
2022 WNBA Predictions
Updated after every game.

Highest quality
By the harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
Tuesday, May 31 · 10 p.m. EDT
10 p.m. | elo spread | win prob. |
---|---|---|
![]() | 36% | |
![]() | -3.5 | 64% |
quality | importance | overall | 93 | 28 | 60 |
---|
Games in the next two weeks of the WNBA regular season with the highest impact based on matchup ratings on a scale of 0-100.
Upcoming games
Tuesday, May 17
7 p.m. Eastern | elo spread | win prob. |
---|---|---|
![]() | -4 | 66% |
![]() | 34% |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result will alter league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 37 | 28 | 32 |
---|
7 p.m. | elo spread | win prob. |
---|---|---|
![]() | 44% | |
![]() | -1.5 | 56% |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result will alter league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 6 | 75 | 40 |
---|
8 p.m. | elo spread | win prob. |
---|---|---|
![]() | 40% | |
![]() | -2.5 | 60% |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result will alter league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 43 | 66 | 54 |
---|
Wednesday, May 18
Thursday, May 19
Friday, May 20
7 p.m. Eastern | elo spread | win prob. |
---|---|---|
![]() | 18% | |
![]() | -9.5 | 82% |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result will alter league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 38 | 19 | 28 |
---|
Saturday, May 21
Sunday, May 22
Monday, May 23
Completed games
Sunday, May 15
Saturday, May 14
FINAL | elo spread | win prob. | score |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | 50% | ✓82 | |
![]() | PK | 50% | 78 |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result altered league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 66 | 59 | 62 |
---|
Friday, May 13
FINAL | elo spread | win prob. | score |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | 35% | ✓92 | |
![]() | -4 | 65% | 86 |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result altered league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 5 | 70 | 37 |
---|
Wednesday, May 11
FINAL | elo spread | win prob. | score |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | 41% | 77 | |
![]() | -2 | 59% | ✓97 |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result altered league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 65 | 55 | 60 |
---|
Tuesday, May 10
Sunday, May 8
FINAL | elo spread | win prob. | score |
---|---|---|---|
![]() | 32% | 74 | |
![]() | -4.5 | 68% | ✓85 |
quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings | importance How much the result altered league projections | overall The average of quality and importance | 86 | 19 | 52 |
---|
Saturday, May 7
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