Updated Jun. 5, 2023, at 11:44 PM

2023 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers32-280.570%59%
PiratesPirates32-2732%20%
CardinalsCardinals24-368.518%9%
CubsCubs26-336.016%9%
RedsReds27-335.55%3%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1563+222=158365%
CINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14572+24=147935%
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+0=156161%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148339%
6/8Thursday, June 812:35 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+0=156161%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148339%
6/9Friday, June 98:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145739%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+23=153261%
6/10Saturday, June 102:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153360%
6/11Sunday, June 112:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153360%
6/12Monday, June 128:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145750%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+21=145450%
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145950%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145750%
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145950%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1433+0+24=145750%
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+21=145832%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158768%
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145932%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158768%
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145932%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
15641+24=158768%
6/19Monday, June 197:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+12=144545%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+21=148055%
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144745%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148355%
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1446+1+0=144745%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148355%
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+02=155860%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+26=148540%
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156061%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148339%
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1560+0+0=156061%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148339%
6/26Monday, June 267:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145739%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153161%
6/27Tuesday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153160%
6/28Wednesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1506+1+24=153160%
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+02=153557%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148343%
7/1Saturday, July 11:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148342%
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1537+0+0=153758%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148342%
7/3Monday, July 36:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145749%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+22=146451%
7/4Tuesday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146651%
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146651%
7/6Thursday, July 61:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+24=146651%
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+23=145638%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154062%
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154061%
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154061%
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+5=152155%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+29=148845%
7/15Saturday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151655%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148345%
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+0=151655%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148345%
7/17Monday, July 177:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+12=150653%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148347%
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150854%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150854%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
7/20Thursday, July 2012:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+0=150854%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+22=149952%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148348%
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150153%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148347%
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+0=150153%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148347%
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145738%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154062%
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154061%
7/26Wednesday, July 262:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145939%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
15204+24=154061%
7/28Friday, July 2810:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145732%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+26=158768%
7/29Saturday, July 299:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145933%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158567%
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145933%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15632+24=158567%
7/31Monday, July 318:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+24=145542%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+22=150858%
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145943%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151057%
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145943%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151057%
8/3Thursday, Aug. 38:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145943%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+24=151057%
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+22=148156%
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148356%
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1441+1+0=144244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148356%
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+03=149051%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148349%
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149351%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148349%
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 912:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1493+0+0=149351%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148349%
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145944%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150156%
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145944%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150156%
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145944%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+24=150156%
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+31=151555%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148345%
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+0=151655%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148345%
8/18Friday, Aug. 186:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154458%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+26=148542%
8/19Saturday, Aug. 196:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154459%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148341%
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154459%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148341%
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:38 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+24=145538%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153762%
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:38 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145939%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153761%
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145939%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1511+2+24=153761%
8/24Thursday, Aug. 249:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145740%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+26=152760%
8/25Friday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145941%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+24=152559%
8/26Saturday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145941%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+24=152559%
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145941%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1499+2+24=152559%
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+23=145639%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+24=153261%
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+24=153260%
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1507+1+24=153260%
9/1Friday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148651%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+22=148149%
9/1Friday, Sept. 16:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148650%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148350%
9/2Saturday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148650%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148350%
9/3Sunday, Sept. 312:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1485+1+0=148650%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148350%
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+13=150854%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151154%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1510+1+0=151154%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+32=150753%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+26=148547%
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+0=150954%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+0=150954%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148346%
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145948%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+26=147552%
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145948%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147352%
9/14Thursday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145948%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1449+0+24=147352%
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+22=145736%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155664%
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145936%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155664%
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145936%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1529+3+24=155664%
9/18Monday, Sept. 186:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+12=152657%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+21=148043%
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152857%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148343%
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2012:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1527+1+0=152857%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148343%
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+12=147549%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+26=148551%
9/23Saturday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147749%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148351%
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1476+1+0=147749%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+24=148351%
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145938%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+26=154262%
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145938%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1513+3+24=154062%
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+22=153160%
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153360%
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1457+2+0=145940%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1506+3+24=153360%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
6/5Monday, June 57:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
152130+0=149153%0
CINCINReds
Abbott, Andrew
Abbott
14556+24=147347%2
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151920+0=149953%5
CINCINReds
Lively, Ben
Lively
1457+0+24=148147%1
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Rea, Colin
Rea
151827+0=149153%10
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
145813+24=146947%8
6/2Friday, June 25:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1517+222=153759%5
CINCINReds
Williamson, Brandon
Williamson
14597+21=147341%4
6/1Thursday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1461+25+0=148640%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1515+21+24=156060%8
5/31Wednesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14592+0=145737%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Paxton, James
Paxton
1516+10+24=155063%4
5/30Tuesday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lively, Ben
Lively
145851=145238%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15185+22=153562%8
5/28Sunday, May 282:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
145611+0=144539%8
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1485+11+24=152061%5
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Williamson, Brandon
Williamson
14541+0=145343%8
CHCCHCCubs
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
148711+24=150057%5
5/26Friday, May 262:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1450+212=146941%9
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1490+17+24=153159%0
5/25Thursday, May 2512:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+16+0=153059%2
CINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14516+24=146941%1
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
1517+0+0=151757%3
CINCINReds
Lively, Ben
Lively
14484+24=146843%10
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1516+9+0=152558%8
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14494+24=146942%5
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1517+162=153158%5
CINCINReds
Williamson, Brandon
Williamson
1448+4+24=147642%6
5/21Sunday, May 2111:35 a.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1560+12+0=157261%4
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1449+21+24=149439%1
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Brito, Jhony
Brito
155941+0=151857%7
CINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14505+24=146943%4
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
1557422=151357%6
CINCINReds
Lively, Ben
Lively
14529+23=146643%2
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14541+0=145347%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14492+24=147153%11
5/16Tuesday, May 168:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Williamson, Brandon
Williamson
14533+0=145048%3
COLCOLRockies
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
145111+24=146452%1
5/15Monday, May 158:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1454+264=147655%8
COLCOLRockies
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
144932+24=144145%9
5/14Sunday, May 141:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14556+0=144944%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
148315+24=149256%3
5/13Saturday, May 131:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Law, Derek
Law (open)
1454+1+0=145538%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1484+34+24=154262%5
5/12Friday, May 126:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1452+23=145145%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Perez, Eury
Perez
148624+22=148455%4
5/11Thursday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Senga, Kodai
Senga
153715+0=152258%0
CINCINReds
Law, Derek
Law
14498+24=146542%5
5/10Wednesday, May 106:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1536+49+0=158562%2
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1450+27+24=150138%1
5/9Tuesday, May 96:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1537161=152058%6
CINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14497+26=146842%7
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
14799+0=147048%17
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1453+8+24=148552%4
5/6Saturday, May 66:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
148013+0=146747%3
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1452+15+24=149153%5
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1479+32=148047%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1453+27+22=150253%4
5/3Wednesday, May 34:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145419+0=143534%1
SDSDPadres
Lugo, Seth
Lugo
154017+24=154766%7
5/2Tuesday, May 29:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1453+5+0=145836%2
SDSDPadres
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15425+24=156164%1
5/1Monday, May 19:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
145472=144533%3
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1540+6+24=157067%8
4/30Sunday, April 304:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1455+15+0=147055%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
1410+0+24=143445%5
4/29Saturday, April 294:07 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1454+27+0=148157%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Muller, Kyle
Muller
14112+24=143343%2
4/28Friday, April 289:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
1452192=143148%11
OAKOAKAthletics
Rucinski, Drew
Rucinski
1413+9+22=144452%7
4/26Wednesday, April 2612:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
15119+0=150253%3
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1451+3+24=147847%5
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
15121+0=151156%6
CINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14503+24=147144%7
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
151373=150352%6
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1448+21+22=149148%7
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1450+23+0=147349%0
PITPITPirates
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
147516+24=148351%2
4/22Saturday, April 226:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145122+0=142940%1
PITPITPirates
Hill, Rich
Hill
1474+4+24=150260%2
4/21Friday, April 216:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1452+1+0=145342%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1473+8+24=150558%4
4/20Thursday, April 206:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
145332=144843%3
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1472+4+21=149757%4
4/19Wednesday, April 1912:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1548+10+0=155863%8
CINCINReds
Stoudt, Levi
Stoudt
145510+24=146937%0
4/18Tuesday, April 186:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Bradley, Taj
Bradley
154534+0=151150%10
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1458+29+24=151150%0
4/17Monday, April 176:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1548+02=154657%1
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1455+20+24=149943%8
4/16Sunday, April 161:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+13+0=153359%14
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
145814+24=146841%3
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
152424+0=150054%0
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14537+24=147046%13
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152214+0=150855%8
CINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
14558+24=147145%3
4/13Thursday, April 136:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
1524212=150150%2
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1453+28+22=150350%6
4/12Wednesday, April 127:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1454+15+0=146931%4
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1557+24+24=160569%5
4/11Tuesday, April 117:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
14549+0=144532%6
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
1556+0+24=158068%7
4/10Monday, April 107:20 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1455113=144131%4
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
15561+24=157969%5
4/9Sunday, April 91:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
14534+0=144938%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
152614+24=153662%4
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1454+22+0=147643%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
152522+24=152757%3
4/7Friday, April 73:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1455+15+3=147335%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1524+30+25=157965%5
4/4Tuesday, April 46:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Wesneski, Hayden
Wesneski
14835+0=147851%12
CINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
14589+24=147349%5
4/3Monday, April 36:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
148462=147649%6
CINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
1457+4+24=148551%7
4/2Sunday, April 21:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
145815+0=144347%1
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
145515+24=146453%3
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Hill, Rich
Hill
1460+14+2=147646%2
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1454+23+26=150354%6
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1459+92=146646%5
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1455+19+24=149854%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.