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UPDATED Sep. 18, 2022, at 6:18 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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Completed games


Sunday, Sept. 18Finals

Game 4FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces3-134%78
Sun-466%71

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
100100100

Thursday, Sept. 15Finals

Game 3FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces2-142%76
Sun-258%105

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
1009597

Tuesday, Sept. 13Finals

Game 2FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sun34%71
Aces2-0-466%85

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
100100100

Sunday, Sept. 11Finals

Game 1FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sun35%64
Aces1-0-465%67

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
100100100

Thursday, Sept. 8Semifinals

Game 5FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sun3-241%72
Sky-259%63

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
9910099

Tuesday, Sept. 6Semifinals

Game 4FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces3-147%97
Storm-153%92

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
999999
Game 4FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sky37%80
Sun2-2-3.563%104

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
9910099

Sunday, Sept. 4Semifinals

Game 3FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces2-139%110
Storm-2.561%98

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
9910099
Game 3FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sky2-132%76
Sun-4.568%72

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
9910099
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