2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Tigers are done for the season.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GuardiansGuardians92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
White SoxWhite Sox81-81 | 11.0 | — | — | |||
TwinsTwins78-84 | 14.0 | — | — | |||
TigersTigers66-96 | 26.0 | — | — | |||
RoyalsRoyals65-97 | 27.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1458 | –9 | +0 | =1449 | 38% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1521 | –15 | +24 | =1530 | 62% | 5 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Vest | 1459 | –13 | +0 | =1446 | 41% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Sheffield | 1520 | –37 | +24 | =1507 | 59% | 9 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1460 | +10 | +0 | =1470 | 41% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1519 | –8 | +24 | =1535 | 59% | 7 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1459 | –6 | –4 | =1449 | 36% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1521 | +7 | +24 | =1552 | 64% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Woods Richardson | 1500 | –19 | +0 | =1481 | 49% | 2 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1457 | +5 | +24 | =1486 | 51% | 5 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1501 | –18 | +0 | =1483 | 54% | 2 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1456 | –22 | +24 | =1458 | 46% | 3 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1499 | +16 | –3 | =1512 | 56% | 7 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1458 | –9 | +24 | =1473 | 44% | 0 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1454 | –10 | +0 | =1444 | 44% | 3 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1456 | +9 | +24 | =1489 | 56% | 10 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1455 | –10 | +0 | =1445 | 45% | 1 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1455 | +1 | +24 | =1480 | 55% | 2 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1456 | +6 | –1 | =1461 | 46% | 3 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1454 | +8 | +24 | =1486 | 54% | 4 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1452 | –12 | +0 | =1440 | 32% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1509 | +36 | +24 | =1569 | 68% | 1 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1449 | –22 | +0 | =1427 | 38% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1511 | –27 | +24 | =1508 | 62% | 2 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1447 | +10 | –1 | =1456 | 40% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1513 | –12 | +24 | =1525 | 60% | 3 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1449 | +4 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1482 | –7 | +24 | =1499 | 56% | 8 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1448 | +1 | +0 | =1449 | 41% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1483 | +3 | +24 | =1510 | 59% | 2 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1443 | –18 | –2 | =1423 | 37% | 11 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1488 | +9 | +22 | =1519 | 63% | 0 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 1812:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Velasquez | 1517 | –36 | +0 | =1481 | 54% | 11 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1445 | –19 | +24 | =1450 | 46% | 5 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1516 | –4 | +0 | =1512 | 55% | 4 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1446 | +7 | +24 | =1477 | 45% | 3 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1517 | –13 | –1 | =1503 | 54% | 2 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1445 | +1 | +26 | =1472 | 46% | 3 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1573 | +0 | +0 | =1573 | 64% | 2 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1446 | +2 | +24 | =1472 | 36% | 1 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1572 | –34 | +0 | =1538 | 62% | 6 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1447 | –15 | +24 | =1456 | 38% | 3 | |
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1571 | +8 | –3 | =1576 | 63% | 7 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1449 | +11 | +21 | =1481 | 37% | 0 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1450 | –16 | +0 | =1434 | 40% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1450 | +29 | +24 | =1503 | 60% | 4 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1448 | –3 | +0 | =1445 | 48% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1452 | –14 | +24 | =1462 | 52% | 4 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1445 | –8 | –1 | =1436 | 44% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1455 | –4 | +26 | =1477 | 56% | 2 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1443 | –14 | +0 | =1429 | 36% | 5 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1495 | +8 | +24 | =1527 | 64% | 4 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1444 | +13 | +0 | =1457 | 47% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Mayers | 1494 | –41 | +24 | =1477 | 53% | 5 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1447 | –9 | –4 | =1434 | 41% | 0 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1492 | –15 | +24 | =1501 | 59% | 10 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Castillo | 1455 | –3 | +0 | =1452 | 48% | 3 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1448 | –3 | +24 | =1469 | 52% | 2 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1452 | –16 | +0 | =1436 | 45% | 12 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1452 | –3 | +24 | =1473 | 55% | 2 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1453 | –1 | –2 | =1450 | 49% | 4 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1451 | –17 | +24 | =1458 | 51% | 5 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1523 | –2 | +0 | =1521 | 54% | 7 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1453 | +14 | +24 | =1491 | 46% | 0 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1522 | –13 | +0 | =1509 | 56% | 5 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1454 | –13 | +24 | =1465 | 44% | 3 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1520 | +4 | –2 | =1522 | 56% | 9 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1456 | +2 | +23 | =1481 | 44% | 3 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1455 | –20 | +0 | =1435 | 43% | 9 |
TEXRangers | Arihara | 1479 | –16 | +24 | =1487 | 57% | 8 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1452 | +12 | +0 | =1464 | 51% | 11 |
TEXRangers | Keuchel | 1482 | –49 | +24 | =1457 | 49% | 2 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1453 | –8 | –1 | =1444 | 42% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1482 | –8 | +23 | =1497 | 58% | 7 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1506 | +8 | +0 | =1514 | 56% | 1 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 44% | 6 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Rodon | 1505 | +26 | –1 | =1530 | 61% | 3 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1451 | –23 | +26 | =1454 | 39% | 1 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1491 | +33 | +0 | =1524 | 56% | 0 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1449 | +11 | +24 | =1484 | 44% | 4 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1492 | +3 | +0 | =1495 | 54% | 3 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1448 | –5 | +24 | =1467 | 46% | 4 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1491 | +0 | –2 | =1489 | 53% | 1 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1449 | –7 | +25 | =1467 | 47% | 0 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Norris | 1450 | +0 | +0 | =1450 | 38% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1510 | +3 | +24 | =1537 | 62% | 8 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hill | 1449 | –17 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1511 | –12 | +24 | =1523 | 63% | 3 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:45 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1447 | –7 | +0 | =1440 | 40% | 7 |
CLEGuardians | Curry | 1513 | –29 | +24 | =1508 | 60% | 5 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 153:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1448 | –24 | –2 | =1422 | 36% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1512 | –15 | +22 | =1519 | 64% | 4 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1449 | –1 | +0 | =1448 | 36% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1519 | +3 | +24 | =1546 | 64% | 5 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1450 | –5 | +0 | =1445 | 37% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1519 | –4 | +24 | =1539 | 63% | 6 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Norris | 1451 | –1 | –2 | =1448 | 37% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1518 | +0 | +22 | =1540 | 63% | 2 | |
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1506 | –12 | +0 | =1494 | 55% | 4 |
DETTigers | Hill | 1452 | –17 | +24 | =1459 | 45% | 3 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1505 | –13 | +0 | =1492 | 56% | 3 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1453 | –25 | +24 | =1452 | 44% | 2 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1503 | +30 | +1 | =1534 | 58% | 5 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1454 | –4 | +26 | =1476 | 42% | 2 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1522 | +4 | +0 | =1526 | 58% | 7 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1456 | –9 | +24 | =1471 | 42% | 0 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1526 | +36 | +0 | =1562 | 64% | 1 |
DETTigers | Hill | 1452 | –19 | +24 | =1457 | 36% | 9 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1525 | +1 | +0 | =1526 | 58% | 5 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1453 | –9 | +24 | =1468 | 42% | 3 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1523 | –6 | –3 | =1514 | 58% | 6 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1455 | –22 | +21 | =1454 | 42% | 2 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1456 | –6 | +0 | =1450 | 36% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1513 | +10 | +24 | =1547 | 64% | 4 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1454 | –7 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 5 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 63% | 3 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1455 | +17 | –3 | =1469 | 45% | 3 |
MINTwins | Sanchez | 1514 | –27 | +20 | =1507 | 55% | 5 | |
7/31Sunday, July 3112:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hill | 1456 | –17 | +0 | =1439 | 32% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1547 | –1 | +24 | =1570 | 68% | 4 | |
7/30Saturday, July 303:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1457 | –25 | +0 | =1432 | 31% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1547 | +2 | +24 | =1573 | 69% | 5 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1455 | –9 | +0 | =1446 | 29% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1549 | +32 | +24 | =1605 | 71% | 2 | |
7/28Thursday, July 287:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1456 | –5 | –2 | =1449 | 37% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1548 | –30 | +24 | =1542 | 63% | 5 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1526 | +19 | +0 | =1545 | 57% | 3 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1454 | +16 | +24 | =1494 | 43% | 4 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Clevinger | 1525 | +22 | +0 | =1547 | 62% | 6 |
DETTigers | Hill | 1455 | –16 | +24 | =1463 | 38% | 4 | |
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Manaea | 1528 | –6 | –2 | =1520 | 60% | 4 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1452 | –24 | +24 | =1452 | 40% | 12 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1516 | +15 | +0 | =1531 | 59% | 9 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1454 | –7 | +24 | =1471 | 41% | 1 | |
7/23Saturday, July 236:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1515 | +18 | +4 | =1537 | 58% | 8 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1455 | +0 | +22 | =1477 | 42% | 4 | |
7/21Thursday, July 217:15 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hill | 1457 | –15 | +0 | =1442 | 43% | 0 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1433 | +31 | +24 | =1488 | 57% | 5 | |
7/21Thursday, July 213:37 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1455 | +12 | +3 | =1470 | 54% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1435 | –18 | +27 | =1444 | 46% | 2 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Pineda | 1458 | +9 | +0 | =1467 | 43% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1495 | –6 | +24 | =1513 | 57% | 10 | |
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1459 | –26 | +0 | =1433 | 38% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1494 | –3 | +24 | =1515 | 62% | 6 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1460 | –35 | –3 | =1422 | 35% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1493 | +10 | +24 | =1527 | 65% | 4 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 132:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1461 | +10 | +0 | =1471 | 48% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1450 | +14 | +24 | =1488 | 52% | 5 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 128:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1460 | +4 | +0 | =1464 | 50% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1452 | –12 | +24 | =1464 | 50% | 5 | |
7/11Monday, July 118:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1462 | –18 | +0 | =1444 | 46% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1450 | –2 | +24 | =1472 | 54% | 7 | |
7/11Monday, July 112:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Pineda | 1463 | +9 | –2 | =1470 | 49% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1449 | +6 | +24 | =1479 | 51% | 3 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1464 | –30 | +0 | =1434 | 34% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1519 | +5 | +24 | =1548 | 66% | 4 | |
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hill | 1466 | –13 | +0 | =1453 | 38% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1517 | –5 | +24 | =1536 | 62% | 8 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1464 | +7 | +0 | =1471 | 39% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1518 | +5 | +24 | =1547 | 61% | 5 | |
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1463 | –5 | –2 | =1456 | 34% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1520 | +24 | +24 | =1568 | 66% | 1 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 61:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1495 | +31 | +0 | =1526 | 54% | 2 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1460 | +11 | +24 | =1495 | 46% | 8 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1498 | +3 | +0 | =1501 | 57% | 4 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1457 | –32 | +24 | =1449 | 43% | 11 | |
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Pilkington | 1499 | –29 | +0 | =1470 | 53% | 3 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1456 | –15 | +24 | =1465 | 47% | 5 | |
7/4Monday, July 41:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1501 | –1 | –1 | =1499 | 55% | 1 |
DETTigers | Hill | 1454 | –11 | +24 | =1467 | 45% | 4 | |
7/3Sunday, July 312:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1447 | +13 | +0 | =1460 | 45% | 7 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1456 | +13 | +24 | =1493 | 55% | 4 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1448 | –12 | +0 | =1436 | 45% | 3 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1455 | –6 | +24 | =1473 | 55% | 4 | |
7/1Friday, July 17:25 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1446 | +3 | –1 | =1448 | 44% | 3 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1456 | +13 | +22 | =1491 | 56% | 1 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 293:45 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1455 | –13 | +0 | =1442 | 37% | 3 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1522 | –13 | +24 | =1533 | 63% | 2 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 289:45 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1456 | +14 | –1 | =1469 | 35% | 3 |
SFGiants | Rodon | 1522 | +28 | +26 | =1576 | 65% | 4 | |
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1458 | +1 | +0 | =1459 | 52% | 7 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Keuchel | 1459 | –35 | +24 | =1448 | 48% | 11 | |
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1456 | –15 | +0 | =1441 | 45% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1460 | –8 | +24 | =1476 | 55% | 3 | |
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1453 | –20 | –2 | =1431 | 40% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1463 | +16 | +24 | =1503 | 60% | 1 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1455 | +17 | +0 | =1472 | 38% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1539 | –4 | +24 | =1559 | 62% | 6 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1455 | +1 | +0 | =1456 | 37% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1539 | –13 | +24 | =1550 | 63% | 5 | |
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1456 | –12 | –3 | =1441 | 38% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1538 | –33 | +24 | =1529 | 62% | 5 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1480 | +14 | +0 | =1494 | 57% | 3 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1454 | –35 | +24 | =1443 | 43% | 7 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1483 | –15 | +0 | =1468 | 52% | 7 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1451 | –22 | +24 | =1453 | 48% | 14 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1480 | +10 | +0 | =1490 | 49% | 7 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1454 | +20 | +24 | =1498 | 51% | 0 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1479 | +13 | –3 | =1489 | 53% | 3 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1455 | –9 | +24 | =1470 | 47% | 1 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Velasquez | 1521 | –31 | +0 | =1490 | 51% | 13 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1459 | –1 | +24 | =1482 | 49% | 0 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1520 | +13 | +0 | =1533 | 62% | 5 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1460 | –38 | +24 | =1446 | 38% | 1 | |
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1518 | +27 | –2 | =1543 | 61% | 9 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1462 | –21 | +24 | =1465 | 39% | 5 | |
6/12Sunday, June 121:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1554 | –14 | +0 | =1540 | 54% | 6 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1464 | +22 | +24 | =1510 | 46% | 0 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1556 | +14 | +0 | =1570 | 64% | 1 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1462 | –18 | +24 | =1468 | 36% | 3 | |
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1554 | +2 | –1 | =1555 | 64% | 10 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1464 | –32 | +24 | =1456 | 36% | 1 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 812:35 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1463 | –7 | +0 | =1456 | 50% | 3 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1443 | –8 | +24 | =1459 | 50% | 1 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Peralta | 1461 | –10 | +0 | =1451 | 46% | 5 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1444 | +10 | +26 | =1480 | 54% | 3 | |
6/5Sunday, June 511:35 a.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1462 | –26 | +0 | =1436 | 30% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1576 | –13 | +24 | =1587 | 70% | 5 | |
6/4Saturday, June 41:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1462 | –25 | +0 | =1437 | 29% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1575 | –5 | +24 | =1594 | 71% | 3 | |
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1464 | –14 | –2 | =1448 | 28% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1574 | +13 | +24 | =1611 | 72% | 13 | |
6/2Thursday, June 21:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1518 | –13 | +0 | =1505 | 54% | 2 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1463 | –10 | +24 | =1477 | 46% | 3 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1520 | +5 | +0 | =1525 | 54% | 0 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1461 | +15 | +24 | =1500 | 46% | 5 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Sands | 1522 | –22 | +0 | =1500 | 56% | 0 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1459 | –26 | +24 | =1457 | 44% | 4 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 311:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1521 | +5 | +0 | =1526 | 59% | 8 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1460 | –23 | +24 | =1461 | 41% | 2 | |
5/30Monday, May 301:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1522 | –14 | –3 | =1505 | 56% | 5 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1459 | –22 | +24 | =1461 | 44% | 7 | |
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1498 | +11 | +0 | =1509 | 57% | 1 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1458 | –19 | +24 | =1463 | 43% | 2 | |
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1496 | +25 | +2 | =1523 | 57% | 8 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1460 | –11 | +26 | =1475 | 43% | 1 | |
5/26Thursday, May 267:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Pilkington | 1497 | –23 | –3 | =1471 | 47% | 3 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1459 | +15 | +21 | =1495 | 53% | 4 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 251:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1457 | –25 | +0 | =1432 | 36% | 4 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1525 | –15 | +24 | =1534 | 64% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1458 | –23 | +0 | =1435 | 32% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1524 | +14 | +24 | =1562 | 68% | 2 | |
5/23Monday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1459 | –17 | –3 | =1439 | 36% | 4 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1524 | –10 | +22 | =1536 | 64% | 5 | |
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1457 | –10 | +2 | =1449 | 36% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1498 | +24 | +26 | =1548 | 64% | 2 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1459 | +12 | –1 | =1470 | 46% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1496 | –21 | +24 | =1499 | 54% | 6 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1460 | +12 | +0 | =1472 | 36% | 1 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1530 | +17 | +24 | =1571 | 64% | 6 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1462 | –17 | +0 | =1445 | 32% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +23 | +24 | =1575 | 68% | 8 | |
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1460 | –16 | –3 | =1441 | 34% | 3 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | 2 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1435 | +10 | +0 | =1445 | 44% | 1 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1459 | +6 | +24 | =1489 | 56% | 5 | |
5/14Saturday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1436 | +4 | +0 | =1440 | 43% | 0 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1457 | +8 | +24 | =1489 | 57% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1437 | +0 | –2 | =1435 | 42% | 2 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1456 | +12 | +24 | =1492 | 58% | 4 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1456 | –3 | +0 | =1453 | 48% | 5 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1458 | –17 | +24 | =1465 | 52% | 3 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1452 | –12 | +0 | =1440 | 46% | 9 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1461 | –18 | +24 | =1467 | 54% | 0 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1450 | –12 | –4 | =1434 | 46% | 4 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1463 | –20 | +20 | =1463 | 54% | 1 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1460 | +2 | –4 | =1458 | 43% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1453 | +36 | +20 | =1509 | 57% | 0 | |
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1452 | –12 | –3 | =1437 | 42% | 2 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1461 | +8 | +21 | =1490 | 58% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Peralta | 1463 | –9 | +0 | =1454 | 36% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1546 | –16 | +24 | =1554 | 64% | 5 | |
5/7Saturday, May 74:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1463 | +9 | +0 | =1472 | 38% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1545 | –9 | +24 | =1560 | 62% | 3 | |
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1464 | –14 | +0 | =1450 | 34% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1545 | –5 | +24 | =1564 | 66% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 58:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1465 | +1 | –3 | =1463 | 36% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1544 | –8 | +24 | =1560 | 64% | 3 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 44:30 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Quintana | 1440 | +3 | +0 | =1443 | 45% | 7 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1467 | –16 | +24 | =1475 | 55% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Peters | 1440 | –2 | +3 | =1441 | 42% | 2 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1466 | +9 | +25 | =1500 | 58% | 3 | |
5/1Sunday, May 14:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1467 | +10 | +0 | =1477 | 30% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1587 | +12 | +24 | =1623 | 70% | 6 | |
4/30Saturday, April 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1464 | –17 | +0 | =1447 | 26% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1590 | +10 | +24 | =1624 | 74% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 2910:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1465 | –8 | –4 | =1453 | 32% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Anderson | 1589 | –30 | +24 | =1583 | 68% | 5 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1467 | +2 | +0 | =1469 | 38% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1517 | +9 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 7 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Pineda | 1468 | +11 | +0 | =1479 | 40% | 0 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1516 | +13 | +24 | =1553 | 60% | 5 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1469 | +7 | –1 | =1475 | 42% | 4 |
MINTwins | Paddack | 1515 | –11 | +26 | =1530 | 58% | 5 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kuhl | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 46% | 6 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1471 | –5 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1467 | –9 | +0 | =1458 | 47% | 3 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1472 | –20 | +24 | =1476 | 53% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1471 | +8 | +2 | =1481 | 48% | 0 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1468 | –4 | +26 | =1490 | 52% | 13 | |
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1553 | –6 | +0 | =1547 | 57% | 0 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1467 | +8 | +24 | =1499 | 43% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1552 | +8 | +0 | =1560 | 59% | 5 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1468 | +7 | +24 | =1499 | 41% | 3 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1552 | +16 | +0 | =1568 | 61% | 4 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1468 | –2 | +26 | =1492 | 39% | 2 | |
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1470 | –15 | +0 | =1455 | 46% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1465 | –5 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 3 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 45% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1466 | +8 | +24 | =1498 | 55% | 1 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Mize | 1467 | +1 | –3 | =1465 | 45% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1467 | +11 | +24 | =1502 | 55% | 2 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1529 | +14 | +0 | =1543 | 56% | 9 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1468 | +12 | +24 | =1504 | 44% | 7 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1528 | –3 | +0 | =1525 | 55% | 5 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1469 | –4 | +24 | =1489 | 45% | 3 | |
4/11Monday, April 115:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1530 | –16 | –2 | =1512 | 56% | 1 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1468 | –20 | +24 | =1472 | 44% | 3 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1541 | –11 | +0 | =1530 | 56% | 10 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1470 | –5 | +24 | =1489 | 44% | 1 | |
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1540 | +9 | +0 | =1549 | 57% | 5 |
DETTigers | Mize | 1472 | +2 | +24 | =1498 | 43% | 2 | |
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1541 | +26 | –2 | =1565 | 58% | 4 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1471 | +13 | +24 | =1508 | 42% | 5 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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