UPDATED May 22, 2022, at 4:06 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Atlanta Dream have a 2%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

66%

chance of making the playoffs

6%

chance of making the Finals

2%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Dream Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Dream Elo rating after every game since {year}

7 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Dream		28%
Mystics	-5.5	72%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	42			34			38

12 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Mercury		46%
Dream	-1	54%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	34			78			56

7 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Lynx		42%
Dream	-2	58%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	24			89			56

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Mystics		47%	✓78
Dream	-0.5	53%	73

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	42			55			48

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Dream		44%	✓101
Fever	-1.5	56%	79

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	6			75			40

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Dream		40%	✓85
Fever	-2.5	60%	79

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	6			80			43

🏀 More WNBA coverage 🏀