UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Washington Mystics have a 6%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

76%

chance of making the playoffs

13%

chance of making the Finals

6%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Mystics Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Mystics Elo rating after every game since {year}

8 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Mystics		40%
Wings	-2.5	60%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	43			66			54

7:30 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Mystics		48%
Dream	-0.5	52%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	26			74			50

3 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Sky		51%
Mystics	PK	49%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	70			41			55

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Wings		30%	✓94
Mystics	-5	70%	86

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	37			54			45

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Aces	-1	54%	76
Mystics		46%	✓89

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	77			35			56

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Mystics		31%	✓78
Lynx	-5	69%	66

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	48			63			55

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