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UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Indiana Fever have a <1%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
25%

chance of making the playoffs
2%

chance of making the Finals
<1%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Fever Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Fever Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 17

7 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Dream44%
Fever-1.556%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
67540

Friday, May 20

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Fever18%
Sun-9.582%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
381928

Sunday, May 22

2 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sun-465%
Fever35%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
384340

Completed games


Sunday, May 15

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Dream40%85
Fever-2.560%79

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
68043

Friday, May 13

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Fever35%92
Liberty-465%86

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
57037

Tuesday, May 10

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Lynx-1.556%76
Fever44%82

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
156238
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