2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Tigers have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TwinsTwins36-38 | — | 52% | 50% | |||
GuardiansGuardians34-38 | 1.0 | 42% | 41% | |||
White SoxWhite Sox32-43 | 4.5 | 8% | 8% | |||
TigersTigers31-41 | 4.0 | 2% | 2% | |||
RoyalsRoyals20-53 | 15.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 211:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1421 | +9 | +0 | =1430 | 45% | |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1450 | –10 | +24 | =1464 | 55% | ||
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 56% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +26 | =1472 | 44% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
6/26Monday, June 268:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 35% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +21 | =1554 | 65% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 278:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 34% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 288:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 34% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
6/29Thursday, June 292:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 34% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
6/30Friday, June 308:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 47% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 53% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 19:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 48% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 52% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 23:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 48% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 52% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 46:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 41% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +23 | =1469 | 59% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 41% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 59% | ||
7/6Thursday, July 61:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 41% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 59% | ||
7/7Friday, July 76:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | –2 | =1536 | 59% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 41% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 81:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 40% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 91:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | — | 1538 | +0 | +0 | =1538 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 40% | ||
7/14Friday, July 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +3 | =1449 | 37% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +27 | =1540 | 63% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 159:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 63% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 63% | ||
7/17Monday, July 178:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –4 | =1442 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 188:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 198:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 202:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 50% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 50% | ||
7/21Friday, July 216:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | –2 | =1538 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +21 | =1467 | 40% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 226:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 40% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 2312:05 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | — | 1537 | +3 | +0 | =1540 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 40% | ||
7/24Monday, July 241:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | — | 1529 | +0 | –2 | =1527 | 58% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 42% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –2 | =1519 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 266:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
7/27Thursday, July 278:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
7/28Friday, July 286:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 38% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 62% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 294:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 39% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 61% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 301:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 39% | |
MIAMarlins | — | 1502 | +1 | +24 | =1527 | 61% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –1 | =1445 | 44% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +26 | =1484 | 56% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 212:35 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 45% | |
PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 55% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 63% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 37% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 51:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 63% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 37% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 61:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 63% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 37% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 56% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 44% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 35% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 65% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 124:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 64% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 1312:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 64% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –1 | =1445 | 37% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +23 | =1540 | 63% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 161:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 63% | ||
8/17Thursday, Aug. 177:15 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –3 | =1443 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +22 | =1541 | 64% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 187:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 64% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 64% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 201:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 64% | ||
8/21Monday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | –2 | =1494 | 54% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +23 | =1469 | 46% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +0 | =1496 | 54% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 46% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 231:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | — | 1494 | +2 | +0 | =1496 | 54% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 46% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 256:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | –3 | =1545 | 60% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +26 | =1472 | 40% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 266:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 61% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 39% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 271:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | — | 1548 | +0 | +0 | =1548 | 61% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 39% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 286:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | –3 | =1550 | 61% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 39% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 62% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 38% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 62% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 38% | ||
8/31Thursday, Aug. 311:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +0 | =1553 | 62% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 38% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –2 | =1444 | 41% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +23 | =1507 | 59% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 41% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 59% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 41% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 59% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –1 | =1445 | 32% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +23 | =1576 | 68% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 32% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 68% | ||
9/7Thursday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 32% | |
NYYYankees | — | 1555 | –2 | +24 | =1577 | 68% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | –1 | =1483 | 52% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +22 | =1468 | 48% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 96:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 52% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 48% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 52% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 48% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 50% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +26 | =1472 | 50% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 51% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 49% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +0 | =1475 | 51% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 49% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 159:38 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –4 | =1442 | 36% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +23 | =1544 | 64% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 169:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 64% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 174:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 36% | |
LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +24 | =1545 | 64% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –1 | =1445 | 32% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +21 | =1573 | 68% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 32% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 68% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 32% | |
LADDodgers | — | 1552 | +0 | +24 | =1576 | 68% | ||
9/21Thursday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –2 | =1444 | 51% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 49% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 48% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 234:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 48% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 52% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 48% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –1 | =1419 | 43% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +22 | =1468 | 57% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 43% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 57% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 43% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 57% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +1 | =1520 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 301:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 206:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1420 | –13 | +0 | =1407 | 39% | 1 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1451 | +8 | +24 | =1483 | 61% | 0 | |
6/19Monday, June 196:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1421 | –5 | –3 | =1413 | 44% | 4 |
DETTigers | Olson | 1450 | –17 | +21 | =1454 | 56% | 6 | |
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Vest (open) | 1448 | –4 | +0 | =1444 | 39% | 6 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1523 | –21 | +24 | =1526 | 61% | 4 | |
6/17Saturday, June 172:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1449 | –25 | +0 | =1424 | 38% | 0 |
MINTwins | De Leon | 1522 | –40 | +24 | =1506 | 62% | 2 | |
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Vest (open) | 1446 | –3 | +0 | =1443 | 33% | 7 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1525 | +15 | +24 | =1564 | 67% | 1 | |
6/15Thursday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1443 | –9 | –3 | =1431 | 32% | 8 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1528 | +12 | +24 | =1564 | 68% | 4 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 145:05 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Dodd | 1561 | –41 | +0 | =1520 | 56% | 6 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1444 | +13 | +24 | =1481 | 44% | 5 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 141:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1560 | +23 | +2 | =1585 | 67% | 10 |
DETTigers | Olson | 1445 | –11 | +26 | =1460 | 33% | 7 | |
6/12Monday, June 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1562 | –2 | –3 | =1557 | 65% | 5 |
DETTigers | Englert | 1443 | –17 | +24 | =1450 | 35% | 6 | |
6/11Sunday, June 1111:35 a.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1506 | +43 | +0 | =1549 | 64% | 7 |
DETTigers | Vest | 1444 | –17 | +24 | =1451 | 36% | 5 | |
6/10Saturday, June 101:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Nelson | 1504 | –17 | +0 | =1487 | 54% | 5 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1446 | –9 | +24 | =1461 | 46% | 0 | |
6/9Friday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1503 | +27 | +0 | =1530 | 57% | 11 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1448 | +14 | +22 | =1484 | 43% | 6 | |
6/8Thursday, June 86:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Holton | 1448 | –19 | +2 | =1431 | 31% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1517 | +26 | +26 | =1569 | 69% | 3 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1449 | –17 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | 0 |
PHIPhillies | Walker | 1516 | –16 | +24 | =1524 | 63% | 1 | |
6/5Monday, June 56:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1450 | –24 | –3 | =1423 | 32% | 3 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1515 | +17 | +22 | =1554 | 68% | 8 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1452 | –14 | +0 | =1438 | 40% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1483 | +3 | +24 | =1510 | 60% | 6 | |
6/3Saturday, June 32:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1453 | +9 | +0 | =1462 | 42% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1482 | +13 | +24 | =1519 | 58% | 2 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Olson | 1454 | –17 | +0 | =1437 | 41% | 0 |
CHWWhite Sox | Clevinger | 1481 | –9 | +26 | =1498 | 59% | 3 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 311:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1533 | –13 | +0 | =1520 | 59% | 2 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1453 | –23 | +24 | =1454 | 41% | 3 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 306:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1531 | –14 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | 10 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1454 | –18 | +24 | =1460 | 42% | 6 | |
5/29Monday, May 291:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Eovaldi | 1530 | +13 | –2 | =1541 | 60% | 5 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1456 | –12 | +24 | =1468 | 40% | 0 | |
5/28Sunday, May 281:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1484 | +15 | +0 | =1499 | 49% | 5 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1455 | +25 | +24 | =1504 | 51% | 6 | |
5/27Saturday, May 271:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Scholtens | 1486 | –23 | +0 | =1463 | 47% | 3 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1453 | +6 | +24 | =1483 | 53% | 7 | |
5/26Friday, May 266:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1483 | –1 | +0 | =1482 | 53% | 12 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1456 | –21 | +24 | =1459 | 47% | 3 | |
5/25Thursday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1485 | +7 | –1 | =1491 | 56% | 2 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1453 | –23 | +21 | =1451 | 44% | 7 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 247:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1452 | –13 | +0 | =1439 | 45% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1436 | +11 | +24 | =1471 | 55% | 4 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1454 | +29 | +0 | =1483 | 56% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Mayers | 1434 | –18 | +24 | =1440 | 44% | 4 | |
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1452 | +10 | –3 | =1459 | 48% | 8 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1436 | +12 | +22 | =1470 | 52% | 5 | |
5/21Sunday, May 211:35 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1453 | –12 | +0 | =1441 | 45% | 4 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1441 | +10 | +24 | =1475 | 55% | 6 | |
5/20Saturday, May 204:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1455 | –27 | +0 | =1428 | 47% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Corbin | 1439 | –11 | +24 | =1452 | 53% | 5 | |
5/19Friday, May 197:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1453 | –17 | +0 | =1436 | 45% | 8 |
WSHNationals | Irvin | 1441 | +8 | +21 | =1470 | 55% | 6 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 171:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Hill | 1468 | +1 | +0 | =1469 | 44% | 8 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1457 | +30 | +24 | =1511 | 56% | 0 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Ortiz | 1469 | –14 | +0 | =1455 | 46% | 0 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1455 | +4 | +26 | =1485 | 54% | 4 | |
5/14Sunday, May 141:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1520 | +8 | +0 | =1528 | 59% | 3 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1453 | –9 | +24 | =1468 | 41% | 5 | |
5/13Saturday, May 131:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Miller | 1518 | –10 | +0 | =1508 | 59% | 5 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1455 | –31 | +24 | =1448 | 41% | 0 | |
5/12Friday, May 126:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1516 | –27 | –2 | =1487 | 52% | 9 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1458 | –11 | +25 | =1472 | 48% | 2 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1455 | +26 | +0 | =1481 | 44% | 5 |
CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1518 | –18 | +24 | =1524 | 56% | 0 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 96:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1456 | +1 | +0 | =1457 | 34% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1517 | +32 | +24 | =1573 | 66% | 2 | |
5/8Monday, May 86:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1453 | –10 | –2 | =1441 | 38% | 6 |
CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1520 | –20 | +24 | =1524 | 62% | 2 | |
5/7Sunday, May 72:15 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Faedo | 1455 | –31 | +0 | =1424 | 37% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Matz | 1501 | –5 | +24 | =1520 | 63% | 12 | |
5/6Saturday, May 62:15 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1454 | +2 | +0 | =1456 | 38% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1503 | +16 | +24 | =1543 | 62% | 5 | |
5/5Friday, May 58:15 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1452 | –12 | –2 | =1438 | 34% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Montgomery | 1504 | +27 | +24 | =1555 | 66% | 4 | |
5/4Thursday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Verlander | 1545 | +52 | +0 | =1597 | 64% | 0 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1450 | +20 | +24 | =1494 | 36% | 2 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1548 | +35 | +0 | =1583 | 66% | 1 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1447 | –2 | +24 | =1469 | 34% | 8 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 31:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Lucchesi | 1550 | –4 | +0 | =1546 | 61% | 5 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1445 | –3 | +29 | =1471 | 39% | 6 | |
4/30Sunday, April 301:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Bradish | 1497 | +5 | +0 | =1502 | 54% | 5 |
DETTigers | Turnbull | 1446 | +6 | +24 | =1476 | 46% | 3 | |
4/29Saturday, April 295:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1496 | –7 | +0 | =1489 | 54% | 6 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1448 | –8 | +24 | =1464 | 46% | 4 | |
4/29Saturday, April 2912:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1498 | +3 | +2 | =1503 | 52% | 4 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1446 | +18 | +26 | =1490 | 48% | 7 | |
4/27Thursday, April 276:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Gibson | 1496 | –1 | –2 | =1493 | 55% | 7 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1447 | –9 | +22 | =1460 | 45% | 4 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 261:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1448 | +0 | +0 | =1448 | 33% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1536 | +11 | +24 | =1571 | 67% | 6 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1447 | +6 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1537 | –11 | +24 | =1550 | 64% | 3 | |
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1445 | –9 | –3 | =1433 | 37% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Rea | 1539 | –40 | +24 | =1523 | 63% | 2 | |
4/23Sunday, April 231:35 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1446 | +12 | +0 | =1458 | 43% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Rodriguez | 1494 | –14 | +24 | =1504 | 57% | 2 | |
4/22Saturday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1447 | –3 | +0 | =1444 | 41% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Gibson | 1492 | –6 | +24 | =1510 | 59% | 5 | |
4/21Friday, April 217:05 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1448 | –3 | +0 | =1445 | 39% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Wells | 1492 | +9 | +25 | =1526 | 61% | 2 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 191:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1528 | –5 | +0 | =1523 | 56% | 3 |
DETTigers | Turnbull | 1449 | +8 | +24 | =1481 | 44% | 2 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 184:15 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1529 | –25 | +0 | =1504 | 54% | 0 |
DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1448 | +6 | +24 | =1478 | 46% | 1 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 181:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Gaddis | 1530 | –55 | +0 | =1475 | 51% | 3 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1447 | –5 | +29 | =1471 | 49% | 4 | |
4/15Saturday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1504 | –2 | +0 | =1502 | 54% | 6 |
DETTigers | Lorenzen | 1446 | +4 | +24 | =1474 | 46% | 7 | |
4/14Friday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Manaea | 1505 | –20 | –2 | =1483 | 53% | 5 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1444 | –5 | +22 | =1461 | 47% | 7 | |
4/13Thursday, April 137:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1442 | +7 | +0 | =1449 | 34% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1543 | –1 | +24 | =1566 | 66% | 1 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1443 | +4 | +0 | =1447 | 30% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1542 | +24 | +24 | =1590 | 70% | 4 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 117:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1444 | –4 | +0 | =1440 | 29% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1541 | +34 | +22 | =1597 | 71% | 9 | |
4/9Sunday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1509 | –28 | +0 | =1481 | 52% | 4 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1446 | –5 | +24 | =1465 | 48% | 1 | |
4/8Saturday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1506 | +20 | +2 | =1528 | 57% | 14 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1448 | +2 | +26 | =1476 | 43% | 5 | |
4/6Thursday, April 61:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1505 | +11 | –3 | =1513 | 55% | 6 |
DETTigers | Turnbull | 1450 | +9 | +21 | =1480 | 45% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 52:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1451 | +5 | +0 | =1456 | 30% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1550 | +33 | +24 | =1607 | 70% | 8 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 48:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Manning | 1448 | –6 | +0 | =1442 | 28% | 6 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1553 | +27 | +24 | =1604 | 72% | 3 | |
4/3Monday, April 38:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1447 | –9 | –3 | =1435 | 33% | 7 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1555 | –18 | +24 | =1561 | 67% | 6 | |
4/2Sunday, April 21:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1448 | +2 | +0 | =1450 | 35% | 1 |
TBRays | Springs | 1532 | +4 | +24 | =1560 | 65% | 5 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Turnbull | 1450 | +15 | +2 | =1467 | 40% | 2 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1529 | –18 | +26 | =1537 | 60% | 12 | |
3/30Thursday, March 303:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Rodriguez | 1451 | +4 | –3 | =1452 | 34% | 0 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1528 | +13 | +24 | =1565 | 66% | 4 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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