2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Astros have a 7% chance of winning the World Series.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RangersRangers44-28 | — | 74% | 49% | |||
AstrosAstros40-34 | 5.0 | 60% | 32% | |||
AngelsAngels41-34 | 4.5 | 39% | 15% | |||
MarinersMariners35-36 | 8.5 | 14% | 4% | |||
AthleticsAthletics19-55 | 26.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1525 | –19 | +0 | =1506 | 37% | |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1548 | +25 | +24 | =1597 | 63% | ||
6/23Friday, June 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –1 | =1547 | 46% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +25 | =1577 | 54% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 46% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 54% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 46% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 54% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –2 | =1546 | 52% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +26 | =1529 | 48% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 53% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 297:15 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 53% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | ||
6/30Friday, June 308:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 48% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 52% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 22:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/3Monday, July 32:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –1 | =1438 | 32% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +22 | =1570 | 68% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 52:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 32% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 68% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –4 | =1509 | 41% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 87:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
7/14Friday, July 149:38 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +4 | =1552 | 50% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +30 | =1551 | 50% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 159:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 50% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 50% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –1 | =1547 | 62% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +26 | =1465 | 38% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 193:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 62% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 38% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 209:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
7/21Friday, July 219:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 229:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 234:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –2 | =1531 | 45% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +20 | =1568 | 55% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –1 | =1565 | 49% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +26 | =1574 | 51% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 49% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 51% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 49% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 51% | ||
7/31Monday, July 318:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:15 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 45% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 55% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 46% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 54% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 46% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 54% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 46% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 54% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 51% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +26 | =1538 | 49% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1012:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –1 | =1520 | 43% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +21 | =1569 | 57% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 43% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 132:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 43% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 146:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 53% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 53% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 53% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 47% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 41% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +23 | =1571 | 59% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –3 | =1522 | 43% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 43% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 43% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 242:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 43% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +26 | =1472 | 40% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 266:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 61% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 39% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 61% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 39% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 49% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +26 | =1551 | 51% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | –3 | =1550 | 47% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +22 | =1570 | 53% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 47% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 53% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 47% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 53% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –2 | =1546 | 48% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 52% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 58:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 68:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | –1 | =1539 | 45% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 55% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 55% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 55% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 28% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 72% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 72% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 72% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –1 | =1547 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | –3 | =1509 | 41% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +21 | =1569 | 59% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 29% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +26 | =1574 | 71% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 29% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 71% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 29% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 71% | ||
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –4 | =1544 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +20 | =1533 | 48% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –1 | =1547 | 53% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +22 | =1529 | 47% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 53% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 47% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 53% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 47% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Verlander | 1526 | +38 | +0 | =1564 | 44% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1547 | +32 | +24 | =1603 | 56% | 4 | |
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1522 | +29 | –3 | =1548 | 46% | 11 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1551 | +0 | +24 | =1575 | 54% | 1 | |
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Weaver | 1469 | –5 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | 9 |
HOUAstros | Blanco | 1553 | –30 | +24 | =1547 | 62% | 7 | |
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1466 | +31 | +0 | =1497 | 45% | 10 |
HOUAstros | Bielak | 1556 | –46 | +24 | =1534 | 55% | 3 | |
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Abbott | 1464 | +9 | –1 | =1472 | 39% | 2 |
HOUAstros | France | 1557 | –28 | +24 | =1553 | 61% | 1 | |
6/15Thursday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gore | 1438 | +14 | +0 | =1452 | 29% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1560 | +23 | +24 | =1607 | 71% | 1 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1438 | +12 | +0 | =1450 | 28% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1559 | +29 | +24 | =1612 | 72% | 5 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1439 | –13 | –1 | =1425 | 30% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1558 | –5 | +23 | =1576 | 70% | 6 | |
6/11Sunday, June 1112:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1560 | –39 | +0 | =1521 | 45% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1515 | +20 | +24 | =1559 | 55% | 5 | |
6/10Saturday, June 106:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | France | 1559 | –27 | +0 | =1532 | 44% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1517 | +36 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | 4 | |
6/9Friday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1560 | +27 | –2 | =1585 | 57% | 9 |
CLEGuardians | Allen | 1516 | –6 | +24 | =1534 | 43% | 10 | |
6/8Thursday, June 87:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1561 | +29 | +0 | =1590 | 53% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1547 | –2 | +24 | =1569 | 47% | 3 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 77:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Blanco | 1562 | –34 | +0 | =1528 | 42% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1546 | +12 | +24 | =1582 | 58% | 3 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 67:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1564 | –7 | +0 | =1557 | 44% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1544 | +29 | +24 | =1597 | 56% | 5 | |
6/5Monday, June 57:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1560 | –41 | –3 | =1516 | 43% | 11 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1547 | –3 | +22 | =1566 | 57% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Canning | 1510 | –13 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 2 |
HOUAstros | France | 1562 | –36 | +24 | =1550 | 57% | 1 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1511 | +6 | +0 | =1517 | 37% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1560 | +26 | +24 | =1610 | 63% | 9 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1513 | +43 | +0 | =1556 | 42% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1559 | +27 | +24 | =1610 | 58% | 6 | |
6/1Thursday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1514 | –6 | –3 | =1505 | 44% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Blanco | 1557 | –32 | +24 | =1549 | 56% | 5 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 318:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1525 | –21 | +0 | =1504 | 39% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1561 | –3 | +24 | =1582 | 61% | 2 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1527 | +18 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Bielak | 1559 | –46 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 5 | |
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1526 | +15 | –3 | =1538 | 49% | 7 |
HOUAstros | France | 1560 | –35 | +20 | =1545 | 51% | 5 | |
5/28Sunday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1559 | +29 | +0 | =1588 | 73% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1396 | –6 | +24 | =1414 | 27% | 1 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1558 | +26 | +0 | =1584 | 69% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Pruitt | 1397 | +24 | +24 | =1445 | 31% | 3 | |
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1557 | –7 | –2 | =1548 | 65% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1398 | +20 | +21 | =1439 | 35% | 2 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1559 | –46 | +0 | =1513 | 48% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1524 | –19 | +24 | =1529 | 52% | 4 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | France | 1561 | –40 | +0 | =1521 | 51% | 0 |
MILBrewers | Rea | 1522 | –33 | +24 | =1513 | 49% | 6 | |
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1558 | +29 | –3 | =1584 | 52% | 12 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1525 | +24 | +21 | =1570 | 48% | 2 | |
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1402 | +18 | +0 | =1420 | 26% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1557 | +22 | +24 | =1603 | 74% | 2 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1403 | +13 | +0 | =1416 | 29% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1557 | –10 | +24 | =1571 | 71% | 3 | |
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1404 | –4 | –2 | =1398 | 32% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Bielak | 1556 | –49 | +26 | =1533 | 68% | 5 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 178:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1491 | +7 | +0 | =1498 | 42% | 6 |
HOUAstros | France | 1555 | –25 | +24 | =1554 | 58% | 7 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1492 | +13 | +0 | =1505 | 36% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1554 | +29 | +24 | =1607 | 64% | 7 | |
5/15Monday, May 158:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Taillon | 1493 | +1 | –3 | =1491 | 35% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1553 | +26 | +21 | =1600 | 65% | 6 | |
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1552 | –11 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1476 | +11 | +24 | =1511 | 46% | 3 | |
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1553 | –55 | +0 | =1498 | 48% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1475 | +17 | +24 | =1516 | 52% | 3 | |
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | France | 1552 | –33 | –2 | =1517 | 54% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1477 | –11 | +22 | =1488 | 46% | 1 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 104:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1551 | +27 | +0 | =1578 | 58% | 5 |
LAAAngels | Canning | 1516 | –18 | +24 | =1522 | 42% | 4 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1549 | +22 | +0 | =1571 | 48% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1517 | +47 | +24 | =1588 | 52% | 1 | |
5/8Monday, May 89:38 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1551 | –2 | –3 | =1546 | 50% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1516 | +9 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | 6 | |
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1552 | –49 | +0 | =1503 | 47% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Miller | 1515 | –16 | +24 | =1523 | 53% | 3 | |
5/6Saturday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | France | 1553 | –32 | +0 | =1521 | 51% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –25 | +24 | =1513 | 49% | 7 | |
5/5Friday, May 510:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1552 | +26 | –2 | =1576 | 51% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1515 | +32 | +21 | =1568 | 49% | 4 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 32:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1500 | +16 | +0 | =1516 | 38% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1554 | +21 | +24 | =1599 | 62% | 2 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 28:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1498 | –2 | +0 | =1496 | 38% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1556 | +0 | +24 | =1580 | 62% | 0 | |
5/1Monday, May 18:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Stripling | 1500 | +9 | –3 | =1506 | 40% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 60% | 7 | |
4/30Sunday, April 307 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1528 | –22 | +0 | =1506 | 42% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1553 | –15 | +24 | =1562 | 58% | 4 | |
4/29Saturday, April 295:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1526 | +26 | +0 | =1552 | 42% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1556 | +28 | +24 | =1608 | 58% | 1 | |
4/28Friday, April 288:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1524 | +12 | –3 | =1533 | 40% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1558 | +21 | +23 | =1602 | 60% | 1 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1557 | –10 | +0 | =1547 | 51% | 1 |
TBRays | Faucher | 1553 | –39 | +24 | =1538 | 49% | 0 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1554 | –2 | +0 | =1552 | 45% | 5 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1555 | +11 | +24 | =1590 | 55% | 0 | |
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1556 | –9 | –2 | =1545 | 49% | 3 |
TBRays | Bradley | 1553 | –26 | +24 | =1551 | 51% | 8 | |
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1555 | +28 | +0 | =1583 | 46% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1561 | +23 | +24 | =1608 | 54% | 2 | |
4/22Saturday, April 227:20 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1553 | +23 | +0 | =1576 | 49% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1563 | –5 | +24 | =1582 | 51% | 3 | |
4/21Friday, April 217:20 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1551 | –8 | –1 | =1542 | 44% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1564 | –1 | +22 | =1585 | 56% | 4 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1540 | –14 | +0 | =1526 | 45% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1549 | –9 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | 8 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 188:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1539 | +1 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1551 | –3 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | 2 | |
4/17Monday, April 178:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1541 | +25 | –3 | =1563 | 45% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1548 | +28 | +24 | =1600 | 55% | 9 | |
4/16Sunday, April 167 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1500 | –20 | +0 | =1480 | 33% | 9 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1552 | +25 | +24 | =1601 | 67% | 1 | |
4/15Saturday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1501 | –4 | +0 | =1497 | 41% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1551 | –12 | +24 | =1563 | 59% | 8 | |
4/14Friday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1499 | +4 | +0 | =1503 | 41% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1553 | –7 | +23 | =1569 | 59% | 2 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 1212:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1551 | –6 | +0 | =1545 | 57% | 7 |
PITPirates | Hill | 1463 | +7 | +24 | =1494 | 43% | 0 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 116:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1553 | +32 | +0 | =1585 | 62% | 4 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1461 | +15 | +24 | =1500 | 38% | 7 | |
4/10Monday, April 106:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1551 | +25 | –3 | =1573 | 61% | 8 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1463 | +13 | +24 | =1500 | 39% | 2 | |
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1549 | –22 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | 5 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1527 | –1 | +24 | =1550 | 53% | 1 | |
4/8Saturday, April 82:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1551 | –3 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | 6 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +6 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | 9 | |
4/7Friday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1552 | –7 | –1 | =1544 | 48% | 2 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +9 | +22 | =1556 | 52% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1451 | +5 | +0 | =1456 | 30% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1550 | +33 | +24 | =1607 | 70% | 8 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 48:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1448 | –6 | +0 | =1442 | 28% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1553 | +27 | +24 | =1604 | 72% | 3 | |
4/3Monday, April 38:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1447 | –9 | –3 | =1435 | 33% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1555 | –18 | +24 | =1561 | 67% | 6 | |
4/2Sunday, April 22:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Clevinger | 1500 | –17 | +0 | =1483 | 36% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1557 | +0 | +24 | =1581 | 64% | 3 | |
4/1Saturday, April 12:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1501 | –7 | +0 | =1494 | 39% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1556 | –5 | +24 | =1575 | 61% | 6 | |
3/31Friday, March 318:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1502 | +9 | +0 | =1511 | 36% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1555 | +34 | +24 | =1613 | 64% | 6 | |
3/30Thursday, March 307 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1501 | +30 | –3 | =1528 | 39% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1556 | +25 | +24 | =1605 | 61% | 2 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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