The Los Angeles Clippers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Kawhi Leonard	K. Leonard		34	SAME			+4.5	+1.8
Paul George	P. George		37	SAME			+2.6	+2.8
Ivica Zubac	I. Zubac		24	SAME			-0.9	+1.4
Norman Powell	N. Powell		28	SAME			+0.9	-1.7
Reggie Jackson	R. Jackson		28	SAME			+0.5	-0.5
Marcus Morris Sr.	M. Morris Sr.		27	SAME			-0.3	-1.8
Luke Kennard	L. Kennard		14	SAME			+1.4	-1.5
Terance Mann	T. Mann		15	SAME			+0.3	+0.6
Nicolas Batum	N. Batum		14	SAME			-0.5	+1.5
Amir Coffey	A. Coffey		12	SAME			-0.4	-0.8
Robert Covington	R. Covington		4	SAME			-0.3	+2.6
Isaiah Hartenstein	I. Hartenstein		3	SAME			-0.3	+2.0
Brandon Boston Jr.	B. Boston Jr.		0	SAME			-2.5	-0.9
Rodney Hood	R. Hood		0	SAME			-2.1	-1.1
Xavier Moon	X. Moon		0	SAME			-1.5	-1.3
Jason Preston	J. Preston		0	SAME			-1.6	-0.8
Jay Scrubb	J. Scrubb		0	SAME			-2.6	-1.0
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+5.0	+2.0
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			112-105
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			57
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1669
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 3% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 3% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1665
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1682

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Kawhi Leonard	K. Leonard		34		+4.5	+1.8
Paul George	P. George		37		+2.6	+2.8
Ivica Zubac	I. Zubac		24		-0.9	+1.4
Norman Powell	N. Powell		28		+0.9	-1.7
Reggie Jackson	R. Jackson		28		+0.5	-0.5
Marcus Morris Sr.	M. Morris Sr.		27		-0.3	-1.8
Luke Kennard	L. Kennard		14		+1.4	-1.5
Terance Mann	T. Mann		15		+0.3	+0.6
Nicolas Batum	N. Batum		14		-0.5	+1.5
Amir Coffey	A. Coffey		12		-0.4	-0.8
Robert Covington	R. Covington		4		-0.3	+2.6
Isaiah Hartenstein	I. Hartenstein		3		-0.3	+2.0
Brandon Boston Jr.	B. Boston Jr.		0		-2.5	-0.9
Rodney Hood	R. Hood		0		-2.1	-1.1
Xavier Moon	X. Moon		0		-1.5	-1.3
Jason Preston	J. Preston		0		-1.6	-0.8
Jay Scrubb	J. Scrubb		0		-2.6	-1.0
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+5.0	+2.0
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			112-105
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			57
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1669
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 3% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 3% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1665
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1682

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2021-22 NBA Predictions

Updated after every game and depth chart revision.

The Los Angeles Clippers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

Comments