This page is frozen as of June 21, 2023, and will no longer be updated.

Updated Jun. 21, 2023, at 12:35 AM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers40-333.585%45%
GiantsGiants41-322.571%26%
DbacksDiamondbacks44-3060%19%
PadresPadres35-388.544%10%
RockiesRockies29-4716.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/21Wednesday, June 219:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1537+12+0=154950%
SFSFGiants
Walker, Ryan
Walker (open)
1529+0+24=155350%
6/22Thursday, June 223:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154048%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155352%
6/23Friday, June 239:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1433+12=143232%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+22=156268%
6/24Saturday, June 248:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143432%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156468%
6/25Sunday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143432%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156468%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+32=153858%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+23=148142%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154058%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148242%
6/29Thursday, June 2912:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154058%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148242%
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+32=153856%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1473+2+24=149944%
7/1Saturday, July 11:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154056%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1473+2+24=149944%
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154056%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1473+2+24=149944%
7/3Monday, July 39:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+21=152044%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+20=156056%
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+0=152144%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156456%
7/5Wednesday, July 58:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1519+2+0=152144%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156456%
7/7Friday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1525+32=152644%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+26=156656%
7/8Saturday, July 810:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152845%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156455%
7/9Sunday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1525+3+0=152845%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156455%
7/14Friday, July 146:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+3=154349%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+28=155351%
7/15Saturday, July 151:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154049%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+24=154951%
7/15Saturday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154049%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+24=154951%
7/16Sunday, July 161:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154049%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+24=154951%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154047%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+26=156453%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154047%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156253%
7/20Thursday, July 201:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154047%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156253%
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+32=153860%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+21=146740%
7/22Saturday, July 226:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154060%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147040%
7/23Sunday, July 2312:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154060%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
14504+24=147040%
7/24Monday, July 249:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+11=145735%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+20=156065%
7/25Tuesday, July 259:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145835%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156465%
7/26Wednesday, July 264:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+0=145835%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156465%
7/28Friday, July 289:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
153631=153245%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+26=156655%
7/29Saturday, July 298:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+0=153346%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156454%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
15363+0=153346%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156454%
7/31Monday, July 318:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+33=153761%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146339%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154061%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146339%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 23:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154061%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+24=146339%
8/4Friday, Aug. 49:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+01=155148%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+23=156352%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 58:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155248%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156452%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155248%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156452%
8/7Monday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+0=155248%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156452%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+33=153750%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+23=153650%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154050%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+24=153750%
8/11Friday, Aug. 119:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+31=153951%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+26=153349%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154051%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153149%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154051%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+24=153149%
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+23=150942%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+22=156258%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151243%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156457%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1510+2+0=151243%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156457%
8/17Thursday, Aug. 179:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+23=150441%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156459%
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150742%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156458%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150742%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156458%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1505+2+0=150742%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156458%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1502+11=150241%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156459%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+0=150341%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156459%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1502+1+0=150341%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156459%
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+32=153850%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15153+26=153850%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154051%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15153+24=153649%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154051%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15153+24=153649%
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+32=153852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+2+21=152448%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154052%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+2+24=152748%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 302:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154052%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+2+24=152748%
8/31Thursday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+02=152745%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+20=156055%
9/1Friday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+0=152945%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156455%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 28:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+0=152945%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156455%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+0=152945%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156455%
9/4Monday, Sept. 46:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+14=152144%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156456%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 59:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152544%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156456%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 64:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+1+0=152544%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156456%
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+31=153945%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157255%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154045%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157255%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154045%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1548+0+24=157255%
9/11Monday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+33=153745%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+20=157255%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154045%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+24=157655%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 1310:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154045%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1552+0+24=157655%
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154065%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1404+6+22=143235%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 164:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154065%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1404+6+24=143435%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154065%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1404+6+24=143435%
9/18Monday, Sept. 189:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+33=143633%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+22=156267%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 199:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143933%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156467%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 204:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1436+3+0=143933%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156467%
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+24=149941%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+26=156659%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 238:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+2+0=150341%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156459%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1501+2+0=150341%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+24=156459%
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+32=153848%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+22=155152%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154048%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155352%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154048%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1529+0+24=155352%
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+32=153854%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+26=151046%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154055%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150845%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+3+0=154055%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150845%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/20Tuesday, June 209:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
153821+0=151747%3
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
152811+24=154153%4
6/19Monday, June 199:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1540+152=155353%4
SFSFGiants
Walker, Ryan
Walker
152619+22=152947%7
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
156911+0=155848%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1539+7+24=157052%5
6/17Saturday, June 177:15 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15704+0=156648%0
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1537+15+24=157652%2
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1568+182=158450%6
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1539+19+24=158250%2
6/15Thursday, June 158:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Allen, Logan
Allen
15149+0=150549%8
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
154153+24=151251%6
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1516+1+0=151742%0
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1539+12+24=157558%5
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bibee, Tanner
Bibee
151732=151242%3
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+8+23=156958%6
6/11Sunday, June 113:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+7+0=154660%4
COLCOLRockies
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1441+15+24=148040%5
6/10Saturday, June 103:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
153854+0=148450%3
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1442+20+24=148650%2
6/9Friday, June 98:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1537+201=155664%9
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14438+24=145936%6
6/7Wednesday, June 74:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1512+12+0=152444%3
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1535+10+24=156956%10
6/6Tuesday, June 69:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1510+81=151742%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1537+9+24=157058%1
6/5Monday, June 59:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
148617+0=146937%0
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1535+6+24=156563%5
6/4Sunday, June 45:30 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+26+0=151049%7
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
153847+24=151551%1
6/3Saturday, June 310:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1486+4+0=149038%0
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1536+16+24=157662%6
6/2Friday, June 29:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1484132=146936%2
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1538+12+20=157064%1
6/1Thursday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1535+8+0=154354%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1490+3+24=151746%1
5/31Wednesday, May 316:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1536+3+0=153955%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
14898+24=150545%2
5/30Tuesday, May 306:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
1533441=148843%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1491+26+22=153957%4
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1535+23+0=155844%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1557+21+24=160256%10
5/27Saturday, May 271:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1535+9+0=154443%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1557+14+24=159557%3
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1533+42=153548%5
NYYNYYYankees
Vasquez, Randy
Vasquez
155936+24=154752%1
5/25Thursday, May 254:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1532+1+0=153360%8
WSHWSHNationals
Irvin, Jake
Irvin
14424+24=146240%6
5/24Wednesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
153444+0=149052%3
WSHWSHNationals
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1441+8+24=147348%5
5/23Tuesday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1533+262=155761%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gore, MacKenzie
Gore
1442+12+26=148039%4
5/21Sunday, May 214:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15234+0=151944%0
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1530+7+24=156156%7
5/20Saturday, May 2010:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1522+19+0=154147%4
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1532+6+24=156253%2
5/19Friday, May 199:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1519+162=153345%6
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1534+6+26=156655%1
5/17Wednesday, May 174:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
143815+0=142328%4
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1536+29+24=158972%3
5/16Tuesday, May 169:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1436+14+0=145037%5
SDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
153818+24=154463%4
5/15Monday, May 159:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1437114=142232%0
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15372+23=155868%4
5/14Sunday, May 144:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
153847+0=149134%0
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1568+14+24=160666%4
5/13Saturday, May 137:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1539+7+0=154642%2
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1567+12+24=160358%4
5/12Friday, May 1210:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1540+34=153943%2
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
15652+22=158557%4
5/11Thursday, May 111:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1542+28+0=157052%3
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1523+6+24=155348%5
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154319+0=152447%3
MINMINTwins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1522+0+24=154653%4
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154142=153552%6
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
152429+23=151848%1
5/7Sunday, May 77 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1562+14+0=157650%5
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1542+7+24=157350%2
5/6Saturday, May 68:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
15615+0=155648%2
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1543+3+24=157052%1
5/5Friday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1563+32+1=159650%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1542+28+26=159650%5
5/3Wednesday, May 34:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145419+0=143534%1
SDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154017+24=154766%7
5/2Tuesday, May 29:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1453+5+0=145836%2
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15425+24=156164%1
5/1Monday, May 19:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
145472=144533%3
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1540+6+24=157067%8
4/30Sunday, April 304:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1501+13+0=151442%4
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1539+33+0=157258%6
4/29Saturday, April 296:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
150224+0=147840%11
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+152=155160%16
4/27Thursday, April 272:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
153917+0=152253%2
CHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
150022+24=150247%5
4/26Wednesday, April 267:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15389+0=152950%5
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1501+1+24=152650%3
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1541+42=154352%0
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1498+8+26=153248%6
4/23Sunday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1540+30+0=157058%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Jameson, Drey
Jameson
14921+24=151542%5
4/22Saturday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+16+0=155453%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1493+16+24=153347%3
4/21Friday, April 219:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154120+0=152144%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1490+47+24=156156%9
4/20Thursday, April 209:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
154052=153353%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
14911+21=151147%5
4/19Wednesday, April 194:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15667+0=155955%0
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153939+24=152445%1
4/18Tuesday, April 189:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1563+23+0=158652%8
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1541+5+24=157048%1
4/17Monday, April 179:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1562+223=158159%2
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
154250+24=151641%0
4/16Sunday, April 164:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Miley, Wade
Miley
153825+0=151338%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1544+28+24=159662%0
4/15Saturday, April 154:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1541+15+0=155651%3
SDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154117+24=154849%10
4/14Friday, April 149:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153717+0=152042%11
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1545+4+24=157358%2
4/13Thursday, April 139:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Rea, Colin
Rea
1536442=149045%4
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
154640+20=152655%3
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1548+7+0=155550%2
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
154719+24=155250%5
4/11Tuesday, April 117:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
154657+0=148941%4
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154921+24=155259%2
4/10Monday, April 107:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1548+253=157046%0
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1547+26+24=159754%5
4/9Sunday, April 97 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154522+0=152345%10
ATLATLBraves
Dodd, Dylan
Dodd
155928+24=155555%2
4/8Saturday, April 87:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15432+0=154145%4
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
15617+24=157855%1
4/7Friday, April 77:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
154238+0=150444%5
ATLATLBraves
Shuster, Jared
Shuster
156239+24=154756%4
4/6Thursday, April 67:20 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1542+132=155343%6
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1561+23+22=160657%7
4/4Tuesday, April 44:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1483+43+0=152640%8
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1544+27+24=159560%6
4/3Monday, April 39:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
148441=147946%4
SDSDPadres
Weathers, Ryan
Weathers
154360+24=150754%5
4/2Sunday, April 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14481+0=144737%1
SDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154227+24=153963%3
4/1Saturday, April 18:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
144916+0=143332%4
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1541+0+24=156568%8
3/31Friday, March 319:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1447+15+0=146241%4
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
154340+24=152759%1
3/30Thursday, March 309:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1443+153=145532%7
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1547+14+24=158568%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.