2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Royals are done for the season.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TwinsTwins36-38 | — | 52% | 50% | |||
GuardiansGuardians34-38 | 1.0 | 42% | 41% | |||
White SoxWhite Sox32-43 | 4.5 | 8% | 8% | |||
TigersTigers31-41 | 4.0 | 2% | 2% | |||
RoyalsRoyals20-53 | 15.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 211:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1421 | +9 | +0 | =1430 | 45% | |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1450 | –10 | +24 | =1464 | 55% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –3 | =1417 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 244:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 27% | |
TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +24 | =1590 | 73% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 278:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –1 | =1518 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +23 | =1443 | 39% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 288:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 292:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | –3 | =1549 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 17:15 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 22:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +0 | =1552 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
7/3Monday, July 37:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –2 | =1418 | 33% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +21 | =1538 | 67% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 42:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 67% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 57:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 67% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 67:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –3 | =1417 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/7Friday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 84:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/14Friday, July 148:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +4 | =1570 | 67% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +28 | =1448 | 33% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 67% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 33% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 162:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 67% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 33% | ||
7/17Monday, July 178:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –4 | =1442 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 198:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 202:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/21Friday, July 217:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –3 | =1417 | 29% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +22 | =1575 | 71% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 221:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 29% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 71% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 231:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 29% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 71% | ||
7/24Monday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –2 | =1418 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 257:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 261:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 67% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +23 | =1443 | 40% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | –1 | =1527 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +26 | =1446 | 39% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +0 | =1528 | 62% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 38% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +0 | =1528 | 62% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 38% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –3 | =1417 | 32% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +21 | =1546 | 68% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 56:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 32% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 68% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 32% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 68% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –2 | =1418 | 32% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 68% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 32% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 68% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 32% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 68% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 32% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 68% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 118:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | –3 | =1500 | 59% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +21 | =1441 | 41% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 127:15 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +0 | =1503 | 59% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 41% | ||
8/14Monday, Aug. 148:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –4 | =1509 | 59% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +26 | =1446 | 41% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 172:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 182:20 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –2 | =1418 | 35% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +26 | =1522 | 65% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 192:20 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 36% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 64% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:20 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 36% | |
CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +24 | =1520 | 64% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –4 | =1416 | 47% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 53% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 48% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 52% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 233:37 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 48% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 52% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 34% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +22 | =1535 | 66% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 264:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 34% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 66% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 34% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 66% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 288:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | –3 | =1455 | 52% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +20 | =1440 | 48% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 52% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 48% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 52% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 48% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | –1 | =1524 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +26 | =1446 | 39% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | –2 | =1482 | 55% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 45% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 56% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 44% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 56% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 44% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 87:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 31% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +22 | =1560 | 69% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 93:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 31% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 69% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:37 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 31% | |
TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +24 | =1562 | 69% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –2 | =1418 | 38% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +22 | =1506 | 62% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 38% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 62% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 38% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 62% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –1 | =1547 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 202:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 61% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 39% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 29% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +26 | =1574 | 71% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 29% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 71% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 29% | |
HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +24 | =1572 | 71% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 43% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +22 | =1468 | 57% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 43% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 57% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 43% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 57% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | –3 | =1550 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +21 | =1441 | 35% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 65% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 35% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1420 | –13 | +0 | =1407 | 39% | 1 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1451 | +8 | +24 | =1483 | 61% | 0 | |
6/19Monday, June 196:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1421 | –5 | –3 | =1413 | 44% | 4 |
DETTigers | Olson | 1450 | –17 | +21 | =1454 | 56% | 6 | |
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Anderson | 1519 | –4 | +0 | =1515 | 58% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1422 | +14 | +24 | =1460 | 42% | 2 | |
6/17Saturday, June 174:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Canning | 1521 | –12 | +0 | =1509 | 61% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Mayers | 1421 | –14 | +24 | =1431 | 39% | 10 | |
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1519 | –3 | –2 | =1514 | 58% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1422 | +9 | +26 | =1457 | 42% | 0 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Lively | 1463 | –4 | +0 | =1459 | 53% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1424 | –10 | +24 | =1438 | 47% | 4 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 138:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Williamson | 1462 | –7 | +0 | =1455 | 52% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1424 | –8 | +24 | =1440 | 48% | 4 | |
6/12Monday, June 128:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Weaver | 1461 | –4 | –2 | =1455 | 49% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1426 | +12 | +21 | =1459 | 51% | 4 | |
6/11Sunday, June 111:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez (open) | 1427 | +0 | +0 | =1427 | 35% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Gibson | 1506 | +1 | +24 | =1531 | 65% | 11 | |
6/10Saturday, June 104:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1429 | +10 | +0 | =1439 | 39% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Irvin | 1505 | –10 | +24 | =1519 | 61% | 6 | |
6/9Friday, June 97:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1429 | –11 | –1 | =1417 | 33% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1504 | +19 | +21 | =1544 | 67% | 3 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 76:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1431 | –8 | +0 | =1423 | 37% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1494 | –3 | +24 | =1515 | 63% | 6 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1433 | +14 | +0 | =1447 | 40% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1493 | +1 | +24 | =1518 | 60% | 6 | |
6/5Monday, June 56:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez (open) | 1434 | +0 | –3 | =1431 | 39% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Garrett | 1491 | –6 | +24 | =1509 | 61% | 9 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1448 | +18 | +0 | =1466 | 50% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1433 | +6 | +24 | =1463 | 50% | 2 | |
6/3Saturday, June 34:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Gomber | 1446 | –3 | +0 | =1443 | 49% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1434 | –11 | +24 | =1447 | 51% | 4 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Anderson | 1444 | +4 | –3 | =1445 | 49% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1436 | –11 | +27 | =1452 | 51% | 2 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 307:45 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1437 | +12 | +0 | =1449 | 35% | 1 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1510 | +20 | +24 | =1554 | 65% | 2 | |
5/29Monday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Staumont | 1433 | –5 | –2 | =1426 | 34% | 7 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1514 | +6 | +22 | =1542 | 66% | 0 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gore | 1444 | +9 | +0 | =1453 | 51% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Lynch | 1432 | –11 | +24 | =1445 | 49% | 3 | |
5/27Saturday, May 274:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Gray | 1443 | +11 | +0 | =1454 | 48% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1433 | +7 | +24 | =1464 | 52% | 2 | |
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1441 | –9 | –3 | =1429 | 46% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1435 | –6 | +26 | =1455 | 54% | 10 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1452 | –13 | +0 | =1439 | 45% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1436 | +11 | +24 | =1471 | 55% | 4 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1454 | +29 | +0 | =1483 | 56% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Mayers | 1434 | –18 | +24 | =1440 | 44% | 4 | |
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1452 | +10 | –3 | =1459 | 48% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1436 | +12 | +22 | =1470 | 52% | 5 | |
5/21Sunday, May 212:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez (open) | 1437 | +1 | +0 | =1438 | 41% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1481 | –2 | +24 | =1503 | 59% | 5 | |
5/20Saturday, May 202:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1439 | –6 | +0 | =1433 | 39% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1480 | +8 | +24 | =1512 | 61% | 5 | |
5/19Friday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1440 | +8 | –2 | =1446 | 44% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1479 | –11 | +24 | =1492 | 56% | 2 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 174:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Hernandez | 1438 | –15 | +0 | =1423 | 28% | 4 |
SDPadres | Darvish | 1536 | +29 | +24 | =1589 | 72% | 3 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1436 | +14 | +0 | =1450 | 37% | 5 |
SDPadres | Lugo | 1538 | –18 | +24 | =1544 | 63% | 4 | |
5/15Monday, May 159:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1437 | –11 | –4 | =1422 | 32% | 0 |
SDPadres | Wacha | 1537 | –2 | +23 | =1558 | 68% | 4 | |
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1439 | –1 | +0 | =1438 | 38% | 6 |
MILBrewers | Rea | 1530 | –35 | +24 | =1519 | 62% | 9 | |
5/13Saturday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1439 | +4 | +0 | =1443 | 38% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1530 | –27 | +24 | =1527 | 62% | 4 | |
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Taylor | 1440 | –7 | –2 | =1431 | 31% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1529 | +19 | +26 | =1574 | 69% | 5 | |
5/11Thursday, May 112:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Clevinger | 1478 | –10 | +0 | =1468 | 49% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1439 | +10 | +24 | =1473 | 51% | 4 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1481 | +4 | +0 | =1485 | 56% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1436 | –14 | +24 | =1446 | 44% | 9 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1480 | +10 | +0 | =1490 | 54% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1437 | –3 | +24 | =1458 | 46% | 2 | |
5/8Monday, May 87:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1483 | +21 | –3 | =1501 | 55% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1434 | +7 | +24 | =1465 | 45% | 12 | |
5/7Sunday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Miller | 1411 | +23 | +0 | =1434 | 47% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Yarbrough | 1433 | +2 | +24 | =1459 | 53% | 5 | |
5/6Saturday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1410 | +1 | +0 | =1411 | 41% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1434 | +16 | +24 | =1474 | 59% | 4 | |
5/5Friday, May 58:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Muller | 1408 | –3 | –4 | =1401 | 42% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1436 | –6 | +24 | =1454 | 58% | 8 | |
5/4Thursday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1497 | +2 | +0 | =1499 | 55% | 13 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1437 | +0 | +24 | =1461 | 45% | 10 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Gibson | 1500 | –3 | +0 | =1497 | 55% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1435 | +0 | +24 | =1459 | 45% | 6 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1498 | +16 | –1 | =1513 | 57% | 11 |
KCRoyals | Yarbrough | 1436 | +2 | +24 | =1462 | 43% | 7 | |
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1437 | +20 | +0 | =1457 | 34% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +19 | +24 | =1568 | 66% | 8 | |
4/29Saturday, April 292:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1436 | –9 | +0 | =1427 | 33% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1526 | +3 | +24 | =1553 | 67% | 2 | |
4/28Friday, April 284:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1437 | +5 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | 6 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1526 | +4 | +24 | =1554 | 66% | 8 | |
4/27Thursday, April 277:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1438 | +3 | –3 | =1438 | 35% | 1 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1524 | –3 | +24 | =1545 | 65% | 7 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 263:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Yarbrough | 1439 | –3 | +0 | =1436 | 32% | 0 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1490 | +54 | +24 | =1568 | 68% | 2 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1438 | +15 | +0 | =1453 | 42% | 5 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1491 | –5 | +24 | =1510 | 58% | 4 | |
4/24Monday, April 249:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1438 | –8 | –2 | =1428 | 41% | 4 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Henry | 1491 | –25 | +24 | =1490 | 59% | 5 | |
4/23Sunday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1439 | +5 | +0 | =1444 | 37% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1513 | –4 | +24 | =1533 | 63% | 4 | |
4/22Saturday, April 229:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1437 | +6 | +0 | =1443 | 37% | 11 |
LAAAngels | Anderson | 1516 | –1 | +24 | =1539 | 63% | 8 | |
4/21Friday, April 219:38 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Clarke | 1437 | –22 | –1 | =1414 | 28% | 0 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1515 | +44 | +20 | =1579 | 72% | 2 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 192:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1508 | +1 | +0 | =1509 | 54% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1440 | +16 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | 3 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 187:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1505 | –7 | +0 | =1498 | 56% | 12 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1443 | –8 | +24 | =1459 | 44% | 2 | |
4/17Monday, April 177:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | deGrom | 1504 | +44 | –3 | =1545 | 60% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1445 | +3 | +24 | =1472 | 40% | 0 | |
4/16Sunday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1561 | –4 | +0 | =1557 | 62% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1445 | +4 | +24 | =1473 | 38% | 4 | |
4/15Saturday, April 154:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Elder | 1560 | +4 | +0 | =1564 | 64% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1447 | –9 | +24 | =1462 | 36% | 3 | |
4/14Friday, April 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1557 | –6 | –1 | =1550 | 58% | 10 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1449 | +22 | +24 | =1495 | 42% | 3 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1445 | –15 | +0 | =1430 | 37% | 10 |
TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1503 | –4 | +24 | =1523 | 63% | 1 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 118:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1445 | –5 | +0 | =1440 | 33% | 5 |
TEXRangers | deGrom | 1503 | +43 | +24 | =1570 | 67% | 8 | |
4/10Monday, April 108:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1447 | +5 | –4 | =1448 | 43% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Heaney | 1501 | –26 | +21 | =1496 | 57% | 11 | |
4/9Sunday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Bubic | 1448 | –16 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | 1 |
SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1506 | –6 | +24 | =1524 | 63% | 3 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:05 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1447 | +27 | +0 | =1474 | 45% | 6 |
SFGiants | Manaea | 1508 | –22 | +24 | =1510 | 55% | 5 | |
4/7Friday, April 74:35 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1445 | –17 | –4 | =1424 | 34% | 3 |
SFGiants | Cobb | 1510 | +8 | +20 | =1538 | 66% | 1 | |
4/6Thursday, April 62:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1540 | +19 | +0 | =1559 | 62% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1446 | +4 | +24 | =1474 | 38% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 57:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1539 | +30 | +0 | =1569 | 63% | 3 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1447 | +4 | +24 | =1475 | 37% | 0 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 47:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1537 | –32 | +0 | =1505 | 57% | 4 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1449 | –18 | +24 | =1455 | 43% | 1 | |
4/3Monday, April 37:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1539 | –12 | –2 | =1525 | 54% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1446 | +27 | +24 | =1497 | 46% | 9 | |
4/2Sunday, April 22:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1523 | +8 | +0 | =1531 | 61% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1448 | –17 | +24 | =1455 | 39% | 4 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1522 | +10 | +2 | =1534 | 58% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1449 | +5 | +26 | =1480 | 42% | 0 | |
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1521 | +2 | –2 | =1521 | 56% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1450 | +4 | +24 | =1478 | 44% | 0 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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