Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Braves Braves47-26	—	99%	90%
Phillies Phillies38-35	9.0	50%	5%
Marlins Marlins42-32	5.5	48%	4%
Mets Mets33-39	13.5	24%	1%
Nationals Nationals27-44	19.0	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/14Sunday, May 144:35 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1525	+32	+0	=1557	63%
5/14Sunday, May 144:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Irvin	1433	–2	+24	=1455	37%
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1525	–19	+0	=1506	37%
6/21Wednesday, June 212:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1548	+25	+24	=1597	63%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–1	=1527	47%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	47%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	47%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
6/26Monday, June 267:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	–2	=1510	44%
6/26Monday, June 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+23	=1551	56%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	44%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	44%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
6/29Thursday, June 297:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1515	–3	+0	=1512	44%
6/29Thursday, June 297:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1529	+0	–2	=1527	46%
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	54%
7/1Saturday, July 14:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	47%
7/1Saturday, July 14:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	53%
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1529	+0	+0	=1529	47%
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	53%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–2	=1526	49%
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	51%
7/5Wednesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
7/5Wednesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	50%
7/6Thursday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
7/6Thursday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	50%
7/7Friday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–2	=1526	44%
7/7Friday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+26	=1566	56%
7/8Saturday, July 810:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	45%
7/8Saturday, July 810:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	55%
7/9Sunday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	45%
7/9Sunday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	55%
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+3	=1555	50%
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+27	=1555	50%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+0	=1552	50%
7/15Saturday, July 157:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	50%
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+0	=1552	50%
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	50%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	–1	=1483	40%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+26	=1554	60%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+0	=1484	40%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	60%
7/20Thursday, July 201:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+0	=1484	40%
7/20Thursday, July 201:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	60%
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–2	=1526	47%
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+22	=1547	53%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	47%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
7/23Sunday, July 23	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	47%
7/23Sunday, July 23	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+3	=1531	43%
7/25Tuesday, July 257:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+26	=1579	57%
7/26Wednesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	43%
7/26Wednesday, July 267:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	57%
7/27Thursday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	–2	=1432	34%
7/27Thursday, July 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+23	=1551	66%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/28Friday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	66%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	66%
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	34%
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	66%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–1	=1527	61%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+26	=1446	39%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	62%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+24	=1444	38%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	62%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1421	–1	+24	=1444	38%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–3	=1525	49%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+22	=1534	51%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	49%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	51%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	49%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	51%
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	–3	=1493	42%
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+22	=1550	58%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	42%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	58%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1494	+2	+0	=1496	42%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	58%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	–2	=1568	52%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+26	=1554	48%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	53%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 121:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	47%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	53%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	47%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+0	=1570	53%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	47%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	–2	=1456	36%
8/14Monday, Aug. 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	64%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	37%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	63%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 161:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	37%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 161:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	63%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–3	=1525	50%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+24	=1527	50%
8/21Monday, Aug. 217:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–2	=1526	40%
8/21Monday, Aug. 217:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	60%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	41%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	59%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	41%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1569	+1	+24	=1594	59%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	–2	=1519	45%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+23	=1551	55%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+0	=1521	46%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	54%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 2712:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+0	=1521	46%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 2712:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	54%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	–3	=1530	47%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	53%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+0	=1533	47%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	53%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1536	–3	+0	=1533	47%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	53%
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	–2	=1511	44%
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+26	=1554	56%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+0	=1513	44%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+0	=1513	44%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 31:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	60%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+26	=1460	40%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	60%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	40%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–1	=1527	48%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+23	=1540	52%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	48%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	52%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	48%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	52%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	–3	=1504	44%
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+21	=1549	56%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+0	=1507	44%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+0	=1507	44%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+0	=1507	44%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	56%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	–2	=1473	39%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	61%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	39%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	61%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	39%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	61%
9/18Monday, Sept. 186:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–3	=1525	50%
9/18Monday, Sept. 186:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	50%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	50%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	50%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+24	=1527	50%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–3	=1525	47%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+21	=1546	53%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	47%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	47%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	47%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	–1	=1502	43%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+25	=1553	57%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	43%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	57%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	43%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	57%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	–1	=1524	46%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	54%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	46%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	54%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	46%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+24	=1552	54%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1526	+38	+0	=1564	44%	2
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1547	+32	+24	=1603	56%	4
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1522	+29	–3	=1548	46%	11
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Brown	1551	+0	+24	=1575	54%	1
6/18Sunday, June 181:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Liberatore	1497	–11	+0	=1486	43%	8
6/18Sunday, June 181:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1523	–13	+24	=1534	57%	7
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1495	+1	+0	=1496	42%	5
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1525	+4	+24	=1553	58%	3
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1497	+19	–1	=1515	49%	1
6/16Friday, June 167:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1523	–23	+26	=1526	51%	6
6/14Wednesday, June 147 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1563	+21	+0	=1584	50%	3
6/14Wednesday, June 147 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1522	+37	+24	=1583	50%	4
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1562	+1	+1	=1564	47%	7
6/13Tuesday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1523	+36	+24	=1583	53%	6
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1524	–12	+0	=1512	50%	1
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1470	+18	+24	=1512	50%	2
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1522	–3	+0	=1519	54%	5
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1472	–1	+24	=1495	46%	1
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1525	–17	–2	=1506	50%	7
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Hill	1469	+7	+26	=1502	50%	14
6/8Thursday, June 87:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1526	+41	+0	=1567	43%	10
6/8Thursday, June 87:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1562	+29	+24	=1615	57%	13
6/7Wednesday, June 77:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1528	+37	+0	=1565	47%	5
6/7Wednesday, June 77:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1561	–2	+24	=1583	53%	7
6/6Tuesday, June 67:20 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1529	–13	–1	=1515	40%	4
6/6Tuesday, June 67:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1560	+6	+22	=1588	60%	6
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1546	–33	+0	=1513	44%	6
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1530	+2	+24	=1556	56%	4
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1545	–4	+0	=1541	51%	2
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1531	–22	+24	=1533	49%	1
6/2Friday, June 27:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Bassitt	1543	+6	–2	=1547	43%	3
6/2Friday, June 27:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1533	+40	+24	=1597	57%	0
6/1Thursday, June 11:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Walker	1513	–15	+0	=1498	37%	2
6/1Thursday, June 11:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1532	+34	+24	=1590	63%	4
5/31Wednesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1515	+18	+0	=1533	49%	1
5/31Wednesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1531	–15	+24	=1540	51%	4
5/30Tuesday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1516	–4	–1	=1511	45%	0
5/30Tuesday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1529	–9	+22	=1542	55%	2
5/28Sunday, May 283:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1531	–16	+0	=1515	56%	10
5/28Sunday, May 283:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1448	–2	+24	=1470	44%	11
5/27Saturday, May 279:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1533	+46	+0	=1579	65%	7
5/27Saturday, May 279:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Anderson	1446	–2	+24	=1468	35%	10
5/26Friday, May 268:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1532	+32	–3	=1561	67%	5
5/26Friday, May 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Seabold	1447	–35	+24	=1436	33%	2
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1529	–17	+0	=1512	52%	10
5/25Thursday, May 257:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1494	–16	+24	=1502	48%	1
5/24Wednesday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1530	–7	+0	=1523	49%	2
5/24Wednesday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1492	+15	+24	=1531	51%	4
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1532	–11	–1	=1520	50%	2
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1490	+10	+23	=1523	50%	7
5/21Sunday, May 217 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1512	+26	+0	=1538	41%	1
5/21Sunday, May 217 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1532	+45	+24	=1601	59%	2
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bibee	1513	–10	+2	=1505	38%	4
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1531	+30	+26	=1587	62%	5
5/19Friday, May 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1514	–1	–3	=1510	46%	9
5/19Friday, May 197:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1530	–14	+24	=1540	54%	10
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Bradley	1563	–25	+0	=1538	50%	2
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1529	–12	+24	=1541	50%	3
5/17Wednesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Fleming	1564	–59	+0	=1505	45%	7
5/17Wednesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1528	–15	+24	=1537	55%	8
5/16Tuesday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Beeks	1562	–54	+1	=1509	36%	8
5/16Tuesday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1530	+53	+22	=1605	64%	5
5/15Monday, May 154:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1534	–18	+0	=1516	59%	3
5/15Monday, May 154:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1440	–15	+24	=1449	41%	10
5/13Saturday, May 134:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1535	–8	+0	=1527	58%	2
5/13Saturday, May 134:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1439	+5	+24	=1468	42%	3
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1534	–14	–2	=1518	56%	3
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1440	+11	+22	=1473	44%	2
5/11Thursday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1537	–15	+0	=1522	58%	0
5/11Thursday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Law	1449	–8	+24	=1465	42%	5
5/10Wednesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1536	+49	+0	=1585	62%	2
5/10Wednesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1450	+27	+24	=1501	38%	1
5/9Tuesday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1537	–16	–1	=1520	58%	6
5/9Tuesday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Weaver	1449	–7	+26	=1468	42%	7
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1442	+1	+0	=1443	34%	13
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1541	–6	+24	=1559	66%	6
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1439	–7	+0	=1432	33%	5
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1544	–14	+24	=1554	67%	2
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1440	+4	–4	=1440	36%	0
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1543	–21	+22	=1544	64%	1
5/4Thursday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Verlander	1545	+52	+0	=1597	64%	0
5/4Thursday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1450	+20	+24	=1494	36%	2
5/3Wednesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1548	+35	+0	=1583	66%	1
5/3Wednesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Lorenzen	1447	–2	+24	=1469	34%	8
5/3Wednesday, May 31:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1550	–4	+0	=1546	61%	5
5/3Wednesday, May 31:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1445	–3	+29	=1471	39%	6
5/1Monday, May 14:45 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1564	–6	+0	=1558	51%	3
5/1Monday, May 14:45 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1548	–17	+24	=1555	49%	5
5/1Monday, May 11:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1564	+30	+5	=1599	56%	9
5/1Monday, May 11:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Reyes	1549	–18	+29	=1560	44%	8
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1562	+23	–3	=1582	54%	4
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1551	–21	+24	=1554	46%	0
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Williams	1437	+11	+0	=1448	33%	8
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1550	–4	+24	=1570	67%	9
4/26Wednesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1435	+11	+0	=1446	36%	4
4/26Wednesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1553	–27	+24	=1550	64%	1
4/25Tuesday, April 257:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1432	+2	–1	=1433	34%	5
4/25Tuesday, April 257:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Butto	1556	–32	+22	=1546	66%	0
4/23Sunday, April 237 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1557	–18	+0	=1539	51%	4
4/23Sunday, April 237 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Stripling	1499	+12	+24	=1535	49%	5
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1559	–20	+0	=1539	50%	4
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1497	+14	+24	=1535	50%	7
4/21Friday, April 2110:15 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Lucchesi	1556	–12	+0	=1544	53%	7
4/21Friday, April 2110:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1500	+0	+24	=1524	47%	0
4/20Thursday, April 209:45 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1554	–24	–2	=1528	54%	9
4/20Thursday, April 209:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Manaea	1502	–20	+20	=1502	46%	4
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1553	+30	+0	=1583	52%	5
4/19Wednesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Syndergaard	1557	–15	+24	=1566	48%	3
4/18Tuesday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1555	–16	+0	=1539	42%	0
4/18Tuesday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1556	+18	+24	=1598	58%	5
4/17Monday, April 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1553	–18	–2	=1533	44%	8
4/17Monday, April 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1557	–8	+24	=1573	56%	6
4/16Sunday, April 164:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Butto	1552	–36	+0	=1516	59%	4
4/16Sunday, April 164:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1425	+2	+24	=1451	41%	3
4/15Saturday, April 154:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1551	–26	+0	=1525	62%	3
4/15Saturday, April 154:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Fujinami	1425	–7	+24	=1442	38%	2
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1549	–19	–2	=1528	59%	17
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1428	+16	+20	=1464	41%	6
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1548	+7	+0	=1555	50%	2
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1547	–19	+24	=1552	50%	5
4/11Tuesday, April 117:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Weathers	1546	–57	+0	=1489	41%	4
4/11Tuesday, April 117:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1549	–21	+24	=1552	59%	2
4/10Monday, April 107:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1548	+25	–3	=1570	46%	0
4/10Monday, April 107:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1547	+26	+24	=1597	54%	5
4/9Sunday, April 91:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Garrett	1485	–14	+0	=1471	39%	7
4/9Sunday, April 91:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1549	–22	+24	=1551	61%	2
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1486	–20	+0	=1466	38%	2
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1548	–23	+24	=1549	62%	5
4/7Friday, April 71:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1488	–7	–1	=1480	40%	3
4/7Friday, April 71:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1546	–22	+23	=1547	60%	9
4/5Wednesday, April 51:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1547	–18	+0	=1529	43%	6
4/5Wednesday, April 51:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1535	+21	+24	=1580	57%	7
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1551	+31	+0	=1582	58%	0
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Miley	1531	–31	+24	=1524	42%	9
4/3Monday, April 32:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1554	–21	–3	=1530	46%	0
4/3Monday, April 32:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1528	+10	+23	=1561	54%	10
4/2Sunday, April 21:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Senga	1552	–31	+0	=1521	54%	5
4/2Sunday, April 21:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1490	–19	+24	=1495	46%	1
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1550	–25	+0	=1525	52%	6
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Cabrera	1492	–6	+24	=1510	48%	2
3/31Friday, March 316:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1552	–20	+0	=1532	52%	1
3/31Friday, March 316:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1491	+2	+24	=1517	48%	2
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Scherzer	1550	+31	–3	=1578	53%	5
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1492	+40	+24	=1556	47%	3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.