2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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James Wiseman
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Center
- 20 years old
![](https://secure.espn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/headshots/nba/players/full/4432808.png&w=350&h=254)
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'11.5" | ||
Weight | 240 | ||
Draft position | 2 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 55% | ||
Free throw % | 63% | ||
Usage % | 24% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 10% | ||
FT frequency | 23% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 5% | ||
Turnover % | 13% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 14% | ||
Block % | 3.8% | ||
Steal % | 0.6% | ||
Defensive +/- | -1.7 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: PROJECT
5-yr market value: $11.9m
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/key2.png?v=cb2f09e6)
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Ivica Zubac
Year: 2018
Similarity: 57
2
M. Bagley III
Year: 2020
Similarity: 56
3
Jahlil Okafor
Year: 2017
Similarity: 46
4
Spencer Hawes
Year: 2009
Similarity: 46
5
Johan Petro
Year: 2007
Similarity: 45
6
Eddy Curry
Year: 2004
Similarity: 42
7
Enes Kanter
Year: 2013
Similarity: 41
8
Myles Turner
Year: 2017
Similarity: 39
9
Al Jefferson
Year: 2006
Similarity: 38
10
G. Papagiannis
Year: 2018
Similarity: 36
James Wiseman
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Center
- 20 years old
![](https://secure.espn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/headshots/nba/players/full/4432808.png&w=350&h=254)
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | — | — | -6.8 | -4.3 | -3.6 | -3.2 | -2.6 | -2.6 | -2.0 | -2.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -4.3 | -3.6 | -3.2 | -2.6 | -2.6 | -2.0 | -2.3 | |
Combined | — | — | -6.8 | -4.3 | -3.6 | -3.2 | -2.6 | -2.6 | -2.0 | -2.3 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | — | — | -1.7 | -0.4 | +0.5 | +0.6 | +1.2 | +0.9 | +0.4 | +0.5 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -0.5 | +0.5 | +0.6 | +1.2 | +0.9 | +0.4 | +0.5 | |
Combined | — | — | -1.7 | -0.4 | +0.5 | +0.6 | +1.2 | +0.9 | +0.4 | +0.5 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | — | — | -8.5 | -4.7 | -3.1 | -2.6 | -1.4 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.8 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -4.7 | -3.0 | -2.6 | -1.4 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.8 | |
Combined | — | — | -8.5 | -4.7 | -3.1 | -2.6 | -1.4 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.8 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | — | — | -2.7 | -1.2 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.1 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | |
Combined | — | — | -2.7 | -1.1 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | |
Market value | Reg. season | — | — | -$6.8m | -$2m | $1.2m | $2.3m | $5.6m | $4.7m | $4.8m | $4.3m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -$1.6m | $1.3m | $2.2m | $5.2m | $4.5m | $4.7m | $4.4m | |
Combined | — | — | -$6.8m | -$1.8m | $1.3m | $2.2m | $5.4m | $4.6m | $4.8m | $4.3m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | — | — | 926 | 1,172 | 1,235 | 1,190 | 1,366 | 1,257 | 1,148 | 1,086 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1,052 | 1,062 | 1,043 | 1,225 | 1,145 | 1,113 | 1,149 | |
Combined | — | — | 926 | 1,112 | 1,148 | 1,116 | 1,296 | 1,201 | 1,130 | 1,118 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
2020 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
2021 | -6.8 | -1.7 | -8.5 | -$6.8m | 926 |
2022 | -4.3 | -0.4 | -4.7 | -$1.8m | 1,112 |
2023 | -3.6 | +0.5 | -3.1 | $1.3m | 1,148 |
2024 | -3.2 | +0.6 | -2.6 | $2.2m | 1,116 |
2025 | -2.6 | +1.2 | -1.4 | $5.4m | 1,296 |
2026 | -2.6 | +0.9 | -1.7 | $4.6m | 1,201 |
2027 | -2.0 | +0.4 | -1.6 | $4.8m | 1,130 |
2028 | -2.3 | +0.5 | -1.8 | $4.3m | 1,118 |
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