Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Orioles have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Rays Rays51-25	—	98%	75%
Yankees Yankees40-33	9.5	68%	10%
Orioles Orioles45-27	4.0	58%	8%
Blue Jays Blue Jays40-35	10.5	50%	5%
Red Sox Red Sox39-34	10.5	35%	2%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1510	+19	+0	=1529	44%
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Bradley	1566	–21	+24	=1569	56%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	–2	=1511	46%
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+23	=1535	54%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+0	=1513	47%
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	53%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+0	=1513	47%
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	53%
6/26Monday, June 267:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	–2	=1473	41%
6/26Monday, June 267:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	59%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	41%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	59%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1473	+2	+0	=1475	41%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	59%
6/30Friday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	–1	=1516	47%
6/30Friday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+26	=1538	53%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	47%
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	53%
7/2Sunday, July 212:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+0	=1517	47%
7/2Sunday, July 212:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	53%
7/3Monday, July 37:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–2	=1510	41%
7/3Monday, July 37:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+21	=1574	59%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
7/4Tuesday, July 41:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
7/6Thursday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
7/6Thursday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+24	=1577	59%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–3	=1509	45%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+26	=1543	55%
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	46%
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	54%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	46%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1516	+1	+24	=1541	54%
7/14Friday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+4	=1507	45%
7/14Friday, July 147:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+28	=1540	55%
7/15Saturday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	45%
7/15Saturday, July 157:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	55%
7/16Sunday, July 161:35 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1502	+1	+0	=1503	45%
7/16Sunday, July 161:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	55%
7/17Monday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	–2	=1550	52%
7/17Monday, July 177:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+0	=1552	52%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
7/19Wednesday, July 191:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1552	+0	+0	=1552	52%
7/19Wednesday, July 191:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
7/20Thursday, July 206:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–3	=1509	39%
7/20Thursday, July 206:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+21	=1587	61%
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	39%
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	61%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	39%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	61%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	39%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+24	=1590	61%
7/24Monday, July 246:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–3	=1509	45%
7/24Monday, July 246:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+22	=1547	55%
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	45%
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	55%
7/26Wednesday, July 266:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	45%
7/26Wednesday, July 266:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	55%
7/28Friday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	52%
7/28Friday, July 287:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+25	=1537	48%
7/29Saturday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	52%
7/29Saturday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
7/30Sunday, July 301:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1555	–2	+0	=1553	52%
7/30Sunday, July 301:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
7/31Monday, July 317:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–2	=1510	43%
7/31Monday, July 317:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	57%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	43%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	57%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	43%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	57%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	43%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 33:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+24	=1562	57%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	–3	=1525	49%
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+22	=1534	51%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	49%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	51%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1525	+3	+0	=1528	49%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	51%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	51%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+26	=1538	49%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	52%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+0	=1548	52%
8/10Thursday, Aug. 1012:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	48%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–4	=1508	46%
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+26	=1539	54%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	46%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+24	=1537	54%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	46%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1512	+1	+24	=1537	54%
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–3	=1509	42%
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+22	=1562	58%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	43%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	57%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	43%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1537	+3	+24	=1564	57%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	61%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+22	=1432	39%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	61%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+24	=1434	39%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	61%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1404	+6	+24	=1434	39%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+0	=1538	51%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+22	=1534	49%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+0	=1538	50%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	50%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1538	+0	+0	=1538	50%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	50%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	–3	=1436	36%
8/25Friday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	64%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	36%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	64%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1436	+3	+0	=1439	36%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	64%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	–3	=1481	42%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	58%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+0	=1484	42%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	58%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1483	+1	+0	=1484	42%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	58%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–2	=1510	47%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	53%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	47%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	53%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	47%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1505	+2	+24	=1531	53%
9/4Monday, Sept. 49:38 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–2	=1510	45%
9/4Monday, Sept. 49:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+22	=1543	55%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	45%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+24	=1545	55%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	45%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1519	+2	+24	=1545	55%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–2	=1510	45%
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+23	=1548	55%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	45%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	55%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	45%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+24	=1549	55%
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	–2	=1501	45%
9/11Monday, Sept. 116:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+22	=1534	55%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	55%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1501	+2	+0	=1503	45%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	55%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	–3	=1563	54%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	46%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	54%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	46%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	54%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	46%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1566	+0	+0	=1566	54%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	46%
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–3	=1509	41%
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+21	=1569	59%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+24	=1572	59%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	41%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1548	+0	+24	=1572	59%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	–3	=1509	46%
9/21Thursday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1516	+3	+21	=1540	54%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	46%
9/22Friday, Sept. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1516	+3	+24	=1543	54%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	46%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 236:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1516	+3	+24	=1543	54%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+0	=1512	46%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1516	+3	+24	=1543	54%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+1	=1435	36%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	64%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	36%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	64%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 286:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	–2	=1523	48%
9/28Thursday, Sept. 286:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	52%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	48%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	52%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	48%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	52%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1524	+1	+0	=1525	48%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1510	+2	+24	=1536	52%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1508	+10	–1	=1517	38%	8
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Glasnow	1568	+16	+22	=1606	62%	6
6/18Sunday, June 181:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1507	+2	+0	=1509	51%	6
6/18Sunday, June 181:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Taillon	1491	–12	+24	=1503	49%	3
6/17Saturday, June 172:20 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1508	+0	+0	=1508	47%	2
6/17Saturday, June 172:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1490	+13	+24	=1527	53%	3
6/16Friday, June 162:20 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Irvin	1510	–9	–3	=1498	49%	3
6/16Friday, June 162:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1488	–8	+24	=1504	51%	10
6/15Thursday, June 151:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1544	–28	+0	=1516	45%	2
6/15Thursday, June 151:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1509	+18	+24	=1551	55%	4
6/14Wednesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1543	+1	+0	=1544	50%	3
6/14Wednesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1511	+8	+24	=1543	50%	1
6/13Tuesday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Bassitt	1545	+16	+0	=1561	54%	6
6/13Tuesday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1508	+1	+26	=1535	46%	11
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez (open)	1427	+0	+0	=1427	35%	3
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1506	+1	+24	=1531	65%	11
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1429	+10	+0	=1439	39%	1
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Irvin	1505	–10	+24	=1519	61%	6
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1429	–11	–1	=1417	33%	2
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1504	+19	+21	=1544	67%	3
6/8Thursday, June 82:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1502	+9	+0	=1511	49%	6
6/8Thursday, June 82:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Rea	1523	–30	+24	=1517	51%	3
6/7Wednesday, June 77:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1505	+7	+0	=1512	42%	2
6/7Wednesday, June 77:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1521	+21	+24	=1566	58%	10
6/6Tuesday, June 67:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1506	+0	–2	=1504	45%	3
6/6Tuesday, June 67:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1520	+1	+22	=1543	55%	4
6/4Sunday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1503	+18	+0	=1521	49%	8
6/4Sunday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	DeSclafani	1509	–3	+24	=1530	51%	3
6/3Saturday, June 310:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1505	+10	+0	=1515	47%	0
6/3Saturday, June 310:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1508	+8	+24	=1540	53%	4
6/2Friday, June 210:15 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1504	+6	–2	=1508	42%	3
6/2Friday, June 210:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1509	+31	+26	=1566	58%	2
5/31Wednesday, May 313:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1510	+26	+0	=1536	54%	12
5/31Wednesday, May 313:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Akin	1506	–22	+24	=1508	46%	8
5/30Tuesday, May 307:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1512	–7	+0	=1505	46%	5
5/30Tuesday, May 307:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1504	+1	+24	=1529	54%	8
5/29Monday, May 291:05 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Allen	1509	–16	–2	=1491	42%	5
5/29Monday, May 291:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1507	+15	+24	=1546	58%	0
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bradford	1530	–46	+0	=1484	42%	2
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1506	+8	+24	=1538	58%	3
5/27Saturday, May 274:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1529	–21	+0	=1508	46%	5
5/27Saturday, May 274:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1507	+7	+24	=1538	54%	3
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1526	–6	+0	=1520	51%	12
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1511	–22	+22	=1511	49%	2
5/25Thursday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1509	–3	+0	=1506	44%	3
5/25Thursday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1560	–37	+24	=1547	56%	1
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1507	+19	+0	=1526	41%	9
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1562	+5	+24	=1591	59%	6
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1508	+10	+0	=1518	37%	5
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1562	+27	+23	=1612	63%	6
5/21Sunday, May 211:37 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1505	+5	+0	=1510	39%	8
5/21Sunday, May 211:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1541	+21	+24	=1586	61%	3
5/20Saturday, May 203:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1504	–27	+0	=1477	37%	6
5/20Saturday, May 203:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1543	+3	+24	=1570	63%	5
5/19Friday, May 197:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1501	–7	–2	=1492	43%	6
5/19Friday, May 197:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1545	–30	+24	=1539	57%	2
5/18Thursday, May 1812:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Anderson	1512	+3	+0	=1515	45%	6
5/18Thursday, May 1812:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1503	+21	+24	=1548	55%	5
5/17Wednesday, May 176:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Canning	1514	–20	+0	=1494	44%	1
5/17Wednesday, May 176:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1501	+8	+24	=1533	56%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 166:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1515	–35	+0	=1480	43%	3
5/16Tuesday, May 166:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1500	+6	+24	=1530	57%	7
5/15Monday, May 156:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1514	+46	–2	=1558	56%	9
5/15Monday, May 156:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1501	–13	+24	=1512	44%	5
5/14Sunday, May 141:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1467	+20	+0	=1487	45%	4
5/14Sunday, May 141:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1504	–7	+24	=1521	55%	0
5/13Saturday, May 137:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1468	+3	+0	=1471	40%	0
5/13Saturday, May 137:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1503	+15	+24	=1542	60%	2
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Oviedo	1469	–11	+0	=1458	40%	3
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1501	+3	+26	=1530	60%	6
5/10Wednesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Beeks	1561	–59	+0	=1502	46%	1
5/10Wednesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1500	+3	+24	=1527	54%	2
5/9Tuesday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Eflin	1562	–11	+0	=1551	56%	2
5/9Tuesday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1499	–11	+24	=1512	44%	4
5/8Monday, May 86:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1561	+15	–3	=1573	58%	3
5/8Monday, May 86:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1500	–5	+21	=1516	42%	0
5/7Sunday, May 711:35 a.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1501	+16	+0	=1517	39%	2
5/7Sunday, May 711:35 a.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Elder	1567	+2	+24	=1593	61%	3
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1502	+6	+0	=1508	34%	4
5/6Saturday, May 67:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1566	+30	+24	=1620	66%	5
5/5Friday, May 57:20 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1498	+2	–3	=1497	33%	9
5/5Friday, May 57:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1570	+27	+21	=1618	67%	4
5/4Thursday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1497	+2	+0	=1499	55%	13
5/4Thursday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lyles	1437	+0	+24	=1461	45%	10
5/3Wednesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1500	–3	+0	=1497	55%	0
5/3Wednesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1435	+0	+24	=1459	45%	6
5/2Tuesday, May 27:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1498	+16	–1	=1513	57%	11
5/2Tuesday, May 27:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Yarbrough	1436	+2	+24	=1462	43%	7
4/30Sunday, April 301:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1497	+5	+0	=1502	54%	5
4/30Sunday, April 301:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1446	+6	+24	=1476	46%	3
4/29Saturday, April 295:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1496	–7	+0	=1489	54%	6
4/29Saturday, April 295:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	–8	+24	=1464	46%	4
4/29Saturday, April 2912:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1498	+3	+2	=1503	52%	4
4/29Saturday, April 2912:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1446	+18	+26	=1490	48%	7
4/27Thursday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1496	–1	–2	=1493	55%	7
4/27Thursday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1447	–9	+22	=1460	45%	4
4/26Wednesday, April 261:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1513	+23	+0	=1536	50%	2
4/26Wednesday, April 261:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1494	+14	+24	=1532	50%	6
4/25Tuesday, April 256:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Kluber	1511	–2	+0	=1509	47%	8
4/25Tuesday, April 256:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1496	+13	+24	=1533	53%	6
4/24Monday, April 246:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1512	+12	–3	=1521	50%	4
4/24Monday, April 246:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1495	+3	+24	=1522	50%	5
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1446	+12	+0	=1458	43%	1
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1494	–14	+24	=1504	57%	2
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1447	–3	+0	=1444	41%	1
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1492	–6	+24	=1510	59%	5
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Lorenzen	1448	–3	+0	=1445	39%	1
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1492	+9	+25	=1526	61%	2
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1490	+12	+0	=1502	55%	4
4/19Wednesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gore	1429	+12	+24	=1465	45%	0
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1489	+1	–1	=1489	55%	1
4/18Tuesday, April 187:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1430	+2	+26	=1458	45%	0
4/16Sunday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1486	–8	+0	=1478	39%	8
4/16Sunday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1495	+36	+24	=1555	61%	4
4/15Saturday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1487	–1	+0	=1486	47%	6
4/15Saturday, April 152:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1494	–10	+24	=1508	53%	7
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1486	+11	–3	=1494	48%	6
4/14Friday, April 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Clevinger	1496	–12	+24	=1508	52%	3
4/13Thursday, April 131:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1429	–10	+0	=1419	38%	7
4/13Thursday, April 131:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Irvin	1485	–2	+24	=1507	62%	8
4/12Wednesday, April 126:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Waldichuk	1426	–11	+0	=1415	36%	8
4/12Wednesday, April 126:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1488	+3	+24	=1515	64%	4
4/11Tuesday, April 116:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Muller	1428	+12	+0	=1440	41%	8
4/11Tuesday, April 116:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1486	–6	+24	=1504	59%	12
4/10Monday, April 106:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1429	–2	–3	=1424	39%	1
4/10Monday, April 106:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1485	–6	+24	=1503	61%	5
4/9Sunday, April 91:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1560	+12	+0	=1572	58%	5
4/9Sunday, April 91:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1486	+9	+24	=1519	42%	3
4/8Saturday, April 87:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Brito	1559	–33	+0	=1526	52%	4
4/8Saturday, April 87:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Irvin	1487	–3	+24	=1508	48%	1
4/7Friday, April 73:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Schmidt	1560	–47	+0	=1513	50%	6
4/7Friday, April 73:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1486	+4	+23	=1513	50%	7
4/5Wednesday, April 52:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Rodriguez	1487	–11	+0	=1476	37%	2
4/5Wednesday, April 52:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	deGrom	1501	+42	+24	=1567	63%	5
4/4Tuesday, April 48:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1485	–8	+0	=1477	46%	7
4/4Tuesday, April 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Heaney	1503	–19	+24	=1508	54%	2
4/3Monday, April 38:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1484	+11	–4	=1491	45%	2
4/3Monday, April 38:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1504	–6	+24	=1522	55%	0
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Irvin	1485	+2	+0	=1487	41%	5
4/2Sunday, April 21:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1508	+20	+24	=1552	59%	9
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1486	+9	+2	=1497	42%	8
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1508	+17	+26	=1551	58%	9
3/30Thursday, March 302:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Gibson	1485	–10	–2	=1473	41%	10
3/30Thursday, March 302:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Kluber	1509	+1	+24	=1534	59%	9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.