2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Reds are done for the season.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CardinalsCardinals93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
BrewersBrewers86-76 | 7.0 | — | — | |||
CubsCubs74-88 | 19.0 | — | — | |||
RedsReds62-100 | 31.0 | — | — | |||
PiratesPirates62-100 | 31.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1477 | –2 | +0 | =1475 | 51% | 15 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1455 | –10 | +24 | =1469 | 49% | 2 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Assad | 1478 | –16 | +0 | =1462 | 49% | 2 |
CINReds | Cessa | 1454 | –11 | +24 | =1467 | 51% | 3 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1480 | –4 | –2 | =1474 | 48% | 1 |
CINReds | Greene | 1452 | +16 | +22 | =1490 | 52% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1454 | –6 | +0 | =1448 | 40% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1478 | +19 | +24 | =1521 | 60% | 8 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 12:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1455 | +24 | +0 | =1479 | 46% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1477 | +3 | +24 | =1504 | 54% | 2 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 302:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1457 | –4 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1475 | –3 | +24 | =1496 | 56% | 6 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1458 | –12 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | 3 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1430 | –22 | +24 | =1432 | 48% | 4 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1460 | +12 | +0 | =1472 | 52% | 1 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1428 | +7 | +24 | =1459 | 48% | 4 | |
9/26Monday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1462 | –8 | –2 | =1452 | 49% | 3 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1426 | +11 | +24 | =1461 | 51% | 8 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1529 | +16 | +0 | =1545 | 56% | 1 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1461 | +22 | +24 | =1507 | 44% | 2 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1527 | +26 | +0 | =1553 | 59% | 10 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1463 | +0 | +24 | =1487 | 41% | 2 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1526 | –11 | +0 | =1515 | 55% | 5 |
CINReds | Cessa | 1465 | –11 | +24 | =1478 | 45% | 3 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1524 | +26 | –2 | =1548 | 57% | 5 |
CINReds | Greene | 1466 | +10 | +24 | =1500 | 43% | 1 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Seabold | 1509 | –39 | +0 | =1470 | 49% | 1 |
CINReds | Anderson | 1464 | –11 | +24 | =1477 | 51% | 5 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1508 | –10 | –1 | =1497 | 48% | 5 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1466 | +23 | +24 | =1513 | 52% | 3 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1463 | –13 | +0 | =1450 | 33% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1532 | +19 | +24 | =1575 | 67% | 0 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1464 | +7 | +0 | =1471 | 38% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Quintana | 1531 | –2 | +24 | =1553 | 62% | 1 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1465 | –16 | +0 | =1449 | 37% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1530 | –9 | +24 | =1545 | 63% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cruz (open) | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 38% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1529 | +1 | +24 | =1554 | 62% | 6 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1464 | –14 | –2 | =1448 | 34% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1530 | +8 | +24 | =1562 | 66% | 2 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 1412:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1430 | +14 | +0 | =1444 | 40% | 10 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1468 | +24 | +24 | =1516 | 60% | 4 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1428 | –5 | +0 | =1423 | 42% | 1 |
CINReds | Cruz | 1469 | –10 | +24 | =1483 | 58% | 0 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 1312:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1426 | –16 | +0 | =1410 | 39% | 6 |
CINReds | Cessa | 1472 | –9 | +24 | =1487 | 61% | 1 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1423 | –20 | –2 | =1401 | 38% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1474 | –11 | +22 | =1485 | 62% | 3 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1475 | –9 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1522 | +19 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | 7 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Anderson | 1476 | –19 | +0 | =1457 | 41% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1520 | –25 | +24 | =1519 | 59% | 5 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1473 | +15 | –1 | =1487 | 46% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1523 | –31 | +24 | =1516 | 54% | 2 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1472 | –14 | +0 | =1458 | 47% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1466 | –9 | +24 | =1481 | 53% | 3 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1469 | –11 | +0 | =1458 | 46% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Assad | 1469 | –6 | +24 | =1487 | 54% | 1 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1472 | –5 | +0 | =1467 | 47% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Miley | 1466 | +1 | +24 | =1491 | 53% | 9 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 43:50 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Urena | 1454 | –27 | +0 | =1427 | 43% | 0 |
CINReds | Anderson | 1469 | –19 | +24 | =1474 | 57% | 10 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 412:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1452 | +20 | +2 | =1474 | 46% | 8 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1471 | +8 | +26 | =1505 | 54% | 4 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1453 | +11 | –2 | =1462 | 46% | 2 |
CINReds | Cessa (open) | 1470 | –6 | +26 | =1490 | 54% | 3 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Quintana | 1533 | –7 | +0 | =1526 | 56% | 5 |
CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –11 | +24 | =1484 | 44% | 3 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1535 | –7 | +0 | =1528 | 56% | 1 |
CINReds | Dunn | 1469 | –6 | +24 | =1487 | 44% | 5 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1533 | +9 | –2 | =1540 | 59% | 13 |
CINReds | Anderson | 1472 | –14 | +22 | =1480 | 41% | 4 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1473 | +6 | +0 | =1479 | 56% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1431 | –20 | +24 | =1435 | 44% | 3 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1471 | –15 | +0 | =1456 | 49% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1433 | +7 | +24 | =1464 | 51% | 2 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1469 | –14 | –2 | =1453 | 48% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Cavalli | 1435 | +9 | +22 | =1466 | 52% | 3 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1470 | –8 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1537 | +22 | +24 | =1583 | 67% | 4 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Zeuch | 1471 | –27 | +0 | =1444 | 39% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1536 | –38 | +24 | =1522 | 61% | 7 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1472 | +3 | +0 | =1475 | 38% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1535 | –1 | +24 | =1558 | 62% | 7 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1473 | –15 | –2 | =1456 | 38% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1534 | –19 | +24 | =1539 | 62% | 4 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –13 | +0 | =1458 | 52% | 9 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1430 | –7 | +24 | =1447 | 48% | 5 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1468 | –10 | +0 | =1458 | 51% | 10 |
PITPirates | Beede | 1433 | –3 | +24 | =1454 | 49% | 1 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1469 | +1 | +0 | =1470 | 54% | 4 |
PITPirates | Wilson | 1431 | –16 | +24 | =1439 | 46% | 5 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 1712:35 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1540 | –5 | +0 | =1535 | 57% | 0 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1468 | –7 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | 1 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1538 | –15 | +0 | =1523 | 56% | 11 |
CINReds | Zeuch | 1470 | –15 | +24 | =1479 | 44% | 4 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Syndergaard | 1537 | –20 | –3 | =1514 | 55% | 4 |
CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –13 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | 3 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Thompson | 1471 | –6 | +0 | =1465 | 47% | 5 |
CINReds | Dunn | 1469 | –6 | +24 | =1487 | 53% | 8 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1469 | –8 | +2 | =1463 | 45% | 7 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1472 | +1 | +26 | =1499 | 55% | 2 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1468 | –3 | –2 | =1463 | 50% | 4 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1473 | –7 | –3 | =1463 | 50% | 2 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Zeuch | 1475 | –12 | +0 | =1463 | 35% | 2 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1561 | –18 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | 10 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1476 | –14 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | 2 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1560 | –15 | +24 | =1569 | 65% | 6 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dunn | 1477 | –7 | –3 | =1467 | 33% | 1 |
NYMMets | Bassitt | 1559 | +4 | +24 | =1587 | 67% | 5 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1475 | –4 | +0 | =1471 | 33% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1530 | +40 | +24 | =1594 | 67% | 2 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1474 | –6 | +0 | =1468 | 42% | 7 |
MILBrewers | Ashby | 1532 | –31 | +24 | =1525 | 58% | 5 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Dugger | 1475 | –39 | –1 | =1435 | 35% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1531 | –8 | +22 | =1545 | 65% | 5 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1476 | –15 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1481 | +45 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 3 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1475 | –13 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1482 | –14 | +24 | =1492 | 54% | 1 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 16:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1473 | –5 | –3 | =1465 | 47% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1483 | –20 | +24 | =1487 | 53% | 1 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1473 | –3 | +0 | =1470 | 48% | 2 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1472 | –11 | +24 | =1485 | 52% | 3 | |
7/30Saturday, July 306:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1475 | –6 | +0 | =1469 | 44% | 2 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1470 | +19 | +24 | =1513 | 56% | 8 | |
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1473 | –27 | –2 | =1444 | 44% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1473 | –12 | +24 | =1485 | 56% | 2 | |
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Castano | 1488 | –34 | +0 | =1454 | 45% | 7 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1474 | –10 | +24 | =1488 | 55% | 6 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 276:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1489 | –16 | +0 | =1473 | 41% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1473 | +41 | +24 | =1538 | 59% | 5 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 266:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1488 | +8 | +0 | =1496 | 50% | 2 |
CINReds | Greene | 1474 | –4 | +24 | =1494 | 50% | 1 | |
7/25Monday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1491 | –16 | –2 | =1473 | 49% | 2 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1471 | –16 | +24 | =1479 | 51% | 11 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1514 | +25 | +0 | =1539 | 54% | 3 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1469 | +20 | +24 | =1513 | 46% | 6 | |
7/23Saturday, July 236:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1512 | –8 | +0 | =1504 | 52% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1470 | –6 | +24 | =1488 | 48% | 3 | |
7/22Friday, July 226:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1515 | +26 | +5 | =1546 | 58% | 5 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1468 | –8 | +29 | =1489 | 42% | 9 | |
7/16Saturday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1470 | –9 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1513 | +23 | +24 | =1560 | 64% | 11 | |
7/15Friday, July 158:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1471 | –5 | –3 | =1463 | 42% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1511 | –17 | +24 | =1518 | 58% | 7 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1470 | +36 | +0 | =1506 | 35% | 7 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1588 | –2 | +24 | =1610 | 65% | 6 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 137:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –6 | +0 | =1465 | 29% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1587 | +8 | +24 | =1619 | 71% | 7 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1469 | –8 | –1 | =1460 | 28% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1589 | +14 | +24 | =1627 | 72% | 3 | |
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Baz | 1530 | –5 | +0 | =1525 | 56% | 5 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1466 | –7 | +24 | =1483 | 44% | 10 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1531 | –1 | +0 | =1530 | 57% | 4 |
CINReds | Greene | 1465 | –9 | +24 | =1480 | 43% | 5 | |
7/8Friday, July 86:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1532 | +36 | –1 | =1567 | 57% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1464 | +33 | +24 | =1521 | 43% | 2 | |
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1437 | –20 | +0 | =1417 | 43% | 1 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1462 | –21 | +24 | =1465 | 57% | 5 | |
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1435 | –5 | –2 | =1428 | 42% | 4 |
CINReds | Minor | 1464 | –5 | +24 | =1483 | 58% | 2 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1542 | –16 | +0 | =1526 | 56% | 8 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1466 | –8 | +24 | =1482 | 44% | 3 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1543 | +40 | +0 | =1583 | 65% | 0 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1464 | –12 | +24 | =1476 | 35% | 1 | |
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1542 | +0 | –3 | =1539 | 58% | 7 |
CINReds | Greene | 1466 | –4 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | 4 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1557 | +6 | +0 | =1563 | 56% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1464 | +31 | +24 | =1519 | 44% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1555 | –10 | +0 | =1545 | 55% | 4 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1466 | +22 | +24 | =1512 | 45% | 1 | |
7/1Friday, July 16:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Fried | 1553 | +30 | –2 | =1581 | 64% | 9 |
CINReds | Minor | 1468 | –6 | +22 | =1484 | 36% | 1 | |
6/30Thursday, June 308:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1471 | +6 | +0 | =1477 | 48% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 52% | 15 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 298:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1473 | –6 | +0 | =1467 | 48% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 52% | 8 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 288:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1472 | +28 | –2 | =1498 | 52% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Thompson | 1461 | –5 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | 3 | |
6/26Sunday, June 264:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1468 | +20 | +0 | =1488 | 43% | 10 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1525 | –11 | +24 | =1538 | 57% | 3 | |
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1470 | –1 | +0 | =1469 | 36% | 2 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1523 | +19 | +24 | =1566 | 64% | 9 | |
6/24Friday, June 2410:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1468 | +0 | –4 | =1464 | 41% | 4 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1525 | –17 | +20 | =1528 | 59% | 2 | |
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1589 | +11 | +0 | =1600 | 64% | 10 |
CINReds | Greene | 1470 | +3 | +24 | =1497 | 36% | 5 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Anderson | 1587 | –11 | +0 | =1576 | 58% | 8 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1471 | +28 | +24 | =1523 | 42% | 4 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1586 | +10 | –2 | =1594 | 60% | 8 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1473 | +22 | +26 | =1521 | 40% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1533 | –19 | +0 | =1514 | 52% | 6 |
CINReds | Minor | 1475 | +0 | +24 | =1499 | 48% | 3 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1531 | –28 | +0 | =1503 | 50% | 7 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1477 | +5 | +24 | =1506 | 50% | 3 | |
6/17Friday, June 176:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1530 | –8 | –3 | =1519 | 52% | 5 |
CINReds | Greene | 1478 | +4 | +22 | =1504 | 48% | 4 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 153:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1479 | +26 | +0 | =1505 | 50% | 4 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1463 | +20 | +24 | =1507 | 50% | 7 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1478 | +13 | +0 | =1491 | 52% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1464 | –12 | +24 | =1476 | 48% | 3 | |
6/13Monday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1477 | +2 | –3 | =1476 | 47% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1465 | +14 | +20 | =1499 | 53% | 4 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1476 | +13 | +0 | =1489 | 41% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1515 | +9 | +24 | =1548 | 59% | 6 | |
6/11Saturday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1476 | –1 | +0 | =1475 | 38% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1514 | +25 | +24 | =1563 | 62% | 5 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1478 | +28 | –2 | =1504 | 48% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Pallante | 1513 | –17 | +21 | =1517 | 52% | 2 | |
6/9Thursday, June 912:35 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1461 | –17 | +0 | =1444 | 40% | 5 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1479 | +11 | +24 | =1514 | 60% | 4 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1458 | +9 | +0 | =1467 | 44% | 7 |
CINReds | Minor | 1482 | +5 | +24 | =1511 | 56% | 0 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gilbert | 1460 | –4 | +0 | =1456 | 42% | 8 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1480 | +7 | +24 | =1511 | 58% | 14 | |
6/6Monday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1462 | +2 | –2 | =1462 | 46% | 0 |
CINReds | Greene | 1478 | –12 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | 7 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1459 | –12 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 5 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1479 | +33 | +24 | =1536 | 63% | 4 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 41% | 10 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1481 | +13 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | 8 | |
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1456 | +2 | +0 | =1458 | 41% | 8 |
CINReds | Minor | 1483 | +11 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | 5 | |
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Adon | 1458 | –4 | –3 | =1451 | 43% | 1 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1481 | +1 | +21 | =1503 | 57% | 8 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1482 | –14 | +0 | =1468 | 41% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1527 | –20 | +24 | =1531 | 59% | 7 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1481 | +29 | –1 | =1509 | 45% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1528 | –8 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | 1 | |
5/29Sunday, May 2911:35 a.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1516 | –15 | +0 | =1501 | 48% | 6 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1483 | +10 | +24 | =1517 | 52% | 4 | |
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1517 | –8 | +0 | =1509 | 54% | 2 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1482 | –22 | +24 | =1484 | 46% | 3 | |
5/27Friday, May 276:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Rodon | 1519 | +20 | –2 | =1537 | 55% | 1 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1479 | –3 | +24 | =1500 | 45% | 5 | |
5/26Thursday, May 2612:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1481 | +0 | +0 | =1481 | 48% | 5 |
CINReds | Greene | 1475 | –4 | +24 | =1495 | 52% | 20 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1482 | –7 | +0 | =1475 | 42% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1474 | +31 | +24 | =1529 | 58% | 4 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1479 | +17 | +0 | =1496 | 47% | 11 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1477 | +18 | +24 | =1519 | 53% | 4 | |
5/23Monday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1477 | –7 | –2 | =1468 | 49% | 7 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1479 | –23 | +22 | =1478 | 51% | 4 | |
5/22Sunday, May 221:37 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1478 | –7 | +0 | =1471 | 39% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1546 | –21 | +24 | =1549 | 61% | 2 | |
5/21Saturday, May 213:07 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1479 | –11 | +0 | =1468 | 33% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1545 | +22 | +24 | =1591 | 67% | 3 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:07 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1479 | +29 | –2 | =1506 | 44% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1545 | –22 | +26 | =1549 | 56% | 2 | |
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1478 | +16 | +2 | =1496 | 45% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1497 | +5 | +26 | =1528 | 55% | 2 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Overton | 1477 | +6 | +0 | =1483 | 46% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1499 | –10 | +23 | =1512 | 54% | 4 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1478 | –19 | +0 | =1459 | 48% | 0 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1441 | +7 | +24 | =1472 | 52% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1479 | +34 | +0 | =1513 | 57% | 1 |
PITPirates | Thompson | 1439 | +2 | +24 | =1465 | 43% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 136:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1477 | +17 | +0 | =1494 | 55% | 8 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1441 | –7 | +24 | =1458 | 45% | 2 | |
5/12Thursday, May 126:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Overton | 1475 | +4 | –2 | =1477 | 51% | 4 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1443 | +3 | +24 | =1470 | 49% | 0 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1546 | –15 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | 11 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1473 | –17 | +24 | =1480 | 43% | 14 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1545 | –1 | +0 | =1544 | 60% | 5 |
CINReds | Greene | 1474 | –22 | +24 | =1476 | 40% | 4 | |
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1548 | +8 | –2 | =1554 | 53% | 5 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1472 | +36 | +24 | =1532 | 47% | 10 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Thompson | 1442 | –2 | +0 | =1440 | 40% | 3 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1470 | +17 | +24 | =1511 | 60% | 7 | |
5/7Saturday, May 76:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1440 | –2 | +0 | =1438 | 45% | 8 |
CINReds | Dugger | 1472 | –23 | +24 | =1473 | 55% | 5 | |
5/7Saturday, May 712:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1442 | +1 | +3 | =1446 | 43% | 2 |
CINReds | Overton | 1470 | +1 | +24 | =1495 | 57% | 9 | |
5/5Thursday, May 51:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1472 | –6 | +0 | =1466 | 37% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1548 | –15 | +24 | =1557 | 63% | 10 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1474 | –13 | +0 | =1461 | 35% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1545 | –4 | +24 | =1565 | 65% | 18 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1475 | +17 | –1 | =1491 | 38% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1544 | +6 | +26 | =1576 | 62% | 6 | |
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Sanmartin | 1478 | –24 | +0 | =1454 | 44% | 1 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1466 | +2 | +24 | =1492 | 56% | 10 | |
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Overton | 1479 | –13 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | 3 |
COLRockies | Kuhl | 1465 | –3 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | 4 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1481 | –6 | –3 | =1472 | 48% | 4 |
COLRockies | Senzatela | 1463 | +4 | +20 | =1487 | 52% | 10 | |
4/28Thursday, April 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Martinez | 1537 | –49 | +0 | =1488 | 45% | 7 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1483 | +16 | +24 | =1523 | 55% | 5 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Gore | 1535 | –19 | +0 | =1516 | 53% | 8 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1484 | –11 | +24 | =1497 | 47% | 5 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1534 | +10 | –2 | =1542 | 56% | 9 |
CINReds | Sanmartin | 1486 | –13 | +26 | =1499 | 44% | 6 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1510 | +24 | +0 | =1534 | 56% | 1 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1484 | –16 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | 4 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1508 | –3 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 5 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1486 | +15 | +24 | =1525 | 53% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 226:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1506 | –4 | –3 | =1499 | 49% | 4 |
CINReds | Greene | 1488 | –5 | +22 | =1505 | 51% | 2 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 204:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1490 | –11 | +0 | =1479 | 42% | 0 |
SDPadres | Gore | 1535 | –25 | +24 | =1534 | 58% | 6 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Sanmartin | 1491 | –8 | +0 | =1483 | 38% | 2 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1534 | +9 | +24 | =1567 | 62% | 6 | |
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1492 | –17 | –1 | =1474 | 37% | 1 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1532 | +10 | +24 | =1566 | 63% | 4 | |
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1494 | +18 | +0 | =1512 | 38% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Heaney | 1585 | –15 | +24 | =1594 | 62% | 9 | |
4/16Saturday, April 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1495 | –10 | +0 | =1485 | 33% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1584 | +2 | +24 | =1610 | 67% | 5 | |
4/15Friday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1496 | –12 | +0 | =1484 | 34% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1584 | –9 | +24 | =1599 | 66% | 3 | |
4/14Thursday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1497 | –15 | –4 | =1478 | 31% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1582 | +13 | +20 | =1615 | 69% | 9 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1499 | –7 | +0 | =1492 | 47% | 7 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1499 | –12 | +24 | =1511 | 53% | 3 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1496 | +30 | –3 | =1523 | 47% | 10 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1502 | +19 | +24 | =1545 | 53% | 5 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1500 | –12 | +0 | =1488 | 37% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1554 | +2 | +24 | =1580 | 63% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 97:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1501 | –14 | +0 | =1487 | 44% | 1 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1553 | –49 | +24 | =1528 | 56% | 2 | |
4/8Friday, April 87:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Sanmartin | 1501 | –3 | +0 | =1498 | 36% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1553 | +20 | +24 | =1597 | 64% | 7 | |
4/7Thursday, April 78 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1499 | +16 | –2 | =1513 | 38% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1555 | +19 | +24 | =1598 | 62% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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