2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Rays have a 16% chance of winning the World Series.
AL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RaysRays51-25 | — | 98% | 75% | |||
YankeesYankees40-33 | 9.5 | 68% | 10% | |||
OriolesOrioles45-27 | 4.0 | 58% | 8% | |||
Blue JaysBlue Jays40-35 | 10.5 | 50% | 5% | |||
Red SoxRed Sox39-34 | 10.5 | 35% | 2% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1510 | +19 | +0 | =1529 | 44% | |
TBRays | Bradley | 1566 | –21 | +24 | =1569 | 56% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –3 | =1417 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 279:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –2 | =1564 | 55% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +23 | =1530 | 45% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 55% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 45% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 55% | |
ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +24 | =1531 | 45% | ||
6/30Friday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –3 | =1563 | 53% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +26 | =1539 | 47% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 46% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 46% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 44:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | –1 | =1524 | 41% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +22 | =1588 | 59% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 41% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 59% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 41% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 59% | ||
7/7Friday, July 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | –1 | =1569 | 47% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 53% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 87:15 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 47% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 53% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +0 | =1570 | 47% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 53% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +4 | =1570 | 67% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +28 | =1448 | 33% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 67% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 33% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 67% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 33% | ||
7/17Monday, July 178:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –2 | =1564 | 51% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 51% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 192:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 51% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 49% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 206:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | –3 | =1509 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +21 | =1587 | 61% | ||
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +0 | =1503 | 38% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +26 | =1592 | 62% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 2612:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +0 | =1503 | 38% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 62% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –1 | =1565 | 49% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +26 | =1574 | 51% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:15 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 49% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 51% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 49% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 51% | ||
7/31Monday, July 317:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –3 | =1563 | 48% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +22 | =1575 | 52% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 48% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 52% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 48% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 52% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 63% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 37% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 63% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 37% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 63% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 37% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | –1 | =1502 | 38% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +23 | =1589 | 62% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +0 | =1503 | 38% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 62% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 106:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +0 | =1503 | 38% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 62% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 116:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 149:45 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –4 | =1562 | 51% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 49% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 52% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 163:45 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 52% | |
SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 189:38 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 53% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +23 | =1544 | 47% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 199:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 53% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 47% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 204:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 53% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 47% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | –2 | =1437 | 30% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +22 | =1588 | 70% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 30% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 70% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +0 | =1439 | 30% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 70% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | –3 | =1550 | 44% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 56% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 45% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 55% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 45% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 55% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 55% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +26 | =1529 | 45% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 56% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 44% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –1 | =1565 | 53% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +23 | =1542 | 47% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 26:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 53% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 47% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 53% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 47% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –3 | =1522 | 41% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +21 | =1587 | 59% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 41% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 59% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 41% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 59% | ||
9/7Thursday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 39% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 61% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –3 | =1563 | 53% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 47% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 46% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 131:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 46% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –3 | =1563 | 54% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –2 | =1519 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +23 | =1589 | 60% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 211:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 40% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 60% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –3 | =1535 | 42% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 58% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 43% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 57% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 43% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 57% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –1 | =1565 | 52% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +26 | =1551 | 48% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 52% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 48% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 297:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 50% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 50% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 303:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 50% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 50% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 50% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 50% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1508 | +10 | –1 | =1517 | 38% | 8 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1568 | +16 | +22 | =1606 | 62% | 6 | |
6/18Sunday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Chirinos | 1569 | –11 | +0 | =1558 | 48% | 4 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1539 | +7 | +24 | =1570 | 52% | 5 | |
6/17Saturday, June 177:15 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Eflin | 1570 | –4 | +0 | =1566 | 48% | 0 |
SDPadres | Snell | 1537 | +15 | +24 | =1576 | 52% | 2 | |
6/16Friday, June 169:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1568 | +18 | –2 | =1584 | 50% | 6 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1539 | +19 | +24 | =1582 | 50% | 2 | |
6/15Thursday, June 153:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Bradley | 1567 | –23 | +0 | =1544 | 64% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1409 | +12 | +24 | =1445 | 36% | 3 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1567 | +19 | +0 | =1586 | 72% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Medina | 1409 | –8 | +24 | =1425 | 28% | 3 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks | 1568 | –49 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Fujinami (open) | 1408 | +7 | +24 | =1439 | 39% | 2 | |
6/12Monday, June 129:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Eflin | 1570 | –3 | –4 | =1563 | 67% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1406 | +16 | +20 | =1442 | 33% | 4 | |
6/11Sunday, June 111:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1539 | –16 | +0 | =1523 | 38% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1568 | +16 | +24 | =1608 | 62% | 7 | |
6/10Saturday, June 104:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1537 | +17 | +0 | =1554 | 47% | 8 |
TBRays | Bradley | 1570 | –20 | +24 | =1574 | 53% | 4 | |
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Heaney | 1538 | –23 | –1 | =1514 | 37% | 3 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1569 | +16 | +24 | =1609 | 63% | 8 | |
6/8Thursday, June 81:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1524 | +9 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | 2 |
TBRays | Chirinos | 1568 | –14 | +24 | =1578 | 56% | 4 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1525 | –5 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 1 |
TBRays | Armstrong | 1567 | –34 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | 2 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1527 | –13 | –1 | =1513 | 41% | 0 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1565 | –8 | +21 | =1578 | 59% | 7 | |
6/5Monday, June 54:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1563 | +16 | +0 | =1579 | 57% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Bello | 1515 | –6 | +24 | =1533 | 43% | 1 | |
6/4Sunday, June 41:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Bradley | 1561 | –19 | +0 | =1542 | 48% | 6 |
BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1517 | +13 | +24 | =1554 | 52% | 2 | |
6/3Saturday, June 36:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1560 | +17 | +0 | =1577 | 58% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1518 | –24 | +24 | =1518 | 42% | 2 | |
6/3Saturday, June 31:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kelley (open) | 1562 | –3 | +2 | =1561 | 54% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1517 | –7 | +26 | =1536 | 46% | 8 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 312:20 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Eflin | 1561 | –8 | +0 | =1553 | 55% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1485 | +10 | +24 | =1519 | 45% | 3 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 308:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1562 | +19 | +0 | =1581 | 63% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1484 | –17 | +24 | =1491 | 37% | 2 | |
5/29Monday, May 292:20 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Bradley | 1564 | –26 | –3 | =1535 | 51% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Stroman | 1482 | +20 | +24 | =1526 | 49% | 1 | |
5/28Sunday, May 2811:35 a.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Stone | 1566 | –38 | +0 | =1528 | 50% | 10 |
TBRays | Fleming | 1563 | –55 | +24 | =1532 | 50% | 11 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1565 | +22 | +0 | =1587 | 48% | 6 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1564 | +17 | +24 | =1605 | 52% | 5 | |
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1568 | –16 | +0 | =1552 | 53% | 3 |
TBRays | Beeks | 1561 | –51 | +24 | =1534 | 47% | 9 | |
5/25Thursday, May 251:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1542 | +4 | +0 | =1546 | 46% | 3 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1559 | –12 | +24 | =1571 | 54% | 6 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1543 | –30 | +0 | =1513 | 38% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1558 | +13 | +24 | =1595 | 62% | 7 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1537 | –10 | +0 | =1527 | 45% | 20 |
TBRays | Bradley | 1564 | –24 | +24 | =1564 | 55% | 1 | |
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1538 | +17 | –3 | =1552 | 46% | 4 |
TBRays | Kelley (open) | 1563 | –3 | +24 | =1584 | 54% | 6 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1523 | +13 | +0 | =1536 | 50% | 6 |
TBRays | Beeks | 1564 | –51 | +24 | =1537 | 50% | 4 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Lauer | 1525 | –16 | +0 | =1509 | 41% | 4 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1563 | –14 | +24 | =1573 | 59% | 8 | |
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1526 | –26 | –1 | =1499 | 37% | 0 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1562 | +10 | +21 | =1593 | 63% | 1 | |
5/18Thursday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Bradley | 1563 | –25 | +0 | =1538 | 50% | 2 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1529 | –12 | +24 | =1541 | 50% | 3 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Fleming | 1564 | –59 | +0 | =1505 | 45% | 7 |
NYMMets | Senga | 1528 | –15 | +24 | =1537 | 55% | 8 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks | 1562 | –54 | +1 | =1509 | 36% | 8 |
NYMMets | Verlander | 1530 | +53 | +22 | =1605 | 64% | 5 | |
5/14Sunday, May 141:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Eflin | 1561 | –12 | +0 | =1549 | 51% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1555 | –38 | +24 | =1541 | 49% | 7 | |
5/13Saturday, May 131:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1562 | +15 | +0 | =1577 | 49% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1554 | +7 | +24 | =1585 | 51% | 9 | |
5/12Friday, May 127:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kelley | 1562 | –39 | +0 | =1523 | 39% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1553 | +27 | +24 | =1604 | 61% | 6 | |
5/11Thursday, May 117:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1560 | +7 | –2 | =1565 | 49% | 8 |
NYYYankees | German | 1555 | –4 | +24 | =1575 | 51% | 2 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks | 1561 | –59 | +0 | =1502 | 46% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1500 | +3 | +24 | =1527 | 54% | 2 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Eflin | 1562 | –11 | +0 | =1551 | 56% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1499 | –11 | +24 | =1512 | 44% | 4 | |
5/8Monday, May 86:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1561 | +15 | –3 | =1573 | 58% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Gibson | 1500 | –5 | +21 | =1516 | 42% | 0 | |
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1553 | +33 | +0 | =1586 | 51% | 7 |
TBRays | Guerra (open) | 1560 | –3 | +24 | =1581 | 49% | 8 | |
5/6Saturday, May 64:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1552 | –7 | +0 | =1545 | 44% | 3 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1561 | +5 | +24 | =1590 | 56% | 2 | |
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Brito | 1552 | –37 | –1 | =1514 | 42% | 4 |
TBRays | Chirinos | 1560 | –11 | +24 | =1573 | 58% | 5 | |
5/4Thursday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Velasquez | 1481 | –6 | +0 | =1475 | 37% | 2 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1559 | –16 | +24 | =1567 | 63% | 3 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1483 | +12 | +0 | =1495 | 36% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1558 | +16 | +24 | =1598 | 64% | 8 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 26:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Contreras | 1484 | +9 | –1 | =1492 | 43% | 1 |
TBRays | Guerra | 1556 | –36 | +23 | =1543 | 57% | 4 | |
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1558 | +9 | +0 | =1567 | 61% | 9 |
CHWWhite Sox | Clevinger | 1476 | –13 | +24 | =1487 | 39% | 12 | |
4/29Saturday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Faucher | 1555 | –37 | +0 | =1518 | 52% | 12 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1479 | +2 | +24 | =1505 | 48% | 3 | |
4/28Friday, April 287:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Eflin | 1555 | –15 | +0 | =1540 | 55% | 3 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1480 | +3 | +24 | =1507 | 45% | 2 | |
4/27Thursday, April 277:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1552 | +16 | –3 | =1565 | 54% | 14 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1483 | +32 | +22 | =1537 | 46% | 5 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 266:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1557 | –10 | +0 | =1547 | 51% | 1 |
TBRays | Faucher | 1553 | –39 | +24 | =1538 | 49% | 0 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1554 | –2 | +0 | =1552 | 45% | 5 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1555 | +11 | +24 | =1590 | 55% | 0 | |
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1556 | –9 | –2 | =1545 | 49% | 3 |
TBRays | Bradley | 1553 | –26 | +24 | =1551 | 51% | 8 | |
4/23Sunday, April 231:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1489 | +1 | +0 | =1490 | 41% | 1 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1552 | –20 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | 4 | |
4/22Saturday, April 224:05 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1490 | +34 | +0 | =1524 | 41% | 3 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1551 | +15 | +24 | =1590 | 59% | 4 | |
4/21Friday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1491 | –12 | –1 | =1478 | 42% | 7 |
TBRays | Faucher | 1550 | –36 | +23 | =1537 | 58% | 8 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 1912:35 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1548 | +10 | +0 | =1558 | 63% | 8 |
CINReds | Stoudt | 1455 | –10 | +24 | =1469 | 37% | 0 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 186:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Bradley | 1545 | –34 | +0 | =1511 | 50% | 10 |
CINReds | Lodolo | 1458 | +29 | +24 | =1511 | 50% | 0 | |
4/17Monday, April 176:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1548 | +0 | –2 | =1546 | 57% | 1 |
CINReds | Greene | 1455 | +20 | +24 | =1499 | 43% | 8 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1545 | +13 | +0 | =1558 | 45% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1544 | +27 | +24 | =1595 | 55% | 1 | |
4/15Saturday, April 153:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Faucher | 1546 | –38 | +0 | =1508 | 47% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1543 | –35 | +24 | =1532 | 53% | 5 | |
4/14Friday, April 147:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1548 | +17 | –3 | =1562 | 52% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1541 | –18 | +24 | =1547 | 48% | 6 | |
4/13Thursday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Kluber | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 40% | 3 |
TBRays | Springs | 1546 | +10 | +24 | =1580 | 60% | 9 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 126:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1508 | +9 | +0 | =1517 | 48% | 7 |
TBRays | Bradley | 1545 | –39 | +24 | =1530 | 52% | 9 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 116:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1509 | –7 | +0 | =1502 | 39% | 2 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1543 | +11 | +24 | =1578 | 61% | 7 | |
4/10Monday, April 106:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1510 | –3 | –3 | =1504 | 41% | 0 |
TBRays | Beeks (open) | 1543 | –1 | +24 | =1566 | 59% | 1 | |
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1431 | +20 | +0 | =1451 | 33% | 0 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1540 | +13 | +24 | =1577 | 67% | 11 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Fujinami | 1433 | –9 | +0 | =1424 | 30% | 0 |
TBRays | Springs | 1539 | +9 | +24 | =1572 | 70% | 11 | |
4/7Friday, April 76:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1434 | +3 | –2 | =1435 | 35% | 5 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1537 | –17 | +23 | =1543 | 65% | 9 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 51:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1536 | +13 | +0 | =1549 | 65% | 7 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1430 | –15 | +24 | =1439 | 35% | 2 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 47:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Fleming | 1534 | –55 | +0 | =1479 | 53% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Kuhl | 1432 | +2 | +24 | =1458 | 47% | 6 | |
4/3Monday, April 37:05 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1533 | +8 | –3 | =1538 | 60% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Williams | 1433 | +10 | +24 | =1467 | 40% | 2 | |
4/2Sunday, April 21:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1448 | +2 | +0 | =1450 | 35% | 1 |
TBRays | Springs | 1532 | +4 | +24 | =1560 | 65% | 5 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1450 | +15 | +2 | =1467 | 40% | 2 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1529 | –18 | +26 | =1537 | 60% | 12 | |
3/30Thursday, March 303:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1451 | +4 | –3 | =1452 | 34% | 0 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +13 | +24 | =1565 | 66% | 4 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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