Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Athletics are done for the season.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros36-24	3.0	86%	54%
Rangers Rangers38-20	—	78%	40%
Angels Angels31-30	8.5	19%	3%
Mariners Mariners29-30	9.5	13%	2%
Athletics Athletics12-49	27.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/14Sunday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1539	–22	+0	=1517	62%
5/14Sunday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1393	+18	+0	=1411	34%
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1476	+23	+24	=1523	66%
6/7Wednesday, June 712:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	36%
6/7Wednesday, June 712:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+24	=1501	64%
6/9Friday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
6/9Friday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	69%
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	69%
6/11Sunday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
6/11Sunday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	69%
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	–4	=1558	69%
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+20	=1418	31%
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	69%
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	69%
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
6/15Thursday, June 153:37 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	69%
6/15Thursday, June 153:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	–3	=1514	63%
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
6/17Saturday, June 174:07 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	63%
6/17Saturday, June 174:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
6/18Sunday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	63%
6/18Sunday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	31%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+22	=1538	69%
6/21Wednesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
6/21Wednesday, June 217:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	69%
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+24	=1540	69%
6/23Friday, June 237:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	27%
6/23Friday, June 237:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+23	=1567	73%
6/24Saturday, June 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	27%
6/24Saturday, June 244:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	73%
6/25Sunday, June 251:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	27%
6/25Sunday, June 251:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	73%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	–2	=1563	69%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+22	=1420	31%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	69%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
6/29Thursday, June 293:37 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+0	=1565	69%
6/29Thursday, June 293:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
6/30Friday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	–2	=1482	59%
6/30Friday, June 309:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	41%
7/1Saturday, July 14:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	59%
7/1Saturday, July 14:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	41%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+0	=1484	59%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	41%
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	39%
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+23	=1472	61%
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	39%
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	61%
7/6Thursday, July 61:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	39%
7/6Thursday, July 61:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	61%
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–3	=1395	30%
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	70%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	69%
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
7/9Sunday, July 91:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+24	=1540	69%
7/14Friday, July 149:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+3	=1531	65%
7/14Friday, July 149:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+27	=1425	35%
7/15Saturday, July 157:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	65%
7/15Saturday, July 157:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	35%
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+0	=1528	65%
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	35%
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	–4	=1512	63%
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	63%
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
7/19Wednesday, July 193:37 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1514	+2	+0	=1516	63%
7/19Wednesday, July 193:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
7/20Thursday, July 209:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	–3	=1560	69%
7/20Thursday, July 209:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
7/21Friday, July 219:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	69%
7/21Friday, July 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
7/22Saturday, July 229:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	69%
7/22Saturday, July 229:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
7/23Sunday, July 234:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	69%
7/23Sunday, July 234:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	31%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+1	=1399	32%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+20	=1528	68%
7/26Wednesday, July 269:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	32%
7/26Wednesday, July 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	68%
7/28Friday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–1	=1397	40%
7/28Friday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+22	=1469	60%
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	40%
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	60%
7/30Sunday, July 303:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	40%
7/30Sunday, July 303:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	60%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–1	=1397	25%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+26	=1587	75%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	25%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	75%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	25%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	75%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+1	=1509	62%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	62%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–4	=1533	65%
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	35%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	66%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	34%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 93:37 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	66%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 93:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	34%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	40%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+22	=1464	60%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	40%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	60%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	40%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	60%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–3	=1395	31%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	69%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	32%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	68%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	32%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+24	=1533	68%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+0	=1507	62%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+22	=1420	38%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+0	=1507	62%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+0	=1507	62%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	–4	=1429	51%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	49%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	51%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	49%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 233:37 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1433	+0	+0	=1433	51%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 233:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	49%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–4	=1394	34%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	66%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	35%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	65%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	35%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	65%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	35%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	65%
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–4	=1394	31%
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	69%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	69%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+24	=1535	69%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	–2	=1511	63%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+23	=1421	37%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	63%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+0	=1513	63%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	37%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	–3	=1541	66%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	34%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	67%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	33%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	67%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	33%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	28%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+26	=1563	72%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	28%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	72%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	28%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+24	=1561	72%
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	25%
9/11Monday, Sept. 118:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	75%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	25%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	75%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	25%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+24	=1587	75%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	66%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+22	=1420	34%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 164:07 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	66%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 164:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	34%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	66%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	34%
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	–3	=1508	62%
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	62%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:37 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	62%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	38%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	–2	=1447	54%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	46%
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	54%
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	46%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	54%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	46%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+0	=1449	54%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+24	=1422	46%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–2	=1396	29%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+26	=1554	71%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	29%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	71%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	29%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	71%
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	–4	=1394	30%
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+26	=1539	70%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	69%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1393	+5	+0	=1398	31%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	69%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/5Monday, June 57:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1394	+22	–3	=1413	39%	4
6/5Monday, June 57:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1475	–6	+24	=1493	61%	5
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1395	+12	+0	=1407	32%	5
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1491	+22	+24	=1537	68%	7
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1397	+4	+0	=1401	37%	1
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Perez	1488	–18	+24	=1494	63%	12
6/2Friday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1399	–13	–2	=1384	33%	0
6/2Friday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1487	–5	+24	=1506	67%	4
5/31Wednesday, May 313:37 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Shuster	1557	–26	+0	=1531	63%	4
5/31Wednesday, May 313:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1399	+16	+24	=1439	37%	2
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1558	+4	+0	=1562	67%	1
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1398	+18	+24	=1440	33%	2
5/29Monday, May 298:07 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Soroka	1562	+2	–4	=1560	68%	2
5/29Monday, May 298:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1395	+10	+24	=1429	32%	7
5/28Sunday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1559	+29	+0	=1588	73%	10
5/28Sunday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1396	–6	+24	=1414	27%	1
5/27Saturday, May 274:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1558	+26	+0	=1584	69%	6
5/27Saturday, May 274:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Pruitt	1397	+24	+24	=1445	31%	3
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1557	–7	–2	=1548	65%	5
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1398	+20	+21	=1439	35%	2
5/25Thursday, May 259:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1398	+17	+0	=1415	31%	2
5/25Thursday, May 259:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1520	+10	+24	=1554	69%	3
5/24Wednesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1400	–6	+0	=1394	29%	1
5/24Wednesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Miller	1519	+3	+24	=1546	71%	6
5/23Tuesday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1400	+7	+0	=1407	36%	2
5/23Tuesday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1518	–35	+24	=1507	64%	3
5/22Monday, May 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1402	–9	–4	=1389	28%	2
5/22Monday, May 229:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1517	+19	+20	=1556	72%	11
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1402	+18	+0	=1420	26%	0
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1557	+22	+24	=1603	74%	2
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1403	+13	+0	=1416	29%	2
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1557	–10	+24	=1571	71%	3
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1404	–4	–2	=1398	32%	1
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Bielak	1556	–49	+26	=1533	68%	5
5/17Wednesday, May 173:37 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1494	–22	+0	=1472	56%	5
5/17Wednesday, May 173:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1405	+5	+24	=1434	44%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1496	–20	+0	=1476	58%	8
5/16Tuesday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1404	–6	+24	=1422	42%	9
5/15Monday, May 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1494	+21	–3	=1512	63%	5
5/15Monday, May 159:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Rucinski	1405	–10	+24	=1419	37%	2
5/13Saturday, May 134:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1520	–10	+0	=1510	59%	5
5/13Saturday, May 134:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1406	+15	+24	=1445	41%	0
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1521	–9	+0	=1512	62%	7
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1405	–3	+24	=1426	38%	9
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Eovaldi	1520	+6	–3	=1523	64%	4
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1406	+0	+20	=1426	36%	0
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1407	–5	+0	=1402	32%	3
5/10Wednesday, May 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1554	–41	+24	=1537	68%	11
5/9Tuesday, May 97:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Rucinski	1409	–5	+0	=1404	32%	5
5/9Tuesday, May 97:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1553	–44	+24	=1533	68%	10
5/8Monday, May 87:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1410	+13	–3	=1420	28%	2
5/8Monday, May 87:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1552	+8	+21	=1581	72%	7
5/7Sunday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Miller	1411	+23	+0	=1434	47%	1
5/7Sunday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Yarbrough	1433	+2	+24	=1459	53%	5
5/6Saturday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1410	+1	+0	=1411	41%	5
5/6Saturday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1434	+16	+24	=1474	59%	4
5/5Friday, May 58:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1408	–3	–4	=1401	42%	12
5/5Friday, May 58:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1436	–6	+24	=1454	58%	8
5/4Thursday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1514	+10	+0	=1524	63%	5
5/4Thursday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Rucinski	1409	–1	+24	=1432	37%	3
5/3Wednesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1512	+6	+0	=1518	61%	7
5/3Wednesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1410	+7	+24	=1441	39%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Miller	1512	–25	–2	=1485	55%	2
5/2Tuesday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Miller	1411	+12	+26	=1449	45%	1
4/30Sunday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Lodolo	1455	+15	+0	=1470	55%	4
4/30Sunday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1410	+0	+24	=1434	45%	5
4/29Saturday, April 294:07 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1454	+27	+0	=1481	57%	3
4/29Saturday, April 294:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1411	–2	+24	=1433	43%	2
4/28Friday, April 289:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Cessa	1452	–19	–2	=1431	48%	11
4/28Friday, April 289:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Rucinski	1413	+9	+22	=1444	52%	7
4/27Thursday, April 274:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1413	+12	+0	=1425	28%	7
4/27Thursday, April 274:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1515	+50	+24	=1589	72%	8
4/26Wednesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1415	+7	+0	=1422	34%	3
4/26Wednesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1514	+4	+24	=1542	66%	11
4/25Tuesday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Miller	1416	+10	+0	=1426	37%	3
4/25Tuesday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1513	–19	+24	=1518	63%	5
4/24Monday, April 249:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1415	+2	–3	=1414	36%	11
4/24Monday, April 249:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1514	–24	+24	=1514	64%	10
4/23Sunday, April 232:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1415	–3	+0	=1412	27%	2
4/23Sunday, April 232:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1512	+45	+24	=1581	73%	5
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1418	–5	+0	=1413	36%	3
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1509	–17	+24	=1516	64%	18
4/21Friday, April 218:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1417	+5	–2	=1420	35%	5
4/21Friday, April 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1511	–5	+24	=1530	65%	4
4/19Wednesday, April 193:37 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1496	+7	+0	=1503	58%	12
4/19Wednesday, April 193:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Miller	1419	+6	+24	=1449	42%	2
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1495	+20	+0	=1515	60%	4
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1421	–4	+24	=1441	40%	0
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Wesneski	1492	–26	–2	=1464	51%	10
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1424	+6	+24	=1454	49%	1
4/16Sunday, April 164:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Butto	1552	–36	+0	=1516	59%	4
4/16Sunday, April 164:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1425	+2	+24	=1451	41%	3
4/15Saturday, April 154:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1551	–26	+0	=1525	62%	3
4/15Saturday, April 154:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1425	–7	+24	=1442	38%	2
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1549	–19	–2	=1528	59%	17
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1428	+16	+20	=1464	41%	6
4/13Thursday, April 131:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1429	–10	+0	=1419	38%	7
4/13Thursday, April 131:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Irvin	1485	–2	+24	=1507	62%	8
4/12Wednesday, April 126:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1426	–11	+0	=1415	36%	8
4/12Wednesday, April 126:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1488	+3	+24	=1515	64%	4
4/11Tuesday, April 116:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1428	+12	+0	=1440	41%	8
4/11Tuesday, April 116:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1486	–6	+24	=1504	59%	12
4/10Monday, April 106:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1429	–2	–3	=1424	39%	1
4/10Monday, April 106:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1485	–6	+24	=1503	61%	5
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1431	+20	+0	=1451	33%	0
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1540	+13	+24	=1577	67%	11
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1433	–9	+0	=1424	30%	0
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1539	+9	+24	=1572	70%	11
4/7Friday, April 76:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1434	+3	–2	=1435	35%	5
4/7Friday, April 76:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Eflin	1537	–17	+23	=1543	65%	9
4/5Wednesday, April 53:37 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Gaddis	1533	–56	+0	=1477	52%	6
4/5Wednesday, April 53:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1436	+5	+24	=1465	48%	4
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1534	+36	+0	=1570	66%	3
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1434	–3	+24	=1455	34%	4
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1533	–24	–3	=1506	54%	12
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1435	+21	+24	=1480	46%	11
4/2Sunday, April 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1517	+9	+0	=1526	58%	6
4/2Sunday, April 24:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1437	+11	+24	=1472	42%	0
4/1Saturday, April 14:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1513	+0	+2	=1515	58%	13
4/1Saturday, April 14:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1440	–3	+26	=1463	42%	1
3/30Thursday, March 3010:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1515	+37	–2	=1550	63%	1
3/30Thursday, March 3010:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1439	–2	+24	=1461	37%	2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.