Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees25-997%74%
Blue JaysBlue Jays18-177.569%12%
RaysRays21-144.564%12%
Red SoxRed Sox13-2112.023%2%
OriolesOrioles14-2111.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
1460163=144134%
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+3+24=155766%
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146017+0=144332%
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+23+24=157768%
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1460+12+0=147236%
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1530+18+24=157264%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1530161=151357%
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+24=146243%
5/21Saturday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15305+0=152559%
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1433+1+24=145841%
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+3+0=153364%
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143328+24=142936%
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+18+0=151041%
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+23+23=157659%
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+24+0=151642%
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1530+18+24=157258%
5/26Thursday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
157323=156854%
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153016+24=153846%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152856%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+20=148844%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149244%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149244%
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149244%
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152813=152446%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155254%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152746%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155554%
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152746%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155554%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+11=150843%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+26=155757%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150943%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155557%
6/9Thursday, June 91:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150943%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155557%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152848%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154352%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153040%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+26=160060%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
6/17Friday, June 176:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+12=152961%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+22=145439%
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157153%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155247%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143934%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+26=155766%
6/25Saturday, June 251:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155566%
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155566%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+11=154448%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+26=155752%
6/29Wednesday, June 2912:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154549%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155551%
6/30Thursday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152844%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156856%
7/1Friday, July 13:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
7/2Saturday, July 212:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
7/2Saturday, July 26:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
7/3Sunday, July 31:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
7/4Monday, July 41:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+12=152948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+21=154252%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
7/8Friday, July 86:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153054%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150246%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153154%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150246%
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153154%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150246%
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151845%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155255%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143311=143133%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155567%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155567%
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155567%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+4=153556%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+28=148944%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152860%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149642%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155258%
7/30Saturday, July 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149942%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155558%
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149942%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155558%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+01=154348%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+26=155752%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155551%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152857%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+21=148143%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153157%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153157%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153157%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153144%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+26=157156%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156955%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142933%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+23=155467%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155567%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155567%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152840%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145837%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155263%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155563%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155563%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155563%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153447%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155553%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153748%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155552%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153748%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155552%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 251:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153748%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155552%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152848%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 28TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+2=153352%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157252%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155548%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151845%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153040%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 101:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+12=152945%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+21=156555%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 131:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153145%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156855%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+01=146738%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155262%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155562%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155562%
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+13=155250%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155550%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155550%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155550%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155550%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155550%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154148%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155552%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155551%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155551%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154449%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155551%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153051%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+23=152249%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153151%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 296:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153151%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152349%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152842%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+26=158158%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153143%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157957%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153143%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157957%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+14=152748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+22=154352%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+24+0=157054%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154246%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154422+0=152248%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153017+24=153752%1
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+231=156850%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1528+17+22=156750%5
5/11Wednesday, May 117:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1527+19+0=154645%4
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1534+26+24=158455%2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+15+0=154551%0
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
153119+24=153649%12
5/9Monday, May 99:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1533103=152044%3
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1528+9+24=156156%11
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153420+0=151450%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149911+24=151250%2
5/7Saturday, May 79:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+17+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1502+1+24=152747%2
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1531+0+0=153148%8
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1503+17+24=154452%7
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+183=154549%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+20=155451%3
5/4Wednesday, May 43:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1528+12+0=154054%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1455+35+24=151446%0
5/3Tuesday, May 39:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
152714+0=151356%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
145710+24=147144%7
5/2Monday, May 29:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1525+144=153559%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
145810+24=147241%1
5/1Sunday, May 11:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
152118+0=150347%9
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
152831+24=152153%3
4/30Saturday, April 304:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15175+0=151241%9
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+19+24=157459%1
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1519+03=151644%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+6+24=155956%6
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1510+0+0=151045%1
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154255%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1511+3+0=151444%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1527+8+24=155956%3
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1509+112=151844%8
TBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1530+0+26=155656%4
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15287+0=152143%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+19+24=157157%5
4/23Saturday, April 236:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152927+0=150243%2
TBTBRays
Feyereisen, J.P.
Feyereisen (open)
1527+0+24=155157%3
4/22Friday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152893=151643%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+13+23=156557%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:30 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1526+10+0=153652%8
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1483+18+24=152548%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
152511+0=151451%6
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14841+24=150749%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1527+161=154256%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14837+21=149744%4
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Feyereisen, J.P.
Feyereisen
152418+0=150646%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
154534+24=153554%3
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1525+12+0=153747%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
15459+24=156053%3
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1526+123=153544%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1544+11+24=157956%3
4/14Thursday, April 141:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
146213+0=144939%6
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
152826+24=152661%3
4/13Wednesday, April 136:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1460+36+0=149639%4
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+16+24=157061%2
4/12Tuesday, April 126:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
146110+0=145138%8
TBTBRays
Romero, Tommy
Romero
152919+24=153462%9
4/11Monday, April 116:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1455263=142634%13
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153415+24=154366%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14282+0=142631%0
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1533+10+24=156769%8
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1429+4+0=143331%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+12+24=156869%5
4/8Friday, April 83:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1430+243=145134%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+14+24=156966%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.