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UPDATED Sep. 18, 2022, at 6:18 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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Completed games

Sunday, Sept. 18Finals

Game 4 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Aces3-1		34%	✓78
Sun	-4	66%	71

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	100			100			100

Thursday, Sept. 15Finals

Game 3 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Aces2-1		42%	76
Sun	-2	58%	✓105

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	100			95			97

Tuesday, Sept. 13Finals

Game 2 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sun		34%	71
Aces2-0	-4	66%	✓85

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	100			100			100

Sunday, Sept. 11Finals

Game 1 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sun		35%	64
Aces1-0	-4	65%	✓67

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	100			100			100

Thursday, Sept. 8Semifinals

Game 5 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sun3-2		41%	✓72
Sky	-2	59%	63

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	99			100			99

Tuesday, Sept. 6Semifinals

Game 4 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Aces3-1		47%	✓97
Storm	-1	53%	92

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	99			99			99

Game 4 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sky		37%	80
Sun2-2	-3.5	63%	✓104

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	99			100			99

Sunday, Sept. 4Semifinals

Game 3 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Aces2-1		39%	✓110
Storm	-2.5	61%	98

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	99			100			99

Game 3 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sky2-1		32%	✓76
Sun	-4.5	68%	72

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	99			100			99

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