2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Mariners have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RangersRangers44-28 | — | 74% | 49% | |||
AstrosAstros40-34 | 5.0 | 60% | 32% | |||
AngelsAngels41-34 | 4.5 | 39% | 15% | |||
MarinersMariners35-36 | 8.5 | 14% | 4% | |||
AthleticsAthletics19-55 | 26.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 217:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1512 | +27 | +0 | =1539 | 50% | |
NYYYankees | Brito | 1555 | –41 | +24 | =1538 | 50% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 227:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 41% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 59% | ||
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –2 | =1511 | 46% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +23 | =1535 | 54% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 47% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 53% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 47% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 53% | ||
6/26Monday, June 269:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | –3 | =1431 | 36% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +20 | =1533 | 64% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 64% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 284:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 64% | ||
6/30Friday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –3 | =1563 | 53% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +26 | =1539 | 47% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 46% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 46% | ||
7/3Monday, July 39:45 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 44% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +20 | =1549 | 56% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 44:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 56% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 59:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 56% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –4 | =1509 | 41% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 87:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
7/14Friday, July 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +3 | =1449 | 37% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +27 | =1540 | 63% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 159:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 63% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 63% | ||
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 199:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 203:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/21Friday, July 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –4 | =1534 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 234:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
7/24Monday, July 247:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 257:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 261:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/28Friday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –1 | =1512 | 47% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +26 | =1533 | 53% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 47% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 53% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 47% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 53% | ||
7/31Monday, July 319:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –3 | =1522 | 48% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +21 | =1534 | 52% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 48% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 48% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 45% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +20 | =1541 | 55% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 49:38 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 45% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 55% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 59:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 45% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 55% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 45% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 55% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | –3 | =1537 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +23 | =1536 | 50% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | –4 | =1508 | 46% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +26 | =1539 | 54% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 54% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 54% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –4 | =1509 | 59% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +26 | =1446 | 41% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 172:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 41% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +23 | =1571 | 59% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 42% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 58% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 218:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +21 | =1505 | 49% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 232:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 34% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +22 | =1535 | 66% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 34% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 66% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 34% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 66% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –4 | =1406 | 32% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 68% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 33% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 67% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 304:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 33% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 67% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –2 | =1511 | 44% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +26 | =1554 | 56% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 56% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 56% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 52% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 48% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 52% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 48% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 52% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 48% | ||
9/7Thursday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 119:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –3 | =1518 | 48% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +20 | =1533 | 52% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 48% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 134:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 48% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +26 | =1539 | 48% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 203:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 61% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 39% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –2 | =1511 | 43% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +26 | =1559 | 57% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –4 | =1544 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +20 | =1533 | 48% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 48% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –3 | =1530 | 49% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 51% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 207:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1513 | +10 | –2 | =1521 | 38% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1554 | +25 | +24 | =1603 | 62% | 3 | |
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1485 | –16 | +0 | =1469 | 44% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Miller | 1511 | –22 | +24 | =1513 | 56% | 5 | |
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1484 | +8 | +0 | =1492 | 42% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1513 | +12 | +24 | =1549 | 58% | 3 | |
6/16Friday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1485 | +6 | –3 | =1488 | 47% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Woo | 1512 | –28 | +26 | =1510 | 53% | 3 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Perez | 1493 | –12 | +0 | =1481 | 38% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1514 | +29 | +24 | =1567 | 62% | 1 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1495 | –2 | +0 | =1493 | 43% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1512 | +7 | +24 | =1543 | 57% | 9 | |
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1498 | +4 | –4 | =1498 | 49% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Miller | 1509 | –27 | +21 | =1503 | 51% | 8 | |
6/11Sunday, June 114:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1511 | –17 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Canning | 1514 | –10 | +24 | =1528 | 55% | 9 | |
6/10Saturday, June 1010:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Woo | 1509 | –32 | +0 | =1477 | 41% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1516 | +0 | +24 | =1540 | 59% | 2 | |
6/9Friday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1510 | +32 | +1 | =1543 | 45% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1515 | +38 | +24 | =1577 | 55% | 5 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 74:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1512 | +12 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | 3 |
SDPadres | Wacha | 1535 | +10 | +24 | =1569 | 56% | 10 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 69:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1510 | +8 | –1 | =1517 | 42% | 4 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1537 | +9 | +24 | =1570 | 58% | 1 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1512 | –6 | +0 | =1506 | 40% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1535 | +14 | +24 | =1573 | 60% | 12 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Woo | 1515 | –29 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1533 | –18 | +24 | =1539 | 58% | 16 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1516 | +26 | –2 | =1540 | 48% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1531 | –1 | +23 | =1553 | 52% | 2 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1564 | –33 | +0 | =1531 | 48% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | +6 | +24 | =1545 | 52% | 1 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 309:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1561 | +4 | +0 | =1565 | 51% | 10 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1518 | +14 | +24 | =1556 | 49% | 2 | |
5/29Monday, May 299:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1559 | +2 | –4 | =1557 | 51% | 10 |
SEAMariners | Miller | 1520 | +8 | +24 | =1552 | 49% | 4 | |
5/28Sunday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1472 | –14 | +0 | =1458 | 43% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1519 | –33 | +24 | =1510 | 57% | 6 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Velasquez | 1473 | –7 | +0 | =1466 | 37% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1518 | +21 | +24 | =1563 | 63% | 5 | |
5/26Friday, May 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1470 | +26 | –2 | =1494 | 41% | 11 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1520 | +12 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | 6 | |
5/25Thursday, May 259:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1398 | +17 | +0 | =1415 | 31% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1520 | +10 | +24 | =1554 | 69% | 3 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1400 | –6 | +0 | =1394 | 29% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Miller | 1519 | +3 | +24 | =1546 | 71% | 6 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Medina | 1400 | +7 | +0 | =1407 | 36% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1518 | –35 | +24 | =1507 | 64% | 3 | |
5/22Monday, May 229:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1402 | –9 | –4 | =1389 | 28% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1517 | +19 | +20 | =1556 | 72% | 11 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1518 | +14 | +0 | =1532 | 47% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Shuster | 1565 | –39 | +24 | =1550 | 53% | 3 | |
5/20Saturday, May 207:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1515 | +10 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | 7 |
ATLBraves | Chavez | 1567 | –34 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | 3 | |
5/19Friday, May 197:20 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1517 | +1 | –1 | =1517 | 40% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Elder | 1565 | +1 | +23 | =1589 | 60% | 6 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1520 | –26 | +0 | =1494 | 45% | 3 |
BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1517 | –10 | +24 | =1531 | 55% | 12 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1522 | +24 | +0 | =1546 | 52% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1514 | –9 | +24 | =1529 | 48% | 9 | |
5/15Monday, May 157:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1518 | +10 | –3 | =1525 | 45% | 10 |
BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1518 | +16 | +24 | =1558 | 55% | 1 | |
5/14Sunday, May 141:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1520 | +8 | +0 | =1528 | 59% | 3 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1453 | –9 | +24 | =1468 | 41% | 5 | |
5/13Saturday, May 131:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1518 | –10 | +0 | =1508 | 59% | 5 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1455 | –31 | +24 | =1448 | 41% | 0 | |
5/12Friday, May 126:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1516 | –27 | –2 | =1487 | 52% | 9 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1458 | –11 | +25 | =1472 | 48% | 2 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 103:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1519 | –16 | +0 | =1503 | 41% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1517 | +28 | +24 | =1569 | 59% | 3 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1521 | –21 | +0 | =1500 | 43% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | +7 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | 5 | |
5/8Monday, May 89:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1519 | –13 | –3 | =1503 | 44% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1516 | +7 | +24 | =1547 | 56% | 1 | |
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Bielak | 1552 | –49 | +0 | =1503 | 47% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Miller | 1515 | –16 | +24 | =1523 | 53% | 3 | |
5/6Saturday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | France | 1553 | –32 | +0 | =1521 | 51% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –25 | +24 | =1513 | 49% | 7 | |
5/5Friday, May 510:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1552 | +26 | –2 | =1576 | 51% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1515 | +32 | +21 | =1568 | 49% | 4 | |
5/4Thursday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1514 | +10 | +0 | =1524 | 63% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Rucinski | 1409 | –1 | +24 | =1432 | 37% | 3 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1512 | +6 | +0 | =1518 | 61% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1410 | +7 | +24 | =1441 | 39% | 2 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1512 | –25 | –2 | =1485 | 55% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Miller | 1411 | +12 | +26 | =1449 | 45% | 1 | |
4/30Sunday, April 301:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1510 | –19 | +0 | =1491 | 39% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1549 | +0 | +24 | =1573 | 61% | 8 | |
4/29Saturday, April 293:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | McGee | 1510 | –26 | +0 | =1484 | 35% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1548 | +18 | +24 | =1590 | 65% | 1 | |
4/28Friday, April 287:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1511 | +35 | –2 | =1544 | 43% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1547 | +20 | +26 | =1593 | 57% | 3 | |
4/27Thursday, April 271:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1512 | +6 | +0 | =1518 | 49% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Strahm | 1523 | –22 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 1 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1513 | +9 | +0 | =1522 | 48% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Walker | 1522 | –10 | +24 | =1536 | 52% | 6 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1512 | –18 | –2 | =1492 | 45% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Falter | 1523 | –21 | +26 | =1528 | 55% | 3 | |
4/23Sunday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1514 | +13 | +0 | =1527 | 52% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1514 | –27 | +24 | =1511 | 48% | 3 | |
4/22Saturday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1515 | +8 | +0 | =1523 | 43% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1513 | +37 | +24 | =1574 | 57% | 5 | |
4/21Friday, April 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Matz | 1516 | –3 | –2 | =1511 | 46% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1511 | +1 | +26 | =1538 | 54% | 5 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 194:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1542 | –15 | +0 | =1527 | 52% | 5 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1513 | –23 | +24 | =1514 | 48% | 3 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Rea | 1541 | –41 | +0 | =1500 | 43% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1514 | +10 | +24 | =1548 | 57% | 5 | |
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1540 | +21 | –3 | =1558 | 56% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1515 | –27 | +24 | =1512 | 44% | 3 | |
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Davis | 1439 | –12 | +0 | =1427 | 30% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1515 | +35 | +24 | =1574 | 70% | 1 | |
4/15Saturday, April 159:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Feltner | 1441 | –8 | +0 | =1433 | 35% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1513 | +2 | +24 | =1539 | 65% | 9 | |
4/14Friday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1442 | –3 | –1 | =1438 | 42% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Milone | 1512 | –40 | +22 | =1494 | 58% | 5 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 122:20 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1510 | +8 | +0 | =1518 | 48% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1490 | +21 | +24 | =1535 | 52% | 2 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 117:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1513 | –16 | +0 | =1497 | 49% | 9 |
CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1488 | –11 | +24 | =1501 | 51% | 14 | |
4/10Monday, April 107:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1514 | +34 | –2 | =1546 | 57% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Smyly | 1486 | –11 | +24 | =1499 | 43% | 3 | |
4/9Sunday, April 91:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | –2 | +0 | =1513 | 48% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1531 | –32 | +24 | =1523 | 52% | 7 | |
4/8Saturday, April 86:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –25 | +0 | =1489 | 41% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1532 | –5 | +24 | =1551 | 59% | 2 | |
4/7Friday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1512 | +9 | –2 | =1519 | 46% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Civale | 1534 | –7 | +22 | =1549 | 54% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 54:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1518 | +40 | +0 | =1558 | 55% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1513 | –16 | +24 | =1521 | 45% | 3 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 49:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1521 | –17 | +0 | =1504 | 41% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1511 | +34 | +24 | =1569 | 59% | 11 | |
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1519 | –9 | –3 | =1507 | 45% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 55% | 3 | |
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1532 | –2 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1514 | –23 | +24 | =1515 | 48% | 5 | |
4/1Saturday, April 19:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1531 | –13 | +0 | =1518 | 46% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1515 | +6 | +24 | =1545 | 54% | 0 | |
3/31Friday, March 3110:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1528 | –59 | +0 | =1469 | 40% | 9 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1518 | –1 | +24 | =1541 | 60% | 4 | |
3/30Thursday, March 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1529 | +33 | –4 | =1558 | 48% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1516 | +28 | +24 | =1568 | 52% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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