2022 World Cup Predictions
Soccer Power Index (SPI) ratings and chances of advancing for every team, updating live.
| Team Rating | Chance of finishing group stage in ... | Knockout stage chances | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Group | SPI | Off. | Def. | 1st Place | 2nd Place | Make Round of 16Make Rd. of 16 | Make Quarter- finalsMake Qtr.- finals | Make Semi-finals | Make Final | Win World cup | |
 Argentina | C | 89.6 | 2.8 | 0.4 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | |
 France | D | 88.3 | 3.0 | 0.5 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | |
 Croatia | F | 78.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
 Morocco | F | 73.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
 Brazil | G | 93.2 | 3.1 | 0.3 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 England | B | 87.8 | 2.7 | 0.4 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 Portugal | H | 87.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 Netherlands | A | 84.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | ✓ | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
 Spain | E | 88.5 | 2.6 | 0.3 | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Switzerland | G | 76.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Japan | E | 76.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | ✓ | — | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Senegal | A | 74.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 USA | B | 73.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 South Korea | H | 72.4 | 2.0 | 0.7 | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Poland | C | 68.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Australia | D | 64.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
 Germany | E | 90.0 | 3.4 | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Belgium | F | 80.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Uruguay | H | 79.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Denmark | D | 76.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Mexico | C | 74.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Serbia | G | 73.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Ecuador | A | 73.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Canada | F | 71.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Iran | B | 68.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Tunisia | D | 67.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Cameroon | G | 66.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Wales | B | 62.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Ghana | H | 60.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Saudi Arabia | C | 60.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Costa Rica | E | 52.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
 Qatar | A | 48.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Forecast from
Completed matches
Sunday, Dec. 18, 2022
| Final • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 3 (4) | 100% | ||
| France | 3 (2) | 0% | ||
Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022
| Third-place match • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 2 | 100% | ||
| Morocco | 1 | 0% | ||
Wednesday, Dec. 14, 2022
| Semifinal • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2 | 100% | ||
| Morocco | 0 | 0% | ||
Tuesday, Dec. 13, 2022
| Semifinal • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 3 | 100% | ||
| Croatia | 0 | 0% | ||
Saturday, Dec. 10, 2022
| Quarterfinal • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 1 | 100% | ||
| Portugal | 0 | 0% | ||
| Quarterfinal • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 1 | 0% | ||
| France | 2 | 100% | ||
Friday, Dec. 9, 2022
| Quarterfinal • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1 (4) | 100% | ||
| Brazil | 1 (2) | 0% | ||
| Quarterfinal • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2 (3) | 0% | ||
| Argentina | 2 (4) | 100% | ||
Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 0 (3) | 100% | ||
| Spain | 0 (0) | 0% | ||
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 6 | 100% | ||
| Switzerland | 1 | 0% | ||
Monday, Dec. 5, 2022
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 1 (1) | 0% | ||
| Croatia | 1 (3) | 100% | ||
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 4 | 100% | ||
| South Korea | 1 | 0% | ||
Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 3 | 100% | ||
| Poland | 1 | 0% | ||
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 3 | 100% | ||
| Senegal | 0 | 0% | ||
Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 3 | 100% | ||
| USA | 1 | 0% | ||
| Round of 16 • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2 | 100% | ||
| Australia | 1 | 0% | ||
Friday, Dec. 2, 2022
| Group H • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Uruguay | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group H • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Portugal | 1 | 0% | ||
| Group G • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serbia | 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| Switzerland | 3 | 100% | ||
| Group G • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameroon | 1 | 100% | 0% | |
| Brazil | 0 | 0% | ||
Thursday, Dec. 1, 2022
| Group F • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| Morocco | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group F • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 0 | 0% | 100% | |
| Belgium | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group E • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa Rica | 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| Germany | 4 | 100% | ||
| Group E • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Spain | 1 | 0% | ||
Wednesday, Nov. 30, 2022
| Group D • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 1 | 100% | 0% | |
| France | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group D • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | 1 | 100% | 0% | |
| Denmark | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group C • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Argentina | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group C • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| Mexico | 2 | 100% | ||
Tuesday, Nov. 29, 2022
| Group A • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Qatar | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group A • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| Senegal | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group B • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| USA | 1 | 100% | ||
| Group B • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| England | 3 | 100% | ||
Monday, Nov. 28, 2022
| Group G • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameroon | 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| Serbia | 3 | 0% | ||
| Group H • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea | 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| Ghana | 3 | 100% | ||
| Group G • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 1 | 100% | 0% | |
| Switzerland | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group H • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Uruguay | 0 | 0% | ||
Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022
| Group E • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Costa Rica | 1 | 100% | ||
| Group F • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Morocco | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group F • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 4 | 100% | 0% | |
| Canada | 1 | 0% | ||
| Group E • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| Germany | 1 | 0% | ||
Saturday, Nov. 26, 2022
| Group D • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Australia | 1 | 100% | ||
| Group C • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group D • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Denmark | 1 | 0% | ||
| Group C • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Mexico | 0 | 0% | ||
Friday, Nov. 25, 2022
| Group B • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Iran | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group A • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| Senegal | 3 | 100% | ||
| Group A • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| Ecuador | 1 | 0% | ||
| Group B • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 0 | 0% | 100% | |
| USA | 0 | 0% | ||
Thursday, Nov. 24, 2022
| Group G • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 1 | 100% | 0% | |
| Cameroon | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group H • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 0 | 0% | 100% | |
| South Korea | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group H • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 3 | 100% | 0% | |
| Ghana | 2 | 0% | ||
| Group G • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 2 | 100% | 0% | |
| Serbia | 0 | 0% | ||
Wednesday, Nov. 23, 2022
| Group F • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 0 | 0% | 100% | |
| Croatia | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group E • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| Japan | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group E • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 7 | 100% | 0% | |
| Costa Rica | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group F • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1 | 100% | 0% | |
| Canada | 0 | 0% | ||
Tuesday, Nov. 22, 2022
| Group C • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| Saudi Arabia | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group D • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark | 0 | 0% | 100% | |
| Tunisia | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group C • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 0 | 0% | 100% | |
| Poland | 0 | 0% | ||
| Group D • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 4 | 100% | 0% | |
| Australia | 1 | 0% | ||
Monday, Nov. 21, 2022
| Group B • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 6 | 100% | 0% | |
| Iran | 2 | 0% | ||
| Group A • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Netherlands | 2 | 100% | ||
| Group B • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| Wales | 1 | 0% | ||
Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022
| Group A • Full-time | Score | Win Prob. | Draw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar | 0 | 0% | 0% | |
| Ecuador | 2 | 100% | ||
Please visit this page on a desktop computer to make your own bracket.
1 Select the first- and second-place finishers in each group to advance to the knockout stageHover over a team's name to see its chances of reaching each possible match
| Group A | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| Qatar | ||
| Ecuador | ||
| Senegal | ✓ | |
| Netherlands | ✓ |
| Group B | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| England | ✓ | |
| Iran | ||
| USA | ✓ | |
| Wales |
| Group C | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina | ✓ | |
| Saudi Arabia | ||
| Mexico | ||
| Poland | ✓ |
| Group D | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| France | ✓ | |
| Denmark | ||
| Tunisia | ||
| Australia | ✓ |
| Group E | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| Spain | ✓ | |
| Germany | ||
| Japan | ✓ | |
| Costa Rica |
| Group F | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| Belgium | ||
| Canada | ||
| Morocco | ✓ | |
| Croatia | ✓ |
| Group G | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil | ✓ | |
| Serbia | ||
| Switzerland | ✓ | |
| Cameroon |
| Group H | 1st place | 2nd place |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal | ✓ | |
| Ghana | ||
| Uruguay | ||
| South Korea | ✓ |
2 Click on a team to advance it to the next matchHover over a match to see teams' chances of reaching it
-
Group A
1st place
-
Group B
2nd place
-
Group C
1st place
-
Group D
2nd place
-
Group E
1st place
-
Group F
2nd place
-
Group G
1st place
-
Group H
2nd place
Netherlands
✓
-
Round of 16
December 3
USA
Argentina
✓
-
Round of 16
December 3
Australia
Japan
-
Round of 16
December 5
Croatia
✓
Brazil
✓
-
Round of 16
December 5
South Korea
Netherlands
-
Quarterfinal
December 9
Argentina
✓
Croatia
✓
-
Quarterfinal
December 9
Brazil
Argentina
✓
-
Semifinal
December 13
Croatia
- World Cup champion
Argentina
Argentina
✓
-
Final
December 18
France
France
✓
-
Semifinal
December 14
Morocco
England
-
Quarterfinal
December 10
France
✓
Morocco
✓
-
Quarterfinal
December 10
Portugal
Senegal
-
Round of 16
December 4
England
✓
Poland
-
Round of 16
December 4
France
✓
Spain
-
Round of 16
December 6
Morocco
✓
Switzerland
-
Round of 16
December 6
Portugal
✓
-
Group A
2nd place
-
Group B
1st place
-
Group C
2nd place
-
Group D
1st place
-
Group E
2nd place
-
Group F
1st place
-
Group G
2nd place
-
Group H
1st place
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