UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Chicago Sky have a 18%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

92%

chance of making the playoffs

33%

chance of making the Finals

18%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Sky Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Sky Elo rating after every game since {year}

10 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Sky		49%
Storm	-0.5	51%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	74			41			57

3 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Sky		51%
Mystics	PK	49%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	70			41			55

8 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Fever		18%
Sky	-9.5	82%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	37			22			29

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sky		50%	✓82
Lynx	PK	50%	78

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	66			59			62

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Liberty		24%	50
Sky	-7	76%	✓83

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	45			48			46

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sparks		25%	✓98
Sky	-7	75%	91

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	62			39			50

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