UPDATED Sep. 18, 2022, at 6:18 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Washington Mystics lost in the first round of the 2022 WNBA Playoffs

100%

chance of making the playoffs

0%

chance of making the finals

0%

chance of winning the finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Mystics Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Mystics Elo rating after every game since {year}

Game 2 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Mystics		28%	84
Storm2-0	-5.5	72%	✓97

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	92			100			96

Game 1 • FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Mystics		30%	83
Storm1-0	-5.5	70%	✓86

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	92			100			96

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Fever		8%	83
Mystics	-15	92%	✓95

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	2			0			1

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