2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Blue Jays have a 3% chance of winning the World Series.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RaysRays51-25 | — | 98% | 75% | |||
YankeesYankees40-33 | 9.5 | 68% | 10% | |||
OriolesOrioles45-27 | 4.0 | 58% | 8% | |||
Blue JaysBlue Jays40-35 | 10.5 | 50% | 5% | |||
Red SoxRed Sox39-34 | 10.5 | 35% | 2% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1538 | +28 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1502 | +14 | +24 | =1540 | 46% | ||
6/23Friday, June 237:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 29% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +23 | =1561 | 71% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 29% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 71% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:37 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 29% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 71% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +26 | =1564 | 55% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
6/30Friday, June 307:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –2 | =1523 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 13:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 21:37 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 55% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +22 | =1506 | 45% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 54% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 46% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 54% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 46% | ||
7/7Friday, July 76:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –2 | =1536 | 59% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 41% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 81:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 40% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 40% | ||
7/14Friday, July 147:07 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +3 | =1510 | 42% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +29 | =1567 | 58% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 153:07 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 42% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 58% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 161:37 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 42% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 58% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 187:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 47% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +26 | =1564 | 53% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 47% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 53% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 201:07 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 47% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 53% | ||
7/21Friday, July 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –4 | =1534 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
7/24Monday, July 2410:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +21 | =1573 | 55% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 55% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 55% | ||
7/28Friday, July 287:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –2 | =1519 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +22 | =1560 | 56% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 293:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 3012:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
7/31Monday, July 317:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | –2 | =1510 | 43% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 57% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 43% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 57% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 43% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 57% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 43% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 57% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –2 | =1536 | 48% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +22 | =1547 | 52% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 48% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 52% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 48% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 52% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:07 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +22 | =1560 | 59% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 123:07 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 59% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:37 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 59% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +26 | =1564 | 56% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 186:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 55% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +26 | =1501 | 45% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 56% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 44% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 56% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 44% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 51% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +22 | =1534 | 49% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 50% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 50% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –2 | =1517 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +22 | =1560 | 56% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:37 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | –3 | =1431 | 32% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 68% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:07 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 32% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 68% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:07 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 32% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 68% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –1 | =1537 | 60% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +26 | =1465 | 40% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 33:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 39% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:37 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 65% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 35% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 31% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +22 | =1560 | 69% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 93:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 31% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 69% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:37 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 31% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 69% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –3 | =1530 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 54% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 54% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 54% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –2 | =1523 | 44% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 163:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:37 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 44% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 44% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 44% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 42% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 58% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 43% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 57% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 43% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 57% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 49% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +23 | =1561 | 51% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 49% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 51% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 49% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 51% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 50% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 50% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 303:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 50% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 50% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 50% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 50% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1537 | –25 | +0 | =1512 | 48% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Perez | 1503 | –5 | +24 | =1522 | 52% | 0 | |
6/19Monday, June 196:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1541 | +7 | –3 | =1545 | 59% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Hoeing | 1499 | –38 | +21 | =1482 | 41% | 11 | |
6/18Sunday, June 182:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1543 | +5 | +0 | =1548 | 47% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1534 | +12 | +24 | =1570 | 53% | 11 | |
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Richards | 1544 | –23 | +0 | =1521 | 48% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1533 | –20 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | 4 | |
6/16Friday, June 168:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1543 | +26 | –3 | =1566 | 54% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1534 | –23 | +24 | =1535 | 46% | 1 | |
6/15Thursday, June 151:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1544 | –28 | +0 | =1516 | 45% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1509 | +18 | +24 | =1551 | 55% | 4 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1543 | +1 | +0 | =1544 | 50% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1511 | +8 | +24 | =1543 | 50% | 1 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1545 | +16 | +0 | =1561 | 54% | 6 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1508 | +1 | +26 | =1535 | 46% | 11 | |
6/11Sunday, June 111:37 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1527 | –20 | +0 | =1507 | 37% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1545 | +31 | +24 | =1600 | 63% | 7 | |
6/10Saturday, June 103:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1524 | +14 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | 9 |
TORBlue Jays | Richards | 1547 | –28 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | 4 | |
6/9Friday, June 97:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1523 | +12 | –3 | =1532 | 49% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1548 | –31 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | 2 | |
6/8Thursday, June 87:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1561 | +29 | +0 | =1590 | 53% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1547 | –2 | +24 | =1569 | 47% | 3 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 77:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Blanco | 1562 | –34 | +0 | =1528 | 42% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1546 | +12 | +24 | =1582 | 58% | 3 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 67:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1564 | –7 | +0 | =1557 | 44% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1544 | +29 | +24 | =1597 | 56% | 5 | |
6/5Monday, June 57:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1560 | –41 | –3 | =1516 | 43% | 11 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1547 | –3 | +22 | =1566 | 57% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1546 | –33 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | 6 |
NYMMets | Senga | 1530 | +2 | +24 | =1556 | 56% | 4 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1545 | –4 | +0 | =1541 | 51% | 2 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1531 | –22 | +24 | =1533 | 49% | 1 | |
6/2Friday, June 27:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1543 | +6 | –2 | =1547 | 43% | 3 |
NYMMets | Verlander | 1533 | +40 | +24 | =1597 | 57% | 0 | |
6/1Thursday, June 11:07 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1518 | +3 | +0 | =1521 | 40% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1542 | +26 | +24 | =1592 | 60% | 3 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Teheran | 1516 | –34 | +0 | =1482 | 38% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1544 | +2 | +24 | =1570 | 62% | 2 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 307:07 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1518 | –15 | +0 | =1503 | 46% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1542 | –31 | +23 | =1534 | 54% | 7 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1540 | –4 | +0 | =1536 | 47% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1528 | +5 | +24 | =1557 | 53% | 0 | |
5/27Saturday, May 272:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1541 | +14 | +0 | =1555 | 51% | 7 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1526 | –1 | +24 | =1549 | 49% | 9 | |
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1540 | +25 | –3 | =1562 | 54% | 3 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1527 | –21 | +26 | =1532 | 46% | 1 | |
5/25Thursday, May 251:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1542 | +4 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | 3 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1559 | –12 | +24 | =1571 | 54% | 6 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1543 | –30 | +0 | =1513 | 38% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1558 | +13 | +24 | =1595 | 62% | 7 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1537 | –10 | +0 | =1527 | 45% | 20 |
TBRays | Bradley | 1564 | –24 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | 1 | |
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1538 | +17 | –3 | =1552 | 46% | 4 |
TBRays | Kelley (open) | 1563 | –3 | +24 | =1584 | 54% | 6 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:37 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1505 | +5 | +0 | =1510 | 39% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1541 | +21 | +24 | =1586 | 61% | 3 | |
5/20Saturday, May 203:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1504 | –27 | +0 | =1477 | 37% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1543 | +3 | +24 | =1570 | 63% | 5 | |
5/19Friday, May 197:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Gibson | 1501 | –7 | –2 | =1492 | 43% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1545 | –30 | +24 | =1539 | 57% | 2 | |
5/18Thursday, May 187:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1556 | +3 | +0 | =1559 | 50% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1546 | –12 | +24 | =1558 | 50% | 2 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 177:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1558 | +26 | +0 | =1584 | 50% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1544 | +14 | +24 | =1582 | 50% | 3 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 167:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1556 | –1 | +0 | =1555 | 45% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1546 | +22 | +24 | =1592 | 55% | 3 | |
5/15Monday, May 157:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cordero | 1554 | –36 | –2 | =1516 | 40% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1548 | +11 | +24 | =1583 | 60% | 4 | |
5/14Sunday, May 141:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | McHugh | 1564 | –9 | +0 | =1555 | 51% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1547 | –27 | +24 | =1544 | 49% | 6 | |
5/13Saturday, May 133:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1566 | +1 | +0 | =1567 | 51% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1546 | –13 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | 5 | |
5/12Friday, May 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1568 | +30 | –1 | =1597 | 53% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1544 | +4 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | 3 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 104:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1545 | +17 | +0 | =1562 | 48% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1522 | +29 | +24 | =1575 | 52% | 2 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1547 | +16 | +0 | =1563 | 50% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1520 | +17 | +26 | =1563 | 50% | 8 | |
5/7Sunday, May 71:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1544 | –28 | +0 | =1516 | 51% | 10 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1477 | +8 | +24 | =1509 | 49% | 1 | |
5/6Saturday, May 66:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1542 | –12 | +0 | =1530 | 55% | 8 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1479 | –7 | +24 | =1496 | 45% | 2 | |
5/5Friday, May 56:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1540 | +4 | –2 | =1542 | 55% | 4 |
PITPirates | Hill | 1481 | +4 | +21 | =1506 | 45% | 0 | |
5/4Thursday, May 46:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1543 | +25 | +0 | =1568 | 56% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1517 | –12 | +24 | =1529 | 44% | 11 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1545 | +19 | +0 | =1564 | 54% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1514 | –2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | 8 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1546 | –26 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 6 |
BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1513 | +19 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | 7 | |
5/1Monday, May 17:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1547 | –10 | –2 | =1535 | 50% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Kluber | 1512 | –1 | +24 | =1535 | 50% | 6 | |
4/30Sunday, April 301:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1510 | –19 | +0 | =1491 | 39% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1549 | +0 | +24 | =1573 | 61% | 8 | |
4/29Saturday, April 293:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | McGee | 1510 | –26 | +0 | =1484 | 35% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1548 | +18 | +24 | =1590 | 65% | 1 | |
4/28Friday, April 287:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1511 | +35 | –2 | =1544 | 43% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1547 | +20 | +26 | =1593 | 57% | 3 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 261:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1485 | –12 | +0 | =1473 | 41% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1545 | –31 | +24 | =1538 | 59% | 8 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 257:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Clevinger | 1487 | –10 | +0 | =1477 | 39% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1543 | –14 | +24 | =1553 | 61% | 7 | |
4/24Monday, April 247:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1488 | +2 | –3 | =1487 | 39% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1542 | +1 | +22 | =1565 | 61% | 5 | |
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1540 | +15 | +0 | =1555 | 53% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1561 | –52 | +24 | =1533 | 47% | 1 | |
4/22Saturday, April 221:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1541 | +20 | +0 | =1561 | 43% | 2 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1560 | +28 | +24 | =1612 | 57% | 3 | |
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1538 | –30 | –1 | =1507 | 40% | 6 |
NYYYankees | German | 1563 | –12 | +24 | =1575 | 60% | 1 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1540 | –14 | +0 | =1526 | 45% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1549 | –9 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | 8 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 188:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1539 | +1 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1551 | –3 | +24 | =1572 | 54% | 2 | |
4/17Monday, April 178:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1541 | +25 | –3 | =1563 | 45% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1548 | +28 | +24 | =1600 | 55% | 9 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1545 | +13 | +0 | =1558 | 45% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1544 | +27 | +24 | =1595 | 55% | 1 | |
4/15Saturday, April 153:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Faucher | 1546 | –38 | +0 | =1508 | 47% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1543 | –35 | +24 | =1532 | 53% | 5 | |
4/14Friday, April 147:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1548 | +17 | –3 | =1562 | 52% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1541 | –18 | +24 | =1547 | 48% | 6 | |
4/13Thursday, April 137:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1442 | +7 | +0 | =1449 | 34% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1543 | –1 | +24 | =1566 | 66% | 1 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1443 | +4 | +0 | =1447 | 30% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1542 | +24 | +24 | =1590 | 70% | 4 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 117:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1444 | –4 | +0 | =1440 | 29% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1541 | +34 | +22 | =1597 | 71% | 9 | |
4/9Sunday, April 94:07 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1540 | –30 | +0 | =1510 | 46% | 12 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1520 | –7 | +24 | =1537 | 54% | 11 | |
4/8Saturday, April 89:07 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1542 | –17 | +0 | =1525 | 46% | 5 |
LAAAngels | Anderson | 1518 | +11 | +24 | =1553 | 54% | 9 | |
4/7Friday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1541 | –4 | –3 | =1534 | 49% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1519 | +0 | +23 | =1542 | 51% | 3 | |
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1540 | +19 | +0 | =1559 | 62% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1446 | +4 | +24 | =1474 | 38% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 57:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1539 | +30 | +0 | =1569 | 63% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1447 | +4 | +24 | =1475 | 37% | 0 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1537 | –32 | +0 | =1505 | 57% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1449 | –18 | +24 | =1455 | 43% | 1 | |
4/3Monday, April 37:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1539 | –12 | –2 | =1525 | 54% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1446 | +27 | +24 | =1497 | 46% | 9 | |
4/2Sunday, April 22:15 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1541 | +8 | +0 | =1549 | 47% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1524 | +19 | +24 | =1567 | 53% | 9 | |
4/1Saturday, April 12:15 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1543 | +17 | +2 | =1562 | 51% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1522 | +8 | +26 | =1556 | 49% | 4 | |
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1542 | +35 | –3 | =1574 | 51% | 10 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1523 | +18 | +24 | =1565 | 49% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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