UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Minnesota Lynx have a 3%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

46%

chance of making the playoffs

8%

chance of making the Finals

3%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Lynx Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Lynx Elo rating after every game since {year}

10:30 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Lynx		38%
Sparks	-3	62%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	37			77			57

10 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Lynx		24%
Aces	-7.5	76%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	72			31			51

8 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Lynx		38%
Wings	-3	62%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	38			78			58

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sky		50%	✓82
Lynx	PK	50%	78

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	66			59			62

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Lynx	-1.5	56%	76
Fever		44%	✓82

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	15			62			38

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Mystics		31%	✓78
Lynx	-5	69%	66

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	48			63			55

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