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UPDATED May 22, 2022, at 4:06 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Atlanta Dream have a 2%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
66%

chance of making the playoffs
6%

chance of making the Finals
2%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Dream Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Dream Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 24

7 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Dream28%
Mystics-5.572%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
423438

Sunday, May 29

12 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mercury46%
Dream-154%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
347856

Wednesday, June 1

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Lynx42%
Dream-258%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
248956

Completed games


Friday, May 20

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Mystics47%78
Dream-0.553%73

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
425548

Tuesday, May 17

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Dream44%101
Fever-1.556%79

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
67540

Sunday, May 15

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Dream40%85
Fever-2.560%79

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
68043
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