2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Twins are done for the season.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GuardiansGuardians92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
White SoxWhite Sox81-81 | 11.0 | — | — | |||
TwinsTwins78-84 | 14.0 | — | — | |||
TigersTigers66-96 | 26.0 | — | — | |||
RoyalsRoyals65-97 | 27.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1495 | –16 | +0 | =1479 | 46% | 10 |
CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1508 | –21 | +24 | =1511 | 54% | 1 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1497 | –10 | +0 | =1487 | 45% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1506 | –9 | +24 | =1521 | 55% | 8 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1498 | +14 | –2 | =1510 | 48% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1505 | –3 | +20 | =1522 | 52% | 3 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Woods Richardson | 1500 | –19 | +0 | =1481 | 49% | 2 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1457 | +5 | +24 | =1486 | 51% | 5 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1501 | –18 | +0 | =1483 | 54% | 2 |
DETTigers | Hutchison | 1456 | –22 | +24 | =1458 | 46% | 3 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1499 | +16 | –3 | =1512 | 56% | 7 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1458 | –9 | +24 | =1473 | 44% | 0 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1502 | –10 | +0 | =1492 | 48% | 4 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1500 | –19 | +24 | =1505 | 52% | 3 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1504 | –1 | +0 | =1503 | 49% | 4 |
MINTwins | Winder | 1498 | –11 | +24 | =1511 | 51% | 8 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1506 | +14 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | 0 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1496 | +9 | +26 | =1531 | 52% | 4 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1490 | –15 | +0 | =1475 | 45% | 10 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1499 | –11 | +24 | =1512 | 55% | 3 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1492 | –1 | +0 | =1491 | 43% | 4 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1498 | +18 | +24 | =1540 | 57% | 8 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1491 | +39 | –3 | =1527 | 53% | 4 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1499 | –18 | +22 | =1503 | 47% | 2 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1500 | –10 | +0 | =1490 | 54% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Heasley | 1452 | –13 | +24 | =1463 | 46% | 4 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1502 | +9 | +0 | =1511 | 57% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1450 | –10 | +24 | =1464 | 43% | 5 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1503 | –10 | –3 | =1490 | 51% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1449 | +8 | +23 | =1480 | 49% | 5 | |
9/19Monday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1506 | +26 | +0 | =1532 | 49% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1513 | +1 | +24 | =1538 | 51% | 11 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1504 | +11 | +0 | =1515 | 51% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Morris | 1515 | –30 | +24 | =1509 | 49% | 0 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1505 | –7 | +0 | =1498 | 50% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Pilkington | 1514 | –36 | +24 | =1502 | 50% | 7 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1507 | –15 | +0 | =1492 | 39% | 1 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1512 | +37 | +24 | =1573 | 61% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1508 | +4 | –3 | =1509 | 43% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1512 | +24 | +24 | =1560 | 57% | 4 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1449 | –8 | +0 | =1441 | 39% | 2 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1507 | –10 | +24 | =1521 | 61% | 3 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1450 | +11 | +0 | =1461 | 37% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1506 | +22 | +24 | =1552 | 63% | 4 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1451 | –7 | +0 | =1444 | 37% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1505 | +6 | +26 | =1537 | 63% | 6 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1509 | +33 | +0 | =1542 | 52% | 4 |
MINTwins | Winder | 1506 | –3 | +24 | =1527 | 48% | 1 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1507 | +20 | +0 | =1527 | 50% | 6 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1507 | –4 | +24 | =1527 | 50% | 4 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 47% | 7 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1508 | –1 | +21 | =1528 | 53% | 6 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1507 | +21 | +0 | =1528 | 40% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1568 | +10 | +24 | =1602 | 60% | 3 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:55 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1509 | +7 | +0 | =1516 | 37% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1566 | +20 | +24 | =1610 | 63% | 7 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1509 | –19 | +2 | =1492 | 37% | 4 |
NYYYankees | German | 1566 | –9 | +26 | =1583 | 63% | 5 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1511 | –6 | –3 | =1502 | 40% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1565 | –11 | +21 | =1575 | 60% | 5 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1509 | –4 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1514 | –13 | +24 | =1525 | 53% | 1 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Mahle | 1512 | +18 | +0 | =1530 | 45% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1510 | +31 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | 13 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1513 | +23 | +0 | =1536 | 54% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Martin | 1509 | –23 | +24 | =1510 | 46% | 4 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1504 | +17 | +0 | =1521 | 46% | 6 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1514 | +10 | +24 | =1548 | 54% | 5 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1506 | –19 | +0 | =1487 | 44% | 5 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1513 | –6 | +24 | =1531 | 56% | 10 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1507 | –25 | –3 | =1479 | 43% | 2 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1511 | –5 | +24 | =1530 | 57% | 4 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Junis | 1500 | –13 | +0 | =1487 | 48% | 3 |
MINTwins | Sanchez | 1509 | –30 | +24 | =1503 | 52% | 8 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1501 | –5 | +0 | =1496 | 42% | 2 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1509 | +20 | +24 | =1553 | 58% | 3 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1503 | –10 | –1 | =1492 | 44% | 0 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1506 | +6 | +21 | =1533 | 56% | 9 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1507 | –2 | +0 | =1505 | 41% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1569 | –21 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | 6 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1508 | –6 | +0 | =1502 | 37% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1568 | +3 | +24 | =1595 | 63% | 5 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Sanchez | 1509 | –31 | –3 | =1475 | 30% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1567 | +32 | +23 | =1622 | 70% | 4 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Ragans | 1478 | –20 | +0 | =1458 | 36% | 2 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1510 | +21 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | 1 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Arihara | 1474 | –26 | +0 | =1448 | 37% | 7 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1514 | +3 | +24 | =1541 | 63% | 0 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1473 | –9 | +0 | =1464 | 40% | 4 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | 3 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1474 | +19 | –3 | =1490 | 44% | 1 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1514 | –7 | +26 | =1533 | 56% | 2 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1456 | +0 | +0 | =1456 | 36% | 0 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1513 | +19 | +24 | =1556 | 64% | 4 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1458 | +5 | +0 | =1463 | 37% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1511 | +19 | +24 | =1554 | 63% | 9 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1459 | –3 | –2 | =1454 | 38% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1510 | +6 | +20 | =1536 | 62% | 4 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1511 | –1 | +0 | =1510 | 54% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Davidson | 1495 | –35 | +24 | =1484 | 46% | 4 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1513 | –8 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1494 | +5 | +24 | =1523 | 53% | 5 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Mahle | 1511 | +19 | +1 | =1531 | 51% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1496 | +1 | +24 | =1521 | 49% | 0 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1512 | +22 | +0 | =1534 | 40% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Pepiot | 1614 | –33 | +24 | =1605 | 60% | 8 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1514 | +11 | –2 | =1523 | 33% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1612 | +9 | +26 | =1647 | 67% | 10 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1548 | +17 | +0 | =1565 | 54% | 3 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | 2 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | White | 1550 | –18 | +0 | =1532 | 51% | 3 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1513 | –9 | +24 | =1528 | 49% | 7 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1551 | –1 | +0 | =1550 | 49% | 5 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1512 | +20 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | 6 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1549 | +26 | –3 | =1572 | 52% | 9 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1514 | +20 | +24 | =1558 | 48% | 3 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1456 | –6 | +0 | =1450 | 36% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1513 | +10 | +24 | =1547 | 64% | 4 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1454 | –7 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 5 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 63% | 3 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1455 | +17 | –3 | =1469 | 45% | 3 |
MINTwins | Sanchez | 1514 | –27 | +20 | =1507 | 55% | 5 | |
7/31Sunday, July 314:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1515 | –7 | +0 | =1508 | 46% | 2 |
SDPadres | Manaea | 1526 | –16 | +24 | =1534 | 54% | 3 | |
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1513 | +22 | +0 | =1535 | 45% | 7 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1528 | +18 | +24 | =1570 | 55% | 4 | |
7/29Friday, July 299:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1516 | +21 | –2 | =1535 | 48% | 1 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1525 | +1 | +22 | =1548 | 52% | 10 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1517 | +0 | +0 | =1517 | 38% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1532 | +44 | +24 | =1600 | 62% | 10 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1519 | –7 | +0 | =1512 | 49% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Small | 1531 | –34 | +24 | =1521 | 51% | 7 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1516 | +15 | +0 | =1531 | 59% | 9 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1454 | –7 | +24 | =1471 | 41% | 1 | |
7/23Saturday, July 236:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1515 | +18 | +4 | =1537 | 58% | 8 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1455 | +0 | +22 | =1477 | 42% | 4 | |
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1523 | +26 | +0 | =1549 | 51% | 11 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 49% | 0 | |
7/16Saturday, July 162:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1525 | +9 | +0 | =1534 | 50% | 3 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1517 | –7 | +24 | =1534 | 50% | 6 | |
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1523 | +4 | +0 | =1527 | 49% | 6 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1519 | –6 | +24 | =1537 | 51% | 2 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1519 | +1 | –3 | =1517 | 43% | 12 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1523 | +21 | +24 | =1568 | 57% | 2 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 131:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Ashby | 1535 | –36 | +0 | =1499 | 41% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +15 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 4 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Alexander | 1533 | –36 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 6 |
MINTwins | Winder | 1523 | +1 | +23 | =1547 | 57% | 3 | |
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1522 | –8 | +0 | =1514 | 50% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1483 | +9 | +24 | =1516 | 50% | 5 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 50% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1481 | +17 | +24 | =1522 | 50% | 9 | |
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +22 | –1 | =1546 | 53% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1480 | +20 | +23 | =1523 | 47% | 6 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1525 | +15 | +0 | =1540 | 47% | 8 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1519 | +21 | +24 | =1564 | 53% | 9 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1523 | –1 | +0 | =1522 | 45% | 8 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1522 | +13 | +24 | =1559 | 55% | 2 | |
7/4Monday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1521 | –13 | –2 | =1506 | 45% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1523 | –6 | +20 | =1537 | 55% | 3 | |
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1454 | +26 | +0 | =1480 | 40% | 3 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1522 | +3 | +24 | =1549 | 60% | 1 | |
7/2Saturday, July 22:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1455 | +1 | +0 | =1456 | 34% | 3 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1522 | +24 | +24 | =1570 | 66% | 4 | |
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1455 | –24 | –1 | =1430 | 33% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +9 | +21 | =1551 | 67% | 3 | |
6/30Thursday, June 301:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1522 | –3 | +0 | =1519 | 45% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1502 | +30 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | 5 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 297:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1523 | –13 | +0 | =1510 | 48% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1501 | +3 | +24 | =1528 | 52% | 7 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1521 | –6 | +0 | =1515 | 52% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Pilkington | 1503 | –24 | +24 | =1503 | 48% | 0 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 281:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1522 | –1 | +0 | =1521 | 50% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1502 | –5 | +24 | =1521 | 50% | 3 | |
6/27Monday, June 277:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1519 | +23 | –3 | =1539 | 51% | 11 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1505 | +5 | +24 | =1534 | 49% | 1 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1454 | –17 | +0 | =1437 | 33% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1518 | +16 | +24 | =1558 | 67% | 6 | |
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1456 | +7 | +0 | =1463 | 40% | 0 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1516 | –5 | +24 | =1535 | 60% | 6 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1455 | +1 | –4 | =1452 | 39% | 1 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1517 | –13 | +24 | =1528 | 61% | 0 | |
6/23Thursday, June 231:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1511 | –9 | +0 | =1502 | 45% | 0 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1516 | –5 | +24 | =1535 | 55% | 1 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 227:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1510 | +11 | +0 | =1521 | 43% | 11 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1518 | +29 | +24 | =1571 | 57% | 10 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 217:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1509 | –18 | –2 | =1489 | 40% | 6 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1519 | +18 | +23 | =1560 | 60% | 5 | |
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1522 | –3 | +0 | =1519 | 53% | 1 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1463 | +11 | +24 | =1498 | 47% | 7 | |
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1518 | –18 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | 11 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Weaver | 1467 | –1 | +24 | =1490 | 49% | 1 | |
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1521 | +6 | –1 | =1526 | 55% | 2 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1464 | –1 | +26 | =1489 | 45% | 7 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 154:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1519 | +27 | +0 | =1546 | 54% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 46% | 0 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +24 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1496 | +21 | +24 | =1541 | 49% | 5 | |
6/13Monday, June 1310:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1520 | –4 | –3 | =1513 | 49% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1497 | –3 | +24 | =1518 | 51% | 2 | |
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1530 | +6 | +0 | =1536 | 53% | 6 |
MINTwins | Sands | 1522 | –29 | +24 | =1517 | 47% | 0 | |
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Baz | 1531 | –17 | +0 | =1514 | 49% | 5 |
MINTwins | Gonzalez | 1521 | –26 | +24 | =1519 | 51% | 6 | |
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1533 | +11 | –3 | =1541 | 48% | 4 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1519 | +8 | +24 | =1551 | 52% | 9 | |
6/9Thursday, June 97:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1575 | +18 | +0 | =1593 | 60% | 10 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1520 | –19 | +24 | =1525 | 40% | 7 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 87:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1578 | +6 | +0 | =1584 | 57% | 1 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1517 | –7 | +24 | =1534 | 43% | 8 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1577 | +2 | –1 | =1578 | 58% | 10 |
MINTwins | Sands | 1519 | –24 | +23 | =1518 | 42% | 4 | |
6/5Sunday, June 51:37 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1517 | +11 | +0 | =1528 | 40% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1554 | +20 | +24 | =1598 | 60% | 6 | |
6/4Saturday, June 43:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1520 | –14 | +0 | =1506 | 40% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1552 | –3 | +24 | =1573 | 60% | 12 | |
6/3Friday, June 37:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gonzalez | 1517 | –28 | –2 | =1487 | 40% | 9 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1555 | –18 | +24 | =1561 | 60% | 3 | |
6/2Thursday, June 21:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1518 | –13 | +0 | =1505 | 54% | 2 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1463 | –10 | +24 | =1477 | 46% | 3 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1520 | +5 | +0 | =1525 | 54% | 0 |
DETTigers | Skubal | 1461 | +15 | +24 | =1500 | 46% | 5 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Sands | 1522 | –22 | +0 | =1500 | 56% | 0 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1459 | –26 | +24 | =1457 | 44% | 4 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 311:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1521 | +5 | +0 | =1526 | 59% | 8 |
DETTigers | Garcia | 1460 | –23 | +24 | =1461 | 41% | 2 | |
5/30Monday, May 301:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1522 | –14 | –3 | =1505 | 56% | 5 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1459 | –22 | +24 | =1461 | 44% | 7 | |
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1456 | +7 | +0 | =1463 | 36% | 3 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1521 | +18 | +24 | =1563 | 64% | 7 | |
5/28Saturday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1453 | +16 | +0 | =1469 | 41% | 7 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1523 | –11 | +24 | =1536 | 59% | 3 | |
5/27Friday, May 278:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1455 | +13 | +0 | =1468 | 38% | 7 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1522 | +6 | +24 | =1552 | 62% | 10 | |
5/26Thursday, May 267:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1453 | –1 | –1 | =1451 | 37% | 3 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1523 | –5 | +24 | =1542 | 63% | 2 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 251:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1457 | –25 | +0 | =1432 | 36% | 4 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1525 | –15 | +24 | =1534 | 64% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1458 | –23 | +0 | =1435 | 32% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1524 | +14 | +24 | =1562 | 68% | 2 | |
5/23Monday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1459 | –17 | –3 | =1439 | 36% | 4 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1524 | –10 | +22 | =1536 | 64% | 5 | |
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1523 | +7 | +0 | =1530 | 56% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1457 | +10 | +24 | =1491 | 44% | 6 | |
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1521 | +19 | +0 | =1540 | 56% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1459 | +12 | +24 | =1495 | 44% | 2 | |
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1520 | –5 | –2 | =1513 | 54% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 46% | 4 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 183:37 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1517 | +15 | +0 | =1532 | 60% | 14 |
OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1454 | –15 | +24 | =1463 | 40% | 4 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 179:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1519 | –13 | +0 | =1506 | 55% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1452 | –3 | +24 | =1473 | 45% | 5 | |
5/16Monday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1518 | –9 | –4 | =1505 | 55% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1453 | –4 | +24 | =1473 | 45% | 1 | |
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1500 | +8 | +0 | =1508 | 43% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1517 | +17 | +24 | =1558 | 57% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1499 | +26 | +0 | =1525 | 49% | 3 |
MINTwins | Smeltzer | 1518 | –7 | +24 | =1535 | 51% | 2 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1500 | –17 | +3 | =1486 | 40% | 8 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1516 | +17 | +24 | =1557 | 60% | 12 | |
5/12Thursday, May 124 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1552 | –3 | +0 | =1549 | 50% | 5 |
MINTwins | Winder | 1518 | +3 | +24 | =1545 | 50% | 0 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1549 | –9 | +0 | =1540 | 50% | 11 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1521 | –5 | +24 | =1540 | 50% | 3 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1547 | +42 | –1 | =1588 | 53% | 5 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1523 | +21 | +26 | =1570 | 47% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1452 | –18 | +0 | =1434 | 35% | 3 |
MINTwins | Paddack | 1523 | –7 | +24 | =1540 | 65% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1453 | –4 | +0 | =1449 | 35% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1522 | +12 | +24 | =1558 | 65% | 1 | |
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1454 | –11 | –2 | =1441 | 37% | 1 |
MINTwins | Winder | 1521 | –6 | +21 | =1536 | 63% | 2 | |
5/5Thursday, May 57:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1523 | –4 | +0 | =1519 | 62% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1432 | –19 | +24 | =1437 | 38% | 5 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1526 | –4 | +0 | =1522 | 60% | 4 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1429 | –4 | +24 | =1449 | 40% | 9 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1524 | +22 | +0 | =1546 | 63% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1430 | +0 | +24 | =1454 | 37% | 2 | |
5/2Monday, May 27:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Paddack | 1524 | –10 | –3 | =1511 | 58% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1431 | +0 | +24 | =1455 | 42% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Winder | 1521 | –18 | +0 | =1503 | 47% | 9 |
TBRays | Fleming | 1528 | –31 | +24 | =1521 | 53% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1517 | –5 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | 9 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1531 | +19 | +24 | =1574 | 59% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1519 | +0 | –3 | =1516 | 44% | 1 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +6 | +24 | =1559 | 56% | 6 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1467 | +2 | +0 | =1469 | 38% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1517 | +9 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 7 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Pineda | 1468 | +11 | +0 | =1479 | 40% | 0 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1516 | +13 | +24 | =1553 | 60% | 5 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1469 | +7 | –1 | =1475 | 42% | 4 |
MINTwins | Paddack | 1515 | –11 | +26 | =1530 | 58% | 5 | |
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1534 | +29 | +0 | =1563 | 54% | 4 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1514 | –2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | 6 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Velasquez | 1536 | –31 | +0 | =1505 | 46% | 2 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1511 | –2 | +24 | =1533 | 54% | 9 | |
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1537 | +1 | –3 | =1535 | 49% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1510 | +10 | +22 | =1542 | 51% | 2 | |
4/21Thursday, April 212:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1509 | +7 | +0 | =1516 | 52% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1468 | +10 | +24 | =1502 | 48% | 0 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 208:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Paddack | 1511 | –11 | +0 | =1500 | 54% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1467 | –16 | +24 | =1475 | 46% | 2 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 52% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1466 | +3 | +29 | =1498 | 48% | 4 | |
4/18Monday, April 1811:10 a.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1509 | –3 | +0 | =1506 | 43% | 8 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1533 | –4 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | 3 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1512 | +9 | +0 | =1521 | 47% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1530 | –14 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | 8 | |
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1513 | +19 | +0 | =1532 | 46% | 0 |
BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1528 | +7 | +24 | =1559 | 54% | 4 | |
4/15Friday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1511 | +3 | –1 | =1513 | 45% | 8 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1530 | –8 | +23 | =1545 | 55% | 4 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1580 | +9 | +0 | =1589 | 59% | 7 |
MINTwins | Paddack | 1513 | –9 | +24 | =1528 | 41% | 0 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Heaney | 1578 | –16 | –1 | =1561 | 53% | 7 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1515 | +0 | +24 | =1539 | 47% | 2 | |
4/11Monday, April 117:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1501 | +0 | +0 | =1501 | 45% | 0 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1514 | –5 | +24 | =1533 | 55% | 4 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1503 | +13 | +0 | =1516 | 45% | 4 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1512 | +13 | +24 | =1549 | 55% | 10 | |
4/9Saturday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1502 | +2 | +0 | =1504 | 42% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1513 | +23 | +24 | =1560 | 58% | 3 | |
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1501 | +37 | –3 | =1535 | 49% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1514 | +5 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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