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UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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Highest quality

By the harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings


Tuesday, May 31 · 10 p.m. EDT

10 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sun36%
Aces-3.564%

qualityimportanceoverall
932860

Most important

By how much the result will alter league projections


Sunday, May 29 · 7 p.m.

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sparks39%
Lynx-2.561%

qualityimportanceoverall
378460

Best overall matchup

By the average of quality and importance


Sunday, May 29 · 7 p.m.

7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sparks39%
Lynx-2.561%

qualityimportanceoverall
378460

Games in the next two weeks of the WNBA regular season with the highest impact based on matchup ratings on a scale of 0-100.

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 17

7 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Sun-466%
Liberty34%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
372832
7 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Dream44%
Fever-1.556%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
67540
8 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mystics40%
Wings-2.560%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
436654
10 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mercury31%
Aces-569%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
881551
10:30 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Lynx38%
Sparks-362%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
377757

Wednesday, May 18

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Sky49%
Storm-0.551%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
744157

Thursday, May 19

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Wings31%
Mercury-569%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
594250
10 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Lynx24%
Aces-7.576%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
723151

Friday, May 20

7 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Fever18%
Sun-9.582%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
381928
7:30 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mystics48%
Dream-0.552%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
267450
10 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sparks36%
Storm-3.564%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
477259

Saturday, May 21

3 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Mercury31%
Aces-569%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
881752
8 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Lynx38%
Wings-362%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
387858

Sunday, May 22

2 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Sun-465%
Fever35%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
384340
3 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sky51%
MysticsPK49%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
704155

Monday, May 23

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Sparks24%
Aces-776%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
742549

Completed games


Sunday, May 15

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Dream40%85
Fever-2.560%79

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
68043
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Wings48%81
Liberty-0.552%71

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
147645

Saturday, May 14

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sky50%82
LynxPK50%78

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
665962
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sparks29%60
Sun-5.571%77

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
693250
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Mercury41%69
Storm-2.559%64

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
655158

Friday, May 13

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Fever35%92
Liberty-465%86

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
57037
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces-2.559%96
Dream41%73

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
554349
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Wings30%94
Mystics-570%86

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
375445

Wednesday, May 11

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Storm41%77
Mercury-259%97

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
655560
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Liberty24%50
Sky-776%83

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
454846
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sparks49%75
Dream-0.551%77

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
286848

Tuesday, May 10

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces-154%76
Mystics46%89

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
773556
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Lynx-1.556%76
Fever44%82

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
156238

Sunday, May 8

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Storm32%74
Aces-4.568%85

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
861952
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Mystics31%78
Lynx-569%66

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
486355
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sparks-0.552%87
Fever48%77

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
156942

Saturday, May 7

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Dream31%66
Wings-569%59

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
156741
FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sun-2.561%79
Liberty39%81

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
504748
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