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UPDATED May 15, 2022, at 5:19 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Chicago Sky have a 18%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
92%

chance of making the playoffs
33%

chance of making the Finals
18%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Sky Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Sky Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Wednesday, May 18

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Sky49%
Storm-0.551%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
744157

Sunday, May 22

3 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Sky51%
MysticsPK49%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
704155

Tuesday, May 24

8 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Fever18%
Sky-9.582%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
372229

Completed games


Saturday, May 14

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sky50%82
LynxPK50%78

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
665962

Wednesday, May 11

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Liberty24%50
Sky-776%83

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
454846

Friday, May 6

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sparks25%98
Sky-775%91

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
623950
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