2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Yankees are done for the season.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YankeesYankees99-63 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
Blue JaysBlue Jays92-70 | 7.0 | ✓ | — | |||
RaysRays86-76 | 13.0 | ✓ | — | |||
OriolesOrioles83-79 | 16.0 | — | — | |||
Red SoxRed Sox78-84 | 21.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/23Sunday, Oct. 238:30 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1588 | –1 | +0 | =1587 | 45% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1569 | +17 | +24 | =1610 | 55% | 5 | |
10/22Saturday, Oct. 225:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1584 | +9 | –1 | =1592 | 46% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1573 | +16 | +23 | =1612 | 54% | 0 | |
10/20Thursday, Oct. 207:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1574 | +6 | +0 | =1580 | 45% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1583 | –1 | +24 | =1606 | 55% | 3 | |
10/19Wednesday, Oct. 197:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1576 | –8 | –3 | =1565 | 37% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1581 | +26 | +27 | =1634 | 63% | 4 | |
10/18Tuesday, Oct. 184:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1530 | –10 | +0 | =1520 | 33% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1574 | +16 | +24 | =1614 | 67% | 5 | |
10/16Sunday, Oct. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1572 | +15 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1532 | –2 | +24 | =1554 | 44% | 2 | |
10/15Saturday, Oct. 157:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1574 | +7 | –2 | =1579 | 50% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1530 | +28 | +22 | =1580 | 50% | 6 | |
10/14Friday, Oct. 141:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1528 | +32 | +5 | =1565 | 39% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1576 | +19 | +29 | =1624 | 61% | 2 | |
10/11Tuesday, Oct. 117:37 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1529 | +0 | +3 | =1532 | 34% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1575 | +13 | +28 | =1616 | 66% | 4 | |
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1577 | –12 | +0 | =1565 | 61% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1461 | –2 | +24 | =1483 | 39% | 4 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1578 | +12 | +0 | =1590 | 63% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Tinoco (open) | 1460 | +13 | +24 | =1497 | 37% | 3 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1577 | –7 | +0 | =1570 | 60% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1461 | +19 | +24 | =1504 | 40% | 4 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1576 | +1 | –3 | =1574 | 59% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1462 | +28 | +21 | =1511 | 41% | 1 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1486 | +1 | +0 | =1487 | 41% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Gonzalez | 1578 | –51 | +24 | =1551 | 59% | 1 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Voth | 1487 | +2 | +0 | =1489 | 33% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1576 | +15 | +24 | =1615 | 67% | 8 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1486 | –7 | –2 | =1477 | 34% | 2 |
NYYYankees | German | 1578 | –11 | +24 | =1591 | 66% | 1 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1576 | +14 | +0 | =1590 | 57% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | White | 1546 | –28 | +24 | =1542 | 43% | 3 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1574 | –6 | +0 | =1568 | 52% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1547 | –17 | +24 | =1554 | 48% | 2 | |
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1575 | +3 | –2 | =1576 | 49% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1546 | +17 | +21 | =1584 | 51% | 3 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 257 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1505 | –10 | +0 | =1495 | 34% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1574 | +13 | +24 | =1611 | 66% | 2 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 39% | 5 |
NYYYankees | German | 1574 | –9 | +24 | =1589 | 61% | 7 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1507 | –5 | +0 | =1502 | 34% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1573 | +17 | +24 | =1614 | 66% | 5 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1508 | +22 | –3 | =1527 | 41% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1572 | –9 | +24 | =1587 | 59% | 5 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1429 | +15 | +0 | =1444 | 29% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1570 | +3 | +24 | =1597 | 71% | 14 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1429 | +3 | +1 | =1433 | 27% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1570 | +15 | +23 | =1608 | 73% | 9 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1568 | +21 | +0 | =1589 | 61% | 12 |
MILBrewers | Alexander | 1526 | –36 | +24 | =1514 | 39% | 8 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1570 | –8 | +0 | =1562 | 49% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1525 | +22 | +24 | =1571 | 51% | 4 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1571 | –11 | –1 | =1559 | 55% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1524 | –22 | +24 | =1526 | 45% | 7 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1570 | +11 | +0 | =1581 | 59% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1510 | –13 | +24 | =1521 | 41% | 3 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1569 | +22 | +0 | =1591 | 58% | 7 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1511 | +3 | +24 | =1538 | 42% | 6 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Patino | 1541 | –31 | +0 | =1510 | 40% | 4 |
NYYYankees | German | 1568 | –10 | +24 | =1582 | 60% | 10 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 101:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1543 | –3 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1565 | –12 | +24 | =1577 | 55% | 10 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1542 | +10 | –1 | =1551 | 45% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Montas | 1567 | –8 | +24 | =1583 | 55% | 2 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1507 | +21 | +0 | =1528 | 40% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1568 | +10 | +24 | =1602 | 60% | 3 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:55 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1509 | +7 | +0 | =1516 | 37% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1566 | +20 | +24 | =1610 | 63% | 7 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1509 | –19 | +2 | =1492 | 37% | 4 |
NYYYankees | German | 1566 | –9 | +26 | =1583 | 63% | 5 | |
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1511 | –6 | –3 | =1502 | 40% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1565 | –11 | +21 | =1575 | 60% | 5 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1564 | –11 | +0 | =1553 | 53% | 2 |
TBRays | Armstrong | 1539 | –32 | +24 | =1531 | 47% | 1 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1565 | –42 | +0 | =1523 | 45% | 1 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1539 | –8 | +24 | =1555 | 55% | 2 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1568 | –8 | –2 | =1558 | 50% | 0 |
TBRays | Springs | 1535 | –1 | +24 | =1558 | 50% | 9 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1569 | +22 | +0 | =1591 | 60% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1493 | +6 | +24 | =1523 | 40% | 3 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1568 | –8 | +0 | =1560 | 60% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Mayers | 1494 | –29 | +24 | =1489 | 40% | 4 | |
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:38 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1569 | –10 | –2 | =1557 | 59% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1493 | –18 | +20 | =1495 | 41% | 4 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1571 | –42 | +0 | =1529 | 62% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1436 | –18 | +24 | =1442 | 38% | 4 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 279:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1573 | –15 | +0 | =1558 | 67% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1435 | –24 | +24 | =1435 | 33% | 3 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1572 | +19 | +0 | =1591 | 67% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1435 | +10 | +24 | =1469 | 33% | 2 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1570 | –8 | –2 | =1560 | 64% | 13 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1437 | +1 | +24 | =1462 | 36% | 4 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Walker | 1563 | –17 | +0 | =1546 | 45% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Montas | 1569 | –11 | +24 | =1582 | 55% | 4 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1564 | +40 | –1 | =1603 | 54% | 2 |
NYYYankees | German | 1567 | –17 | +24 | =1574 | 46% | 4 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:53 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1545 | +22 | +0 | =1567 | 45% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1566 | +9 | +24 | =1599 | 55% | 4 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | White | 1543 | –14 | +0 | =1529 | 38% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1568 | +21 | +24 | =1613 | 62% | 2 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1541 | +17 | +0 | =1558 | 46% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1571 | –7 | +24 | =1588 | 54% | 0 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1538 | –11 | –2 | =1525 | 41% | 9 |
NYYYankees | Montas | 1574 | –7 | +24 | =1591 | 59% | 2 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1526 | –7 | +0 | =1519 | 41% | 7 |
NYYYankees | German | 1573 | –17 | +24 | =1580 | 59% | 8 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Springs | 1524 | –2 | +0 | =1522 | 38% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1575 | +7 | +24 | =1606 | 62% | 1 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1521 | +1 | –3 | =1519 | 36% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1577 | +19 | +22 | =1618 | 64% | 0 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 147 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1579 | –8 | +0 | =1571 | 54% | 0 |
BOSRed Sox | Wacha | 1512 | +7 | +24 | =1543 | 46% | 3 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1578 | –7 | +0 | =1571 | 55% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1513 | –2 | +24 | =1535 | 45% | 2 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1579 | –19 | –2 | =1558 | 52% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1512 | +9 | +24 | =1545 | 48% | 3 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1581 | +8 | +0 | =1589 | 54% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1513 | +20 | +24 | =1557 | 46% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1582 | +17 | +0 | =1599 | 53% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1512 | +38 | +24 | =1574 | 47% | 1 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 810:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1580 | –7 | –4 | =1569 | 53% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1514 | +10 | +24 | =1548 | 47% | 4 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montas | 1581 | +1 | +0 | =1582 | 52% | 9 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1522 | +25 | +24 | =1571 | 48% | 12 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1582 | –21 | +0 | =1561 | 51% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1520 | +11 | +24 | =1555 | 49% | 1 | |
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1584 | +7 | –1 | =1590 | 57% | 3 |
STLCardinals | Hudson | 1519 | –5 | +24 | =1538 | 43% | 4 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1514 | +38 | +0 | =1552 | 39% | 7 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1586 | +20 | +24 | =1630 | 61% | 3 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1512 | +16 | +0 | =1528 | 39% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1588 | –5 | +24 | =1607 | 61% | 6 | |
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –5 | –3 | =1506 | 38% | 2 |
NYYYankees | German | 1586 | –22 | +24 | =1588 | 62% | 7 | |
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1449 | +6 | +0 | =1455 | 30% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1588 | –8 | +24 | =1604 | 70% | 6 | |
7/30Saturday, July 302:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Heasley | 1449 | –15 | +0 | =1434 | 26% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1588 | +5 | +24 | =1617 | 74% | 8 | |
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1450 | –8 | +0 | =1442 | 25% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1587 | +20 | +24 | =1631 | 75% | 11 | |
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1451 | +16 | –3 | =1464 | 31% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1586 | –10 | +23 | =1599 | 69% | 1 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 277 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1587 | –22 | +0 | =1565 | 43% | 2 |
NYMMets | Scherzer | 1549 | +39 | +24 | =1612 | 57% | 3 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1589 | –2 | +0 | =1587 | 52% | 3 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1547 | +1 | +26 | =1574 | 48% | 6 | |
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1587 | +1 | +0 | =1588 | 64% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1470 | –7 | +24 | =1487 | 36% | 0 | |
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1589 | +23 | +0 | =1612 | 67% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1468 | +1 | +24 | =1493 | 33% | 6 | |
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1589 | –9 | –3 | =1577 | 58% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1469 | +24 | +28 | =1521 | 42% | 6 | |
7/21Thursday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1590 | –20 | +0 | =1570 | 49% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1560 | –8 | +24 | =1576 | 51% | 7 | |
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1591 | –6 | +4 | =1589 | 49% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1559 | +2 | +31 | =1592 | 51% | 3 | |
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1534 | +15 | +0 | =1549 | 38% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1589 | +19 | +24 | =1632 | 62% | 13 | |
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1537 | +6 | +0 | =1543 | 42% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1585 | –12 | +24 | =1597 | 58% | 14 | |
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1535 | +15 | –3 | =1547 | 42% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1587 | –3 | +24 | =1608 | 58% | 4 | |
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1470 | +36 | +0 | =1506 | 35% | 7 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1588 | –2 | +24 | =1610 | 65% | 6 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 137:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Minor | 1471 | –6 | +0 | =1465 | 29% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1587 | +8 | +24 | =1619 | 71% | 7 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Ashcraft | 1469 | –8 | –1 | =1460 | 28% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1589 | +14 | +24 | =1627 | 72% | 3 | |
7/10Sunday, July 107 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1591 | –8 | +0 | =1583 | 51% | 6 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1538 | +12 | +24 | =1574 | 49% | 11 | |
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1593 | –5 | +0 | =1588 | 58% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1537 | –30 | +24 | =1531 | 42% | 6 | |
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1591 | +1 | +0 | =1592 | 59% | 12 |
BOSRed Sox | Seabold | 1539 | –36 | +24 | =1527 | 41% | 5 | |
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1590 | +15 | –2 | =1603 | 58% | 6 |
BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1540 | –19 | +24 | =1545 | 42% | 5 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1587 | +4 | +0 | =1591 | 68% | 16 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1438 | –2 | +24 | =1460 | 32% | 0 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1590 | –6 | +0 | =1584 | 65% | 2 |
PITPirates | Quintana | 1435 | +12 | +26 | =1473 | 35% | 5 | |
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1591 | –8 | +0 | =1583 | 58% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 42% | 2 | |
7/2Saturday, July 26:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1590 | –2 | +0 | =1588 | 61% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1501 | –16 | +24 | =1509 | 39% | 1 | |
7/2Saturday, July 212:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1588 | +16 | –1 | =1603 | 65% | 13 |
CLEGuardians | McCarty | 1503 | –35 | +26 | =1494 | 35% | 4 | |
6/30Thursday, June 306:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1589 | +2 | –3 | =1588 | 53% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1557 | –8 | +21 | =1570 | 47% | 2 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1429 | –1 | +0 | =1428 | 26% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1588 | –4 | +24 | =1608 | 74% | 5 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1429 | +36 | +0 | =1465 | 35% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Sears | 1588 | –38 | +24 | =1574 | 65% | 2 | |
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1430 | +0 | –3 | =1427 | 27% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1587 | –7 | +24 | =1604 | 73% | 9 | |
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1554 | –20 | +0 | =1534 | 39% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1586 | –1 | +24 | =1609 | 61% | 6 | |
6/25Saturday, June 251:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 40% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1588 | +14 | +24 | =1626 | 60% | 0 | |
6/24Friday, June 247:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1550 | +32 | +0 | =1582 | 45% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1589 | +3 | +24 | =1616 | 55% | 1 | |
6/23Thursday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1551 | +3 | –3 | =1551 | 41% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1589 | +1 | +21 | =1611 | 59% | 7 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1588 | –3 | +0 | =1585 | 57% | 5 |
TBRays | Baz | 1528 | –14 | +24 | =1538 | 43% | 4 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1589 | +2 | +0 | =1591 | 55% | 4 |
TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1527 | +2 | +24 | =1553 | 45% | 5 | |
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1588 | +7 | –3 | =1592 | 52% | 4 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +29 | +21 | =1578 | 48% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 191:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1589 | +3 | +0 | =1592 | 57% | 9 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1547 | –29 | +24 | =1542 | 43% | 10 | |
6/18Saturday, June 183:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1587 | –4 | +0 | =1583 | 47% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1549 | +29 | +24 | =1602 | 53% | 0 | |
6/17Friday, June 177:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1584 | –5 | –2 | =1577 | 51% | 12 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1553 | –8 | +24 | =1569 | 49% | 3 | |
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1531 | +2 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1583 | –52 | +24 | =1555 | 53% | 2 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1531 | +31 | +0 | =1562 | 43% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1582 | +3 | +24 | =1609 | 57% | 4 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1532 | +5 | –1 | =1536 | 39% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1581 | +6 | +26 | =1613 | 61% | 2 | |
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Thompson | 1471 | –17 | +0 | =1454 | 30% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1579 | –1 | +24 | =1602 | 70% | 18 | |
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Swarmer | 1473 | –2 | +0 | =1471 | 33% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1577 | –8 | +24 | =1593 | 67% | 8 | |
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Miley | 1474 | +4 | +3 | =1481 | 33% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1577 | +4 | +21 | =1602 | 67% | 2 | |
6/9Thursday, June 97:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1575 | +18 | +0 | =1593 | 60% | 10 |
MINTwins | Bundy | 1520 | –19 | +24 | =1525 | 40% | 7 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 87:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1578 | +6 | +0 | =1584 | 57% | 1 |
MINTwins | Archer | 1517 | –7 | +24 | =1534 | 43% | 8 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1577 | +2 | –1 | =1578 | 58% | 10 |
MINTwins | Sands | 1519 | –24 | +23 | =1518 | 42% | 4 | |
6/5Sunday, June 511:35 a.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Garcia | 1462 | –26 | +0 | =1436 | 30% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1576 | –13 | +24 | =1587 | 70% | 5 | |
6/4Saturday, June 41:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Brieske | 1462 | –25 | +0 | =1437 | 29% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1575 | –5 | +24 | =1594 | 71% | 3 | |
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1464 | –14 | –2 | =1448 | 28% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1574 | +13 | +24 | =1611 | 72% | 13 | |
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1520 | –11 | +0 | =1509 | 38% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1573 | –1 | +24 | =1596 | 62% | 2 | |
6/2Thursday, June 21:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1522 | +26 | +2 | =1550 | 42% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1571 | +6 | +26 | =1603 | 58% | 6 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Syndergaard | 1524 | +3 | –2 | =1525 | 42% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1569 | –12 | +23 | =1580 | 58% | 9 | |
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1570 | –1 | +0 | =1569 | 49% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +24 | +24 | =1578 | 51% | 4 | |
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1572 | +14 | +0 | =1586 | 55% | 1 |
TBRays | Kluber | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 45% | 3 | |
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1570 | –4 | +0 | =1566 | 52% | 2 |
TBRays | Springs | 1530 | –1 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | 0 | |
5/26Thursday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1568 | +5 | –3 | =1570 | 55% | 7 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1532 | –19 | +24 | =1537 | 45% | 2 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1436 | +8 | +0 | =1444 | 35% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Sears | 1568 | –39 | +24 | =1553 | 65% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1437 | +2 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1567 | –10 | +24 | =1581 | 69% | 7 | |
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1434 | +6 | –2 | =1438 | 27% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1569 | +16 | +24 | =1609 | 73% | 4 | |
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1529 | +13 | +0 | =1542 | 42% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1572 | +0 | +24 | =1596 | 58% | 0 | |
5/22Sunday, May 223:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1527 | –16 | +0 | =1511 | 39% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1574 | –5 | +24 | =1593 | 61% | 1 | |
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1528 | –38 | –1 | =1489 | 34% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1573 | +8 | +24 | =1605 | 66% | 7 | |
5/19Thursday, May 1912:35 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1575 | –7 | +0 | =1568 | 65% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1431 | +3 | +24 | =1458 | 35% | 9 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1575 | +16 | +0 | =1591 | 68% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1431 | +1 | +24 | =1456 | 32% | 2 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 177:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1574 | –4 | +0 | =1570 | 69% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1432 | –27 | +24 | =1429 | 31% | 4 | |
5/16Monday, May 167:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1573 | –2 | –3 | =1568 | 66% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1433 | +1 | +22 | =1456 | 34% | 2 | |
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1571 | +4 | +0 | =1575 | 51% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1529 | +12 | +24 | =1565 | 49% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1572 | –3 | +0 | =1569 | 58% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1528 | –40 | +24 | =1512 | 42% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1570 | +17 | +0 | =1587 | 59% | 10 |
CHWWhite Sox | Velasquez | 1530 | –28 | +24 | =1526 | 41% | 4 | |
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Gil | 1567 | –22 | –3 | =1542 | 45% | 15 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1533 | +19 | +26 | =1578 | 55% | 7 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1547 | +5 | +0 | =1552 | 45% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1566 | –3 | +24 | =1587 | 55% | 5 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1548 | –27 | +0 | =1521 | 40% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1565 | –1 | +24 | =1588 | 60% | 6 | |
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1471 | +8 | +0 | =1479 | 35% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1564 | –2 | +24 | =1586 | 65% | 1 | |
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1469 | –7 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1566 | –3 | +24 | =1587 | 67% | 2 | |
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1470 | +15 | +6 | =1491 | 33% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1566 | +17 | +29 | =1612 | 67% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1567 | +1 | +0 | =1568 | 54% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1550 | –32 | +24 | =1542 | 46% | 2 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1564 | –5 | +0 | =1559 | 44% | 9 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1553 | +23 | +24 | =1600 | 56% | 1 | |
5/2Monday, May 27:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1563 | –4 | –3 | =1556 | 49% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1554 | –14 | +24 | =1564 | 51% | 2 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1562 | +4 | +0 | =1566 | 62% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1464 | –5 | +24 | =1483 | 38% | 4 | |
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1561 | +15 | +0 | =1576 | 62% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1465 | –2 | +24 | =1487 | 38% | 0 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1558 | +2 | –3 | =1557 | 61% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1467 | –12 | +22 | =1477 | 39% | 2 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1429 | +2 | +0 | =1431 | 30% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1557 | –4 | +24 | =1577 | 70% | 10 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1430 | –3 | +0 | =1427 | 30% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1556 | –5 | +24 | =1575 | 70% | 5 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1431 | +4 | –2 | =1433 | 29% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1555 | +5 | +26 | =1586 | 71% | 12 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1499 | –13 | +0 | =1486 | 36% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1553 | +11 | +24 | =1588 | 64% | 10 | |
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1500 | +2 | +0 | =1502 | 39% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1553 | +0 | +24 | =1577 | 61% | 5 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Morgan | 1501 | –18 | –2 | =1481 | 37% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1552 | –2 | +22 | =1572 | 63% | 4 | |
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1553 | –6 | +0 | =1547 | 57% | 0 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1467 | +8 | +24 | =1499 | 43% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1552 | +8 | +0 | =1560 | 59% | 5 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1468 | +7 | +24 | =1499 | 41% | 3 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1552 | +16 | +0 | =1568 | 61% | 4 |
DETTigers | Alexander | 1468 | –2 | +26 | =1492 | 39% | 2 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1555 | –5 | +0 | =1550 | 64% | 0 |
BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1427 | –5 | +24 | =1446 | 36% | 5 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1554 | –2 | +0 | =1552 | 64% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1428 | –3 | +24 | =1449 | 36% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1555 | –7 | –2 | =1546 | 63% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Lyles | 1427 | +0 | +26 | =1453 | 37% | 2 | |
4/14Thursday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1553 | +11 | +0 | =1564 | 47% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1553 | +5 | +24 | =1582 | 53% | 3 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1551 | +16 | +0 | =1567 | 46% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1555 | +18 | +24 | =1597 | 54% | 4 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1553 | –23 | +0 | =1530 | 44% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1553 | –8 | +24 | =1569 | 56% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 117:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1551 | +19 | –2 | =1568 | 48% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1555 | –1 | +24 | =1578 | 52% | 0 | |
4/10Sunday, April 107 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1529 | +9 | +0 | =1538 | 45% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1556 | –5 | +24 | =1575 | 55% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1530 | –8 | +0 | =1522 | 41% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Severino | 1555 | +8 | +24 | =1587 | 59% | 4 | |
4/8Friday, April 81:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1530 | +14 | –2 | =1542 | 42% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1554 | +21 | +24 | =1599 | 58% | 6 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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