This page is frozen as of June 21, 2023, and will no longer be updated.

Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Guardians have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins36-3852%50%
GuardiansGuardians34-381.042%41%
White SoxWhite Sox32-434.58%8%
TigersTigers31-414.02%2%
RoyalsRoyals20-5315.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/21Wednesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1404+11+0=141536%
CLECLEGuardians
Williams, Gavin
Williams
151624+24=151664%
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1404+6+0=141032%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154368%
6/23Friday, June 237:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15153+0=151246%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15153+0=151246%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15153+0=151246%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
6/27Tuesday, June 278:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+31=151861%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+23=144339%
6/28Wednesday, June 288:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151961%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+24=144439%
6/29Thursday, June 292:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151961%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+24=144439%
6/30Friday, June 302:20 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+32=151750%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1494+2+24=152050%
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151950%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1494+2+24=152050%
7/2Sunday, July 22:20 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151950%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1494+2+24=152050%
7/3Monday, July 37:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1569+13=156754%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+22=154146%
7/4Tuesday, July 47:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1569+1+0=157054%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154346%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1569+1+0=157054%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154346%
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
142113=141733%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154367%
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142033%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154367%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142033%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154367%
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142033%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154367%
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+4=152344%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+28=156156%
7/15Saturday, July 154:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151944%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+24=155756%
7/16Sunday, July 162:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151944%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+24=155756%
7/17Monday, July 177:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+33=151655%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148245%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151955%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148245%
7/19Wednesday, July 1912:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151955%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148245%
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+12=152347%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154353%
7/22Saturday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152547%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154353%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152547%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154353%
7/24Monday, July 247:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
142112=141833%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154367%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142033%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154367%
7/26Wednesday, July 261:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+0=142033%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154367%
7/27Thursday, July 271:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+32=151751%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150849%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151952%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151952%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151952%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
7/31Monday, July 318:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+33=151642%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157258%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151942%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157258%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 22:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151942%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157258%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+13=148141%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+23=154259%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148442%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154358%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 612:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148442%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154358%
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+03=153549%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154351%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153849%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154351%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153849%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154351%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153849%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154351%
8/11Friday, Aug. 116:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+33=151640%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151940%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151940%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+24=159060%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+31=151853%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1473+2+24=149947%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151953%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1473+2+24=149947%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
145043=144336%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+22=154164%
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+0=144636%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154364%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+0=144636%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154364%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+0=144636%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154364%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+02=155051%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+26=154549%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155251%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154349%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155251%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154349%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+32=151744%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+22=156056%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151944%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156256%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:37 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151944%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156256%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+33=151647%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154153%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151947%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154153%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151947%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+24=154153%
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+01=156553%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+23=154247%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 26:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156653%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154347%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1566+0+0=156653%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154347%
9/4Monday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+13=151446%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151746%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1516+1+0=151746%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
9/7Thursday, Sept. 79:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+34=151546%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+24=154554%
9/8Friday, Sept. 89:38 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151946%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+24=154554%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 99:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151946%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+24=154554%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151946%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+24=154554%
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:45 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+32=151745%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155355%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151945%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155355%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 133:45 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151945%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155355%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153632=153149%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+22=154151%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+0=153349%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154351%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+0=153349%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154351%
9/18Monday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+33=151660%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+24=144440%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151961%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+24=144439%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151961%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
14211+24=144439%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+23=150946%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+21=154054%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151246%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151246%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151246%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154354%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1473+2+0=147540%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+26=154560%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1473+2+0=147540%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+24=154360%
9/29Friday, Sept. 296:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+1=152057%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147043%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 301:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151957%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147043%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1516+3+0=151957%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147043%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
1405102=139330%2
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1516+0+22=153870%3
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
151212+0=150048%12
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
150614+24=151652%3
6/17Saturday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1514+28+0=154255%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
150420+24=150845%6
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
1515292=148438%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1503+40+24=156762%5
6/15Thursday, June 158:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
15149+0=150549%8
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
154153+24=151251%6
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1516+1+0=151742%0
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1539+12+24=157558%5
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
151732=151242%3
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+8+23=156958%6
6/11Sunday, June 1112:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Bielak, Brandon
Bielak
156039+0=152145%0
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1515+20+24=155955%5
6/10Saturday, June 106:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
France, J.P.
France
155927+0=153244%6
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1517+36+24=157756%4
6/9Friday, June 97:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1560+272=158557%9
CLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
15166+24=153443%10
6/8Thursday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Dermody, Matt
Dermody
151418+0=149644%3
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15131+24=153656%10
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
151521+0=149445%2
CLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
15124+24=153255%5
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1514+113=152245%5
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1513+18+23=155455%4
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1512+33+0=154547%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1529+12+24=156553%1
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
15104+0=150641%4
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1530+14+24=156859%2
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15112+0=150943%0
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1529+7+24=156057%1
6/1Thursday, June 17:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
151213=150844%6
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
15283+21=154656%7
5/31Wednesday, May 313:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1510+26+0=153654%12
BALBALOrioles
Akin, Keegan
Akin
150622+24=150846%8
5/30Tuesday, May 307:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15127+0=150546%5
BALBALOrioles
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1504+1+24=152954%8
5/29Monday, May 291:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
1509162=149142%5
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1507+15+24=154658%0
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1515+12+0=152755%3
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
150841+24=149145%4
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1514+6+0=152050%2
CLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
150911+24=152250%1
5/26Friday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151582=150542%3
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1508+26+26=156058%4
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
14824+0=147842%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15112+24=153358%0
5/23Tuesday, May 236:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1481+15+0=149646%4
CLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151316+24=152154%2
5/22Monday, May 226:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
1482212=145947%0
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
151153+22=148053%3
5/21Sunday, May 217 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+26+0=153841%1
NYMNYMMets
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1532+45+24=160159%2
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
151310+2=150538%4
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1531+30+26=158762%5
5/19Friday, May 197:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151413=151046%9
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153014+24=154054%10
5/18Thursday, May 182:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151219+0=149346%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1480+19+24=152354%1
5/17Wednesday, May 178:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
151418+0=149651%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
147810+24=149249%7
5/16Tuesday, May 168:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1517+32+0=154957%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
14752+26=149943%8
5/14Sunday, May 1411:35 a.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1515+8+0=152351%3
CLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
151626+24=151449%4
5/13Saturday, May 136:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15164+0=151246%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15151+24=153854%8
5/12Friday, May 127:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1515+32=151649%5
CLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151619+26=152351%4
5/10Wednesday, May 101:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1455+26+0=148144%5
CLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
151818+24=152456%0
5/9Tuesday, May 96:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1456+1+0=145734%0
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1517+32+24=157366%2
5/8Monday, May 86:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1453102=144138%6
CLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
152020+24=152462%2
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1526+16+0=154251%0
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15197+24=153649%2
5/6Saturday, May 66:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1527+19+0=154653%3
CLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
151719+24=152247%4
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1525+32=152651%2
CLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
151926+24=151749%0
5/3Wednesday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1520+33+0=155354%3
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
155148+24=152746%4
5/2Tuesday, May 27:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
152122+0=149935%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1551+32+24=160765%4
5/1Monday, May 17:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
151972=151043%3
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
155214+21=155957%2
4/30Sunday, April 301:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
152222+0=150044%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1510+8+24=154256%7
4/29Saturday, April 294:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152227+0=149547%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150914+24=151953%8
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1521+321=155252%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1511+0+24=153548%2
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1437+21+0=145842%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
152028+24=151658%4
4/25Tuesday, April 256:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
14343+0=143137%5
CLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
152220+24=152663%1
4/24Monday, April 246:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1431122=141732%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15262+24=154868%0
4/23Sunday, April 231:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1493+7+0=150047%4
CLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
152430+24=151853%7
4/22Saturday, April 228:15 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149210+0=148244%3
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
152627+24=152356%2
4/22Saturday, April 223:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
148919+2=147234%6
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1529+33+28=159066%1
4/19Wednesday, April 191:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15285+0=152356%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1449+8+24=148144%2
4/18Tuesday, April 184:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
152925+0=150454%0
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1448+6+24=147846%1
4/18Tuesday, April 181:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
153055+0=147551%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
14475+29=147149%4
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1532+37+0=156969%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
142920+24=143331%7
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153027+0=150358%6
WSHWSHNationals
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14302+24=145242%4
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15305+0=152559%4
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1431+10+22=146341%3
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156350+0=151349%4
CLECLEGuardians
Battenfield, Peyton
Battenfield
153131+24=152451%3
4/11Tuesday, April 116:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1560+20+0=158060%11
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
153347+24=151040%2
4/10Monday, April 106:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1561162=154343%2
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1532+35+24=159157%3
4/9Sunday, April 91:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
15152+0=151348%6
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153132+24=152352%7
4/8Saturday, April 86:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151425+0=148941%3
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15325+24=155159%2
4/7Friday, April 74:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1512+92=151946%5
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
15347+22=154954%3
4/5Wednesday, April 53:37 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
153356+0=147752%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Muller, Kyle
Muller
1436+5+24=146548%4
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1534+36+0=157066%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
14343+24=145534%4
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1533243=150654%12
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1435+21+24=148046%11
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15322+0=153052%6
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151423+24=151548%5
4/1Saturday, April 19:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
153113+0=151846%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1515+6+24=154554%0
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
152859+0=146940%9
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
15181+24=154160%4
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1529+334=155848%0
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1516+28+24=156852%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.