2021-22 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
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Kevon Looney
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Center
- 25 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'9" | ||
Weight | 220 | ||
Draft position | 30 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 56% | ||
Free throw % | 66% | ||
Usage % | 11% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 9% | ||
FT frequency | 24% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 13% | ||
Turnover % | 14% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 15% | ||
Block % | 1.9% | ||
Steal % | 1.1% | ||
Defensive +/- | +1.7 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $24.3m
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/key2.png?v=cb2f09e6)
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Khem Birch
Year: 2019
Similarity: 48
2
H. Catchings
Year: 1978
Similarity: 41
3
Amir Johnson
Year: 2013
Similarity: 39
4
Mark Acres
Year: 1989
Similarity: 38
5
Bison Dele
Year: 1995
Similarity: 38
6
Jerome Williams
Year: 1999
Similarity: 37
7
Ian Mahinmi
Year: 2013
Similarity: 37
8
L. Mbah a Moute
Year: 2013
Similarity: 36
9
Tarik Black
Year: 2018
Similarity: 36
10
Scot Pollard
Year: 2001
Similarity: 36
Kevon Looney
- Warriors
- Golden State Warriors
- Center
- 25 years old
![](/2022-nba-player-projections/images/missing2.png?v=08f640d6)
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | +0.4 | -5.4 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -2.5 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -3.0 |
Playoffs | +1.4 | — | — | -2.4 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -2.7 | -2.7 | -2.9 | |
Combined | +0.7 | -5.4 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -2.5 | -2.7 | -2.7 | -2.9 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | +2.7 | +0.7 | +1.7 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.3 | +1.3 |
Playoffs | +2.9 | — | — | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.3 | |
Combined | +2.8 | +0.7 | +1.7 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.4 | +1.3 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +3.1 | -4.7 | +0.9 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | -1.4 | -1.7 |
Playoffs | +4.2 | — | — | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.6 | |
Combined | +3.4 | -4.7 | +0.9 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 |
Per 82 games | 2019 | '20 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 4.4 | -0.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Playoffs | 5.9 | — | — | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | |
Combined | 4.8 | -0.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $17.5m | $1.0m | $8.9m | $5.3m | $5.6m | $5.1m | $4.6m | $3.6m | $3.2m | $2.3m |
Playoffs | $24.3m | — | — | $5.0m | $5.3m | $5.0m | $4.4m | $3.5m | $3.1m | $2.3m | |
Combined | $19.1m | $1.0m | $8.9m | $5.1m | $5.5m | $5.1m | $4.5m | $3.6m | $3.2m | $2.3m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 1,481 | 331 | 1,287 | 1,233 | 1,227 | 1,051 | 966 | 796 | 665 | 479 |
Playoffs | 1,610 | — | — | 1,108 | 1,117 | 984 | 907 | 727 | 616 | 443 | |
Combined | 1,512 | 331 | 1,287 | 1,171 | 1,172 | 1,017 | 937 | 762 | 641 | 461 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | +0.7 | +2.8 | +3.4 | $19.1m | 1,512 |
2020 | -5.4 | +0.7 | -4.7 | $1.0m | 331 |
2021 | -0.8 | +1.7 | +0.9 | $8.9m | 1,287 |
2022 | -2.5 | +1.5 | -0.9 | $5.1m | 1,171 |
2023 | -2.3 | +1.5 | -0.8 | $5.5m | 1,172 |
2024 | -2.4 | +1.5 | -0.9 | $5.1m | 1,017 |
2025 | -2.5 | +1.4 | -1.1 | $4.5m | 937 |
2026 | -2.7 | +1.4 | -1.4 | $3.6m | 762 |
2027 | -2.7 | +1.4 | -1.3 | $3.2m | 641 |
2028 | -2.9 | +1.3 | -1.6 | $2.3m | 461 |
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