2023 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Twins have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.
AL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TwinsTwins36-38 | — | 52% | 50% | |||
GuardiansGuardians34-38 | 1.0 | 42% | 41% | |||
White SoxWhite Sox32-43 | 4.5 | 8% | 8% | |||
TigersTigers31-41 | 4.0 | 2% | 2% | |||
RoyalsRoyals20-53 | 15.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/21Wednesday, June 217:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Whitlock | 1524 | –5 | +0 | =1519 | 45% | |
MINTwins | Gray | 1516 | +12 | +24 | =1552 | 55% | ||
6/22Thursday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | — | 1524 | +1 | +0 | =1525 | 48% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 52% | ||
6/23Friday, June 236:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 56% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +26 | =1472 | 44% | ||
6/24Saturday, June 247:15 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
6/25Sunday, June 251:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
6/26Monday, June 267:20 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 39% | |
ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +22 | =1592 | 61% | ||
6/27Tuesday, June 277:20 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 39% | |
ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +24 | =1594 | 61% | ||
6/28Wednesday, June 2812:20 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 39% | |
ATLBraves | — | 1569 | +1 | +24 | =1594 | 61% | ||
6/30Friday, June 307:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –1 | =1516 | 47% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +26 | =1538 | 53% | ||
7/1Saturday, July 14:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 53% | ||
7/2Sunday, July 212:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +24 | =1536 | 53% | ||
7/3Monday, July 37:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | –2 | =1418 | 33% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +21 | =1538 | 67% | ||
7/4Tuesday, July 42:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 67% | ||
7/5Wednesday, July 57:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +0 | =1420 | 33% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 67% | ||
7/7Friday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | –3 | =1509 | 45% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +26 | =1543 | 55% | ||
7/8Saturday, July 82:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/9Sunday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | — | 1510 | +2 | +0 | =1512 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/14Friday, July 149:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +3 | =1520 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +27 | =1437 | 38% | ||
7/15Saturday, July 157:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
7/16Sunday, July 164:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 62% | |
OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +24 | =1434 | 38% | ||
7/17Monday, July 179:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/18Tuesday, July 189:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/19Wednesday, July 199:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/20Thursday, July 203:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | ||
7/21Friday, July 218:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | –3 | =1481 | 42% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +21 | =1538 | 58% | ||
7/22Saturday, July 227:15 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 58% | ||
7/23Sunday, July 232:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +0 | =1484 | 42% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 58% | ||
7/24Monday, July 247:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | –3 | =1510 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/25Tuesday, July 257:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/26Wednesday, July 261:10 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | — | 1512 | +1 | +0 | =1513 | 46% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 54% | ||
7/28Friday, July 288:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +23 | =1443 | 40% | ||
7/29Saturday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
7/30Sunday, July 302:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 60% | |
KCRoyals | — | 1421 | –1 | +24 | =1444 | 40% | ||
8/1Tuesday, Aug. 17:45 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 48% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +26 | =1529 | 52% | ||
8/2Wednesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 48% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 52% | ||
8/3Thursday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 48% | |
STLCardinals | — | 1501 | +2 | +24 | =1527 | 52% | ||
8/4Friday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | –4 | =1503 | 45% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +22 | =1539 | 55% | ||
8/5Saturday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 45% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 55% | ||
8/6Sunday, Aug. 62:10 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | — | 1505 | +2 | +0 | =1507 | 45% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 55% | ||
8/7Monday, Aug. 76:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 56% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 44% | ||
8/8Tuesday, Aug. 86:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
8/9Wednesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
8/10Thursday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 57% | |
DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +24 | =1470 | 43% | ||
8/11Friday, Aug. 117:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –2 | =1515 | 45% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 55% | ||
8/12Saturday, Aug. 126:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 45% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 55% | ||
8/13Sunday, Aug. 131:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 45% | |
PHIPhillies | — | 1524 | +1 | +24 | =1549 | 55% | ||
8/15Tuesday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | –1 | =1445 | 37% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +23 | =1540 | 63% | ||
8/16Wednesday, Aug. 161:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | — | 1450 | –4 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 63% | ||
8/18Friday, Aug. 188:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | –1 | =1457 | 38% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +26 | =1543 | 62% | ||
8/19Saturday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 38% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 62% | ||
8/20Sunday, Aug. 202:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | — | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 38% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 62% | ||
8/22Tuesday, Aug. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +23 | =1535 | 53% | ||
8/23Wednesday, Aug. 232:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | |
MILBrewers | — | 1515 | –3 | +24 | =1536 | 53% | ||
8/24Thursday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | –1 | =1532 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +22 | =1539 | 51% | ||
8/25Friday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | ||
8/26Saturday, Aug. 267:15 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | ||
8/27Sunday, Aug. 272:10 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +0 | =1533 | 49% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | ||
8/28Monday, Aug. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | –3 | =1516 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
8/29Tuesday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
8/30Wednesday, Aug. 301:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +0 | =1519 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
9/1Friday, Sept. 18:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –1 | =1516 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +23 | =1556 | 56% | ||
9/2Saturday, Sept. 27:15 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/3Sunday, Sept. 32:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 44% | |
TEXRangers | — | 1536 | –3 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | ||
9/4Monday, Sept. 46:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/5Tuesday, Sept. 56:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/6Wednesday, Sept. 61:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 46% | |
CLEGuardians | — | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | ||
9/8Friday, Sept. 88:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | –1 | =1527 | 48% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +23 | =1540 | 52% | ||
9/9Saturday, Sept. 92:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +0 | =1528 | 48% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 52% | ||
9/10Sunday, Sept. 102:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | — | 1525 | +3 | +0 | =1528 | 48% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 52% | ||
9/11Monday, Sept. 117:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | –3 | =1563 | 53% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 47% | ||
9/12Tuesday, Sept. 127:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 46% | ||
9/13Wednesday, Sept. 131:10 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | — | 1566 | +0 | +0 | =1566 | 54% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 46% | ||
9/14Thursday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –2 | =1515 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
9/15Friday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
9/16Saturday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
9/17Sunday, Sept. 172:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 51% | |
CHWWhite Sox | — | 1483 | +1 | +24 | =1508 | 49% | ||
9/18Monday, Sept. 186:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –2 | =1515 | 53% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +21 | =1496 | 47% | ||
9/19Tuesday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 53% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 47% | ||
9/20Wednesday, Sept. 2012:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 53% | |
CINReds | — | 1473 | +2 | +24 | =1499 | 47% | ||
9/22Friday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | –3 | =1518 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +23 | =1540 | 53% | ||
9/23Saturday, Sept. 232:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
9/24Sunday, Sept. 242:10 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | — | 1519 | +2 | +0 | =1521 | 47% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | ||
9/26Tuesday, Sept. 267:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | –2 | =1408 | 32% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +26 | =1543 | 68% | ||
9/27Wednesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 32% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 68% | ||
9/28Thursday, Sept. 281:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | — | 1404 | +6 | +0 | =1410 | 32% | |
MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +24 | =1541 | 68% | ||
9/29Friday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 57% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 43% | ||
9/30Saturday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 42% | ||
10/1Sunday, Oct. 13:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | — | 1516 | +1 | +0 | =1517 | 58% | |
COLRockies | — | 1436 | +3 | +24 | =1463 | 42% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6/20Tuesday, June 207:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Crawford | 1521 | –26 | +0 | =1495 | 42% | 10 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1518 | +10 | +24 | =1552 | 58% | 4 | |
6/19Monday, June 197:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Paxton | 1519 | +14 | –3 | =1530 | 47% | 9 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1521 | +2 | +24 | =1547 | 53% | 3 | |
6/18Sunday, June 182:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Vest (open) | 1448 | –4 | +0 | =1444 | 39% | 6 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1523 | –21 | +24 | =1526 | 61% | 4 | |
6/17Saturday, June 172:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Wentz | 1449 | –25 | +0 | =1424 | 38% | 0 |
MINTwins | De Leon | 1522 | –40 | +24 | =1506 | 62% | 2 | |
6/16Friday, June 168:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Vest (open) | 1446 | –3 | +0 | =1443 | 33% | 7 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1525 | +15 | +24 | =1564 | 67% | 1 | |
6/15Thursday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1443 | –9 | –3 | =1431 | 32% | 8 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1528 | +12 | +24 | =1564 | 68% | 4 | |
6/14Wednesday, June 141:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Rea | 1514 | –25 | +0 | =1489 | 40% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1527 | +8 | +24 | =1559 | 60% | 4 | |
6/13Tuesday, June 137:40 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1515 | +27 | +0 | =1542 | 49% | 5 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1526 | –2 | +23 | =1547 | 51% | 7 | |
6/11Sunday, June 111:37 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1527 | –20 | +0 | =1507 | 37% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1545 | +31 | +24 | =1600 | 63% | 7 | |
6/10Saturday, June 103:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1524 | +14 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | 9 |
TORBlue Jays | Richards | 1547 | –28 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | 4 | |
6/9Friday, June 97:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1523 | +12 | –3 | =1532 | 49% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1548 | –31 | +24 | =1541 | 51% | 2 | |
6/8Thursday, June 81:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1524 | +9 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | 2 |
TBRays | Chirinos | 1568 | –14 | +24 | =1578 | 56% | 4 | |
6/7Wednesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1525 | –5 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 1 |
TBRays | Armstrong | 1567 | –34 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | 2 | |
6/6Tuesday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1527 | –13 | –1 | =1513 | 41% | 0 |
TBRays | Eflin | 1565 | –8 | +21 | =1578 | 59% | 7 | |
6/4Sunday, June 42:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1512 | +33 | +0 | =1545 | 47% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1529 | +12 | +24 | =1565 | 53% | 1 | |
6/3Saturday, June 37:15 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Allen | 1510 | –4 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1530 | +14 | +24 | =1568 | 59% | 2 | |
6/2Friday, June 28:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1511 | –2 | +0 | =1509 | 43% | 0 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1529 | +7 | +24 | =1560 | 57% | 1 | |
6/1Thursday, June 17:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bibee | 1512 | –1 | –3 | =1508 | 44% | 6 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1528 | –3 | +21 | =1546 | 56% | 7 | |
5/31Wednesday, May 318:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1525 | –21 | +0 | =1504 | 39% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Brown | 1561 | –3 | +24 | =1582 | 61% | 2 | |
5/30Tuesday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1527 | +18 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 1 |
HOUAstros | Bielak | 1559 | –46 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 5 | |
5/29Monday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1526 | +15 | –3 | =1538 | 49% | 7 |
HOUAstros | France | 1560 | –35 | +20 | =1545 | 51% | 5 | |
5/28Sunday, May 282:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1540 | –4 | +0 | =1536 | 47% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1528 | +5 | +24 | =1557 | 53% | 0 | |
5/27Saturday, May 272:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Bassitt | 1541 | +14 | +0 | =1555 | 51% | 7 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1526 | –1 | +24 | =1549 | 49% | 9 | |
5/26Friday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Gausman | 1540 | +25 | –3 | =1562 | 54% | 3 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1527 | –21 | +26 | =1532 | 46% | 1 | |
5/24Wednesday, May 241:10 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1504 | +2 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +17 | +24 | =1567 | 59% | 7 | |
5/23Tuesday, May 237:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cobb | 1503 | +13 | +0 | =1516 | 43% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1527 | +15 | +24 | =1566 | 57% | 3 | |
5/22Monday, May 227:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Brebbia (open) | 1501 | +2 | –4 | =1499 | 42% | 4 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1529 | +6 | +20 | =1555 | 58% | 1 | |
5/21Sunday, May 214:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1530 | –3 | +0 | =1527 | 42% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1512 | +43 | +24 | =1579 | 58% | 4 | |
5/20Saturday, May 2010:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1527 | –21 | +0 | =1506 | 44% | 6 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1515 | +11 | +24 | =1550 | 56% | 2 | |
5/19Friday, May 199:38 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1529 | +17 | +1 | =1547 | 52% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Detmers | 1514 | –3 | +20 | =1531 | 48% | 5 | |
5/17Wednesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1530 | +17 | +0 | =1547 | 44% | 3 |
LADDodgers | May | 1567 | –1 | +24 | =1590 | 56% | 7 | |
5/16Tuesday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1528 | +5 | +0 | =1533 | 38% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1570 | +25 | +24 | =1619 | 62% | 1 | |
5/15Monday, May 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1529 | +1 | –4 | =1526 | 43% | 8 |
LADDodgers | Syndergaard | 1569 | –21 | +24 | =1572 | 57% | 9 | |
5/14Sunday, May 142:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Stroman | 1496 | +19 | +0 | =1515 | 49% | 3 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1525 | –25 | +24 | =1524 | 51% | 16 | |
5/13Saturday, May 132:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Wesneski | 1499 | –9 | +0 | =1490 | 40% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1522 | +13 | +24 | =1559 | 60% | 11 | |
5/12Friday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Smyly | 1497 | +2 | +0 | =1499 | 41% | 6 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +16 | +24 | =1565 | 59% | 2 | |
5/11Thursday, May 111:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Darvish | 1542 | +28 | +0 | =1570 | 52% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1523 | +6 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | 5 | |
5/10Wednesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Lugo | 1543 | –19 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | 3 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 53% | 4 | |
5/9Tuesday, May 97:40 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Wacha | 1541 | –4 | –2 | =1535 | 52% | 6 |
MINTwins | Varland | 1524 | –29 | +23 | =1518 | 48% | 1 | |
5/7Sunday, May 71:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +16 | +0 | =1542 | 51% | 0 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1519 | –7 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | 2 | |
5/6Saturday, May 66:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1527 | +19 | +0 | =1546 | 53% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Allen | 1517 | –19 | +24 | =1522 | 47% | 4 | |
5/5Friday, May 57:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1525 | +3 | –2 | =1526 | 51% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | Battenfield | 1519 | –26 | +24 | =1517 | 49% | 0 | |
5/4Thursday, May 42:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 52% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1480 | +5 | +24 | =1509 | 48% | 3 | |
5/3Wednesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1525 | –25 | +0 | =1500 | 46% | 4 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1479 | +24 | +24 | =1527 | 54% | 6 | |
5/2Tuesday, May 27:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +13 | +0 | =1539 | 57% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Kopech | 1478 | –12 | +26 | =1492 | 43% | 3 | |
4/30Sunday, April 302:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1437 | +20 | +0 | =1457 | 34% | 4 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +19 | +24 | =1568 | 66% | 8 | |
4/29Saturday, April 292:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1436 | –9 | +0 | =1427 | 33% | 3 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1526 | +3 | +24 | =1553 | 67% | 2 | |
4/28Friday, April 284:10 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lyles | 1437 | +5 | +0 | =1442 | 34% | 6 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1526 | +4 | +24 | =1554 | 66% | 8 | |
4/27Thursday, April 277:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Greinke | 1438 | +3 | –3 | =1438 | 35% | 1 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1524 | –3 | +24 | =1545 | 65% | 7 | |
4/26Wednesday, April 261:10 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1555 | –13 | +0 | =1542 | 50% | 12 |
MINTwins | Maeda | 1527 | –5 | +24 | =1546 | 50% | 6 | |
4/25Tuesday, April 257:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cortes | 1557 | +14 | +0 | =1571 | 52% | 2 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1525 | +10 | +24 | =1559 | 48% | 6 | |
4/24Monday, April 247:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Brito | 1559 | –41 | –3 | =1515 | 43% | 1 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1523 | +14 | +24 | =1561 | 57% | 6 | |
4/23Sunday, April 232:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1433 | –18 | +0 | =1415 | 32% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1522 | +0 | +24 | =1546 | 68% | 3 | |
4/22Saturday, April 222:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Kuhl | 1429 | –7 | +0 | =1422 | 31% | 10 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1526 | +8 | +24 | =1558 | 69% | 4 | |
4/21Friday, April 218:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Williams | 1428 | +11 | –1 | =1438 | 36% | 3 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1527 | –7 | +21 | =1541 | 64% | 2 | |
4/20Thursday, April 201:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Maeda | 1529 | –2 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1506 | +21 | +24 | =1551 | 53% | 11 | |
4/19Wednesday, April 197:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1527 | +11 | +0 | =1538 | 51% | 10 |
BOSRed Sox | Kluber | 1508 | +0 | +24 | =1532 | 49% | 4 | |
4/18Tuesday, April 187:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1528 | +14 | +0 | =1542 | 51% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Sale | 1507 | +6 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 5 | |
4/16Sunday, April 161:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1529 | +9 | +0 | =1538 | 40% | 0 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1561 | +22 | +24 | =1607 | 60% | 2 | |
4/15Saturday, April 151:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Mahle | 1531 | –4 | +0 | =1527 | 44% | 1 |
NYYYankees | German | 1559 | –16 | +24 | =1567 | 56% | 6 | |
4/14Friday, April 147:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Varland | 1530 | –25 | +0 | =1505 | 37% | 4 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1560 | +15 | +24 | =1599 | 63% | 3 | |
4/13Thursday, April 137:05 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +7 | –3 | =1530 | 46% | 11 |
NYYYankees | Brito | 1564 | –29 | +22 | =1557 | 54% | 2 | |
4/12Wednesday, April 121:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1497 | –11 | +0 | =1486 | 39% | 1 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +12 | +24 | =1561 | 61% | 3 | |
4/11Tuesday, April 117:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1498 | +4 | +0 | =1502 | 43% | 3 |
MINTwins | Lopez | 1524 | +5 | +24 | =1553 | 57% | 4 | |
4/10Monday, April 102:10 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1496 | +38 | –3 | =1531 | 47% | 4 |
MINTwins | Maeda | 1525 | +2 | +24 | =1551 | 53% | 3 | |
4/9Sunday, April 92:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Brown | 1549 | –22 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | 5 |
MINTwins | Mahle | 1527 | –1 | +24 | =1550 | 53% | 1 | |
4/8Saturday, April 82:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1551 | –3 | +0 | =1548 | 49% | 6 |
MINTwins | Ryan | 1526 | +6 | +24 | =1556 | 51% | 9 | |
4/7Friday, April 74:10 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1552 | –7 | –1 | =1544 | 48% | 2 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1525 | +9 | +22 | =1556 | 52% | 3 | |
4/5Wednesday, April 51:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1527 | +3 | +0 | =1530 | 52% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1486 | +5 | +24 | =1515 | 48% | 5 | |
4/4Tuesday, April 46:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Maeda | 1528 | +3 | +0 | =1531 | 47% | 0 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1485 | +40 | +24 | =1549 | 53% | 1 | |
4/3Monday, April 36:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Mahle | 1525 | +1 | –3 | =1523 | 52% | 11 |
MIAMarlins | Cueto | 1488 | –5 | +24 | =1507 | 48% | 1 | |
4/2Sunday, April 22:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ryan | 1523 | +8 | +0 | =1531 | 61% | 7 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1448 | –17 | +24 | =1455 | 39% | 4 | |
4/1Saturday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1522 | +10 | +2 | =1534 | 58% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Lyles | 1449 | +5 | +26 | =1480 | 42% | 0 | |
3/30Thursday, March 304:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Lopez | 1521 | +2 | –2 | =1521 | 56% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1450 | +4 | +24 | =1478 | 44% | 0 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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