UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Indiana Fever have a <1%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

25%

chance of making the playoffs

2%

chance of making the Finals

<1%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Fever Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Fever Elo rating after every game since {year}

7 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Dream		44%
Fever	-1.5	56%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	6			75			40

7 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Fever		18%
Sun	-9.5	82%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	38			19			28

2 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Sun	-4	65%
Fever		35%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	38			43			40

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Dream		40%	✓85
Fever	-2.5	60%	79

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	6			80			43

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Fever		35%	✓92
Liberty	-4	65%	86

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	5			70			37

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Lynx	-1.5	56%	76
Fever		44%	✓82

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	15			62			38

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