2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Giants have a 5% chance of winning the World Series.
NL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DodgersDodgers40-33 | 3.5 | 85% | 45% | |||
GiantsGiants41-32 | 2.5 | 71% | 26% | |||
DbacksDiamondbacks44-30 | — | 60% | 19% | |||
PadresPadres35-38 | 8.5 | 44% | 10% | |||
RockiesRockies29-47 | 16.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 219:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1537 | +12 | +0 | =1549 | 50% | |
SFGiants | Walker (open) | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 50% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 223:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 48% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 52% | ||
6/23Friday, June 2310:15 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | –2 | =1505 | 43% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 254:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +26 | =1564 | 55% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 287:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 46% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 54% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 14:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | ||
7/3Monday, July 39:45 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 44% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +20 | =1549 | 56% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 44:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 56% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 59:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 56% | ||
7/7Friday, July 710:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –2 | =1437 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +26 | =1555 | 66% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
7/14Friday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +3 | =1532 | 57% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +27 | =1485 | 43% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 57% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 43% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 1612:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 57% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 43% | ||
7/17Monday, July 177:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 54% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 46% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 54% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 46% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 54% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 46% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 2012:35 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 54% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 46% | ||
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 60% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +23 | =1457 | 40% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 60% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 40% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 60% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 40% | ||
7/24Monday, July 241:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 58% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 42% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 259:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +1 | =1411 | 31% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +20 | =1549 | 69% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 269:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 31% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 69% | ||
7/28Friday, July 2810:15 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –2 | =1523 | 45% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +26 | =1555 | 55% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 46% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 54% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 304:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 46% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 54% | ||
7/31Monday, July 319:45 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | –3 | =1504 | 43% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:45 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +1 | =1530 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 63% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 37% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:38 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 47% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 53% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:38 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 48% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 52% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:38 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 48% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 52% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:15 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +1 | =1534 | 47% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 53% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 53% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 53% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:45 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –4 | =1562 | 51% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 49% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 52% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:45 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 52% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 40% | |
ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +26 | =1596 | 60% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:20 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 41% | |
ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +24 | =1594 | 59% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:30 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 41% | |
ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +24 | =1594 | 59% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –3 | =1526 | 47% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +22 | =1547 | 53% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 53% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 53% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 2510:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | –2 | =1568 | 52% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +22 | =1551 | 48% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 52% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 52% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | –3 | =1472 | 39% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 61% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 39% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 61% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 39% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 61% | ||
8/31Thursday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 45% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +20 | =1560 | 55% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 45% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 42:20 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –4 | =1525 | 51% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +22 | =1518 | 49% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 51% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 49% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 62:20 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 51% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 49% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 810:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –1 | =1438 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +22 | =1551 | 66% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 34% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 66% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:45 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –2 | =1517 | 45% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 55% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 45% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 55% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:45 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 45% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 55% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 148:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –3 | =1526 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 173:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 59% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 41% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –1 | =1528 | 49% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +26 | =1533 | 51% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 50% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 50% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 239:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +0 | =1529 | 43% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 57% | ||
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | –2 | =1538 | 48% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +22 | =1551 | 52% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 48% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 52% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 48% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 52% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –3 | =1549 | 49% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +26 | =1555 | 51% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 50% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 50% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 50% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 209:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Lugo | 1538 | –21 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | 3 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1528 | –11 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | 4 | |
6/19Monday, June 199:45 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Wacha | 1540 | +15 | –2 | =1553 | 53% | 4 |
SFGiants | Walker | 1526 | –19 | +22 | =1529 | 47% | 7 | |
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1523 | +27 | +0 | =1550 | 43% | 7 |
LADDodgers | Gonsolin | 1553 | +23 | +24 | =1600 | 57% | 3 | |
6/17Saturday, June 179:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1518 | –11 | +0 | =1507 | 39% | 15 |
LADDodgers | Miller | 1559 | +4 | +24 | =1587 | 61% | 0 | |
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1516 | +2 | –2 | =1516 | 44% | 7 |
LADDodgers | Sheehan | 1560 | –22 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | 5 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1514 | –6 | +0 | =1508 | 46% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1499 | +15 | +24 | =1538 | 54% | 5 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1511 | +12 | +0 | =1523 | 48% | 11 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1502 | +13 | +24 | =1539 | 52% | 3 | |
6/12Monday, June 127:45 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1510 | +28 | –4 | =1534 | 53% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1503 | –16 | +24 | =1511 | 47% | 3 | |
6/11Sunday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1485 | –18 | +0 | =1467 | 41% | 3 |
SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 59% | 13 | |
6/10Saturday, June 107:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1482 | –16 | +0 | =1466 | 40% | 4 |
SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1510 | +1 | +24 | =1535 | 60% | 0 | |
6/9Friday, June 910:15 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1481 | +28 | –2 | =1507 | 47% | 3 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1511 | –7 | +21 | =1525 | 53% | 2 | |
6/8Thursday, June 83:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1510 | +13 | +0 | =1523 | 57% | 6 |
COLRockies | Anderson | 1444 | +4 | +24 | =1472 | 43% | 4 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 78:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1509 | +31 | +0 | =1540 | 63% | 5 |
COLRockies | Seabold | 1444 | –20 | +24 | =1448 | 37% | 4 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 68:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1507 | +1 | –1 | =1507 | 53% | 10 |
COLRockies | Lamet | 1446 | +16 | +23 | =1485 | 47% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1503 | +18 | +0 | =1521 | 49% | 8 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1509 | –3 | +24 | =1530 | 51% | 3 | |
6/3Saturday, June 310:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1505 | +10 | +0 | =1515 | 47% | 0 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1508 | +8 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | 4 | |
6/2Friday, June 210:15 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1504 | +6 | –2 | =1508 | 42% | 3 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1509 | +31 | +26 | =1566 | 58% | 2 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 313:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1469 | +25 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | 9 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1512 | –7 | +24 | =1529 | 55% | 4 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 309:45 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Oviedo | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 39% | 2 |
SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1513 | +2 | +24 | =1539 | 61% | 1 | |
5/29Monday, May 295:05 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Hill | 1470 | +4 | –3 | =1471 | 42% | 4 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1510 | –2 | +20 | =1528 | 58% | 14 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1512 | +13 | +0 | =1525 | 52% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Rea | 1517 | –30 | +24 | =1511 | 48% | 7 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1510 | +25 | +0 | =1535 | 46% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1518 | +18 | +24 | =1560 | 54% | 1 | |
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1505 | –10 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | 15 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1524 | +12 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 1 | |
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Alexander | 1502 | –17 | –2 | =1483 | 46% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Teheran | 1526 | –41 | +24 | =1509 | 54% | 0 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1504 | +2 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +17 | +24 | =1567 | 59% | 7 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1503 | +13 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1527 | +15 | +24 | =1566 | 57% | 3 | |
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1501 | +2 | –4 | =1499 | 42% | 4 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1529 | +6 | +20 | =1555 | 58% | 1 | |
5/21Sunday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1487 | +6 | +0 | =1493 | 47% | 5 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1500 | –7 | +24 | =1517 | 53% | 7 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1486 | –13 | +0 | =1473 | 39% | 1 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1501 | +23 | +24 | =1548 | 61% | 0 | |
5/19Friday, May 1910:15 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1487 | +30 | –4 | =1513 | 48% | 3 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1500 | +2 | +26 | =1528 | 52% | 4 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 173:45 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Walker | 1520 | –15 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 4 |
SFGiants | Stripling | 1499 | +5 | +24 | =1528 | 53% | 7 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 169:45 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1521 | +31 | +0 | =1552 | 52% | 3 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1498 | +16 | +24 | =1538 | 48% | 4 | |
5/15Monday, May 159:45 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Brogdon | 1523 | –32 | –3 | =1488 | 47% | 3 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1496 | –8 | +21 | =1509 | 53% | 6 | |
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1497 | +20 | +0 | =1517 | 56% | 1 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Pfaadt | 1493 | –39 | +24 | =1478 | 44% | 2 | |
5/13Saturday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 40% | 2 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1492 | +58 | +24 | =1574 | 60% | 7 | |
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1500 | +0 | +0 | =1500 | 51% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1490 | –18 | +24 | =1496 | 49% | 7 | |
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1498 | +15 | –3 | =1510 | 52% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1492 | –22 | +24 | =1494 | 48% | 2 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 103:45 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1437 | +8 | +0 | =1445 | 43% | 11 |
SFGiants | Manaea | 1501 | –30 | +24 | =1495 | 57% | 6 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1438 | –14 | +0 | =1424 | 34% | 1 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1500 | +18 | +24 | =1542 | 66% | 4 | |
5/8Monday, May 89:45 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Irvin | 1436 | +4 | –3 | =1437 | 37% | 5 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1503 | +3 | +24 | =1530 | 63% | 1 | |
5/7Sunday, May 74:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1528 | –28 | +0 | =1500 | 45% | 7 |
SFGiants | Stripling | 1505 | +8 | +24 | =1537 | 55% | 3 | |
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Rea | 1529 | –39 | +0 | =1490 | 43% | 1 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1503 | +9 | +24 | =1536 | 57% | 4 | |
5/5Friday, May 510:15 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1531 | +21 | –3 | =1549 | 58% | 4 |
SFGiants | Manaea | 1502 | –31 | +22 | =1493 | 42% | 6 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 32:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1500 | +16 | +0 | =1516 | 38% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1554 | +21 | +24 | =1599 | 62% | 2 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 28:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1498 | –2 | +0 | =1496 | 38% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1556 | +0 | +24 | =1580 | 62% | 0 | |
5/1Monday, May 18:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Stripling | 1500 | +9 | –3 | =1506 | 40% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1554 | +1 | +24 | =1579 | 60% | 7 | |
4/30Sunday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1501 | +13 | +0 | =1514 | 42% | 4 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1539 | +33 | +0 | =1572 | 58% | 6 | |
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Manaea | 1502 | –24 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | 11 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1538 | +15 | –2 | =1551 | 60% | 16 | |
4/27Thursday, April 273:45 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1511 | +6 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | 6 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1505 | +15 | +24 | =1544 | 54% | 0 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1513 | –3 | +0 | =1510 | 48% | 3 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1503 | –3 | +24 | =1524 | 52% | 7 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 259:45 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Woodford | 1514 | –13 | +0 | =1501 | 46% | 4 |
SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 54% | 5 | |
4/24Monday, April 249:45 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1516 | +20 | –3 | =1533 | 50% | 0 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1500 | +7 | +24 | =1531 | 50% | 4 | |
4/23Sunday, April 237 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Megill | 1557 | –18 | +0 | =1539 | 51% | 4 |
SFGiants | Stripling | 1499 | +12 | +24 | =1535 | 49% | 5 | |
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Peterson | 1559 | –20 | +0 | =1539 | 50% | 4 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1497 | +14 | +24 | =1535 | 50% | 7 | |
4/21Friday, April 2110:15 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1556 | –12 | +0 | =1544 | 53% | 7 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1500 | +0 | +24 | =1524 | 47% | 0 | |
4/20Thursday, April 209:45 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Senga | 1554 | –24 | –2 | =1528 | 54% | 9 |
SFGiants | Manaea | 1502 | –20 | +20 | =1502 | 46% | 4 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 191:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1500 | +5 | +0 | =1505 | 51% | 5 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1490 | –15 | +24 | =1499 | 49% | 2 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 186:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1502 | –9 | +0 | =1493 | 48% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1489 | –6 | +24 | =1507 | 52% | 4 | |
4/17Monday, April 176:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1503 | +14 | –1 | =1516 | 49% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1488 | +9 | +24 | =1521 | 51% | 4 | |
4/15Saturday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1504 | –2 | +0 | =1502 | 54% | 6 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1446 | +4 | +24 | =1474 | 46% | 7 | |
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Manaea | 1505 | –20 | –2 | =1483 | 53% | 5 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1444 | –5 | +22 | =1461 | 47% | 7 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1559 | +18 | +0 | =1577 | 56% | 10 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1507 | +7 | +24 | =1538 | 44% | 5 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | May | 1562 | –9 | +0 | =1553 | 55% | 0 |
SFGiants | Wood | 1505 | –13 | +24 | =1516 | 45% | 5 | |
4/10Monday, April 109:45 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Urias | 1559 | +23 | –3 | =1579 | 55% | 9 |
SFGiants | Webb | 1507 | +16 | +24 | =1547 | 45% | 1 | |
4/9Sunday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1448 | –16 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | 1 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1506 | –6 | +24 | =1524 | 63% | 3 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1447 | +27 | +0 | =1474 | 45% | 6 |
SFGiants | Manaea | 1508 | –22 | +24 | =1510 | 55% | 5 | |
4/7Friday, April 74:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1445 | –17 | –4 | =1424 | 34% | 3 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1510 | +8 | +20 | =1538 | 66% | 1 | |
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Wood | 1506 | –10 | +0 | =1496 | 44% | 16 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1501 | +10 | +24 | =1535 | 56% | 6 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1507 | +19 | +2 | =1528 | 46% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1499 | +34 | +26 | =1559 | 54% | 7 | |
4/3Monday, April 33:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1504 | –10 | –3 | =1491 | 46% | 12 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1503 | –8 | +21 | =1516 | 54% | 3 | |
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Stripling | 1506 | +16 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Brito | 1557 | –43 | +24 | =1538 | 52% | 6 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1505 | +8 | +2 | =1515 | 46% | 7 |
NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1558 | –44 | +26 | =1540 | 54% | 5 | |
3/30Thursday, March 301:05 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1507 | +20 | –4 | =1523 | 40% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1556 | +14 | +24 | =1594 | 60% | 5 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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