2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Athletics are done for the season.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RangersRangers44-28 | — | 74% | 49% | |||
AstrosAstros40-34 | 5.0 | 60% | 32% | |||
AngelsAngels41-34 | 4.5 | 39% | 15% | |||
MarinersMariners35-36 | 8.5 | 14% | 4% | |||
AthleticsAthletics19-55 | 26.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/14Sunday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1536 | –18 | +0 | =1518 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1404 | +11 | +0 | =1415 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | Williams | 1516 | –24 | +24 | =1516 | 64% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 32% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 68% | ||
6/23Friday, June 237:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 29% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +23 | =1561 | 71% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 29% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 71% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:37 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 29% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 71% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | –2 | =1551 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +22 | =1432 | 34% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 293:37 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
6/30Friday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | –2 | =1482 | 57% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 43% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 14:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 57% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 43% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 57% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 43% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 41% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +23 | =1469 | 59% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 41% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 59% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 61:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 41% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 59% | ||
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –3 | =1407 | 31% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 69% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 31% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 69% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 31% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 69% | ||
7/14Friday, July 149:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +3 | =1520 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +27 | =1437 | 38% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –4 | =1521 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 63% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 37% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 193:37 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 63% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 37% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 209:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
7/21Friday, July 219:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 229:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 234:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 66% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 259:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +1 | =1411 | 31% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +20 | =1549 | 69% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 269:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 31% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 69% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –1 | =1409 | 43% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +22 | =1461 | 57% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 42% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 58% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 303:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 42% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 58% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –1 | =1409 | 27% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +26 | =1578 | 73% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 72% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 72% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +1 | =1530 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 63% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 37% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –4 | =1529 | 63% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 37% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 93:37 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 43% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +22 | =1456 | 57% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 43% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 57% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 43% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 57% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –3 | =1407 | 33% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 67% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 34% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 66% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 34% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 66% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +22 | =1432 | 39% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –4 | =1416 | 47% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 53% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 48% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 52% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 233:37 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 48% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 52% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –4 | =1406 | 36% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 64% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 36% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 64% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 36% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 64% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 36% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 64% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –4 | =1406 | 32% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 68% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 33% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 67% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 33% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 67% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –2 | =1519 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +23 | =1433 | 38% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:37 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 30% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +26 | =1559 | 70% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 30% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 70% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 30% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 70% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 28% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 72% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 72% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 72% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +22 | =1432 | 35% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 164:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –2 | =1444 | 51% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 49% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 48% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 48% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 48% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 32% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +26 | =1543 | 68% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 32% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 68% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 32% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 68% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –4 | =1406 | 31% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +26 | =1547 | 69% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 31% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 69% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 31% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 69% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1405 | –10 | –2 | =1393 | 30% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1516 | +0 | +22 | =1538 | 70% | 3 | |
6/18Sunday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1524 | +28 | +0 | =1552 | 66% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Harris | 1405 | +5 | +24 | =1434 | 34% | 2 | |
6/17Saturday, June 174:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Sanchez | 1523 | –30 | +0 | =1493 | 57% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1406 | +16 | +24 | =1446 | 43% | 2 | |
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Walker | 1522 | –10 | –3 | =1509 | 58% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1408 | +21 | +24 | =1453 | 42% | 1 | |
6/15Thursday, June 153:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Bradley | 1567 | –23 | +0 | =1544 | 64% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1409 | +12 | +24 | =1445 | 36% | 3 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1567 | +19 | +0 | =1586 | 72% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Medina | 1409 | –8 | +24 | =1425 | 28% | 3 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks | 1568 | –49 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Fujinami (open) | 1408 | +7 | +24 | =1439 | 39% | 2 | |
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Eflin | 1570 | –3 | –4 | =1563 | 67% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1406 | +16 | +20 | =1442 | 33% | 4 | |
6/11Sunday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1404 | +21 | +0 | =1425 | 34% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1517 | +0 | +24 | =1541 | 66% | 6 | |
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1403 | +9 | +0 | =1412 | 36% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Teheran | 1519 | –30 | +24 | =1513 | 64% | 1 | |
6/9Friday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Moll | 1401 | +11 | +0 | =1412 | 34% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1521 | –20 | +24 | =1525 | 66% | 2 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 712:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Harris | 1398 | +10 | +0 | =1408 | 38% | 9 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1472 | +0 | +24 | =1496 | 62% | 5 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1393 | +18 | +0 | =1411 | 34% | 11 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1476 | +23 | +24 | =1523 | 66% | 2 | |
6/5Monday, June 57:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1394 | +22 | –3 | =1413 | 39% | 4 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1475 | –6 | +24 | =1493 | 61% | 5 | |
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1395 | +12 | +0 | =1407 | 32% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1491 | +22 | +24 | =1537 | 68% | 7 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Medina | 1397 | +4 | +0 | =1401 | 37% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Perez | 1488 | –18 | +24 | =1494 | 63% | 12 | |
6/2Friday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Fujinami | 1399 | –13 | –2 | =1384 | 33% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1487 | –5 | +24 | =1506 | 67% | 4 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 313:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Shuster | 1557 | –26 | +0 | =1531 | 63% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1399 | +16 | +24 | =1439 | 37% | 2 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1558 | +4 | +0 | =1562 | 67% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1398 | +18 | +24 | =1440 | 33% | 2 | |
5/29Monday, May 298:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Soroka | 1562 | +2 | –4 | =1560 | 68% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1395 | +10 | +24 | =1429 | 32% | 7 | |
5/28Sunday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1559 | +29 | +0 | =1588 | 73% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1396 | –6 | +24 | =1414 | 27% | 1 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1558 | +26 | +0 | =1584 | 69% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Pruitt | 1397 | +24 | +24 | =1445 | 31% | 3 | |
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1557 | –7 | –2 | =1548 | 65% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1398 | +20 | +21 | =1439 | 35% | 2 | |
5/25Thursday, May 259:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1398 | +17 | +0 | =1415 | 31% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1520 | +10 | +24 | =1554 | 69% | 3 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1400 | –6 | +0 | =1394 | 29% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Miller | 1519 | +3 | +24 | =1546 | 71% | 6 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Medina | 1400 | +7 | +0 | =1407 | 36% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1518 | –35 | +24 | =1507 | 64% | 3 | |
5/22Monday, May 229:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1402 | –9 | –4 | =1389 | 28% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1517 | +19 | +20 | =1556 | 72% | 11 | |
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1402 | +18 | +0 | =1420 | 26% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1557 | +22 | +24 | =1603 | 74% | 2 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1403 | +13 | +0 | =1416 | 29% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1557 | –10 | +24 | =1571 | 71% | 3 | |
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1404 | –4 | –2 | =1398 | 32% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Bielak | 1556 | –49 | +26 | =1533 | 68% | 5 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 173:37 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1494 | –22 | +0 | =1472 | 56% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Medina | 1405 | +5 | +24 | =1434 | 44% | 3 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1496 | –20 | +0 | =1476 | 58% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Muller | 1404 | –6 | +24 | =1422 | 42% | 9 | |
5/15Monday, May 159:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1494 | +21 | –3 | =1512 | 63% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Rucinski | 1405 | –10 | +24 | =1419 | 37% | 2 | |
5/13Saturday, May 134:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1520 | –10 | +0 | =1510 | 59% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1406 | +15 | +24 | =1445 | 41% | 0 | |
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1521 | –9 | +0 | =1512 | 62% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1405 | –3 | +24 | =1426 | 38% | 9 | |
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1520 | +6 | –3 | =1523 | 64% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Medina | 1406 | +0 | +20 | =1426 | 36% | 0 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1407 | –5 | +0 | =1402 | 32% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Brito | 1554 | –41 | +24 | =1537 | 68% | 11 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 97:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Rucinski | 1409 | –5 | +0 | =1404 | 32% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1553 | –44 | +24 | =1533 | 68% | 10 | |
5/8Monday, May 87:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1410 | +13 | –3 | =1420 | 28% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1552 | +8 | +21 | =1581 | 72% | 7 | |
5/7Sunday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Miller | 1411 | +23 | +0 | =1434 | 47% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Yarbrough | 1433 | +2 | +24 | =1459 | 53% | 5 | |
5/6Saturday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1410 | +1 | +0 | =1411 | 41% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1434 | +16 | +24 | =1474 | 59% | 4 | |
5/5Friday, May 58:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1408 | –3 | –4 | =1401 | 42% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1436 | –6 | +24 | =1454 | 58% | 8 | |
5/4Thursday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1514 | +10 | +0 | =1524 | 63% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Rucinski | 1409 | –1 | +24 | =1432 | 37% | 3 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1512 | +6 | +0 | =1518 | 61% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1410 | +7 | +24 | =1441 | 39% | 2 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1512 | –25 | –2 | =1485 | 55% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Miller | 1411 | +12 | +26 | =1449 | 45% | 1 | |
4/30Sunday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lodolo | 1455 | +15 | +0 | =1470 | 55% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1410 | +0 | +24 | =1434 | 45% | 5 | |
4/29Saturday, April 294:07 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Greene | 1454 | +27 | +0 | =1481 | 57% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Muller | 1411 | –2 | +24 | =1433 | 43% | 2 | |
4/28Friday, April 289:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Cessa | 1452 | –19 | –2 | =1431 | 48% | 11 |
OAKAthletics | Rucinski | 1413 | +9 | +22 | =1444 | 52% | 7 | |
4/27Thursday, April 274:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1413 | +12 | +0 | =1425 | 28% | 7 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1515 | +50 | +24 | =1589 | 72% | 8 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Medina | 1415 | +7 | +0 | =1422 | 34% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1514 | +4 | +24 | =1542 | 66% | 11 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Miller | 1416 | +10 | +0 | =1426 | 37% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Canning | 1513 | –19 | +24 | =1518 | 63% | 5 | |
4/24Monday, April 249:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1415 | +2 | –3 | =1414 | 36% | 11 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1514 | –24 | +24 | =1514 | 64% | 10 | |
4/23Sunday, April 232:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1415 | –3 | +0 | =1412 | 27% | 2 |
TEXRangers | deGrom | 1512 | +45 | +24 | =1581 | 73% | 5 | |
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Fujinami | 1418 | –5 | +0 | =1413 | 36% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1509 | –17 | +24 | =1516 | 64% | 18 | |
4/21Friday, April 218:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1417 | +5 | –2 | =1420 | 35% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1511 | –5 | +24 | =1530 | 65% | 4 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 193:37 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1496 | +7 | +0 | =1503 | 58% | 12 |
OAKAthletics | Miller | 1419 | +6 | +24 | =1449 | 42% | 2 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1495 | +20 | +0 | =1515 | 60% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1421 | –4 | +24 | =1441 | 40% | 0 | |
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1492 | –26 | –2 | =1464 | 51% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Muller | 1424 | +6 | +24 | =1454 | 49% | 1 | |
4/16Sunday, April 164:07 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Butto | 1552 | –36 | +0 | =1516 | 59% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1425 | +2 | +24 | =1451 | 41% | 3 | |
4/15Saturday, April 154:07 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Carrasco | 1551 | –26 | +0 | =1525 | 62% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Fujinami | 1425 | –7 | +24 | =1442 | 38% | 2 | |
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Senga | 1549 | –19 | –2 | =1528 | 59% | 17 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1428 | +16 | +20 | =1464 | 41% | 6 | |
4/13Thursday, April 131:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1429 | –10 | +0 | =1419 | 38% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Irvin | 1485 | –2 | +24 | =1507 | 62% | 8 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 126:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1426 | –11 | +0 | =1415 | 36% | 8 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1488 | +3 | +24 | =1515 | 64% | 4 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 116:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1428 | +12 | +0 | =1440 | 41% | 8 |
BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1486 | –6 | +24 | =1504 | 59% | 12 | |
4/10Monday, April 106:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1429 | –2 | –3 | =1424 | 39% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Gibson | 1485 | –6 | +24 | =1503 | 61% | 5 | |
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1431 | +20 | +0 | =1451 | 33% | 0 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1540 | +13 | +24 | =1577 | 67% | 11 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Fujinami | 1433 | –9 | +0 | =1424 | 30% | 0 |
TBRays | Springs | 1539 | +9 | +24 | =1572 | 70% | 11 | |
4/7Friday, April 76:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1434 | +3 | –2 | =1435 | 35% | 5 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1537 | –17 | +23 | =1543 | 65% | 9 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 53:37 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1533 | –56 | +0 | =1477 | 52% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Muller | 1436 | +5 | +24 | =1465 | 48% | 4 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1534 | +36 | +0 | =1570 | 66% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1434 | –3 | +24 | =1455 | 34% | 4 | |
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1533 | –24 | –3 | =1506 | 54% | 12 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1435 | +21 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | 11 | |
4/2Sunday, April 24:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Anderson | 1517 | +9 | +0 | =1526 | 58% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1437 | +11 | +24 | =1472 | 42% | 0 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1513 | +0 | +2 | =1515 | 58% | 13 |
OAKAthletics | Fujinami | 1440 | –3 | +26 | =1463 | 42% | 1 | |
3/30Thursday, March 3010:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1515 | +37 | –2 | =1550 | 63% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Muller | 1439 | –2 | +24 | =1461 | 37% | 2 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments