2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Dodgers have a 10% chance of winning the World Series.
NL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DodgersDodgers40-33 | 3.5 | 85% | 45% | |||
GiantsGiants41-32 | 2.5 | 71% | 26% | |||
DbacksDiamondbacks44-30 | — | 60% | 19% | |||
PadresPadres35-38 | 8.5 | 44% | 10% | |||
RockiesRockies29-47 | 16.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 46% | |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1519 | +34 | +24 | =1577 | 54% | ||
6/23Friday, June 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –1 | =1547 | 46% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +25 | =1577 | 54% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 46% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 54% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 46% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 54% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 62% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +26 | =1465 | 38% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –3 | =1549 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 22:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
7/3Monday, July 310:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | –4 | =1454 | 33% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +21 | =1573 | 67% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 49:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 34% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 66% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 34% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 66% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 34% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 66% | ||
7/7Friday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +1 | =1522 | 42% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 58% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 89:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 42% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 58% | ||
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +3 | =1555 | 50% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +27 | =1555 | 50% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 50% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 50% | ||
7/17Monday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –2 | =1550 | 52% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 187:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 52% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 191:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 52% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
7/21Friday, July 218:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +26 | =1559 | 51% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 232:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/24Monday, July 2410:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +21 | =1573 | 55% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 55% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 264:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 55% | ||
7/28Friday, July 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | –2 | =1473 | 35% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +26 | =1578 | 65% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 299:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 36% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 64% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 36% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 64% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 110:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –1 | =1409 | 27% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +26 | =1578 | 73% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 72% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 310:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 28% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 72% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 48% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +23 | =1563 | 52% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 58:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 48% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 52% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 48% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 52% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 48% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 52% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –2 | =1550 | 53% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +23 | =1530 | 47% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 53% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 47% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –4 | =1435 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +22 | =1574 | 69% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 69% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 69% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 31% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 69% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | –2 | =1510 | 40% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +26 | =1578 | 60% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 59% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 59% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | –2 | =1501 | 39% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 61% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +0 | =1503 | 40% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 60% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +0 | =1503 | 40% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 60% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –2 | =1550 | 51% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +26 | =1545 | 49% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 51% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 49% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 51% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 49% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –3 | =1549 | 51% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +20 | =1545 | 49% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 27 | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | –2 | =1505 | 40% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +22 | =1574 | 60% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 40% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 60% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 40% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 60% | ||
8/31Thursday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | –3 | =1567 | 49% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 51% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 110:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 49% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 51% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 29:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 49% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 51% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 49% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 51% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –2 | =1550 | 54% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +23 | =1526 | 46% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 54% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 46% | ||
9/7Thursday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 54% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 46% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –3 | =1549 | 62% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +26 | =1460 | 38% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 37% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | –3 | =1537 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +20 | =1572 | 55% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 55% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 45% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 55% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +26 | =1539 | 48% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –1 | =1445 | 32% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +21 | =1573 | 68% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 32% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 68% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 32% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 68% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 239:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 263:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +23 | =1462 | 37% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 278:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 288:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 63% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –3 | =1549 | 49% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +26 | =1555 | 51% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 50% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 50% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 2010:07 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1551 | +24 | +1 | =1576 | 55% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1521 | +0 | +23 | =1544 | 45% | 0 | |
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1523 | +27 | +0 | =1550 | 43% | 7 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1553 | +23 | +24 | =1600 | 57% | 3 | |
6/17Saturday, June 179:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1518 | –11 | +0 | =1507 | 39% | 15 |
LADDodgers | Miller | 1559 | +4 | +24 | =1587 | 61% | 0 | |
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1516 | +2 | –2 | =1516 | 44% | 7 |
LADDodgers | Sheehan | 1560 | –22 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | 5 | |
6/15Thursday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1486 | +14 | +0 | =1500 | 44% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Grove | 1559 | –40 | +24 | =1543 | 56% | 5 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 1410 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Clevinger | 1482 | –10 | +0 | =1472 | 31% | 8 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1562 | +25 | +24 | =1611 | 69% | 4 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 1310:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1484 | –14 | –2 | =1468 | 31% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1561 | +20 | +22 | =1603 | 69% | 5 | |
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Ferguson | 1563 | –31 | +0 | =1532 | 51% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Walker | 1515 | –13 | +24 | =1526 | 49% | 7 | |
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Miller | 1560 | –2 | +0 | =1558 | 50% | 9 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1518 | +16 | +24 | =1558 | 50% | 0 | |
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonzalez | 1561 | –23 | –2 | =1536 | 50% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Suarez | 1517 | –3 | +24 | =1538 | 50% | 5 | |
6/8Thursday, June 812:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1560 | +24 | +0 | =1584 | 67% | 6 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1460 | –20 | +24 | =1464 | 33% | 0 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1561 | –22 | +0 | =1539 | 58% | 6 |
CINReds | Williamson | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 42% | 8 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1563 | +22 | –2 | =1583 | 65% | 8 |
CINReds | Weaver | 1457 | –2 | +24 | =1479 | 35% | 9 | |
6/4Sunday, June 47 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1563 | +0 | +0 | =1563 | 48% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Miller | 1565 | –11 | +24 | =1578 | 52% | 1 | |
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1561 | +20 | +0 | =1581 | 54% | 6 |
LADDodgers | Grove | 1566 | –39 | +24 | =1551 | 46% | 3 | |
6/2Friday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Severino | 1563 | +16 | –1 | =1578 | 45% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1565 | +22 | +26 | =1613 | 55% | 8 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 314:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1441 | –11 | +0 | =1430 | 30% | 10 |
LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1568 | –17 | +24 | =1575 | 70% | 6 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Irvin | 1442 | –3 | +0 | =1439 | 27% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1567 | +22 | +24 | =1613 | 73% | 9 | |
5/29Monday, May 299:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Williams | 1443 | +7 | –3 | =1447 | 33% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Miller | 1565 | –16 | +20 | =1569 | 67% | 6 | |
5/28Sunday, May 2811:35 a.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Stone | 1566 | –38 | +0 | =1528 | 50% | 10 |
TBRays | Fleming | 1563 | –55 | +24 | =1532 | 50% | 11 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1565 | +22 | +0 | =1587 | 48% | 6 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1564 | +17 | +24 | =1605 | 52% | 5 | |
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1568 | –16 | +0 | =1552 | 53% | 3 |
TBRays | Beeks | 1561 | –51 | +24 | =1534 | 47% | 9 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 247:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1569 | +21 | +0 | =1590 | 50% | 3 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1561 | +2 | +24 | =1587 | 50% | 4 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Miller | 1565 | –25 | +0 | =1540 | 39% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Strider | 1564 | +27 | +24 | =1615 | 61% | 1 | |
5/22Monday, May 227:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Stone | 1564 | –33 | –2 | =1529 | 41% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1566 | –1 | +24 | =1589 | 59% | 6 | |
5/21Sunday, May 212:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1566 | +24 | +0 | =1590 | 57% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1514 | +4 | +24 | =1542 | 43% | 10 | |
5/20Saturday, May 207:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1567 | –19 | +0 | =1548 | 50% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1513 | +12 | +24 | =1549 | 50% | 6 | |
5/19Friday, May 198:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1566 | +18 | +0 | =1584 | 57% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 43% | 0 | |
5/18Thursday, May 187:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1569 | +13 | –4 | =1578 | 55% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1512 | +10 | +24 | =1546 | 45% | 16 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1530 | +17 | +0 | =1547 | 44% | 3 |
LADDodgers | May | 1567 | –1 | +24 | =1590 | 56% | 7 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1528 | +5 | +0 | =1533 | 38% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1570 | +25 | +24 | =1619 | 62% | 1 | |
5/15Monday, May 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1529 | +1 | –4 | =1526 | 43% | 8 |
LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1569 | –21 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | 9 | |
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Weathers | 1538 | –47 | +0 | =1491 | 34% | 0 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1568 | +14 | +24 | =1606 | 66% | 4 | |
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1539 | +7 | +0 | =1546 | 42% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1567 | +12 | +24 | =1603 | 58% | 4 | |
5/12Friday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Snell | 1540 | +3 | –4 | =1539 | 43% | 2 |
LADDodgers | May | 1565 | –2 | +22 | =1585 | 57% | 4 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 101:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1563 | +25 | +0 | =1588 | 57% | 8 |
MILBrewers | Miley | 1531 | –14 | +24 | =1541 | 43% | 1 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1561 | –18 | +0 | =1543 | 50% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1533 | –17 | +24 | =1540 | 50% | 2 | |
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1564 | +14 | –4 | =1574 | 52% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1530 | +11 | +20 | =1561 | 48% | 9 | |
5/7Sunday, May 77 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1562 | +14 | +0 | =1576 | 50% | 5 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1542 | +7 | +24 | =1573 | 50% | 2 | |
5/6Saturday, May 68:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | May | 1561 | –5 | +0 | =1556 | 48% | 2 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1543 | +3 | +24 | =1570 | 52% | 1 | |
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1563 | +32 | +1 | =1596 | 50% | 2 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1542 | +28 | +26 | =1596 | 50% | 5 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 34:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1522 | +18 | +0 | =1540 | 48% | 6 |
LADDodgers | Stone | 1561 | –28 | +24 | =1557 | 52% | 10 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 210:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Strahm | 1525 | –16 | +0 | =1509 | 38% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1558 | +9 | +24 | =1591 | 62% | 13 | |
5/1Monday, May 110:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Walker | 1527 | –14 | –3 | =1510 | 38% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1556 | +16 | +24 | =1596 | 62% | 13 | |
4/30Sunday, April 304:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Woodford | 1511 | –13 | +0 | =1498 | 41% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1554 | –18 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 6 | |
4/29Saturday, April 299:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1512 | +22 | +0 | =1534 | 40% | 0 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1554 | +27 | +24 | =1605 | 60% | 1 | |
4/28Friday, April 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1514 | +13 | –2 | =1525 | 44% | 3 |
LADDodgers | May | 1552 | –5 | +20 | =1567 | 56% | 7 | |
4/27Thursday, April 2712:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1554 | +14 | +0 | =1568 | 58% | 2 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1479 | +7 | +24 | =1510 | 42% | 6 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 266:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1558 | +17 | +0 | =1575 | 60% | 1 |
PITPirates | Contreras | 1476 | +5 | +24 | =1505 | 40% | 8 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1557 | –13 | +0 | =1544 | 56% | 8 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1476 | +2 | +26 | =1504 | 44% | 7 | |
4/23Sunday, April 232:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1555 | +24 | +0 | =1579 | 55% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1500 | +20 | +24 | =1544 | 45% | 3 | |
4/22Saturday, April 222:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | May | 1553 | –10 | +0 | =1543 | 55% | 9 |
CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1502 | –21 | +24 | =1505 | 45% | 4 | |
4/21Friday, April 212:20 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1558 | +19 | +0 | =1577 | 59% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1497 | –7 | +24 | =1514 | 41% | 13 | |
4/20Thursday, April 207:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Grove | 1556 | –44 | –4 | =1508 | 51% | 6 |
CHCCubs | Assad | 1499 | –18 | +20 | =1501 | 49% | 2 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1553 | +30 | +0 | =1583 | 52% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1557 | –15 | +24 | =1566 | 48% | 3 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1555 | –16 | +0 | =1539 | 42% | 0 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1556 | +18 | +24 | =1598 | 58% | 5 | |
4/17Monday, April 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1553 | –18 | –2 | =1533 | 44% | 8 |
LADDodgers | May | 1557 | –8 | +24 | =1573 | 56% | 6 | |
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1490 | –7 | +0 | =1483 | 33% | 3 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1559 | +23 | +24 | =1606 | 67% | 2 | |
4/15Saturday, April 159:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Taillon | 1491 | +5 | +0 | =1496 | 45% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Grove | 1558 | –50 | +24 | =1532 | 55% | 2 | |
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1488 | +8 | –2 | =1494 | 39% | 8 |
LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1561 | –15 | +24 | =1570 | 61% | 2 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1559 | +18 | +0 | =1577 | 56% | 10 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1507 | +7 | +24 | =1538 | 44% | 5 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | May | 1562 | –9 | +0 | =1553 | 55% | 0 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1505 | –13 | +24 | =1516 | 45% | 5 | |
4/10Monday, April 109:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1559 | +23 | –3 | =1579 | 55% | 9 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1507 | +16 | +24 | =1547 | 45% | 1 | |
4/9Sunday, April 94:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Grove | 1562 | –39 | +0 | =1523 | 52% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1488 | –6 | +24 | =1506 | 48% | 11 | |
4/8Saturday, April 88:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1564 | –11 | +0 | =1553 | 58% | 8 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1485 | –14 | +24 | =1495 | 42% | 12 | |
4/7Friday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1566 | +19 | +0 | =1585 | 65% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1483 | –28 | +24 | =1479 | 35% | 6 | |
4/6Thursday, April 610:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | May | 1565 | –16 | +0 | =1549 | 53% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1484 | +16 | +24 | =1524 | 47% | 2 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 410:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1445 | +17 | +0 | =1462 | 30% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1564 | +18 | +24 | =1606 | 70% | 5 | |
4/3Monday, April 310:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1447 | –8 | –1 | =1438 | 35% | 4 |
LADDodgers | Grove | 1562 | –41 | +24 | =1545 | 65% | 13 | |
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Davies | 1482 | –17 | +0 | =1465 | 35% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1563 | –14 | +24 | =1573 | 65% | 1 | |
4/1Saturday, April 19:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Bumgarner | 1484 | –27 | +0 | =1457 | 30% | 1 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1562 | +19 | +24 | =1605 | 70% | 10 | |
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1482 | +14 | +0 | =1496 | 40% | 2 |
LADDodgers | May | 1563 | –19 | +24 | =1568 | 60% | 1 | |
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1484 | +46 | –2 | =1528 | 39% | 2 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1561 | +19 | +24 | =1604 | 61% | 8 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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