2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Reds have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BrewersBrewers32-28 | 0.5 | 70% | 59% | ||
![]() | PiratesPirates32-27 | — | 32% | 20% | ||
![]() | CardinalsCardinals24-36 | 8.5 | 18% | 9% | ||
![]() | CubsCubs26-33 | 6.0 | 16% | 9% | ||
![]() | RedsReds27-33 | 5.5 | 5% | 3% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/6Tuesday, June 67:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | +22 | –2 | =1583 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –2 | +24 | =1479 | 35% | ||
6/7Wednesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +0 | =1561 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 39% | ||
6/8Thursday, June 812:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +0 | =1561 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 39% | ||
6/9Friday, June 98:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +23 | =1532 | 61% | ||
6/10Saturday, June 102:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% | ||
6/11Sunday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% | ||
6/12Monday, June 128:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +21 | =1454 | 50% | ||
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +24 | =1457 | 50% | ||
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +0 | +24 | =1457 | 50% | ||
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –1 | =1458 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 68% | ||
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 68% | ||
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1564 | –1 | +24 | =1587 | 68% | ||
6/19Monday, June 197:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | –2 | =1445 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +21 | =1480 | 55% | ||
6/20Tuesday, June 207:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 55% | ||
6/21Wednesday, June 2112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +1 | +0 | =1447 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 55% | ||
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | –2 | =1558 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +26 | =1485 | 40% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 39% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +0 | +0 | =1560 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 39% | ||
6/26Monday, June 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 61% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 60% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 60% | ||
6/30Friday, June 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | –2 | =1535 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 43% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 11:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 42% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 21:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +0 | +0 | =1537 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 42% | ||
7/3Monday, July 36:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +22 | =1464 | 51% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 51% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 57:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 51% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 61:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +24 | =1466 | 51% | ||
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –3 | =1456 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 62% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 61% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 61% | ||
7/14Friday, July 147:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +5 | =1521 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +29 | =1488 | 45% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 45% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 161:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +0 | =1516 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 45% | ||
7/17Monday, July 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | –2 | =1506 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 47% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 187:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 2012:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +0 | =1508 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
7/21Friday, July 217:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | –2 | =1499 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 48% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 224:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 47% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 231:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +0 | =1501 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 47% | ||
7/24Monday, July 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 62% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 61% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –4 | +24 | =1540 | 61% | ||
7/28Friday, July 2810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 32% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +26 | =1587 | 68% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 299:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +24 | =1585 | 67% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1563 | –2 | +24 | =1585 | 67% | ||
7/31Monday, July 318:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –4 | =1455 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +22 | =1508 | 58% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 57% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 57% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 38:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +24 | =1510 | 57% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +22 | =1481 | 56% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 56% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1441 | +1 | +0 | =1442 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 56% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | –3 | =1490 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 49% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 49% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 912:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 49% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 56% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 56% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +24 | =1501 | 56% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | –1 | =1515 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 45% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +0 | =1516 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 45% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 186:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +26 | =1485 | 42% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 41% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +0 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 41% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –4 | =1455 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | +24 | =1537 | 62% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | +24 | =1537 | 61% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 234:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +2 | +24 | =1537 | 61% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 249:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +26 | =1527 | 60% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 59% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 59% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 59% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 289:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –3 | =1456 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 61% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 60% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 303:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 60% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +22 | =1481 | 49% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 16:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 50% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 50% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +1 | +0 | =1486 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 50% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | –3 | =1508 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +0 | =1511 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +1 | +0 | =1511 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | –2 | =1507 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +26 | =1485 | 47% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +0 | =1509 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 46% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +26 | =1475 | 52% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +24 | =1473 | 52% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +0 | +24 | =1473 | 52% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | –2 | =1457 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 64% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 64% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 171:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +3 | +24 | =1556 | 64% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 186:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | –2 | =1526 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +21 | =1480 | 43% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +0 | =1528 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 43% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2012:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +1 | +0 | =1528 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 43% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | –2 | =1475 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +26 | =1485 | 51% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 51% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 241:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +1 | +0 | =1477 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +24 | =1483 | 51% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +26 | =1542 | 62% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | +3 | +24 | =1540 | 62% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +22 | =1531 | 60% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +2 | +0 | =1459 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +3 | +24 | =1533 | 60% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/5Monday, June 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –30 | +0 | =1491 | 53% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –6 | +24 | =1473 | 47% | 2 | |
6/4Sunday, June 41:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –20 | +0 | =1499 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 47% | 1 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –27 | +0 | =1491 | 53% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –13 | +24 | =1469 | 47% | 8 | |
6/2Friday, June 25:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +22 | –2 | =1537 | 59% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1459 | –7 | +21 | =1473 | 41% | 4 | |
6/1Thursday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +25 | +0 | =1486 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +21 | +24 | =1560 | 60% | 8 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 317:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | –2 | +0 | =1457 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +10 | +24 | =1550 | 63% | 4 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –5 | –1 | =1452 | 38% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –5 | +22 | =1535 | 62% | 8 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1456 | –11 | +0 | =1445 | 39% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1485 | +11 | +24 | =1520 | 61% | 5 | |
5/27Saturday, May 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –1 | +0 | =1453 | 43% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1487 | –11 | +24 | =1500 | 57% | 5 | |
5/26Friday, May 262:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1450 | +21 | –2 | =1469 | 41% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +17 | +24 | =1531 | 59% | 0 | |
5/25Thursday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +16 | +0 | =1530 | 59% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1451 | –6 | +24 | =1469 | 41% | 1 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +0 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1448 | –4 | +24 | =1468 | 43% | 10 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +9 | +0 | =1525 | 58% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –4 | +24 | =1469 | 42% | 5 | |
5/22Monday, May 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +16 | –2 | =1531 | 58% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1448 | +4 | +24 | =1476 | 42% | 6 | |
5/21Sunday, May 2111:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1560 | +12 | +0 | =1572 | 61% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | +21 | +24 | =1494 | 39% | 1 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1559 | –41 | +0 | =1518 | 57% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1450 | –5 | +24 | =1469 | 43% | 4 | |
5/19Friday, May 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1557 | –42 | –2 | =1513 | 57% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –9 | +23 | =1466 | 43% | 2 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –1 | +0 | =1453 | 47% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –2 | +24 | =1471 | 53% | 11 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –3 | +0 | =1450 | 48% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1451 | –11 | +24 | =1464 | 52% | 1 | |
5/15Monday, May 158:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | +26 | –4 | =1476 | 55% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –32 | +24 | =1441 | 45% | 9 | |
5/14Sunday, May 141:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –6 | +0 | =1449 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1483 | –15 | +24 | =1492 | 56% | 3 | |
5/13Saturday, May 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | +1 | +0 | =1455 | 38% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +34 | +24 | =1542 | 62% | 5 | |
5/12Friday, May 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +2 | –3 | =1451 | 45% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –24 | +22 | =1484 | 55% | 4 | |
5/11Thursday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –15 | +0 | =1522 | 58% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –8 | +24 | =1465 | 42% | 5 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +49 | +0 | =1585 | 62% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1450 | +27 | +24 | =1501 | 38% | 1 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –16 | –1 | =1520 | 58% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1449 | –7 | +26 | =1468 | 42% | 7 | |
5/7Sunday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | –9 | +0 | =1470 | 48% | 17 |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +8 | +24 | =1485 | 52% | 4 | |
5/6Saturday, May 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1480 | –13 | +0 | =1467 | 47% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +15 | +24 | =1491 | 53% | 5 | |
5/5Friday, May 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | +3 | –2 | =1480 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +27 | +22 | =1502 | 53% | 4 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –19 | +0 | =1435 | 34% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –17 | +24 | =1547 | 66% | 7 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +5 | +0 | =1458 | 36% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –5 | +24 | =1561 | 64% | 1 | |
5/1Monday, May 19:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –7 | –2 | =1445 | 33% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +6 | +24 | =1570 | 67% | 8 | |
4/30Sunday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | +15 | +0 | =1470 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1410 | +0 | +24 | =1434 | 45% | 5 | |
4/29Saturday, April 294:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | +27 | +0 | =1481 | 57% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1411 | –2 | +24 | =1433 | 43% | 2 | |
4/28Friday, April 289:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –19 | –2 | =1431 | 48% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1413 | +9 | +22 | =1444 | 52% | 7 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 2612:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –9 | +0 | =1502 | 53% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1451 | +3 | +24 | =1478 | 47% | 5 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 256:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1512 | –1 | +0 | =1511 | 56% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1450 | –3 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 7 | |
4/24Monday, April 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –7 | –3 | =1503 | 52% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1448 | +21 | +22 | =1491 | 48% | 7 | |
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1450 | +23 | +0 | =1473 | 49% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1475 | –16 | +24 | =1483 | 51% | 2 | |
4/22Saturday, April 226:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1451 | –22 | +0 | =1429 | 40% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +4 | +24 | =1502 | 60% | 2 | |
4/21Friday, April 216:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 42% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1473 | +8 | +24 | =1505 | 58% | 4 | |
4/20Thursday, April 206:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –3 | –2 | =1448 | 43% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +4 | +21 | =1497 | 57% | 4 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 1912:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +10 | +0 | =1558 | 63% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –10 | +24 | =1469 | 37% | 0 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 186:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –34 | +0 | =1511 | 50% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | +29 | +24 | =1511 | 50% | 0 | |
4/17Monday, April 176:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +0 | –2 | =1546 | 57% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | +20 | +24 | =1499 | 43% | 8 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +13 | +0 | =1533 | 59% | 14 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –14 | +24 | =1468 | 41% | 3 | |
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –24 | +0 | =1500 | 54% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –7 | +24 | =1470 | 46% | 13 | |
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –14 | +0 | =1508 | 55% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –8 | +24 | =1471 | 45% | 3 | |
4/13Thursday, April 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –21 | –2 | =1501 | 50% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +28 | +22 | =1503 | 50% | 6 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 127:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | +15 | +0 | =1469 | 31% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1557 | +24 | +24 | =1605 | 69% | 5 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 117:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –9 | +0 | =1445 | 32% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1556 | +0 | +24 | =1580 | 68% | 7 | |
4/10Monday, April 107:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –11 | –3 | =1441 | 31% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1556 | –1 | +24 | =1579 | 69% | 5 | |
4/9Sunday, April 91:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –4 | +0 | =1449 | 38% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –14 | +24 | =1536 | 62% | 4 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | +22 | +0 | =1476 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –22 | +24 | =1527 | 57% | 3 | |
4/7Friday, April 73:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | +15 | +3 | =1473 | 35% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +30 | +25 | =1579 | 65% | 5 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | –5 | +0 | =1478 | 51% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –9 | +24 | =1473 | 49% | 5 | |
4/3Monday, April 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –6 | –2 | =1476 | 49% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +4 | +24 | =1485 | 51% | 7 | |
4/2Sunday, April 21:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –15 | +0 | =1443 | 47% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –15 | +24 | =1464 | 53% | 3 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +14 | +2 | =1476 | 46% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1454 | +23 | +26 | =1503 | 54% | 6 | |
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +9 | –2 | =1466 | 46% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | +19 | +24 | =1498 | 54% | 4 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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