UPDATED May 22, 2022, at 4:06 PM

2022 WNBA Predictions

Updated after every game.

The

Seattle Storm have a 6%
chance of winning the WNBA Finals

80%

chance of making the playoffs

14%

chance of making the Finals

6%

chance of winning the Finals

Probabilities by final position

make playoffs

miss playoffs

Team rating

Storm Elo over the 2022 WNBA season, along with the top and bottom team Elo ratings

Historical team rating

Storm Elo rating after every game since {year}

10 p.m. Eastern	elo spread	win prob.
Liberty		21%
Storm	-8	79%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	16			28			22

6 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Liberty		21%
Storm	-8	79%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	16			32			24

10 p.m.	elo spread	win prob.
Wings		36%
Storm	-3.5	64%

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result will alter league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	56			56			56

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sparks		34%	80
Storm	-4	66%	✓83

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	46			68			57

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Sky		49%	71
Storm	-0.5	51%	✓74

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	74			40			57

FINAL	elo spread	win prob.	score
Mercury		41%	✓69
Storm	-2.5	59%	64

quality The harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings			importance How much the result altered league projections			overall The average of quality and importance
	65			51			58

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