2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Royals have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | TwinsTwins20-15 | — | 57% | 41% | ||
![]() | White SoxWhite Sox16-17 | 3.0 | 55% | 38% | ||
![]() | GuardiansGuardians16-17 | 3.0 | 31% | 18% | ||
![]() | RoyalsRoyals12-20 | 6.5 | 3% | 1% | ||
![]() | TigersTigers12-23 | 8.0 | 2% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | –2 | =1525 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +12 | +21 | =1494 | 46% | ||
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +16 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –5 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | ||
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –34 | +0 | =1494 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +13 | +24 | =1498 | 51% | ||
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –37 | +0 | =1491 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –11 | +24 | =1474 | 48% | ||
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | –2 | =1517 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +2 | +24 | =1487 | 46% | ||
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +20 | +0 | =1538 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +12 | +24 | =1497 | 44% | ||
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –9 | +0 | =1509 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 47% | ||
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –5 | –3 | =1453 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –26 | +20 | =1458 | 51% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +13 | +0 | =1474 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +27 | +24 | =1515 | 56% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 267:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –11 | –1 | =1449 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +20 | +24 | =1562 | 66% | ||
5/27Friday, May 278:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
5/30Monday, May 306:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +23 | =1522 | 59% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 316:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | –2 | =1553 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +23 | =1484 | 40% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 40% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +0 | =1555 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 40% | ||
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | –3 | =1541 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | –3 | =1429 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 58% | ||
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 58% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 58% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 58% | ||
6/13Monday, June 139:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –4 | =1457 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 63% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 149:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 153:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +1 | =1462 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +20 | =1473 | 51% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 52% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 194:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 52% | ||
6/20Monday, June 209:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –2 | =1459 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +21 | =1558 | 64% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 229:49 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | ||
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | –4 | =1449 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +23 | =1484 | 55% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 55% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 55% | ||
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | –2 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +0 | +0 | =1468 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –1 | =1460 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +22 | =1482 | 53% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 312:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 67% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 66% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 66% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 66% | ||
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –1 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 48% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
7/11Monday, July 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | –2 | =1458 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 54% | ||
7/11Monday, July 118:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 54% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 128:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 54% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 132:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 54% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 65% | ||
7/15Friday, July 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 65% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 163:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 65% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 1712:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +24 | =1568 | 65% | ||
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +4 | =1535 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +28 | =1489 | 44% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | –3 | =1534 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +0 | =1537 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +1 | +0 | =1537 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 43% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +23 | =1597 | 69% | ||
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +24 | =1598 | 69% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 302:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +24 | =1598 | 69% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1573 | +1 | +24 | =1598 | 69% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | –3 | =1518 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +22 | =1483 | 45% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +0 | =1521 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +0 | =1521 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +0 | =1521 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +26 | =1487 | 44% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | –1 | =1586 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 36% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 36% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 36% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –2 | =1459 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +20 | =1539 | 61% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +21 | =1552 | 63% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 63% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 63% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 63% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | –3 | =1524 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 44% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –1 | =1463 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 53% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –1 | =1539 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +26 | =1487 | 43% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +26 | =1553 | 63% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –2 | =1459 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | –1 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 48% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | –1 | =1459 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +26 | =1487 | 54% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 54% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 54% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +26 | =1545 | 62% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 61% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –3 | =1458 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +26 | =1547 | 62% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 62% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +0 | +24 | =1545 | 62% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | –3 | =1516 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +23 | =1484 | 45% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 45% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | –4 | =1496 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +2 | +0 | =1500 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 48% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –1 | =1460 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –1 | =1460 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +0 | +24 | =1523 | 59% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | –2 | +0 | =1458 | 46% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 54% | 7 | |
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –5 | +0 | =1457 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +4 | +24 | =1488 | 54% | 10 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +15 | –3 | =1472 | 47% | 14 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +10 | +23 | =1495 | 53% | 10 | |
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –5 | +0 | =1456 | 46% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –12 | +24 | =1481 | 54% | 3 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –5 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +0 | +24 | =1496 | 56% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +15 | –3 | =1472 | 47% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1471 | +2 | +21 | =1494 | 53% | 6 | |
5/9Monday, May 912:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –3 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +5 | +24 | =1462 | 51% | 6 | |
5/8Sunday, May 85:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –5 | +0 | =1458 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +2 | +24 | =1458 | 50% | 4 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +14 | +4 | =1480 | 52% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +29 | =1462 | 48% | 4 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1504 | +18 | +0 | =1522 | 57% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –13 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 0 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +4 | –2 | =1508 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +11 | +22 | =1495 | 48% | 7 | |
5/2Monday, May 21:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +11 | –2 | =1472 | 43% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –6 | +24 | =1523 | 57% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1562 | +4 | +0 | =1566 | 62% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –5 | +24 | =1483 | 38% | 4 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1561 | +15 | +0 | =1576 | 62% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –2 | +24 | =1487 | 38% | 0 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1558 | +2 | –3 | =1557 | 61% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –12 | +22 | =1477 | 39% | 2 | |
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +7 | +0 | =1472 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +7 | +24 | =1561 | 63% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +11 | +0 | =1477 | 38% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +13 | +24 | =1566 | 62% | 7 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –11 | –2 | =1450 | 41% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1532 | –39 | +24 | =1517 | 59% | 0 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +2 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +31 | +24 | =1563 | 64% | 5 | |
4/23Saturday, April 239:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –5 | +0 | =1461 | 42% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –9 | +24 | =1521 | 58% | 13 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +9 | –4 | =1472 | 42% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –2 | +24 | =1527 | 58% | 4 | |
4/21Thursday, April 212:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | +7 | +0 | =1516 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +10 | +24 | =1502 | 48% | 0 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –11 | +0 | =1500 | 54% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –16 | +24 | =1475 | 46% | 2 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 52% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +3 | +29 | =1498 | 48% | 4 | |
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1470 | –15 | +0 | =1455 | 46% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –5 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 3 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 45% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +8 | +24 | =1498 | 55% | 1 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +1 | –3 | =1465 | 45% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +11 | +24 | =1502 | 55% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –11 | –2 | =1455 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1502 | +4 | +26 | =1532 | 61% | 6 | |
4/11Monday, April 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –8 | +0 | =1487 | 48% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +7 | +24 | =1501 | 52% | 7 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +2 | +0 | =1493 | 49% | 17 |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –1 | +24 | =1497 | 51% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –8 | +2 | =1485 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1473 | +0 | +26 | =1499 | 52% | 1 | |
4/7Thursday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +30 | –3 | =1520 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +8 | +24 | =1504 | 48% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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