Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 4:39 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rays have a 3% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees96-59
Blue JaysBlue Jays87-699.5
RaysRays85-7011.0>99%
OriolesOrioles80-7616.5<1%
Red SoxRed Sox75-8121.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Thursday, Sept. 296:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1535+7+0=154249%
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15263+24=154751%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1535+153=154741%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1577+10+26=161359%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1535+19+0=155446%
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157719+24=158254%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15357+0=152839%
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1577+2+24=160361%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1535+214=155253%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
1506+2+22=153047%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1535+7+0=154250%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1506+11+24=154150%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1535+15+0=155053%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+0+24=153047%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1536+23+0=155948%1
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1525+24+24=157352%2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
153561=152842%6
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1527+37+23=158758%5
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+8+0=155245%7
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1538+24+24=158655%1
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1542+34+0=157650%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1539+12+24=157550%1
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154426+0=151843%6
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1537+7+24=156857%10
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154693=153445%5
TBTBRays
Chargois, JT
Chargois (open)
1535+8+24=156755%10
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15792+0=157754%5
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15379+24=155246%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1576+3+0=157948%5
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1539+30+24=159352%0
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1574213=155046%4
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1542+12+24=157854%0
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1469+0+0=146935%3
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1541+8+24=157365%5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1471+23+0=149444%1
TBTBRays
Armstrong, Shawn
Armstrong
153928+24=153556%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1469+301=149842%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15409+21=155258%3
9/15Thursday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1536+27+0=156347%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+15+24=158653%0
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1538+16+0=155446%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1545+10+24=157954%5
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
15407+0=153340%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1544+34+24=160260%7
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 131:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1538+5+0=154350%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Merryweather, Julian
Merryweather
154523+24=154650%2
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Criswell, Cooper
Criswell
1539292=150843%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154411+21=155457%3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
154131+0=151040%4
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156810+24=158260%10
9/10Saturday, Sept. 101:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15433+0=154045%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
156512+24=157755%10
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1542+101=155145%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15678+24=158355%2
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1508+3+0=151142%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1541+1+24=156658%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15092+0=150742%4
TBTBRays
Chargois, JT
Chargois (open)
1540+3+24=156758%8
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1510+193=152649%3
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153831+24=153151%4
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
156411+0=155353%2
TBTBRays
Armstrong, Shawn
Armstrong
153932+24=153147%1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156542+0=152345%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15398+24=155555%2
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156882=155850%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15351+24=155850%9
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1535+11+0=154660%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
147123+24=147240%1
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1533+301=156261%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14739+24=148839%2
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15306+0=152447%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1510+7+24=154153%4
8/27Saturday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15321+0=153151%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15085+24=152749%5
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Chargois, JT
Chargois
1533323=149843%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1507+18+24=154957%9
8/25Thursday, Aug. 251:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1485+8+0=149340%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+10+24=156560%8
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Mayers, Mike
Mayers
148534+0=145132%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+28+24=158268%4
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
148815+0=147340%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15286+24=154660%11
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
1488303=145537%1
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1527+0+24=155163%2
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1453+5+0=145840%2
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
152623+24=152760%3
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14544+0=145035%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1525+9+24=155865%5
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1453+27+0=148036%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1527+29+24=158064%2
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Castillo, Max
Castillo
1454103=144140%1
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
152531+21=151560%7
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15267+0=151941%7
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157317+24=158059%8
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15242+0=152238%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1575+7+24=160662%1
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1521+13=151936%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+19+22=161864%0
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1482+3+0=148541%1
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1520+6+24=155059%4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Hall, DL
Hall
148312+0=147135%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1518+34+24=157665%8
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
148033=147440%10
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1522+0+23=154560%3
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15234+0=151943%3
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1529+18+24=157157%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yacabonis, Jimmy
Yacabonis
152429+0=149540%3
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1528+10+26=156460%5
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1522+4+0=152658%7
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14569+24=147142%0
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1526+36+0=156264%1
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145219+24=145736%9
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1525+1+0=152658%5
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Bryan
Garcia
14539+24=146842%3
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152363=151458%6
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145522+21=145442%2
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 312:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155029+0=152146%2
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1522+2+24=154854%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1548+101=155751%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1524+3+26=155349%1
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Shaw, Bryan
Shaw
150224+0=147834%5
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1526+42+24=159266%3
7/30Saturday, July 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15046+0=149843%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1524+2+24=155057%6
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+263=152548%4
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15266+21=154152%1
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
152825+0=150351%0
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1471+0+24=149549%3
7/27Wednesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1527+3+0=153052%6
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1473+22+24=151948%4
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+42+0=157062%3
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
147112+24=148338%5
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1531+53=153356%1
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14693+24=149044%5
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15323+0=152959%2
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14518+24=146741%4
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153428+0=150653%3
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1449+13+24=148647%6
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+2+4=153857%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1451+9+28=148843%3
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1470+6+0=147638%5
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1531+7+24=156262%7
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14687+0=146140%6
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153329+24=152860%4
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1469+231=149144%4
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153226+24=153056%5
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
153624+0=151244%4
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+0+24=155556%5
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
153824+0=151439%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+37+24=159161%4
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1539+12+0=155149%2
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+5+24=155851%3
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1541293=150944%5
TBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1527+2+21=155056%10
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
15305+0=152556%5
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14667+24=148344%10
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
15311+0=153057%4
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14659+24=148043%5
7/8Friday, July 86:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1532+361=156757%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1464+33+24=152143%2
7/6Wednesday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+0+0=153049%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
154230+24=153651%1
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15271+0=152642%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1545+12+24=158158%4
7/4Monday, July 41:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1529+32=153046%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis (open)
15436+21=155854%4
7/3Sunday, July 31:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
15278+0=151943%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1547+0+24=157157%3
7/2Saturday, July 26:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1524+0+0=152446%11
TORTORBlue Jays
Hatch, Thomas
Hatch
155024+24=155054%5
7/2Saturday, July 212:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1522+33+0=155545%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1552+15+24=159155%2
7/1Friday, July 13:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1524+5+0=152945%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15509+24=156555%9
6/30Thursday, June 307:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1526+33=152648%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154832+24=154052%4
6/29Wednesday, June 2912:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153712+0=152546%5
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1527+3+24=155454%3
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1536+111=154650%5
TBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
152913+26=154250%3
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1438+9+0=144731%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+30+24=158269%4
6/25Saturday, June 251:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1438+5+0=144334%5
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1527+7+24=155866%6
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1439+13=143733%3
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1527+5+26=155867%4
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15883+0=158557%5
TBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
152814+24=153843%4
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1589+2+0=159155%4
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1527+2+24=155345%5
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1588+73=159252%4
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+29+21=157848%2
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+6+0=153559%1
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1446+0+24=147041%2
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1528+10+0=153861%7
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
144712+24=145939%6
6/17Friday, June 176:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
1530242=150457%0
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144612+22=145643%1
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1531+2+0=153347%1
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
158352+24=155553%2
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+31+0=156243%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1582+3+24=160957%4
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1532+51=153639%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1581+6+26=161361%2
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1530+6+0=153653%6
MINMINTwins
Sands, Cole
Sands
152229+24=151747%0
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
153117+0=151449%5
MINMINTwins
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
152126+24=151951%6
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1533+113=154148%4
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1519+8+24=155152%9
6/9Thursday, June 91:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+10+0=152442%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1532+26+24=158258%2
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
151630+0=148639%3
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+6+24=156061%11
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1517+61=152245%2
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1529+1+26=155655%4
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1519+21+0=154051%6
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153017+24=153749%5
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1518+16+0=153446%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+8+24=156354%2
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
1519153=150139%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+25+21=157661%6
6/2Thursday, June 22:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+4+0=153356%3
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
148216+24=149044%1
6/1Wednesday, June 18:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1528+1+0=152952%4
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1483+5+24=151248%3
5/31Tuesday, May 318:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
152916+0=151349%0
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1482+16+24=152251%3
5/30Monday, May 308:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+143=154358%5
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147911+20=148842%9
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15701+0=156949%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+24+24=157851%4
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+14+0=158655%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+0+24=155345%3
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15704+0=156652%2
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15301+24=155348%0
5/26Thursday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1568+53=157055%7
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153219+24=153745%2
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
149120+0=147136%4
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+18+24=157364%5
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1493+19+0=151241%0
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+23+23=157659%4
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1531+3+0=153465%6
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143327+24=143035%7
5/21Saturday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15307+0=152360%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14353+24=145640%1
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
1531461=148453%6
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+24=146247%8
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1460+12+0=147236%1
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1530+17+24=157164%6
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146217+0=144532%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+23+24=157568%8
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
1460163=144134%3
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+3+24=155766%2
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+24+0=157054%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154246%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
154422+0=152248%5
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153017+24=153752%1
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+231=156850%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1528+17+22=156750%5
5/11Wednesday, May 117:07 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1527+19+0=154645%4
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1534+26+24=158455%2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+15+0=154551%0
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
153119+24=153649%12
5/9Monday, May 99:38 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1533103=152044%3
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1528+9+24=156156%11
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153420+0=151450%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149911+24=151250%2
5/7Saturday, May 79:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+17+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1502+1+24=152747%2
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1531+0+0=153148%8
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1503+17+24=154452%7
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+183=154549%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+20=155451%3
5/4Wednesday, May 43:37 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1528+12+0=154054%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1455+35+24=151446%0
5/3Tuesday, May 39:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
152714+0=151356%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
145710+24=147144%7
5/2Monday, May 29:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1525+144=153559%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
145810+24=147241%1
5/1Sunday, May 11:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
152118+0=150347%9
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
152831+24=152153%3
4/30Saturday, April 304:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15175+0=151241%9
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+19+24=157459%1
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1519+03=151644%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+6+24=155956%6
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1510+0+0=151045%1
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154255%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1511+3+0=151444%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1527+8+24=155956%3
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1509+112=151844%8
TBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1530+0+26=155656%4
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15287+0=152143%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+19+24=157157%5
4/23Saturday, April 236:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152927+0=150243%2
TBTBRays
Feyereisen, J.P.
Feyereisen (open)
1527+0+24=155157%3
4/22Friday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152893=151643%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+13+23=156557%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:30 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1526+10+0=153652%8
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1483+18+24=152548%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler
152511+0=151451%6
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14841+24=150749%5
4/18Monday, April 187:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1527+161=154256%2
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14837+21=149744%4
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Feyereisen, J.P.
Feyereisen
152418+0=150646%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
154534+24=153554%3
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1525+12+0=153747%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
15459+24=156053%3
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1526+123=153544%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1544+11+24=157956%3
4/14Thursday, April 141:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
146213+0=144939%6
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
152826+24=152661%3
4/13Wednesday, April 136:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1460+36+0=149639%4
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+16+24=157061%2
4/12Tuesday, April 126:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
146110+0=145138%8
TBTBRays
Romero, Tommy
Romero
152919+24=153462%9
4/11Monday, April 116:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1455263=142634%13
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153415+24=154366%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14282+0=142631%0
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1533+10+24=156769%8
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1429+4+0=143331%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+12+24=156869%5
4/8Friday, April 83:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1430+243=145134%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+14+24=156966%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.