Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Royals have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins20-1557%41%
White SoxWhite Sox16-173.055%38%
GuardiansGuardians16-173.031%18%
RoyalsRoyals12-206.53%1%
TigersTigers12-238.02%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152812=152554%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1461+12+21=149446%
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1528+16+0=154459%
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14615+24=148041%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152834+0=149449%
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1461+13+24=149851%
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152837+0=149152%
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
146111+24=147448%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+12=151754%
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1461+2+24=148746%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1518+20+0=153856%
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1461+12+24=149744%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15189+0=150953%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148547%
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
146153=145349%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146426+20=145851%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1461+13+0=147444%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+27+24=151556%
5/26Thursday, May 267:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1461111=144934%
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1518+20+24=156266%
5/27Friday, May 278:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146139%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
5/28Saturday, May 282:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146139%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146139%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
5/30Monday, May 306:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145841%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+23=152259%
5/31Tuesday, May 316:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
6/3Friday, June 38:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+12=155360%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+23=148440%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155560%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148540%
6/5Sunday, June 52:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155560%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148540%
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+03=154158%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154458%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
6/8Wednesday, June 82:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154458%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
6/9Thursday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142942%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148558%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143242%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148558%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143242%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148558%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143242%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148558%
6/13Monday, June 139:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+04=145737%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154863%
6/14Tuesday, June 149:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146138%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
6/15Wednesday, June 153:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146138%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+1=146249%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+20=147351%
6/18Saturday, June 184:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146148%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147752%
6/19Sunday, June 194:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146148%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147752%
6/20Monday, June 209:38 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145936%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+21=155864%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:38 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156164%
6/22Wednesday, June 229:49 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146136%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156164%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+04=144945%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+23=148455%
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148555%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148555%
6/27Monday, June 278:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+02=146647%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146847%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
6/29Wednesday, June 292:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146847%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146047%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+22=148253%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
7/3Sunday, July 312:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
7/4Monday, July 44:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145833%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157967%
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146134%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157966%
7/6Wednesday, July 68:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146134%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157966%
7/7Thursday, July 72:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146134%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157966%
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148248%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
7/11Monday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145846%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/11Monday, July 118:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/13Wednesday, July 132:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/14Thursday, July 147:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145835%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
7/15Friday, July 157:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146135%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
7/16Saturday, July 163:07 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146135%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
7/17Sunday, July 1712:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146135%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+4=153556%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+28=148944%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153156%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+13=153457%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148543%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153757%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148543%
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153757%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148543%
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145831%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+23=159769%
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146131%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
7/30Saturday, July 302:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146131%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146131%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145837%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151855%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+22=148345%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152155%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152155%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152155%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148744%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148544%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+01=158664%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148536%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158764%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148536%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158764%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148536%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145939%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+20=153961%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146139%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146139%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145837%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155263%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155563%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155563%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155563%
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152813=152456%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148244%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+01=146347%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+21=153957%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148743%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148542%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+26=155363%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145946%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148454%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/5Monday, Sept. 58:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149852%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+21=148248%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145946%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148754%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146138%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+26=154562%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146139%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146139%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154361%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145838%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+26=154762%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146138%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146138%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151655%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+23=148445%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+24=149652%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150052%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150052%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148548%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146047%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14602+0=145846%8
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1462+1+24=148754%7
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14625+0=145746%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+4+24=148854%10
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1460+153=147247%14
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1462+10+23=149553%10
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14615+0=145646%1
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146912+24=148154%3
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Speier, Gabe
Speier
14585+0=145344%8
TEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1472+0+24=149656%2
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1460+153=147247%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1471+2+21=149453%6
5/9Monday, May 912:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14623+0=145949%1
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+24=146251%6
5/8Sunday, May 85:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14635+0=145850%2
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1432+2+24=145850%4
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1462+14+4=148052%6
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1433+0+29=146248%4
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1504+18+0=152257%10
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146513+24=147643%0
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+42=150852%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1462+11+22=149548%7
5/2Monday, May 21:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1463+112=147243%0
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15056+24=152357%1
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1562+4+0=156662%6
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14645+24=148338%4
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+15+0=157662%3
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14652+24=148738%0
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1558+23=155761%12
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146712+22=147739%2
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1465+7+0=147237%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1530+7+24=156163%2
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1466+11+0=147738%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1529+13+24=156662%7
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1463112=145041%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153239+24=151759%0
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1464+2+0=146636%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+31+24=156364%5
4/23Saturday, April 239:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14665+0=146142%7
SEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
15069+24=152158%13
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1467+94=147242%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15052+24=152758%4
4/21Thursday, April 212:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1509+7+0=151652%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1468+10+24=150248%0
4/20Wednesday, April 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
151111+0=150054%0
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
146716+24=147546%2
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
1512+13=151052%3
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1466+3+29=149848%4
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147015+0=145546%1
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14655+24=148454%3
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14687+0=146145%2
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1466+8+24=149855%1
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+13=146545%4
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1467+11+24=150255%2
4/12Tuesday, April 127:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1468112=145539%5
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1502+4+26=153261%6
4/11Monday, April 112:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
14958+0=148748%10
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1470+7+24=150152%7
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1491+2+0=149349%17
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14741+24=149751%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14918+2=148548%0
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1473+0+26=149952%1
4/7Thursday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1493+303=152052%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1472+8+24=150448%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.