2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Rangers have a 6% chance of winning the World Series.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RangersRangers44-28 | — | 74% | 49% | |||
AstrosAstros40-34 | 5.0 | 60% | 32% | |||
AngelsAngels41-34 | 4.5 | 39% | 15% | |||
MarinersMariners35-36 | 8.5 | 14% | 4% | |||
AthleticsAthletics19-55 | 26.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/14Sunday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1536 | –18 | +0 | =1518 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1536 | –19 | +0 | =1517 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1483 | +4 | +24 | =1511 | 49% | ||
6/23Friday, June 237:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –1 | =1532 | 44% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 56% | ||
6/26Monday, June 268:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 35% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +21 | =1554 | 65% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 278:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 34% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 288:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 34% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 292:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 34% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
6/30Friday, June 308:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 48% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 52% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 22:35 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/3Monday, July 32:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 41:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –4 | =1529 | 47% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 53% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 57:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 48% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 52% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 48% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 52% | ||
7/7Friday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –2 | =1531 | 60% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 40% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 61% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 39% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 912:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 61% | |
WSHNationals | — | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 39% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +4 | =1523 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +28 | =1561 | 56% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 154:05 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:35 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –2 | =1564 | 51% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 51% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 192:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 51% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | ||
7/21Friday, July 218:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –1 | =1551 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +26 | =1559 | 51% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:05 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 232:35 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –2 | =1531 | 45% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +20 | =1568 | 55% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 56% | ||
7/28Friday, July 289:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –1 | =1532 | 45% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +26 | =1566 | 55% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 54% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +24 | =1564 | 54% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | –1 | =1483 | 40% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +23 | =1556 | 60% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 40% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 60% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 40% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 60% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | –3 | =1500 | 42% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 58% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:05 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +0 | =1503 | 42% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 58% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:35 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +0 | =1503 | 42% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 58% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 79:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –4 | =1529 | 63% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 37% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 93:37 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 64% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 36% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 1110:15 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +1 | =1534 | 47% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 53% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 129:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 53% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 134:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 53% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –2 | =1519 | 45% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +20 | =1553 | 55% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 45% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 45% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | –3 | =1509 | 43% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +26 | =1559 | 57% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 194:05 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +0 | =1512 | 43% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 57% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +0 | =1512 | 43% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 57% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –3 | =1530 | 50% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +22 | =1529 | 50% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 50% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –1 | =1532 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +22 | =1539 | 51% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –3 | =1530 | 47% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 47% | |
NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –1 | =1516 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +23 | =1556 | 56% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –2 | =1546 | 48% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 52% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 58:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 68:05 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 51% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 30% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +26 | =1559 | 70% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 30% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 70% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 30% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 70% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –3 | =1530 | 45% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 55% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 54% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 54% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 46% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 54% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –2 | =1531 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +22 | =1541 | 51% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 166:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 188:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –3 | =1522 | 45% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +21 | =1554 | 55% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 198:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:05 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –2 | =1511 | 43% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +26 | =1559 | 57% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/25Monday, Sept. 259:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –3 | =1530 | 48% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +20 | =1541 | 52% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 269:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 48% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 52% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 48% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 52% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –3 | =1530 | 49% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 51% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 2910:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 50% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 50% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1538 | +18 | +0 | =1556 | 55% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1482 | +16 | +24 | =1522 | 45% | 7 | |
6/19Monday, June 198:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1536 | –20 | –3 | =1513 | 55% | 5 |
CHWWhite Sox | Banks | 1483 | –24 | +20 | =1479 | 45% | 2 | |
6/18Sunday, June 182:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1543 | +5 | +0 | =1548 | 47% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1534 | +12 | +24 | =1570 | 53% | 11 | |
6/17Saturday, June 174:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Richards | 1544 | –23 | +0 | =1521 | 48% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1533 | –20 | +24 | =1537 | 52% | 4 | |
6/16Friday, June 168:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1543 | +26 | –3 | =1566 | 54% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1534 | –23 | +24 | =1535 | 46% | 1 | |
6/15Thursday, June 158:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1518 | +36 | +0 | =1554 | 47% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1535 | +17 | +24 | =1576 | 53% | 3 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 148:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Detmers | 1519 | –2 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1534 | –21 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | 6 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 138:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Barria | 1518 | –4 | +0 | =1514 | 49% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Bradford | 1536 | –41 | +24 | =1519 | 51% | 3 | |
6/12Monday, June 128:05 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Anderson | 1516 | –2 | –3 | =1511 | 46% | 9 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1538 | –18 | +21 | =1541 | 54% | 6 | |
6/11Sunday, June 111:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1539 | –16 | +0 | =1523 | 38% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1568 | +16 | +24 | =1608 | 62% | 7 | |
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1537 | +17 | +0 | =1554 | 47% | 8 |
TBRays | Bradley | 1570 | –20 | +24 | =1574 | 53% | 4 | |
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1538 | –23 | –1 | =1514 | 37% | 3 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1569 | +16 | +24 | =1609 | 63% | 8 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 78:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1505 | +9 | +0 | =1514 | 43% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1540 | +3 | +24 | =1567 | 57% | 0 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 68:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Liberatore | 1506 | –11 | +0 | =1495 | 43% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1539 | –16 | +24 | =1547 | 57% | 6 | |
6/5Monday, June 58:05 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1507 | +3 | –3 | =1507 | 45% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1538 | –21 | +24 | =1541 | 55% | 4 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:35 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1512 | –6 | +0 | =1506 | 40% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1535 | +14 | +24 | =1573 | 60% | 12 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Woo | 1515 | –29 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1533 | –18 | +24 | =1539 | 58% | 16 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1516 | +26 | –2 | =1540 | 48% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1531 | –1 | +23 | =1553 | 52% | 2 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 311:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1533 | –13 | +0 | =1520 | 59% | 2 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1453 | –23 | +24 | =1454 | 41% | 3 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 306:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1531 | –14 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | 10 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1454 | –18 | +24 | =1460 | 42% | 6 | |
5/29Monday, May 291:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1530 | +13 | –2 | =1541 | 60% | 5 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1456 | –12 | +24 | =1468 | 40% | 0 | |
5/28Sunday, May 281:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Bradford | 1530 | –46 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Bradish | 1506 | +8 | +24 | =1538 | 58% | 3 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1529 | –21 | +0 | =1508 | 46% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1507 | +7 | +24 | =1538 | 54% | 3 | |
5/26Friday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1526 | –6 | +0 | =1520 | 51% | 12 |
BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1511 | –22 | +22 | =1511 | 49% | 2 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 2412:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1525 | –14 | +0 | =1511 | 54% | 3 |
PITPirates | Oviedo | 1471 | –10 | +24 | =1485 | 46% | 2 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1523 | +12 | +0 | =1535 | 55% | 6 |
PITPirates | Hill | 1473 | +3 | +24 | =1500 | 45% | 1 | |
5/22Monday, May 226:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1524 | –12 | –3 | =1509 | 55% | 4 |
PITPirates | Ortiz | 1472 | –23 | +24 | =1473 | 45% | 6 | |
5/21Sunday, May 212:35 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Seabold | 1448 | –33 | +0 | =1415 | 35% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1522 | –22 | +24 | =1524 | 65% | 13 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1450 | +28 | +0 | =1478 | 41% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1520 | –6 | +24 | =1538 | 59% | 11 | |
5/19Friday, May 198:05 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Kauffmann | 1451 | –12 | –1 | =1438 | 37% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1519 | –16 | +26 | =1529 | 63% | 7 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1565 | +31 | +0 | =1596 | 56% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1520 | +12 | +24 | =1556 | 44% | 5 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Shuster | 1566 | –42 | +0 | =1524 | 49% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1518 | –15 | +24 | =1527 | 51% | 7 | |
5/15Monday, May 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1563 | –5 | –3 | =1555 | 57% | 12 |
TEXRangers | Bradford | 1521 | –39 | +20 | =1502 | 43% | 0 | |
5/13Saturday, May 134:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1520 | –10 | +0 | =1510 | 59% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1406 | +15 | +24 | =1445 | 41% | 0 | |
5/12Friday, May 129:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1521 | –9 | +0 | =1512 | 62% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1405 | –3 | +24 | =1426 | 38% | 9 | |
5/11Thursday, May 119:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1520 | +6 | –3 | =1523 | 64% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Medina | 1406 | +0 | +20 | =1426 | 36% | 0 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 103:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1519 | –16 | +0 | =1503 | 41% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1517 | +28 | +24 | =1569 | 59% | 3 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1521 | –21 | +0 | =1500 | 43% | 0 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1515 | +7 | +24 | =1546 | 57% | 5 | |
5/8Monday, May 89:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1519 | –13 | –3 | =1503 | 44% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1516 | +7 | +24 | =1547 | 56% | 1 | |
5/7Sunday, May 74:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1516 | +0 | +0 | =1516 | 50% | 16 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1519 | –25 | +24 | =1518 | 50% | 8 | |
5/6Saturday, May 69:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1513 | +1 | +0 | =1514 | 46% | 10 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1522 | –6 | +24 | =1540 | 54% | 1 | |
5/5Friday, May 59:38 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1514 | –19 | –1 | =1494 | 43% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Anderson | 1521 | +1 | +20 | =1542 | 57% | 5 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 32:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Pfaadt | 1491 | –21 | +0 | =1470 | 42% | 12 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1516 | –17 | +24 | =1523 | 58% | 7 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 28:05 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1493 | +57 | –1 | =1549 | 53% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1515 | –12 | +26 | =1529 | 47% | 6 | |
4/30Sunday, April 302:35 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1556 | +13 | +0 | =1569 | 55% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1511 | –2 | +24 | =1533 | 45% | 15 | |
4/29Saturday, April 297:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Brito | 1557 | –42 | +0 | =1515 | 49% | 0 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1509 | –7 | +24 | =1526 | 51% | 2 | |
4/28Friday, April 288:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1559 | –46 | +0 | =1513 | 41% | 2 |
TEXRangers | deGrom | 1508 | +45 | +24 | =1577 | 59% | 5 | |
4/27Thursday, April 278:05 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1558 | +31 | –3 | =1586 | 60% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1509 | –16 | +21 | =1514 | 40% | 2 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 2612:35 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1511 | –9 | +0 | =1502 | 53% | 3 |
CINReds | Ashcraft | 1451 | +3 | +24 | =1478 | 47% | 5 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1512 | –1 | +0 | =1511 | 56% | 6 |
CINReds | Weaver | 1450 | –3 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 7 | |
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1513 | –7 | –3 | =1503 | 52% | 6 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1448 | +21 | +22 | =1491 | 48% | 7 | |
4/23Sunday, April 232:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1415 | –3 | +0 | =1412 | 27% | 2 |
TEXRangers | deGrom | 1512 | +45 | +24 | =1581 | 73% | 5 | |
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Fujinami | 1418 | –5 | +0 | =1413 | 36% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1509 | –17 | +24 | =1516 | 64% | 18 | |
4/21Friday, April 218:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1417 | +5 | –2 | =1420 | 35% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1511 | –5 | +24 | =1530 | 65% | 4 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 192:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 54% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1440 | +16 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | 3 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1505 | –7 | +0 | =1498 | 56% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1443 | –8 | +24 | =1459 | 44% | 2 | |
4/17Monday, April 177:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | deGrom | 1504 | +44 | –3 | =1545 | 60% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1445 | +3 | +24 | =1472 | 40% | 0 | |
4/16Sunday, April 167 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1500 | –20 | +0 | =1480 | 33% | 9 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1552 | +25 | +24 | =1601 | 67% | 1 | |
4/15Saturday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1501 | –4 | +0 | =1497 | 41% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1551 | –12 | +24 | =1563 | 59% | 8 | |
4/14Friday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1499 | +4 | +0 | =1503 | 41% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1553 | –7 | +23 | =1569 | 59% | 2 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1445 | –15 | +0 | =1430 | 37% | 10 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1503 | –4 | +24 | =1523 | 63% | 1 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 118:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1445 | –5 | +0 | =1440 | 33% | 5 |
TEXRangers | deGrom | 1503 | +43 | +24 | =1570 | 67% | 8 | |
4/10Monday, April 108:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1447 | +5 | –4 | =1448 | 43% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1501 | –26 | +21 | =1496 | 57% | 11 | |
4/9Sunday, April 92:20 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1498 | –4 | +0 | =1494 | 46% | 8 |
CHCCubs | Taillon | 1489 | +6 | +24 | =1519 | 54% | 2 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1500 | +5 | +0 | =1505 | 48% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1486 | +6 | +24 | =1516 | 52% | 10 | |
4/7Friday, April 72:20 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1502 | –5 | –1 | =1496 | 45% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1485 | +18 | +27 | =1530 | 55% | 2 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 52:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1487 | –11 | +0 | =1476 | 37% | 2 |
TEXRangers | deGrom | 1501 | +42 | +24 | =1567 | 63% | 5 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 48:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Gibson | 1485 | –8 | +0 | =1477 | 46% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1503 | –19 | +24 | =1508 | 54% | 2 | |
4/3Monday, April 38:05 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1484 | +11 | –4 | =1491 | 45% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1504 | –6 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 0 | |
4/2Sunday, April 27 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Falter | 1526 | –23 | +0 | =1503 | 46% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Perez | 1503 | +4 | +24 | =1531 | 54% | 2 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1530 | +34 | +2 | =1566 | 57% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1499 | –5 | +26 | =1520 | 43% | 16 | |
3/30Thursday, March 304:05 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1532 | +20 | –3 | =1549 | 48% | 7 |
TEXRangers | deGrom | 1497 | +44 | +24 | =1565 | 52% | 11 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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