2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
AL East
![BAL](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/bal.png&h=60)
Orioles
Orioles
![BOS](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/bos.png&h=60)
Red Sox
Red Sox
![NYY](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/nyy.png&h=60)
Yankees
Yankees
![TB](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/tb.png&h=60)
Rays
Rays
![TOR](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/tor.png&h=60)
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
AL Central
![CHW](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/chw.png&h=60)
White Sox
White Sox
![CLE](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/cle.png&h=60)
Guardians
Guardians
![DET](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/det.png&h=60)
Tigers
Tigers
![KC](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/kc.png&h=60)
Royals
Royals
![MIN](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/min.png&h=60)
Twins
Twins
AL West
![HOU](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/hou.png&h=60)
Astros
Astros
![LAA](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/laa.png&h=60)
Angels
Angels
![OAK](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/oak.png&h=60)
Athletics
Athletics
![SEA](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/sea.png&h=60)
Mariners
Mariners
![TEX](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/tex.png&h=60)
Rangers
Rangers
NL East
![ATL](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/atl.png&h=60)
Braves
Braves
![MIA](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/mia.png&h=60)
Marlins
Marlins
![NYM](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/nym.png&h=60)
Mets
Mets
![PHI](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/phi.png&h=60)
Phillies
Phillies
![WSH](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/wsh.png&h=60)
Nationals
Nationals
NL Central
![CHC](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/chc.png&h=60)
Cubs
Cubs
![CIN](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/cin.png&h=60)
Reds
Reds
![MIL](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/mil.png&h=60)
Brewers
Brewers
![PIT](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/pit.png&h=60)
Pirates
Pirates
![STL](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/stl.png&h=60)
Cardinals
Cardinals
NL West
![ARI](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/ari.png&h=60)
Diamondbacks
Dbacks
![COL](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/col.png&h=60)
Rockies
Rockies
![LAD](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/lad.png&h=60)
Dodgers
Dodgers
![SD](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/sd.png&h=60)
Padres
Padres
![SF](https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/teamlogos/mlb/500/scoreboard/sf.png&h=60)
Giants
Giants
Our rolling game scores are generated using a version of Bill James’s game scores proposed by Tangotiger (and slightly modified by us) to isolate pitching performances. Like our team ratings, these pitcher game scores are normalized for eras and stadiums, so pitchers can be directly compared with one another throughout history. They’re also adjusted to take the opposing team’s offensive strength into account, so a pitcher earns more credit for a great start against a top team than against a mediocre one. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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