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UPDATED May 22, 2022, at 4:06 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

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The Seattle Storm have a 6%
 chance of winning the WNBA Finals
80%

chance of making the playoffs
14%

chance of making the Finals
6%

chance of winning the Finals
Probabilities by final position
make playoffs
miss playoffs
Team rating
Storm Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings
Historical team rating
Storm Elo rating after every game since {year}

Upcoming games


Friday, May 27

10 p.m. Easternelo spreadwin prob.
Liberty21%
Storm-879%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
162822

Sunday, May 29

6 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Liberty21%
Storm-879%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
163224

Friday, June 3

10 p.m.elo spreadwin prob.
Wings36%
Storm-3.564%

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result will alter league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
565656

Completed games


Friday, May 20

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sparks34%80
Storm-466%83

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
466857

Wednesday, May 18

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Sky49%71
Storm-0.551%74

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
744057

Saturday, May 14

FINALelo spreadwin prob.score
Mercury41%69
Storm-2.559%64

quality
The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings
importance
How much the result altered league projections
overall
The average of quality and importance
655158
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