UPDATED Dec. 7, 2022, at 6:06 PM

2022 NFL Predictions

For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game.

More NFL:Every team’s Elo historyCan you outsmart our forecasts?

elo with top qb
elo rating
1-week changecurrent qb adj.teamdivisionmake playoffswin division1st-round byewin super bowl
Week 14 matchup
Wk 14
Week 15 matchup
Wk 15
Week 16 matchup
Wk 16
Week 17 matchup
Wk 17
Week 18 matchup
Wk 18
1668
+32
Eagles11-1NFC East>99%80%74%20%
@NYG
@CHI
@DAL
NO
NYG
1680
+19
Bills9-3AFC East>99%78%46%18%
NYJ
MIA
@CHI
@CIN
NE
1673
-21
Chiefs9-3AFC West>99%>99%39%17%
@DEN
@HOU
SEA
DEN
@LV
1694
+9
Cowboys9-3NFC East>99%20%14%16%
HOU
@JAX
PHI
@TEN
@WSH
1589
+8
Vikings10-2NFC North>99%>99%11%7%
@DET
IND
NYG
@GB
@CHI
1621
+24
Bengals8-4AFC North90%47%9%7%
CLE
@TB
@NE
BUF
BAL
1590
-8
-129Ravens8-4AFC North86%50%2%3%
@PIT
@CLE
ATL
PIT
@CIN
1572
-28
Titans7-5AFC South98%98%0.1%3%
JAX
@LAC
HOU
DAL
@JAX
1559
-29
Dolphins8-4AFC East87%19%5%2%
@LAC
@BUF
GB
@NE
NYJ
1626
+9
-15349ers8-4NFC West87%67%0.3%2%
TB
@SEA
WSH
@LV
ARI
1524
+5
Buccaneers6-6NFC South87%87%<0.1%2%
@SF
CIN
@ARI
CAR
@ATL
1500
+13
Seahawks7-5NFC West79%33%<0.1%1%
CAR
SF
@KC
NYJ
LAR
1503
-7
Commanders7-5-1NFC East70%<0.1%<0.1%0.6%
NYG
@SF
CLE
DAL
1507
-17
Patriots6-6AFC East25%0.4%<0.1%0.3%
@ARI
@LV
CIN
MIA
@BUF
1471
-7
Jets7-5AFC East49%3%0.2%0.3%
@BUF
DET
JAX
@SEA
@MIA
1540
Browns5-7AFC North9%2%<0.1%0.3%
@CIN
BAL
NO
@WSH
@PIT
1455
+5
Giants7-4-1NFC East50%<0.1%<0.1%0.3%
PHI
@WSH
@MIN
IND
@PHI
1499
+17
Raiders5-7AFC West16%0.1%<0.1%0.2%
@LAR
NE
@PIT
SF
KC
1460
-24
Chargers6-6AFC West31%<0.1%<0.1%0.1%
MIA
TEN
@IND
LAR
@DEN
1451
+16
Steelers5-7AFC North6%1%<0.1%<0.1%
BAL
@CAR
LV
@BAL
CLE
1458
+34
Lions5-7NFC North8%0.1%<0.1%
MIN
@NYJ
@CAR
CHI
@GB
1472
+22
Packers5-8NFC North4%<0.1%
LAR
@MIA
MIN
DET
1389
Panthers4-8NFC South8%8%<0.1%
@SEA
PIT
DET
@TB
@NO
1382
-17
Falcons5-8NFC South5%5%<0.1%
@NO
@BAL
ARI
TB
1449
Cardinals4-8NFC West1%<0.1%<0.1%
NE
@DEN
TB
@ATL
@SF
1458
-17
Colts4-8-1AFC South0.9%0.4%<0.1%
@MIN
LAC
@NYG
HOU
1435
Saints4-9NFC South0.6%0.6%<0.1%
ATL
@CLE
@PHI
CAR
1400
-35
Jaguars4-8AFC South2%2%<0.1%<0.1%
@TEN
DAL
@NYJ
@HOU
TEN
1436
+1
-124Rams3-9NFC West<0.1%<0.1%
LV
@GB
DEN
@LAC
@SEA
1397
+1
Broncos3-9AFC West<0.1%<0.1%
KC
ARI
@LAR
@KC
LAC
1389
-17
Bears3-10NFC North
PHI
BUF
@DET
MIN
1280
-24
Texans1-10-1AFC South
@DAL
KC
@TEN
JAX
@IND

Week 14

Thursday, Dec. 8

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders-5.569%
Rams31%
Quality
7
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
10
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
9
An overall
rating for
this game

Sunday, Dec. 11

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens44%
Steelers-1.556%
Quality
26
Importance
59
Overall
43
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns32%
Bengals-568%
Quality
84
Importance
66
Overall
75
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans6%
Cowboys-18.594%
Quality
27
Importance
2
Overall
15
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars22%
Titans-978%
Quality
38
Importance
11
Overall
25
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-361%
Lions39%
Quality
59
Importance
34
Overall
47
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets18%
Bills-10.582%
Quality
80
Importance
63
Overall
72
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-6.572%
Giants28%
Quality
75
Importance
85
Overall
80
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-979%
Broncos21%
Quality
60
Importance
25
Overall
43
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers30%
Seahawks-5.570%
Quality
20
Importance
50
Overall
35
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers49%
49ers-0.551%
Quality
48
Importance
53
Overall
51
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-1.556%
Chargers44%
Quality
52
Importance
90
Overall
71

Monday, Dec. 12

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots46%
Cardinals-154%
Quality
36
Importance
37
Overall
37

Week 15

Thursday, Dec. 15

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers39%
Seahawks-361%
Quality
41
Importance
99
Overall
70

Saturday, Dec. 17

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts29%
Vikings-6.571%
Quality
59
Importance
9
Overall
34
4:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens32%
Browns-568%
Quality
49
Importance
51
Overall
50
8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins27%
Bills-773%
Quality
93
Importance
98
Overall
96

Sunday, Dec. 18

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons36%
Saints-464%
Quality
10
Importance
7
Overall
9
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-9.580%
Jaguars20%
Quality
65
Importance
11
Overall
38
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions41%
Jets-2.559%
Quality
30
Importance
68
Overall
49
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-13.588%
Texans12%
Quality
23
Importance
11
Overall
17
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-876%
Bears24%
Quality
56
Importance
28
Overall
42
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers-0.552%
Panthers48%
Quality
13
Importance
16
Overall
15
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
CardinalsPK50%
Broncos50%
Quality
14
Importance
1
Overall
8
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots43%
Raiders-257%
Quality
50
Importance
88
Overall
69
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-257%
Buccaneers43%
Quality
81
Importance
62
Overall
72
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-258%
Chargers42%
Quality
56
Importance
54
Overall
55
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants33%
Commanders-567%
Quality
37
Importance
100
Overall
69

Monday, Dec. 19

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams20%
Packers-9.580%
Quality
5
Importance
2
Overall
4

Week 16

Thursday, Dec. 22

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars33%
Jets-567%
Quality
18
Importance
56
Overall
37

Saturday, Dec. 24

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons26%
Ravens-7.574%
Quality
21
Importance
41
Overall
31
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-9.580%
Bears20%
Quality
59
Importance
22
Overall
41
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-2.559%
Patriots41%
Quality
78
Importance
89
Overall
84
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions-0.553%
Panthers47%
Quality
14
Importance
25
Overall
20
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans12%
Titans-1488%
Quality
10
Importance
1
Overall
6
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints29%
Browns-6.571%
Quality
41
Importance
7
Overall
24
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants26%
Vikings-7.574%
Quality
58
Importance
47
Overall
53
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks21%
Chiefs-979%
Quality
85
Importance
56
Overall
71
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders46%
49ers-154%
Quality
42
Importance
85
Overall
64
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles39%
Cowboys-361%
Quality
99
Importance
92
Overall
96
8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders49%
Steelers-0.551%
Quality
35
Importance
48
Overall
42

Sunday, Dec. 25

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers31%
Dolphins-5.569%
Quality
56
Importance
25
Overall
41
4:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-1.555%
Rams45%
Quality
1
Importance
0
Overall
1
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-0.553%
Cardinals47%
Quality
41
Importance
15
Overall
28

Monday, Dec. 26

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers42%
Colts-258%
Quality
28
Importance
50
Overall
39

Week 17

Thursday, Dec. 29

8:15 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-360%
Titans40%
Quality
95
Importance
23
Overall
59

Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023

1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-0.552%
Falcons48%
Quality
12
Importance
7
Overall
10
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers26%
Buccaneers-7.574%
Quality
25
Importance
80
Overall
53
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears34%
Lions-4.566%
Quality
14
Importance
5
Overall
10
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns48%
Commanders-0.552%
Quality
59
Importance
62
Overall
61
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos13%
Chiefs-1387%
Quality
60
Importance
13
Overall
37
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts43%
Giants-257%
Quality
26
Importance
47
Overall
37
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars-2.560%
Texans40%
Quality
1
Importance
2
Overall
2
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins50%
PatriotsPK50%
Quality
65
Importance
77
Overall
71
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints16%
Eagles-11.584%
Quality
70
Importance
21
Overall
46
1 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers25%
Ravens-7.575%
Quality
57
Importance
59
Overall
58
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets38%
Seahawks-3.562%
Quality
41
Importance
88
Overall
65
4:05 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers39%
Raiders-361%
Quality
41
Importance
55
Overall
48
4:25 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-2.559%
Packers41%
Quality
63
Importance
23
Overall
43
8:20 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams24%
Chargers-876%
Quality
4
Importance
15
Overall
10

Monday, Jan. 2, 2023

8:30 p.m. EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-0.551%
Bengals49%
Quality
98
Importance
96
Overall
97

Week 18

Sunday, Jan. 8, 2023

Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals39%
49ers-361%
Quality
29
Importance
50
Overall
40
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens39%
Bengals-361%
Quality
91
Importance
100
Overall
96
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers36%
Saints-464%
Quality
11
Importance
8
Overall
10
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns-1.556%
Steelers44%
Quality
46
Importance
30
Overall
38
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-5.569%
Commanders31%
Quality
87
Importance
53
Overall
70
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions41%
Packers-2.559%
Quality
31
Importance
21
Overall
26
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans21%
Colts-979%
Quality
2
Importance
1
Overall
2
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-567%
Raiders33%
Quality
85
Importance
86
Overall
86
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-0.552%
Broncos48%
Quality
16
Importance
45
Overall
31
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams34%
Seahawks-4.566%
Quality
32
Importance
36
Overall
34
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-670%
Bears30%
Quality
39
Importance
7
Overall
23
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots22%
Bills-978%
Quality
87
Importance
69
Overall
78
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants18%
Eagles-10.582%
Quality
75
Importance
62
Overall
69
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets31%
Dolphins-5.569%
Quality
56
Importance
94
Overall
75
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-3.563%
Falcons37%
Quality
23
Importance
44
Overall
34
Elo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-567%
Jaguars33%
Quality
38
Importance
9
Overall
24

Completed

Week 13

Thursday, Dec. 1

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-3.562%24
Patriots38%10
Quality
87
How good
are these
two teams
Importance
90
How much will this game affect playoff odds
Overall
89
An overall
rating for
this game

Sunday, Dec. 4

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns-7.574%27
Texans26%14
Quality
11
Importance
3
Overall
7
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos19%9
Ravens-10.581%10
Quality
43
Importance
12
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers49%28
BearsPK51%19
Quality
16
Importance
3
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars44%14
Lions-1.556%40
Quality
16
Importance
16
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets29%22
Vikings-671%27
Quality
63
Importance
54
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers48%19
Falcons-0.552%16
Quality
12
Importance
25
Overall
19
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans38%10
Eagles-3.562%35
Quality
93
Importance
47
Overall
70
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders50%20
GiantsPK50%20
Quality
35
Importance
99
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins38%17
49ers-3.562%33
Quality
90
Importance
39
Overall
65
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks-4.566%27
Rams34%23
Quality
7
Importance
50
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-257%24
Bengals43%27
Quality
97
Importance
91
Overall
94
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers43%20
Raiders-257%27
Quality
40
Importance
80
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts18%19
Cowboys-10.582%54
Quality
82
Importance
13
Overall
48

Monday, Dec. 5

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints32%16
Buccaneers-5.568%17
Quality
36
Importance
78
Overall
57

Week 12

Thursday, Nov. 24

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-774%28
Lions26%25
Quality
66
Importance
47
Overall
57
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants17%20
Cowboys-1183%28
Quality
77
Importance
40
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots39%26
Vikings-361%33
Quality
69
Importance
61
Overall
65

Sunday, Nov. 27

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons32%13
Commanders-568%19
Quality
22
Importance
87
Overall
55
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-4.565%27
Jaguars35%28
Quality
52
Importance
15
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears34%10
Jets-4.566%31
Quality
10
Importance
20
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals37%20
Titans-3.563%16
Quality
89
Importance
47
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos39%10
Panthers-361%23
Quality
16
Importance
3
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans10%15
Dolphins-1490%30
Quality
19
Importance
4
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-360%17
Browns40%23
Quality
44
Importance
35
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers45%25
Cardinals-1.555%24
Quality
30
Importance
36
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders30%40
Seahawks-670%34
Quality
39
Importance
28
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams6%10
Chiefs-18.594%26
Quality
28
Importance
5
Overall
17
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints22%0
49ers-8.578%13
Quality
59
Importance
32
Overall
46
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers24%33
Eagles-876%40
Quality
68
Importance
43
Overall
56

Monday, Nov. 28

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers29%24
Colts-6.571%17
Quality
25
Importance
10
Overall
18

Week 11

Thursday, Nov. 17

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-2.558%27
Packers42%17
Quality
67
Importance
31
Overall
49

Sunday, Nov. 20

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers18%3
Ravens-10.582%13
Quality
51
Importance
13
Overall
32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears49%24
FalconsPK51%27
Quality
12
Importance
16
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns17%23
Bills-1183%31
Quality
68
Importance
28
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions29%31
Giants-671%18
Quality
20
Importance
36
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams46%20
Saints-154%27
Quality
16
Importance
13
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets39%3
Patriots-361%10
Quality
49
Importance
95
Overall
72
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-1.556%17
Colts44%16
Quality
78
Importance
85
Overall
82
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders-464%23
Texans36%10
Quality
5
Importance
22
Overall
14
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders39%22
Broncos-361%16
Quality
16
Importance
4
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-5.568%37
Steelers32%30
Quality
39
Importance
47
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys46%40
Vikings-154%3
Quality
93
Importance
73
Overall
83
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-670%30
Chargers30%27
Quality
83
Importance
85
Overall
84

Monday, Nov. 21

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-6.572%38
Cardinals28%10
Quality
46
Importance
64
Overall
55

Week 10

Thursday, Nov. 10

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons-153%15
Panthers47%25
Quality
4
Importance
46
Overall
25

Sunday, Nov. 13

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks-0.551%16
Buccaneers49%21
Quality
63
Importance
71
Overall
67
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns31%17
Dolphins-5.569%39
Quality
51
Importance
66
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos31%10
Titans-5.569%17
Quality
57
Importance
16
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions35%31
Bears-4.565%30
Quality
10
Importance
9
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans20%16
Giants-1080%24
Quality
7
Importance
12
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars15%17
Chiefs-1285%27
Quality
68
Importance
16
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings31%33
Bills-5.569%30
Quality
95
Importance
52
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints47%10
Steelers-153%20
Quality
11
Importance
13
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts35%25
Raiders-0.565%20
Quality
29
Importance
9
Overall
19
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals48%27
Rams-0.552%17
Quality
2
Importance
39
Overall
21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys-773%28
Packers27%31
Quality
74
Importance
20
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers30%16
49ers-670%22
Quality
66
Importance
63
Overall
65

Monday, Nov. 14

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders16%32
Eagles-11.584%21
Quality
65
Importance
32
Overall
49

Week 9

Thursday, Nov. 3

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-10.582%29
Texans18%17
Quality
35
Importance
13
Overall
24

Sunday, Nov. 6

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-876%17
Jets24%20
Quality
82
Importance
66
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers21%21
Bengals-9.579%42
Quality
25
Importance
24
Overall
25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-3.562%9
Lions38%15
Quality
13
Importance
17
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts30%3
Patriots-670%26
Quality
22
Importance
58
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-153%20
Falcons47%17
Quality
30
Importance
82
Overall
56
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-2.559%35
Bears41%32
Quality
42
Importance
43
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-3.563%20
Commanders37%17
Quality
51
Importance
34
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders49%20
JaguarsPK51%27
Quality
14
Importance
25
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks47%31
Cardinals-0.553%21
Quality
40
Importance
77
Overall
59
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams37%13
Buccaneers-3.563%16
Quality
47
Importance
76
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans22%17
Chiefs-978%20
Quality
86
Importance
37
Overall
62

Monday, Nov. 7

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-2.559%27
Saints41%13
Quality
60
Importance
55
Overall
58

Week 8

Thursday, Oct. 27

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens46%27
Buccaneers-154%22
Quality
72
Importance
66
Overall
69

Sunday, Oct. 30

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-1.555%21
Jaguars45%17
Quality
18
Importance
18
Overall
18
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals27%26
Vikings-773%34
Quality
59
Importance
36
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers36%34
Falcons-464%37
Quality
6
Importance
66
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears18%29
Cowboys-10.582%49
Quality
63
Importance
23
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-4.566%31
Lions34%27
Quality
19
Importance
31
Overall
25
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots44%22
Jets-1.556%17
Quality
38
Importance
88
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders-0.552%0
Saints48%24
Quality
28
Importance
45
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers14%13
Eagles-1386%35
Quality
52
Importance
10
Overall
31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-465%17
Texans35%10
Quality
15
Importance
29
Overall
22
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants48%13
Seahawks-0.552%27
Quality
47
Importance
79
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers42%31
Rams-2.558%14
Quality
59
Importance
93
Overall
76
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders46%17
Colts-154%16
Quality
10
Importance
48
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers16%17
Bills-11.584%27
Quality
89
Importance
31
Overall
60

Monday, Oct. 31

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-6.572%13
Browns28%32
Quality
44
Importance
53
Overall
49

Week 7

Thursday, Oct. 20

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints38%34
Cardinals-3.562%42
Quality
21
Importance
41
Overall
31

Sunday, Oct. 23

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons25%17
Bengals-7.575%35
Quality
51
Importance
53
Overall
52
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns22%20
Ravens-8.578%23
Quality
35
Importance
51
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions16%6
Cowboys-11.584%24
Quality
45
Importance
11
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-2.558%21
Commanders42%23
Quality
25
Importance
55
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts38%10
Titans-3.562%19
Quality
62
Importance
96
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
GiantsPK51%23
Jaguars49%17
Quality
29
Importance
55
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-9.579%3
Panthers21%21
Quality
18
Importance
21
Overall
20
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans27%20
Raiders-6.573%38
Quality
12
Importance
14
Overall
13
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets-2.558%16
Broncos42%9
Quality
7
Importance
65
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-0.551%44
49ers49%23
Quality
88
Importance
61
Overall
75
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks30%37
Chargers-670%23
Quality
39
Importance
57
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers28%10
Dolphins-6.572%16
Quality
27
Importance
44
Overall
36

Monday, Oct. 24

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears22%33
Patriots-978%14
Quality
25
Importance
22
Overall
24

Week 6

Thursday, Oct. 13

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders44%12
Bears-1.556%7
Quality
7
Importance
17
Overall
12

Sunday, Oct. 16

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-2.559%20
Giants41%24
Quality
63
Importance
64
Overall
64
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-2.558%30
Saints42%26
Quality
46
Importance
65
Overall
56
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars36%27
Colts-464%34
Quality
31
Importance
83
Overall
57
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-5.569%24
Dolphins31%16
Quality
25
Importance
54
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots41%38
Browns-2.559%15
Quality
18
Importance
75
Overall
47
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets24%27
Packers-876%10
Quality
41
Importance
41
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-6.572%14
Falcons28%28
Quality
41
Importance
39
Overall
40
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-773%18
Steelers27%20
Quality
43
Importance
13
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-153%9
Seahawks47%19
Quality
25
Importance
62
Overall
44
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers20%10
Rams-1080%24
Quality
7
Importance
16
Overall
12
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills50%24
ChiefsPK50%20
Quality
99
Importance
99
Overall
99
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys27%17
Eagles-773%26
Quality
81
Importance
93
Overall
87

Monday, Oct. 17

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos36%16
Chargers-464%19
Quality
49
Importance
84
Overall
67

Week 5

Thursday, Oct. 6

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts40%12
Broncos-360%9
Quality
44
Importance
79
Overall
62

Sunday, Oct. 9

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants30%27
Packers-670%22
Quality
56
Importance
67
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons18%15
Buccaneers-10.582%21
Quality
44
Importance
45
Overall
45
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears24%22
Vikings-876%29
Quality
31
Importance
51
Overall
41
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions46%0
Patriots-154%29
Quality
8
Importance
33
Overall
21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans23%13
Jaguars-8.577%6
Quality
7
Importance
22
Overall
15
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-0.552%30
Browns48%28
Quality
38
Importance
88
Overall
63
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-464%17
Jets36%40
Quality
20
Importance
50
Overall
35
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers12%3
Bills-13.588%38
Quality
58
Importance
10
Overall
34
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks43%32
Saints-257%39
Quality
15
Importance
48
Overall
32
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans-2.559%21
Commanders41%17
Quality
31
Importance
46
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-5.570%37
Panthers30%15
Quality
36
Importance
40
Overall
38
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys34%22
Rams-4.566%10
Quality
51
Importance
71
Overall
61
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-2.558%20
Cardinals42%17
Quality
75
Importance
82
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals40%17
Ravens-360%19
Quality
81
Importance
96
Overall
89

Monday, Oct. 10

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders22%29
Chiefs-8.578%30
Quality
75
Importance
52
Overall
64

Week 4

Thursday, Sept. 29

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins-0.551%15
Bengals49%27
Quality
77
Importance
73
Overall
75

Sunday, Oct. 2

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings-4.566%28
Saints34%25
Quality
37
Importance
68
Overall
53
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-154%23
Ravens46%20
Quality
96
Importance
79
Overall
88
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears42%12
Giants-2.558%20
Quality
12
Importance
65
Overall
39
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns-153%20
Falcons47%23
Quality
13
Importance
49
Overall
31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars28%21
Eagles-6.572%29
Quality
74
Importance
50
Overall
62
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers-464%34
Texans36%24
Quality
12
Importance
30
Overall
21
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets29%24
Steelers-671%20
Quality
6
Importance
13
Overall
10
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks39%48
Lions-361%45
Quality
10
Importance
42
Overall
26
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans43%24
Colts-257%17
Quality
49
Importance
88
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders42%10
Cowboys-258%25
Quality
19
Importance
81
Overall
50
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals-0.551%26
Panthers49%16
Quality
20
Importance
53
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-0.553%23
Raiders47%32
Quality
41
Importance
68
Overall
55
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots27%24
Packers-773%27
Quality
61
Importance
45
Overall
53
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs41%41
Buccaneers-2.559%31
Quality
94
Importance
45
Overall
70

Monday, Oct. 3

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Rams45%9
49ers-1.555%24
Quality
78
Importance
94
Overall
86

Week 3

Thursday, Sept. 22

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers50%17
BrownsPK50%29
Quality
22
Importance
81
Overall
52

Sunday, Sept. 25

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
RavensPK51%37
Patriots49%26
Quality
67
Importance
85
Overall
76
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills-257%19
Dolphins43%21
Quality
95
Importance
96
Overall
96
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-256%27
Jets44%12
Quality
25
Importance
36
Overall
31
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Lions30%24
Vikings-670%28
Quality
36
Importance
71
Overall
54
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans34%20
Bears-4.566%23
Quality
4
Importance
28
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-4.566%17
Colts34%20
Quality
75
Importance
54
Overall
65
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-258%14
Panthers42%22
Quality
19
Importance
55
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders38%22
Titans-3.562%24
Quality
34
Importance
49
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-2.559%24
Commanders41%8
Quality
62
Importance
83
Overall
73
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars26%38
Chargers-774%10
Quality
46
Importance
55
Overall
51
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons35%27
Seahawks-4.565%23
Quality
5
Importance
26
Overall
16
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers33%14
Buccaneers-567%12
Quality
91
Importance
66
Overall
79
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
RamsPK51%20
Cardinals49%12
Quality
60
Importance
88
Overall
74
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers49%10
BroncosPK51%11
Quality
71
Importance
68
Overall
70

Monday, Sept. 26

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cowboys34%23
Giants-4.566%16
Quality
14
Importance
82
Overall
48

Week 2

Thursday, Sept. 15

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chargers33%24
Chiefs-567%27
Quality
90
Importance
92
Overall
91

Sunday, Sept. 18

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Panthers36%16
Giants-464%19
Quality
13
Importance
53
Overall
33
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-465%0
Jaguars35%24
Quality
26
Importance
60
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Dolphins40%42
Ravens-360%38
Quality
74
Importance
78
Overall
76
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots42%17
Steelers-258%14
Quality
45
Importance
74
Overall
60
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jets38%31
Browns-3.562%30
Quality
9
Importance
38
Overall
24
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers-258%20
Saints42%10
Quality
82
Importance
93
Overall
88
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Commanders-1.556%27
Lions44%36
Quality
21
Importance
63
Overall
42
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Falcons21%27
Rams-979%31
Quality
24
Importance
31
Overall
28
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Seahawks31%7
49ers-5.569%27
Quality
36
Importance
77
Overall
57
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Cardinals42%29
Raiders-258%23
Quality
34
Importance
51
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bengals-4.566%17
Cowboys34%20
Quality
19
Importance
53
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Texans24%9
Broncos-876%16
Quality
20
Importance
33
Overall
27
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bears27%10
Packers-773%27
Quality
46
Importance
67
Overall
57

Monday, Sept. 19

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Titans24%7
Bills-876%41
Quality
86
Importance
42
Overall
64
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Vikings45%7
Eagles-1.555%24
Quality
76
Importance
66
Overall
71

Week 1

Thursday, Sept. 8

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Bills47%31
Rams-153%10
Quality
91
Importance
59
Overall
75

Sunday, Sept. 11

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Ravens-3.562%24
Jets38%9
Quality
34
Importance
51
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Browns43%26
Panthers-257%24
Quality
10
Importance
48
Overall
29
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Colts-567%20
Texans33%20
Quality
21
Importance
51
Overall
36
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Jaguars32%22
Commanders-5.568%28
Quality
18
Importance
41
Overall
30
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Patriots42%7
Dolphins-2.558%20
Quality
56
Importance
85
Overall
71
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Saints-464%27
Falcons36%26
Quality
19
Importance
54
Overall
37
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Eagles-2.560%38
Lions40%35
Quality
33
Importance
64
Overall
49
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Steelers32%23
Bengals-568%20
Quality
56
Importance
75
Overall
66
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
49ers-3.563%10
Bears37%19
Quality
37
Importance
59
Overall
48
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Packers-153%7
Vikings47%23
Quality
79
Importance
93
Overall
86
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Chiefs-257%44
Cardinals43%21
Quality
72
Importance
64
Overall
68
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Giants31%21
Titans-5.569%20
Quality
36
Importance
50
Overall
43
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Raiders36%19
Chargers-464%24
Quality
59
Importance
79
Overall
69
FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Buccaneers49%19
CowboysPK51%3
Quality
84
Importance
67
Overall
76

Monday, Sept. 12

FINAL EasternElo point spreadWin prob.Score
Broncos-257%16
Seahawks43%17
Quality
34
Importance
60
Overall
47

Quarterback ratings

The top quarterbacks for each team and their value in Elo points, which are used in our quarterback-adjusted model. Our ratings are a rolling average of recent performances and incorporate both passing and running. Initial rookie ratings are based on draft position; undrafted rookies begin their careers with an Elo value of zero, while a first overall draft pick starts with an Elo value of 113.

AFC East
AFC North
AFC South
AFC West
NFC East
NFC North
NFC South
NFC West