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UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Washington Mystics have a 6%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
76%

chance of making the playoffs
13%

chance of making the Finals
6%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Mystics Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Mystics Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Tuesday, May 17

8 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Mystics40%
Wings-2.560%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
436654

Friday, May 20

7:30 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Mystics48%
Dream-0.552%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
267450

Sunday, May 22

3 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sky51%
MysticsPK49%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
704155

Completed games


Friday, May 13

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Wings30%94
Mystics-570%86

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
375445

Tuesday, May 10

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Aces-154%76
Mystics46%89

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
773556

Sunday, May 8

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Mystics31%78
Lynx-569%66

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
486355
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