Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers35-25	—	96%	76%
Dbacks Diamondbacks35-25	—	55%	10%
Padres Padres28-32	7.0	53%	9%
Giants Giants29-30	5.5	35%	5%
Rockies Rockies26-35	9.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1499	–14	–2	=1483	53%
6/6Tuesday, June 67:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1441	–4	+26	=1463	47%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	55%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	45%
6/8Thursday, June 81:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	55%
6/8Thursday, June 81:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1441	+1	+24	=1466	45%
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	54%
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	46%
6/10Saturday, June 101:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	54%
6/10Saturday, June 101:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	46%
6/11Sunday, June 1111:35 a.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	54%
6/11Sunday, June 1111:35 a.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1449	+0	+24	=1473	46%
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	–4	=1513	49%
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+20	=1521	51%
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	49%
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	51%
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	49%
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	51%
6/15Thursday, June 153:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	49%
6/15Thursday, June 153:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	51%
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	–2	=1514	49%
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	51%
6/17Saturday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	49%
6/17Saturday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	51%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1513	+3	+0	=1516	49%
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	51%
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–4	=1497	44%
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	56%
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	44%
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	56%
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	44%
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1520	–4	+24	=1540	56%
6/23Friday, June 2310:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	45%
6/23Friday, June 2310:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	55%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
6/25Sunday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
6/25Sunday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	–2	=1560	55%
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+23	=1524	45%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	55%
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	45%
6/29Thursday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1565	–3	+0	=1562	55%
6/29Thursday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	45%
6/30Friday, June 309:38 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	44%
6/30Friday, June 309:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	56%
7/1Saturday, July 110:07 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	45%
7/1Saturday, July 110:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	55%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	45%
7/2Sunday, July 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1511	+2	+24	=1537	55%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	–2	=1530	51%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	49%
7/5Wednesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+0	=1532	51%
7/5Wednesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	49%
7/6Thursday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+0	=1532	51%
7/6Thursday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	49%
7/7Friday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	–2	=1475	43%
7/7Friday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	57%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+0	=1477	43%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	57%
7/9Sunday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1476	+1	+0	=1477	43%
7/9Sunday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	57%
7/14Friday, July 147:07 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+3	=1504	40%
7/14Friday, July 147:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+29	=1573	60%
7/15Saturday, July 153:07 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	40%
7/15Saturday, July 153:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	60%
7/16Sunday, July 161:37 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	40%
7/16Sunday, July 161:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	60%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–1	=1500	38%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+26	=1586	62%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	38%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	62%
7/20Thursday, July 2012:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	38%
7/20Thursday, July 2012:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1560	+0	+24	=1584	62%
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	52%
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	48%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	53%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	47%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	53%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+24	=1483	47%
7/24Monday, July 249:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	–4	=1505	48%
7/24Monday, July 249:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+20	=1521	52%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+0	=1509	48%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	52%
7/26Wednesday, July 263:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1506	+3	+0	=1509	48%
7/26Wednesday, July 263:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	52%
7/28Friday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	–1	=1510	47%
7/28Friday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+26	=1527	53%
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	48%
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	52%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1510	+1	+0	=1511	48%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	52%
7/31Monday, July 319:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	45%
7/31Monday, July 319:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	55%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	46%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+24	=1532	54%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–4	=1497	42%
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+22	=1550	58%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	43%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	57%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	43%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1527	+1	+24	=1552	57%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	–2	=1559	55%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+23	=1524	45%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+0	=1561	55%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	45%
8/11Friday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	–1	=1536	51%
8/11Friday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+26	=1527	49%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	52%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	48%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+0	=1537	52%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	48%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	54%
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+21	=1468	46%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	54%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	46%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	54%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+24	=1471	46%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	41%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	59%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	41%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	59%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	41%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	59%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	41%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+0	+24	=1561	59%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	–3	=1534	52%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+22	=1523	48%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1539	–2	+0	=1537	52%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	48%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	–2	=1457	40%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 249:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+26	=1527	60%
8/25Friday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	41%
8/25Friday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	59%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	41%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	59%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1457	+2	+0	=1459	41%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	59%
8/28Monday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	38%
8/28Monday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+22	=1583	62%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	38%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	62%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	38%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1563	–2	+24	=1585	62%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	–2	=1505	47%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	53%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+0	=1507	47%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	53%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1506	+1	+0	=1507	47%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	53%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	–3	=1444	39%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	61%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	39%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	61%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1446	+1	+0	=1447	39%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 63:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	61%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–4	=1497	48%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	52%
9/8Friday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	49%
9/8Friday, Sept. 82:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	51%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	49%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	51%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	49%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+24	=1510	51%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	42%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+21	=1553	58%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	42%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	58%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	42%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	58%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	42%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1529	+3	+24	=1556	58%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	–1	=1485	45%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+20	=1521	55%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	44%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	56%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1485	+1	+0	=1486	44%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	56%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	–1	=1507	47%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+26	=1527	53%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1507	+1	+0	=1508	48%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	52%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–2	=1499	37%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	63%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	37%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 231:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	63%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	37%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1565	+0	+24	=1589	63%
9/25Monday, Sept. 257:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	–3	=1498	49%
9/25Monday, Sept. 257:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+21	=1505	51%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	49%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	51%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+0	=1501	49%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 272:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1484	+0	+24	=1508	51%
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	–1	=1562	55%
9/29Friday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+22	=1523	45%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	55%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	45%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1564	–1	+0	=1563	55%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1499	+2	+24	=1525	45%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/4Sunday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Soroka	1558	–1	+0	=1557	48%	8
6/4Sunday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1501	+46	+24	=1571	52%	5
6/3Saturday, June 310:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1557	+28	+0	=1585	61%	5
6/3Saturday, June 310:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1502	–16	+24	=1510	39%	2
6/2Friday, June 29:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1558	–5	–1	=1552	50%	2
6/2Friday, June 29:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1501	+26	+24	=1551	50%	3
6/1Thursday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1445	–28	+0	=1417	37%	4
6/1Thursday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1500	–17	+24	=1507	63%	5
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Lamet	1447	+20	+0	=1467	45%	0
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1498	–22	+24	=1500	55%	6
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1448	+23	+0	=1471	37%	1
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1497	+47	+24	=1568	63%	5
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kauffmann	1449	–16	–3	=1430	38%	5
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1496	–7	+24	=1513	62%	7
5/28Sunday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1519	+17	+0	=1536	49%	2
5/28Sunday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1494	+24	+24	=1542	51%	4
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1518	–11	+0	=1507	50%	2
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1495	–15	+24	=1504	50%	1
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1516	+21	+0	=1537	57%	7
5/26Friday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Pfaadt	1497	–31	+22	=1488	43%	2
5/24Wednesday, May 241:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1498	+47	+0	=1545	51%	5
5/24Wednesday, May 241:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1515	–4	+24	=1535	49%	6
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1497	–14	+0	=1483	44%	4
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Strahm	1516	–17	+24	=1523	56%	3
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1495	–23	–2	=1470	36%	6
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1518	+30	+24	=1572	64%	3
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1493	+25	+0	=1518	53%	8
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1474	+1	+24	=1499	47%	3
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Pfaadt	1491	–31	+0	=1460	41%	4
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1475	+25	+24	=1524	59%	3
5/19Friday, May 196:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1496	+57	–2	=1551	60%	3
5/19Friday, May 196:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1471	–12	+24	=1483	40%	13
5/17Wednesday, May 173:37 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1494	–22	+0	=1472	56%	5
5/17Wednesday, May 173:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Medina	1405	+5	+24	=1434	44%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1496	–20	+0	=1476	58%	8
5/16Tuesday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1404	–6	+24	=1422	42%	9
5/15Monday, May 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1494	+21	–3	=1512	63%	5
5/15Monday, May 159:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Rucinski	1405	–10	+24	=1419	37%	2
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1497	+20	+0	=1517	56%	1
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Pfaadt	1493	–39	+24	=1478	44%	2
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1499	+2	+0	=1501	40%	2
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1492	+58	+24	=1574	60%	7
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1500	+0	+0	=1500	51%	5
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1490	–18	+24	=1496	49%	7
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1498	+15	–3	=1510	52%	6
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1492	–22	+24	=1494	48%	2
5/10Wednesday, May 103:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1485	–4	+0	=1481	41%	5
5/10Wednesday, May 103:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1493	+23	+24	=1540	59%	4
5/9Tuesday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1483	+5	+0	=1488	50%	6
5/9Tuesday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Pfaadt	1495	–33	+24	=1486	50%	2
5/8Monday, May 89:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1484	–15	–4	=1465	35%	2
5/8Monday, May 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1494	+56	+24	=1574	65%	5
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1435	+10	+0	=1445	42%	9
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1496	–18	+24	=1502	58%	8
5/6Saturday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1435	+11	+0	=1446	43%	7
5/6Saturday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1495	–26	+24	=1493	57%	8
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1436	+9	–4	=1441	37%	1
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1494	+20	+23	=1537	63%	3
5/3Wednesday, May 32:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Pfaadt	1491	–21	+0	=1470	42%	12
5/3Wednesday, May 32:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1516	–17	+24	=1523	58%	7
5/2Tuesday, May 28:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1493	+57	–1	=1549	53%	4
5/2Tuesday, May 28:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1515	–12	+26	=1529	47%	6
4/30Sunday, April 303:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1496	–11	+0	=1485	56%	4
4/30Sunday, April 303:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1431	–9	+24	=1446	44%	12
4/29Saturday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1493	–29	+0	=1464	51%	11
4/29Saturday, April 298:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Davis	1433	–1	+24	=1456	49%	4
4/28Friday, April 288:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1491	+15	–1	=1505	54%	9
4/28Friday, April 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1436	+18	+23	=1477	46%	1
4/26Wednesday, April 263:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Yarbrough	1439	–3	+0	=1436	32%	0
4/26Wednesday, April 263:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1490	+54	+24	=1568	68%	2
4/25Tuesday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1438	+15	+0	=1453	42%	5
4/25Tuesday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1491	–5	+24	=1510	58%	4
4/24Monday, April 249:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1438	–8	–2	=1428	41%	4
4/24Monday, April 249:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1491	–25	+24	=1490	59%	5
4/23Sunday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1540	+30	+0	=1570	58%	7
4/23Sunday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1492	–1	+24	=1515	42%	5
4/22Saturday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1538	+16	+0	=1554	53%	5
4/22Saturday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1493	+16	+24	=1533	47%	3
4/21Friday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lugo	1541	–20	+0	=1521	44%	0
4/21Friday, April 219:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1490	+47	+24	=1561	56%	9
4/20Thursday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Wacha	1540	–5	–2	=1533	53%	7
4/20Thursday, April 209:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1491	–1	+21	=1511	47%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 191:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1494	–35	+0	=1459	40%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 191:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Woodford	1514	–9	+24	=1529	60%	14
4/18Tuesday, April 187:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1492	+1	+0	=1493	40%	8
4/18Tuesday, April 187:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Montgomery	1515	+26	+24	=1565	60%	7
4/17Monday, April 177:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1490	+14	–3	=1501	42%	6
4/17Monday, April 177:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1517	+12	+24	=1553	58%	3
4/16Sunday, April 161:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1488	+43	+0	=1531	48%	5
4/16Sunday, April 161:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1490	+34	+24	=1548	52%	0
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1489	–3	+0	=1486	48%	2
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1489	–12	+24	=1501	52%	3
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1491	–31	–2	=1458	45%	1
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1488	–18	+23	=1493	55%	5
4/12Wednesday, April 123:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Junk	1538	–45	+0	=1493	47%	3
4/12Wednesday, April 123:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1489	–1	+24	=1512	53%	7
4/11Tuesday, April 119:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1535	+16	+0	=1551	53%	7
4/11Tuesday, April 119:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1491	+14	+24	=1529	47%	1
4/10Monday, April 109:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1537	–25	–4	=1508	44%	0
4/10Monday, April 109:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1490	+39	+24	=1553	56%	3
4/9Sunday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1562	–39	+0	=1523	52%	6
4/9Sunday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1488	–6	+24	=1506	48%	11
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1564	–11	+0	=1553	58%	8
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1485	–14	+24	=1495	42%	12
4/7Friday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1566	+19	+0	=1585	65%	3
4/7Friday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1483	–28	+24	=1479	35%	6
4/6Thursday, April 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1565	–16	+0	=1549	53%	5
4/6Thursday, April 610:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1484	+16	+24	=1524	47%	2
4/4Tuesday, April 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1483	+43	+0	=1526	40%	8
4/4Tuesday, April 44:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1544	+27	+24	=1595	60%	6
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1484	–4	–1	=1479	46%	4
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1543	–60	+24	=1507	54%	5
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1482	–17	+0	=1465	35%	2
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1563	–14	+24	=1573	65%	1
4/1Saturday, April 19:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1484	–27	+0	=1457	30%	1
4/1Saturday, April 19:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1562	+19	+24	=1605	70%	10
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1482	+14	+0	=1496	40%	2
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1563	–19	+24	=1568	60%	1
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1484	+46	–2	=1528	39%	2
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1561	+19	+24	=1604	61%	8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.