576 | +3 | +0 | =1579 | 48% | 5 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1539 | +30 | +24 | =1593 | 52% | 0 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1574 | –21 | –3 | =1550 | 46% | 4 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1542 | +12 | +24 | =1578 | 54% | 0 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1469 | +0 | +0 | =1469 | 35% | 3 |
TBRays | Springs | 1541 | +8 | +24 | =1573 | 65% | 5 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1471 | +23 | +0 | =1494 | 44% | 1 |
TBRays | Armstrong | 1539 | –28 | +24 | =1535 | 56% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1469 | +30 | –1 | =1498 | 42% | 4 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1540 | –9 | +21 | =1552 | 58% | 3 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1536 | +27 | +0 | =1563 | 47% | 11 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1547 | +15 | +24 | =1586 | 53% | 0 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1538 | +16 | +0 | =1554 | 46% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1545 | +10 | +24 | =1579 | 54% | 5 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Chirinos | 1540 | –7 | +0 | =1533 | 40% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1544 | +34 | +24 | =1602 | 60% | 7 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 131:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1538 | +5 | +0 | =1543 | 50% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Merryweather | 1545 | –23 | +24 | =1546 | 50% | 2 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Criswell | 1539 | –29 | –2 | =1508 | 43% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1544 | –11 | +21 | =1554 | 57% | 3 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Patino | 1541 | –31 | +0 | =1510 | 40% | 4 |
NYYYankees | German | 1568 | –10 | +24 | =1582 | 60% | 10 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 101:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1543 | –3 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1565 | –12 | +24 | =1577 | 55% | 10 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1542 | +10 | –1 | =1551 | 45% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Montas | 1567 | –8 | +24 | =1583 | 55% | 2 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1508 | +3 | +0 | =1511 | 42% | 0 |
TBRays | Springs | 1541 | +1 | +24 | =1566 | 58% | 1 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1509 | –2 | +0 | =1507 | 42% | 4 |
TBRays | Chargois (open) | 1540 | +3 | +24 | =1567 | 58% | 8 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1510 | +19 | –3 | =1526 | 49% | 3 |
TBRays | Patino | 1538 | –31 | +24 | =1531 | 51% | 4 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1564 | –11 | +0 | =1553 | 53% | 2 |
TBRays | Armstrong | 1539 | –32 | +24 | =1531 | 47% | 1 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1565 | –42 | +0 | =1523 | 45% | 1 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1539 | –8 | +24 | =1555 | 55% | 2 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1568 | –8 | –2 | =1558 | 50% | 0 |
TBRays | Springs | 1535 | –1 | +24 | =1558 | 50% | 9 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1535 | +11 | +0 | =1546 | 60% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1471 | –23 | +24 | =1472 | 40% | 1 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1533 | +30 | –1 | =1562 | 61% | 7 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1473 | –9 | +24 | =1488 | 39% | 2 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1530 | –6 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | 12 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1510 | +7 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | 4 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1532 | –1 | +0 | =1531 | 51% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1508 | –5 | +24 | =1527 | 49% | 5 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Chargois | 1533 | –32 | –3 | =1498 | 43% | 8 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1507 | +18 | +24 | =1549 | 57% | 9 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 251:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1485 | +8 | +0 | =1493 | 40% | 3 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1531 | +10 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | 8 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Mayers | 1485 | –34 | +0 | =1451 | 32% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +28 | +24 | =1582 | 68% | 4 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1488 | –15 | +0 | =1473 | 40% | 1 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1528 | –6 | +24 | =1546 | 60% | 11 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Davidson | 1488 | –30 | –3 | =1455 | 37% | 1 |
TBRays | Springs | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | 2 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1453 | +5 | +0 | =1458 | 40% | 2 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1526 | –23 | +24 | =1527 | 60% | 3 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1454 | –4 | +0 | =1450 | 35% | 2 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1525 | +9 | +24 | =1558 | 65% | 5 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1453 | +27 | +0 | =1480 | 36% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1527 | +29 | +24 | =1580 | 64% | 2 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Castillo | 1454 | –10 | –3 | =1441 | 40% | 1 |
TBRays | Patino | 1525 | –31 | +21 | =1515 | 60% | 7 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1526 | –7 | +0 | =1519 | 41% | 7 |
NYYYankees | German | 1573 | –17 | +24 | =1580 | 59% | 8 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1524 | –2 | +0 | =1522 | 38% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1575 | +7 | +24 | =1606 | 62% | 1 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1521 | +1 | –3 | =1519 | 36% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1577 | +19 | +22 | =1618 | 64% | 0 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1482 | +3 | +0 | =1485 | 41% | 1 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1520 | +6 | +24 | =1550 | 59% | 4 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Hall | 1483 | –12 | +0 | =1471 | 35% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1518 | +34 | +24 | =1576 | 65% | 8 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1480 | –3 | –3 | =1474 | 40% | 10 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1522 | +0 | +23 | =1545 | 60% | 3 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1523 | –4 | +0 | =1519 | 43% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1529 | +18 | +24 | =1571 | 57% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yacabonis | 1524 | –29 | +0 | =1495 | 40% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1528 | +10 | +26 | =1564 | 60% | 5 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1522 | +4 | +0 | =1526 | 58% | 7 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1456 | –9 | +24 | =1471 | 42% | 0 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1526 | +36 | +0 | =1562 | 64% | 1 |
DETTigers | Hill | 1452 | –19 | +24 | =1457 | 36% | 9 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1525 | +1 | +0 | =1526 | 58% | 5 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1453 | –9 | +24 | =1468 | 42% | 3 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1523 | –6 | –3 | =1514 | 58% | 6 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1455 | –22 | +21 | =1454 | 42% | 2 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1550 | –29 | +0 | =1521 | 46% | 2 |
TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1522 | +2 | +24 | =1548 | 54% | 3 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1548 | +10 | –1 | =1557 | 51% | 3 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1524 | +3 | +26 | =1553 | 49% | 1 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Shaw | 1502 | –24 | +0 | =1478 | 34% | 5 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1526 | +42 | +24 | =1592 | 66% | 3 | |
7/30Saturday, July 301:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1504 | –6 | +0 | =1498 | 43% | 4 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1524 | +2 | +24 | =1550 | 57% | 6 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1502 | +26 | –3 | =1525 | 48% | 4 |
TBRays | Springs | 1526 | –6 | +21 | =1541 | 52% | 1 | |
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1528 | –25 | +0 | =1503 | 51% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1471 | +0 | +24 | =1495 | 49% | 3 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 277:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1527 | +3 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1473 | +22 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | 4 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +42 | +0 | =1570 | 62% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1471 | –12 | +24 | =1483 | 38% | 5 | |
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1531 | +5 | –3 | =1533 | 56% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1469 | –3 | +24 | =1490 | 44% | 5 | |
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1532 | –3 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1451 | –8 | +24 | =1467 | 41% | 4 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Patino | 1534 | –28 | +0 | =1506 | 53% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1449 | +13 | +24 | =1486 | 47% | 6 | |
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +2 | +4 | =1538 | 57% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1451 | +9 | +28 | =1488 | 43% | 3 | |
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1470 | +6 | +0 | =1476 | 38% | 5 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1531 | +7 | +24 | =1562 | 62% | 7 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 40% | 6 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1533 | –29 | +24 | =1528 | 60% | 4 | |
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1469 | +23 | –1 | =1491 | 44% | 4 |
TBRays | Patino | 1532 | –26 | +24 | =1530 | 56% | 5 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1536 | –24 | +0 | =1512 | 44% | 4 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1531 | +0 | +24 | =1555 | 56% | 5 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1538 | –24 | +0 | =1514 | 39% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +37 | +24 | =1591 | 61% | 4 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1539 | +12 | +0 | =1551 | 49% | 2 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +5 | +24 | =1558 | 51% | 3 | |
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1541 | –29 | –3 | =1509 | 44% | 5 |
TBRays | Wisler (open) | 1527 | +2 | +21 | =1550 | 56% | 10 | |
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Baz | 1530 | –5 | +0 | =1525 | 56% | 5 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1466 | –7 | +24 | =1483 | 44% | 10 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1531 | –1 | +0 | =1530 | 57% | 4 |
CINReds | Greene | 1465 | –9 | +24 | =1480 | 43% | 5 | |
7/8Friday, July 86:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1532 | +36 | –1 | =1567 | 57% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1464 | +33 | +24 | =1521 | 43% | 2 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1530 | +0 | +0 | =1530 | 49% | 7 |
BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1542 | –30 | +24 | =1536 | 51% | 1 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1527 | –1 | +0 | =1526 | 42% | 8 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1545 | +12 | +24 | =1581 | 58% | 4 | |
7/4Monday, July 41:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1529 | +3 | –2 | =1530 | 46% | 0 |
BOSRed Sox | Davis (open) | 1543 | –6 | +21 | =1558 | 54% | 4 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Baz | 1527 | –8 | +0 | =1519 | 43% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1547 | +0 | +24 | =1571 | 57% | 3 | |
7/2Saturday, July 26:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 46% | 11 |
TORBlue Jays | Hatch | 1550 | –24 | +24 | =1550 | 54% | 5 | |
7/2Saturday, July 212:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1522 | +33 | +0 | =1555 | 45% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1552 | +15 | +24 | =1591 | 55% | 2 | |
7/1Friday, July 13:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1524 | +5 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1550 | –9 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | 9 | |
6/30Thursday, June 307:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Wisler (open) | 1526 | +3 | –3 | =1526 | 48% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1548 | –32 | +24 | =1540 | 52% | 4 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 2912:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1537 | –12 | +0 | =1525 | 46% | 5 |
TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1527 | +3 | +24 | =1554 | 54% | 3 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1536 | +11 | –1 | =1546 | 50% | 5 |
TBRays | Baz | 1529 | –13 | +26 | =1542 | 50% | 3 | |
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1438 | +9 | +0 | =1447 | 31% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +30 | +24 | =1582 | 69% | 4 | |
6/25Saturday, June 251:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1438 | +5 | +0 | =1443 | 34% | 5 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1527 | +7 | +24 | =1558 | 66% | 6 | |
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1439 | +1 | –3 | =1437 | 33% | 3 |
TBRays | Springs | 1527 | +5 | +26 | =1558 | 67% | 4 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1588 | –3 | +0 | =1585 | 57% | 5 |
TBRays | Baz | 1528 | –14 | +24 | =1538 | 43% | 4 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1589 | +2 | +0 | =1591 | 55% | 4 |
TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1527 | +2 | +24 | =1553 | 45% | 5 | |
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1588 | +7 | –3 | =1592 | 52% | 4 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +29 | +21 | =1578 | 48% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +6 | +0 | =1535 | 59% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1446 | +0 | +24 | =1470 | 41% | 2 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1528 | +10 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1447 | –12 | +24 | =1459 | 39% | 6 | |
6/17Friday, June 176:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Baz | 1530 | –24 | –2 | =1504 | 57% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1446 | –12 | +22 | =1456 | 43% | 1 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1531 | +2 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1583 | –52 | +24 | =1555 | 53% | 2 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1531 | +31 | +0 | =1562 | 43% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1582 | +3 | +24 | =1609 | 57% | 4 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1532 | +5 | –1 | =1536 | 39% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1581 | +6 | +26 | =1613 | 61% | 2 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1530 | +6 | +0 | =1536 | 53% | 6 |
MINTwins | Sands | 1522 | –29 | +24 | =1517 | 47% | 0 | |
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Baz | 1531 | –17 | +0 | =1514 | 49% | 5 |
MINTwins | Gonzalez | 1521 | –26 | +24 | =1519 | 51% | 6 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1533 | +11 | –3 | =1541 | 48% | 4 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1519 | +8 | +24 | =1551 | 52% | 9 | |
6/9Thursday, June 91:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1514 | +10 | +0 | =1524 | 42% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1532 | +26 | +24 | =1582 | 58% | 2 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Naughton | 1516 | –30 | +0 | =1486 | 39% | 3 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1530 | +6 | +24 | =1560 | 61% | 11 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1517 | +6 | –1 | =1522 | 45% | 2 |
TBRays | Springs | 1529 | +1 | +26 | =1556 | 55% | 4 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1519 | +21 | +0 | =1540 | 51% | 6 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1530 | –17 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 5 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1518 | +16 | +0 | =1534 | 46% | 3 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1531 | +8 | +24 | =1563 | 54% | 2 | |
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1519 | –15 | –3 | =1501 | 39% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +25 | +21 | =1576 | 61% | 6 | |
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +4 | +0 | =1533 | 56% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1482 | –16 | +24 | =1490 | 44% | 1 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1528 | +1 | +0 | =1529 | 52% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1483 | +5 | +24 | =1512 | 48% | 3 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1529 | –16 | +0 | =1513 | 49% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1482 | +16 | +24 | =1522 | 51% | 3 | |
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +14 | –3 | =1543 | 58% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1479 | –11 | +20 | =1488 | 42% | 9 | |
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1570 | –1 | +0 | =1569 | 49% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +24 | +24 | =1578 | 51% | 4 | |
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1572 | +14 | +0 | =1586 | 55% | 1 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 45% | 3 | |
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1570 | –4 | +0 | =1566 | 52% | 2 |
TBRays | Springs | 1530 | –1 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | 0 | |
5/26Thursday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1568 | +5 | –3 | =1570 | 55% | 7 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1532 | –19 | +24 | =1537 | 45% | 2 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Poteet | 1491 | –20 | +0 | =1471 | 36% | 4 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1531 | +18 | +24 | =1573 | 64% | 5 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1493 | +19 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | 0 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +23 | +23 | =1576 | 59% | 4 | |
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1531 | +3 | +0 | =1534 | 65% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1433 | –27 | +24 | =1430 | 35% | 7 | |
5/21Saturday, May 217:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1530 | –7 | +0 | =1523 | 60% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1435 | –3 | +24 | =1456 | 40% | 1 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks | 1531 | –46 | –1 | =1484 | 53% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1433 | +5 | +24 | =1462 | 47% | 8 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1460 | +12 | +0 | =1472 | 36% | 1 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1530 | +17 | +24 | =1571 | 64% | 6 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1462 | –17 | +0 | =1445 | 32% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +23 | +24 | =1575 | 68% | 8 | |
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1460 | –16 | –3 | =1441 | 34% | 3 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | 2 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1546 | +24 | +0 | =1570 | 54% | 0 |
TBRays | Springs | 1528 | –10 | +24 | =1542 | 46% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1544 | –22 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | 5 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1530 | –17 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | 1 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1546 | +23 | –1 | =1568 | 50% | 2 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1528 | +17 | +22 | =1567 | 50% | 5 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1527 | +19 | +0 | =1546 | 45% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1534 | +26 | +24 | =1584 | 55% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:38 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1530 | +15 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 0 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1531 | –19 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | 12 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1533 | –10 | –3 | =1520 | 44% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1528 | +9 | +24 | =1561 | 56% | 11 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1534 | –20 | +0 | =1514 | 50% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1499 | –11 | +24 | =1512 | 50% | 2 | |
5/7Saturday, May 79:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +17 | +0 | =1549 | 53% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | 2 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Wisler (open) | 1531 | +0 | +0 | =1531 | 48% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1503 | +17 | +24 | =1544 | 52% | 7 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +18 | –3 | =1545 | 49% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1504 | +30 | +20 | =1554 | 51% | 3 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1528 | +12 | +0 | =1540 | 54% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1455 | +35 | +24 | =1514 | 46% | 0 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1527 | –14 | +0 | =1513 | 56% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1457 | –10 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 7 | |
5/2Monday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1525 | +14 | –4 | =1535 | 59% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1458 | –10 | +24 | =1472 | 41% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1521 | –18 | +0 | =1503 | 47% | 9 |
TBRays | Fleming | 1528 | –31 | +24 | =1521 | 53% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1517 | –5 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | 9 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1531 | +19 | +24 | =1574 | 59% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1519 | +0 | –3 | =1516 | 44% | 1 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +6 | +24 | =1559 | 56% | 6 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1510 | +0 | +0 | =1510 | 45% | 1 |
TBRays | Springs | 1528 | –10 | +24 | =1542 | 55% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1511 | +3 | +0 | =1514 | 44% | 2 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1527 | +8 | +24 | =1559 | 56% | 3 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1509 | +11 | –2 | =1518 | 44% | 8 |
TBRays | Wisler (open) | 1530 | +0 | +26 | =1556 | 56% | 4 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1528 | –7 | +0 | =1521 | 43% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +19 | +24 | =1571 | 57% | 5 | |
4/23Saturday, April 236:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1529 | –27 | +0 | =1502 | 43% | 2 |
TBRays | Feyereisen (open) | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 57% | 3 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1528 | –9 | –3 | =1516 | 43% | 4 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +13 | +23 | =1565 | 57% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:30 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1526 | +10 | +0 | =1536 | 52% | 8 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1483 | +18 | +24 | =1525 | 48% | 2 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Wisler | 1525 | –11 | +0 | =1514 | 51% | 6 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1484 | –1 | +24 | =1507 | 49% | 5 | |
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1527 | +16 | –1 | =1542 | 56% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1483 | –7 | +21 | =1497 | 44% | 4 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Feyereisen | 1524 | –18 | +0 | =1506 | 46% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Velasquez | 1545 | –34 | +24 | =1535 | 54% | 3 | |
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1525 | +12 | +0 | =1537 | 47% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1545 | –9 | +24 | =1560 | 53% | 3 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1526 | +12 | –3 | =1535 | 44% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1544 | +11 | +24 | =1579 | 56% | 3 | |
4/14Thursday, April 141:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1462 | –13 | +0 | =1449 | 39% | 6 |
TBRays | Fleming | 1528 | –26 | +24 | =1526 | 61% | 3 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 136:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1460 | +36 | +0 | =1496 | 39% | 4 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +16 | +24 | =1570 | 61% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 126:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1461 | –10 | +0 | =1451 | 38% | 8 |
TBRays | Romero | 1529 | –19 | +24 | =1534 | 62% | 9 | |
4/11Monday, April 116:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1455 | –26 | –3 | =1426 | 34% | 13 |
TBRays | Patino | 1534 | –15 | +24 | =1543 | 66% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1428 | –2 | +0 | =1426 | 31% | 0 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1533 | +10 | +24 | =1567 | 69% | 8 | |
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1429 | +4 | +0 | =1433 | 31% | 3 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +12 | +24 | =1568 | 69% | 5 | |
4/8Friday, April 83:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Means | 1430 | +24 | –3 | =1451 | 34% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1531 | +14 | +24 | =1569 | 66% | 2 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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