2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Royals are done for the season.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GuardiansGuardians92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
White SoxWhite Sox81-81 | 11.0 | — | — | |||
TwinsTwins78-84 | 14.0 | — | — | |||
TigersTigers66-96 | 26.0 | — | — | |||
RoyalsRoyals65-97 | 27.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1455 | –12 | +0 | =1443 | 37% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1525 | –10 | +24 | =1539 | 63% | 9 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1456 | –8 | +0 | =1448 | 36% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 64% | 5 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1453 | +10 | +0 | =1463 | 34% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1526 | +26 | +24 | =1576 | 66% | 2 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Castillo | 1454 | –10 | +0 | =1444 | 31% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1525 | +34 | +24 | =1583 | 69% | 7 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1451 | –14 | +0 | =1437 | 37% | 7 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1529 | –21 | +24 | =1532 | 63% | 1 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1452 | +37 | –1 | =1488 | 43% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1527 | –11 | +24 | =1540 | 57% | 6 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1454 | –10 | +0 | =1444 | 44% | 3 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1456 | +9 | +24 | =1489 | 56% | 10 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1455 | –10 | +0 | =1445 | 45% | 1 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1455 | +1 | +24 | =1480 | 55% | 2 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1456 | +6 | –1 | =1461 | 46% | 3 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1454 | +8 | +24 | =1486 | 54% | 4 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1526 | +29 | +0 | =1555 | 61% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Castillo | 1455 | –4 | +24 | =1475 | 39% | 13 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1525 | +10 | +0 | =1535 | 60% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1456 | –16 | +24 | =1464 | 40% | 5 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1527 | –15 | –4 | =1508 | 49% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1454 | +35 | +24 | =1513 | 51% | 5 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1500 | –10 | +0 | =1490 | 54% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1452 | –13 | +24 | =1463 | 46% | 4 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1502 | +9 | +0 | =1511 | 57% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1450 | –10 | +24 | =1464 | 43% | 5 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1503 | –10 | –3 | =1490 | 51% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1449 | +8 | +23 | =1480 | 49% | 5 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1451 | –11 | +0 | =1440 | 37% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1506 | +2 | +24 | =1532 | 63% | 13 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1448 | +32 | +0 | =1480 | 43% | 9 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1509 | –4 | +24 | =1529 | 57% | 0 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1448 | –19 | –3 | =1426 | 32% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1509 | +19 | +26 | =1554 | 68% | 2 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1449 | –8 | +0 | =1441 | 39% | 2 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1507 | –10 | +24 | =1521 | 61% | 3 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1450 | +11 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1506 | +22 | +24 | =1552 | 63% | 4 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1451 | –7 | +0 | =1444 | 37% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1505 | +6 | +26 | =1537 | 63% | 6 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1450 | –16 | +0 | =1434 | 40% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1450 | +29 | +24 | =1503 | 60% | 4 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1448 | –3 | +0 | =1445 | 48% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1452 | –14 | +24 | =1462 | 52% | 4 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1445 | –8 | –1 | =1436 | 44% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1455 | –4 | +26 | =1477 | 56% | 2 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Morris | 1507 | –33 | +0 | =1474 | 48% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1454 | +7 | +24 | =1485 | 52% | 2 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1506 | +32 | +0 | =1538 | 60% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1455 | –10 | +24 | =1469 | 40% | 1 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1505 | +22 | –3 | =1524 | 52% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1456 | +30 | +21 | =1507 | 48% | 5 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Castillo | 1455 | –3 | +0 | =1452 | 48% | 3 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1448 | –3 | +24 | =1469 | 52% | 2 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1452 | –16 | +0 | =1436 | 45% | 12 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1452 | –3 | +24 | =1473 | 55% | 2 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1453 | –1 | –2 | =1450 | 49% | 4 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1451 | –17 | +24 | =1458 | 51% | 5 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Mengden | 1454 | –1 | +0 | =1453 | 39% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1507 | +3 | +24 | =1534 | 61% | 7 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1455 | –11 | +0 | =1444 | 36% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1507 | +10 | +24 | =1541 | 64% | 4 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1454 | +33 | +0 | =1487 | 44% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1508 | –7 | +26 | =1527 | 56% | 7 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Manaea | 1523 | –16 | +0 | =1507 | 57% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1450 | –18 | +24 | =1456 | 43% | 15 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1522 | +21 | +0 | =1543 | 60% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1451 | –1 | +24 | =1474 | 40% | 3 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1520 | +16 | –1 | =1535 | 59% | 13 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1453 | –8 | +26 | =1471 | 41% | 5 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1471 | +36 | +0 | =1507 | 50% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1452 | +29 | +24 | =1505 | 50% | 5 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1470 | –15 | –1 | =1454 | 50% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1454 | –21 | +24 | =1457 | 50% | 3 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1518 | +4 | –1 | =1521 | 57% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1452 | +1 | +21 | =1474 | 43% | 6 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1453 | +5 | +0 | =1458 | 40% | 2 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1526 | –23 | +24 | =1527 | 60% | 3 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1454 | –4 | +0 | =1450 | 35% | 2 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1525 | +9 | +24 | =1558 | 65% | 5 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1453 | +27 | +0 | =1480 | 36% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1527 | +29 | +24 | =1580 | 64% | 2 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Castillo | 1454 | –10 | –3 | =1441 | 40% | 1 |
TBRays | Patino | 1525 | –31 | +21 | =1515 | 60% | 7 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1456 | +0 | +0 | =1456 | 36% | 0 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1513 | +19 | +24 | =1556 | 64% | 4 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1458 | +5 | +0 | =1463 | 37% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1511 | +19 | +24 | =1554 | 63% | 9 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1459 | –3 | –2 | =1454 | 38% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1510 | +6 | +20 | =1536 | 62% | 4 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Anderson | 1618 | –4 | +0 | =1614 | 65% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1456 | +23 | +24 | =1503 | 35% | 4 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Heaney | 1616 | –15 | +0 | =1601 | 67% | 13 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1458 | –3 | +24 | =1479 | 33% | 3 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1615 | +6 | –1 | =1620 | 69% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1459 | –4 | +24 | =1479 | 31% | 3 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1519 | +34 | +0 | =1553 | 60% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1457 | +3 | +24 | =1484 | 40% | 5 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1522 | +1 | +0 | =1523 | 57% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1455 | –2 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | 8 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:30 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1521 | –19 | +0 | =1502 | 56% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1456 | –22 | +24 | =1458 | 44% | 2 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1522 | +7 | +0 | =1529 | 54% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1454 | +20 | +26 | =1500 | 46% | 4 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1517 | +2 | +0 | =1519 | 57% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1451 | –3 | +24 | =1472 | 43% | 13 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1519 | +10 | +0 | =1529 | 58% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1450 | –2 | +24 | =1472 | 42% | 5 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1517 | –25 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1451 | +6 | +24 | =1481 | 48% | 4 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1519 | +1 | –3 | =1517 | 57% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1449 | –4 | +22 | =1467 | 43% | 7 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1450 | +24 | +0 | =1474 | 39% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1523 | +5 | +24 | =1552 | 61% | 4 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1452 | +2 | +0 | =1454 | 38% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1521 | –3 | +24 | =1542 | 62% | 9 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1451 | –7 | –3 | =1441 | 35% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1522 | +5 | +24 | =1551 | 65% | 1 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1449 | +6 | +0 | =1455 | 30% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1588 | –8 | +24 | =1604 | 70% | 6 | |
7/30Saturday, July 302:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1449 | –15 | +0 | =1434 | 26% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1588 | +5 | +24 | =1617 | 74% | 8 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1450 | –8 | +0 | =1442 | 25% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1587 | +20 | +24 | =1631 | 75% | 11 | |
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1451 | +16 | –3 | =1464 | 31% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1586 | –10 | +23 | =1599 | 69% | 1 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Junk | 1495 | –25 | +0 | =1470 | 48% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1453 | +4 | +24 | =1481 | 52% | 0 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1492 | –31 | +0 | =1461 | 47% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Zerpa | 1456 | +3 | +24 | =1483 | 53% | 0 | |
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1495 | +1 | –3 | =1493 | 52% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1453 | +4 | +24 | =1481 | 48% | 7 | |
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1532 | –3 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1451 | –8 | +24 | =1467 | 41% | 4 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Patino | 1534 | –28 | +0 | =1506 | 53% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1449 | +13 | +24 | =1486 | 47% | 6 | |
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1532 | +2 | +4 | =1538 | 57% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1451 | +9 | +28 | =1488 | 43% | 3 | |
7/17Sunday, July 1712:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1452 | –12 | +0 | =1440 | 33% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1539 | –3 | +24 | =1560 | 67% | 4 | |
7/16Saturday, July 163:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1452 | –3 | +0 | =1449 | 38% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Castillo | 1538 | –25 | +24 | =1537 | 62% | 6 | |
7/15Friday, July 157:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1454 | +8 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1536 | +28 | +24 | =1588 | 67% | 8 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Zerpa | 1452 | +3 | –3 | =1452 | 33% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1538 | +16 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | 1 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 132:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1461 | +10 | +0 | =1471 | 48% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1450 | +14 | +24 | =1488 | 52% | 5 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 128:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1460 | +4 | +0 | =1464 | 50% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1452 | –12 | +24 | =1464 | 50% | 5 | |
7/11Monday, July 118:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1462 | –18 | +0 | =1444 | 46% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1450 | –2 | +24 | =1472 | 54% | 7 | |
7/11Monday, July 112:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Pineda | 1463 | +9 | –2 | =1470 | 49% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1449 | +6 | +24 | =1479 | 51% | 3 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1494 | +0 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1447 | +6 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | 5 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1491 | +9 | +0 | =1500 | 54% | 13 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1450 | –1 | +24 | =1473 | 46% | 1 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1492 | –15 | –1 | =1476 | 49% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1449 | +13 | +21 | =1483 | 51% | 4 | |
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1450 | –11 | +0 | =1439 | 26% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1562 | +34 | +24 | =1620 | 74% | 5 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1447 | +6 | +0 | =1453 | 30% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1564 | +11 | +24 | =1599 | 70% | 4 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1448 | +10 | +0 | =1458 | 33% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1564 | –7 | +24 | =1581 | 67% | 9 | |
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1449 | –7 | –3 | =1439 | 32% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1563 | –18 | +24 | =1569 | 68% | 7 | |
7/3Sunday, July 312:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1447 | +13 | +0 | =1460 | 45% | 7 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1456 | +13 | +24 | =1493 | 55% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1448 | –12 | +0 | =1436 | 45% | 3 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1455 | –6 | +24 | =1473 | 55% | 4 | |
7/1Friday, July 17:25 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1446 | +3 | –1 | =1448 | 44% | 3 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1456 | +13 | +22 | =1491 | 56% | 1 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1484 | +10 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1445 | +10 | +24 | =1479 | 48% | 2 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1482 | +17 | +0 | =1499 | 53% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1447 | +4 | +24 | =1475 | 47% | 3 | |
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1480 | +19 | –2 | =1497 | 54% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1449 | –7 | +24 | =1466 | 46% | 4 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1429 | –10 | +0 | =1419 | 40% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1451 | +11 | +24 | =1486 | 60% | 3 | |
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Koenig | 1427 | –15 | +0 | =1412 | 40% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1452 | +4 | +24 | =1480 | 60% | 7 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1428 | +2 | –4 | =1426 | 43% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1451 | +3 | +23 | =1477 | 57% | 3 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 229:49 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1453 | –4 | +0 | =1449 | 35% | 0 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1509 | +26 | +24 | =1559 | 65% | 5 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1451 | +6 | +0 | =1457 | 41% | 12 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1510 | –10 | +24 | =1524 | 59% | 11 | |
6/20Monday, June 209:38 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1449 | –8 | –2 | =1439 | 36% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1513 | +3 | +21 | =1537 | 64% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 194:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1451 | +12 | +0 | =1463 | 54% | 0 |
OAKAthletics | Koenig | 1432 | –20 | +24 | =1436 | 46% | 4 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1450 | +1 | +0 | =1451 | 49% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 51% | 0 | |
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1447 | –6 | +1 | =1442 | 43% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1436 | +37 | +20 | =1493 | 57% | 1 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 153:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1446 | +10 | +0 | =1456 | 40% | 3 |
SFGiants | Long | 1526 | –22 | +24 | =1528 | 60% | 2 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 149:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1447 | –8 | +0 | =1439 | 33% | 2 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1526 | +13 | +24 | =1563 | 67% | 4 | |
6/13Monday, June 139:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1448 | +14 | –4 | =1458 | 38% | 2 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1524 | –6 | +24 | =1542 | 62% | 6 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1440 | –15 | +0 | =1425 | 42% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1450 | +8 | +24 | =1482 | 58% | 7 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1439 | +22 | +0 | =1461 | 49% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1451 | –6 | +24 | =1469 | 51% | 4 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1441 | –6 | +0 | =1435 | 45% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1449 | –3 | +24 | =1470 | 55% | 8 | |
6/9Thursday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1442 | +5 | –1 | =1446 | 47% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1448 | –7 | +24 | =1465 | 53% | 7 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 82:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1556 | –21 | +0 | =1535 | 57% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1446 | +15 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | 8 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1555 | +25 | +0 | =1580 | 64% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1447 | +8 | +24 | =1479 | 36% | 0 | |
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1552 | –18 | –3 | =1531 | 59% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1450 | –2 | +24 | =1472 | 41% | 0 | |
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1552 | +2 | +0 | =1554 | 62% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1451 | –5 | +24 | =1470 | 38% | 4 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1555 | –4 | +0 | =1551 | 63% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1447 | –10 | +24 | =1461 | 37% | 6 | |
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1553 | –18 | –2 | =1533 | 56% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1450 | +20 | +23 | =1493 | 44% | 3 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1451 | +8 | +0 | =1459 | 45% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Pilkington | 1500 | –30 | +24 | =1494 | 55% | 4 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 316:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1453 | +2 | +0 | =1455 | 40% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1498 | +6 | +24 | =1528 | 60% | 8 | |
5/30Monday, May 306:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1455 | –7 | –3 | =1445 | 42% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1497 | –16 | +23 | =1504 | 58% | 7 | |
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1456 | +7 | +0 | =1463 | 36% | 3 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1521 | +18 | +24 | =1563 | 64% | 7 | |
5/28Saturday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1453 | +16 | +0 | =1469 | 41% | 7 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1523 | –11 | +24 | =1536 | 59% | 3 | |
5/27Friday, May 278:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1455 | +13 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | 7 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1522 | +6 | +24 | =1552 | 62% | 10 | |
5/26Thursday, May 267:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1453 | –1 | –1 | =1451 | 37% | 3 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1523 | –5 | +24 | =1542 | 63% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1454 | –5 | +0 | =1449 | 39% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1467 | +34 | +24 | =1525 | 61% | 8 | |
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1456 | +12 | –3 | =1465 | 51% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1465 | –24 | +20 | =1461 | 49% | 9 | |
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1523 | +7 | +0 | =1530 | 56% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1457 | +10 | +24 | =1491 | 44% | 6 | |
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +19 | +0 | =1540 | 56% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1459 | +12 | +24 | =1495 | 44% | 2 | |
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1520 | –5 | –2 | =1513 | 54% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 46% | 4 | |
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Velasquez | 1527 | –35 | +0 | =1492 | 53% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1462 | –14 | +24 | =1472 | 47% | 4 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1529 | +23 | +0 | =1552 | 58% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1460 | +11 | +24 | =1495 | 42% | 6 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1530 | –25 | +0 | =1505 | 53% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1459 | +4 | +24 | =1487 | 47% | 2 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1529 | +15 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1460 | –5 | +24 | =1479 | 41% | 0 | |
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1528 | –22 | –2 | =1504 | 51% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1461 | +12 | +21 | =1494 | 49% | 3 | |
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1460 | –2 | +0 | =1458 | 46% | 8 |
COLRockies | Gomber | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 54% | 7 | |
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1462 | –5 | +0 | =1457 | 46% | 4 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1460 | +4 | +24 | =1488 | 54% | 10 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1460 | +15 | –3 | =1472 | 47% | 14 |
COLRockies | Freeland | 1462 | +10 | +23 | =1495 | 53% | 10 | |
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1461 | –5 | +0 | =1456 | 46% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Hearn | 1469 | –12 | +24 | =1481 | 54% | 3 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Speier | 1458 | –5 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Bush (open) | 1472 | +0 | +24 | =1496 | 56% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1460 | +15 | –3 | =1472 | 47% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1471 | +2 | +21 | =1494 | 53% | 6 | |
5/9Monday, May 912:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1462 | –3 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1433 | +5 | +24 | =1462 | 51% | 6 | |
5/8Sunday, May 85:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1463 | –5 | +0 | =1458 | 50% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1432 | +2 | +24 | =1458 | 50% | 4 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1462 | +14 | +4 | =1480 | 52% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1433 | +0 | +29 | =1462 | 48% | 4 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1504 | +18 | +0 | =1522 | 57% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1465 | –13 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 0 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Hudson | 1506 | +4 | –2 | =1508 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1462 | +11 | +22 | =1495 | 48% | 7 | |
5/2Monday, May 21:15 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1463 | +11 | –2 | =1472 | 43% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1505 | –6 | +24 | =1523 | 57% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1562 | +4 | +0 | =1566 | 62% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1464 | –5 | +24 | =1483 | 38% | 4 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1561 | +15 | +0 | =1576 | 62% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1465 | –2 | +24 | =1487 | 38% | 0 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1558 | +2 | –3 | =1557 | 61% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1467 | –12 | +22 | =1477 | 39% | 2 | |
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1465 | +7 | +0 | =1472 | 37% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1530 | +7 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1466 | +11 | +0 | =1477 | 38% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1529 | +13 | +24 | =1566 | 62% | 7 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1463 | –11 | –2 | =1450 | 41% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1532 | –39 | +24 | =1517 | 59% | 0 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1464 | +2 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1508 | +31 | +24 | =1563 | 64% | 5 | |
4/23Saturday, April 239:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1466 | –5 | +0 | =1461 | 42% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Brash | 1506 | –9 | +24 | =1521 | 58% | 13 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1467 | +9 | –4 | =1472 | 42% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1505 | –2 | +24 | =1527 | 58% | 4 | |
4/21Thursday, April 212:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1509 | +7 | +0 | =1516 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1468 | +10 | +24 | =1502 | 48% | 0 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 208:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Paddack | 1511 | –11 | +0 | =1500 | 54% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1467 | –16 | +24 | =1475 | 46% | 2 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 52% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1466 | +3 | +29 | =1498 | 48% | 4 | |
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1470 | –15 | +0 | =1455 | 46% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1465 | –5 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 3 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 45% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1466 | +8 | +24 | =1498 | 55% | 1 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Mize | 1467 | +1 | –3 | =1465 | 45% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1467 | +11 | +24 | =1502 | 55% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1468 | –11 | –2 | =1455 | 39% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1502 | +4 | +26 | =1532 | 61% | 6 | |
4/11Monday, April 112:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1495 | –8 | +0 | =1487 | 48% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1470 | +7 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | 7 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1491 | +2 | +0 | =1493 | 49% | 17 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1474 | –1 | +24 | =1497 | 51% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1491 | –8 | +2 | =1485 | 48% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1473 | +0 | +26 | =1499 | 52% | 1 | |
4/7Thursday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1493 | +30 | –3 | =1520 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1472 | +8 | +24 | =1504 | 48% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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